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244 Chapter 7 Dynamics: Competing Across Time

TABLE 7.2

Market Structure Conditions Affecting the Sustainability of Cooperative Pricing

Market Structure

How Does It Affect

 

Condition

Cooperative Pricing

Reasons

High market

Facilitates

• Coordinating on the cooperative

concentration

 

equilibrium is easier with few firms

 

 

• Increases the benefit-cost ratio from adhering to

 

 

cooperative pricing

Firm asymmetries

Harms

• Disagreement over cooperative price

 

 

• Coordinating on cooperative price is more

 

 

difficult

 

 

• Possible incentive of large firms to extend price

 

 

umbrella to small firms increases small firms’

 

 

incentives to cut price

 

 

• Small firms may prefer to deviate from monopoly

 

 

prices even if larger firms match

High buyer

Harms

• Reduces probability that a

concentration

 

defector will be discovered

Lumpy orders

Harms

• Decreases the frequency of interaction between

 

 

competitors, increasing the lag between defection

 

 

and retaliation

Secret price terms

Harms

• Increases detection lags because prices of

 

 

competitors are more difficult to monitor

 

 

• Increases the probability of misreads

Volatility of demand

Harms

• Increases the lag between

and cost conditions

 

defection and retaliation (perhaps even

 

 

precluding retaliation) by increasing uncertainty

 

 

about whether defections have occurred and

 

 

about identity of defectors

Price-sensitive buyers

Harms

• Increases the temptation to cut price, even if

 

 

competitors are expected to match

 

 

 

competitors will eventually match the price cut. This is because even a temporary price cut may result in a significant and profitable boost in market share.

Market Structure and the Sustainability

of Cooperative Pricing: Summary

This section has discussed how market structure affects the sustainability of cooperative pricing. Table 7.2 summarizes the impact of the market structure characteristics discussed in this section.

FACILITATING PRACTICES

Firms can facilitate cooperative pricing through a number of practices, including

Price leadership

Advance announcement of price changes

Facilitating Practices 245

Most favored customer clauses

Uniform delivered prices

Price Leadership

Price leadership is a way to overcome the problem of coordinating on a focal equilibrium. In price leadership, each firm gives up its pricing autonomy and cedes control over industry pricing to a single firm. Examples of well-known price leaders include Kellogg in breakfast cereals, Philip Morris in tobacco, and (until the mid-1960s) U.S. Steel in steel. Firms thus need not worry that rivals will secretly shade price to steal market share.

The kind of oligopolistic price leadership we discuss here should be distinguished from the barometric price leadership that sometimes occurs in competitive markets, such as that for prime rate loans. Under barometric price leadership, the price leader merely acts as a barometer of changes in market conditions by adjusting prices to shifts in demand or input prices. Under barometric leadership, different firms are often price leaders, while under oligopolistic leadership the same firm is the leader for years.

Advance Announcement of Price Changes

In some markets, firms will publicly announce the prices they intend to charge in the future. For example, in chemicals markets firms often announce their intention to raise prices 30 or 60 days before the price change is to take effect. These preannouncements can benefit consumers, such as when cement makers announce prices weeks ahead of the spring construction season, enabling contractors to bid on projects more intelligently. But advance announcements can also facilitate price increases, much to the harm of consumers. Advance announcements of price changes reduce the uncertainty that firms’ rivals will undercut them. The practice also allows firms to harmlessly rescind or roll back proposed price increases that competitors refuse to follow. In the early 1990s, the U.S. Department of Justice challenged the airline industry’s common practice of announcing fare increases well in advance of the date on which the increases took effect. The DOJ argued that these preannouncements could not possibly benefit consumers and therefore served only the purpose of facilitating price increases. The airlines consented to abandon the practice; nowadays, they often announce price hikes at the close of business on Friday. If competitors do not match over the weekend, they can rescind the hikes on Monday morning without too much damage being done.

Most Favored Customer Clauses

A most favored customer clause is a provision in a sales contract that promises a buyer that it will pay the lowest price the seller charges. There are two basic types of most favored customer clauses: contemporaneous and retroactive.

To illustrate these two types, consider a simple example. Xerxes Chemical manufactures a chemical additive used to enhance the performance of jet fuel. Star Petroleum Refining Company, a manufacturer of jet fuel, signs a contract with Xerxes calling for delivery of 100,000 tons of the chemical over the next three months at the “open order” price of $0.50 per ton.27 Under a contemporaneous most favored customer policy, Xerxes agrees that while this contract is in effect, if it sells the chemical at a lower price to any other buyer (perhaps to undercut a competitor), it will also

246 Chapter 7 Dynamics: Competing Across Time

EXAMPLE 7.5 ARE MOST FAVORED NATION AGREEMENTS ANTICOMPETITIVE?

On October 18, 2010, the U.S. Department of Justice and the state of Michigan filed an antitrust suit against Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan (BCBSM). Blue Cross Blue Shield is a national federation of 39 health insurance organizations and companies in the United States, and BCBSM is one of its largest independent licensees with 4.3 million members— well over 60 percent of the commercially insured population of the state of Michigan. BCBSM has most favored nation (MFN) contracts with nearly 60 percent of Michigan’s 131 general acute care hospitals, including many major hospitals. The lawsuit alleges that BCBSM’s use of MFN clauses violated antitrust laws. This is the first time DOJ brought an action against a health insurer challenging the use of MFN clauses since the 1990s.

MFN clauses effectively ensure that all buyers are treated equally. This would seem to be procompetitive, and courts in the United States have usually dismissed antitrust challenges against MFN clauses without conducting a “rule of reason” analysis in which experts present and analyze evidence to determine whether the conduct in question was anticompetitive. Yet economic theory suggests that MFN clauses can have two harmful consequences. Consider BCBSM’s situation. Its MNF clauses limit the ability of other insurers to compete effectively by guaranteeing that they never have lower input costs than BCBSM. This can be especially problematic in health care, where one way that insurers have found to lower costs is by contracting with a small subset of providers, guaranteeing them an increase in volume in exchange for deep discounts. The MFN obliges those providers to offer the same deep discounts to BCBSM, even though BCBSM will not guarantee them an increase in volume. This makes it impossible for these low-cost alternatives to compete with BCBSM, so they never appear in the market.

Even if MFNs do not affect market structure, they can directly affect pricing. Providers who grant MFN protection to BCBSM have a disincentive to offer discounts to other insurers, for they would be obligated to pass this

discount along to BCBSM. The result can be higher prices for all purchasers, including BCBSM. BCBSM might not mind, however, as it knows that it will pay no more than other insurers. Indeed, research by Fiona Scott Morton showed that when Medicaid (a public insurance program for low-income Americans) obtained MFN status for prescription drugs, the prices paid by private insurers for the same drugs increased.28 The same may well occur when insurers like BCBSM secure MFN status with hospitals and other providers.

Antitrust economists have raised these objections for several decades. So why did the Department of Justice choose this time to sue BCBSM? The government alleges that BCBSM’s MFN agreements go beyond the typical MFN. These MFN contracts allegedly require that participating hospitals charge other insurers an agreed percentage more than they charge BCBSM, sometimes as high as 40 percent more than the hospital was charging BCBSM. BCBSM was even willing to increase its payments to large hospitals if they agreed to this add-on fee for competing health plans.

BCBSM has defended itself vigorously, arguing that it uses MFNs as a tool to secure the lowest health service costs and the deepest possible discounts for the large population of Michigan residents it served. It stated in a press release: “Our hospital discounts are a vital part of our statutory mission to provide Michigan residents with statewide access to health care at a reasonable cost. [. . .] Because Blue Cross is the only nonprofit healthcare corporation that is regulated by Michigan Public Act 350, it is the only Michigan insurer that is required to meet the cost, quality, and access goals required by statute.”29

The outcome of this case could profoundly affect health care markets across the United States. Many other Blue Cross plans have large market shares and use their clout to obtain MFN clauses. It is not known if other plans have the “MFN plus” clause in BCBSM’s contracts. But the current lawsuit might clarify the court’s position on whether MFN clauses should be examined under the rule of reason.

Facilitating Practices 247

lower the price to this level for Star Petroleum. Under a retroactive most favored customer clause, Xerxes agrees to pay a rebate to Star Petroleum if during a certain period after the contract has expired (e.g., two years) it sells the chemical additive for a lower price than Star Petroleum paid.

Most favored customer clauses appear to benefit buyers. For Star Petroleum, the “price protection” offered by the most favored customer clause may help keep its production costs in line with those of competitors. However, most favored customer clauses can inhibit price competition by discouraging firms from cutting prices to other customers who do not have these clauses. This theory has motivated a recent U.S. Department of Justice investigation into the use of most favored clauses in contracts between hospitals and Blue Cross health insurance plans, as described in Example 7.5.

Uniform Delivered Prices

In many industries, such as cement, steel, or soybean products, buyers and sellers are geographically separated, and transportation costs are significant. In such contexts, the pricing method can affect competitive interactions. Broadly speaking, two different kinds of pricing policies can be identified. Under uniform FOB pricing, the seller quotes a price for pickup at the seller’s loading dock, and the buyer absorbs the freight charges for shipping from the seller’s plant to the buyer’s plant.30 Under uniform delivered pricing, the firm quotes a single delivered price for all buyers and absorbs any freight charges itself.31

Uniform delivered pricing facilitates cooperative pricing by allowing firms to make a more “surgical” response to price cutting by rivals. Consider, for example, two brick producers, one located in Mumbai and the other in Ahmadabad, India. These firms have been trying to maintain prices at the monopoly level, but the Mumbai producer cuts its price to increase its share of the market in Surat, a city between Mumbai and Ahmadabad. Under FOB pricing, the Ahmadabad producer must retaliate by cutting its mill price, which effectively reduces its price to all its customers (see Figure 7.3). On the other hand, if the firms were using uniform delivered pricing, the Ahmadabad firm could cut its price selectively; it could cut the delivered price to its customers in Surat, keeping delivered prices of other customers at their original level (see Figure 7.4). Like targeted couponing, uniform delivered pricing reduces the “cost” that the “victim” incurs by retaliating. This makes retaliation more likely and enhances the credibility of policies, such as tit-for-tat, that can sustain cooperative pricing.

FIGURE 7.3

FOB Pricing

When both firms use FOB pricing, the delivered price that a customer actually pays depends on its location. The delivered price schedules are shown by the solid lines in the figure. If the brick producer in Ahmadabad lowers its FOB price to match that of the Mumbai producer, then it effectively shifts its delivered price schedule downward. (It now becomes the dashed line.) Even though the Ahmadabad firm is retaliating against the Mumbai firm’s stealing business in Surat, the Ahmadabad firm ends up reducing its delivered prices to all of its customers.

Price

Price

FOB price

 

 

 

FOB price

Ahmadabad

 

 

 

Mumbai

 

 

 

 

 

Ahmadabad

Surat

Mumbai

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