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MACROECONOMICS

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S E V E N T H E D I T I O N

MACROECONOMICS

N. GREGORY MANKIW

Harvard University

Worth Publishers

Senior Publishers: Catherine Woods and Craig Bleyer Senior Acquisitions Editor: Sarah Dorger

Senior Marketing Manager: Scott Guile

Consulting Editor: Paul Shensa

Senior Development Editor: Marie McHale

Development Editor: Jane Tufts

Assistant Editor, Media and Supplements: Tom Acox

Associate Managing Editor: Tracey Kuehn

Project Editor: Dana Kasowitz

Art Director: Babs Reingold

Cover and Text Designer: Kevin Kall

Production Manager: Barbara Anne Seixas

Composition: TSI Graphics

Printing and Binding: RR Donnelley

Cover art: Barbara Ellmann

WHAT’S YOUR ANGLE?

Encaustic on Wood Panel 24'' x 24'' © 2005

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Number: 2009924581

ISBN-13: 978-1-4292-1887-0

ISBN-10: 1-4292-1887-8

© 2010, 2007, 2003 by N. Gregory Mankiw

All rights reserved.

Printed in the United States of America

First Printing 2009

Worth Publishers

41 Madison Avenue

New York, NY 10010

www.worthpublishers.com

about the author

Photo by Deborah Mankiw

N. Gregory Mankiw is Professor of Economics at Harvard University. He began his study of economics at Princeton University, where he received an A.B. in 1980. After earning a Ph.D. in economics from MIT, he began teaching at Harvard in 1985 and was promoted to full professor in 1987. Today, he regularly teaches both undergraduate and graduate courses in macroeconomics. He is also author of the popular introductory textbook Principles of Economics (Cengage Learning).

Professor Mankiw is a regular participant in academic and policy debates. His research ranges across macroeconomics and includes work on price adjustment, consumer behavior, financial markets, monetary and fiscal policy, and economic growth. In addition to his duties at Harvard, he has been a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, a member of the Brookings Panel on Economic Activity, and an adviser to the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston and the Congressional Budget Office. From 2003 to 2005 he was chairman of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers.

Professor Mankiw lives in Wellesley, Massachusetts, with his wife, Deborah; children, Catherine, Nicholas, and Peter; and their border terrier, Tobin.

v

To Deborah

Those branches of politics, or of the laws of social life, on which there exists a collection of facts sufficiently sifted and methodized to form the beginning of a science should be taught ex professo. Among the

chief of these is Political Economy, the sources and conditions of wealth and material prosperity for aggregate bodies of human beings. . . .

The same persons who cry down Logic will generally warn you against Political Economy. It is unfeeling, they will tell you. It recognises unpleasant facts. For my part, the most unfeeling thing I know of is the law of gravitation: it breaks the neck of the best and most amiable person without scruple, if he forgets for a single moment to give heed to it. The winds and waves too are very unfeeling. Would you advise those who go to sea to deny the winds and waves – or to make use of them, and find the means of guarding against their dangers? My advice to you is to study the great writers on Political Economy, and hold firmly by whatever in them you find true; and depend upon it that if you are not selfish or hardhearted already, Political Economy will not make you so.

John Stuart Mill, 1867

brief contents

Preface xxiii

Supplements and Media xxxii

part I

Introduction 1

Chapter 1 The Science of Macroeconomics

3

Chapter 2 The Data of Macroeconomics

17

part II

Classical Theory: The Economy in the Long Run 43

Chapter 3 National Income: Where It Comes From and Where It Goes 45

Chapter 4 Money and Inflation

79

Chapter 5 The Open Economy

119

Chapter 6 Unemployment 163

 

part III

Growth Theory: The Economy in the Very Long Run 189

Chapter 7 Economic Growth I: Capital

Accumulation and Population

Growth 191

Chapter 8 Economic Growth II: Technology,

Empirics, and Policy 221

part IV

Business Cycle Theory: The Economy in the Short Run 255

Chapter 9 Introduction to Economic Fluctuations 257

Chapter 10 Aggregate Demand I: Building the

IS–LM Model 287

Chapter 11 Aggregate Demand II: Applying the

IS–LM Model 311

Chapter 12 The Open Economy Revisited: The

Mundell–Fleming Model and the

Exchange-Rate Regime 339

Chapter 13 Aggregate Supply and the Short-Run

Tradeoff Between Inflation and

Unemployment 379

Chapter 14 A Dynamic Model of Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply 409

part V

Macroeconomic Policy Debates 443

Chapter 15 Stabilization Policy 445

Chapter 16 Government Debt and Budget

Deficits 467

part VI

More on the Microeconomics Behind Macroeconomics 493

Chapter 17 Consumption 495

Chapter 18 Investment 525

Chapter 19 Money Supply, Money Demand, and the Banking System 547

Epilogue What We Know, What We Don’t 567

Glossary 575

Index 585

viii |