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7. OIL

met by imports. For the category LPG and ethane, refinery outputs were short by 2.5 mb/d compared with demand, 2 and gasoline output was short by 0.8 mb/d. 3 Supply and demand for naphtha, jet and kerosene, and residual fuel oil were well balanced with demand, while there were excess supplies of gas/diesel oil and other products. The United States is one of the largest exporters of diesel and other products, which include lubricants, bitumen and waxes.

Figure 7.4 Refinery gross outputs and demand by products, 2018

 

 

mb/d

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Naphtha

LPG and

Other

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1%

ethane

products**

 

LPG and ethane

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2%

14%

Residual fuel oil

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Naphtha

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gasolines*

 

 

2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gasolines*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

45%

 

 

 

Jet and kerosene

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gas/Diesel oil

Gas/Diesel oil

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

27%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residual fuel oil

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other products**

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jet and

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

 

 

 

kerosene

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Refinery outputs

 

 

 

Demand

 

 

 

 

 

 

9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IEA (2019). All rights reserved.

Total domestic supply of oil products still falls short of total demand.

*Gasolines include blended biofuels.

**Other products includes refinery gas, aviation gas, other kerosene, petroleum cokes, white and industrial spirit, lubricants, bitumen, paraffin waxes, and other non-specified products such as tar and sulphur.

Source: IEA (2019b), Oil Information 2019, www.iea.org/statistics/.

Trade: Imports and exports

The United States’ commendable growth in domestic oil production has changed the country’s oil trade dynamics over the last decade. Although the gap between domestic oil supply and demand has been falling quickly over the last decade, the country was still a net importer of oil in 2018 (Figure 7.5).

In 2018, the United States imported around 10.0 mb/d of oil (crude and oil products); total net imports were 2.6 mb/d, down 78% from a decade ago, due to various factors including an overall decline in oil consumption and increased fuel switching to domestic biofuels, but mostly the strong growth in domestic oil production.

2For LPG alone, the US net exports of LPG were 840 kb/d in 2017.

3Biofuels largely make up for this shortage of demand. In 2017, the US net exports of (non-bio) gasoline was

145kb/d.

131

ENERGY SECURITY

IEA. All rights reserved.

7. OIL

Figure 7.5 Overview of US oil supply, demand and trades, 2008-18

mb/d

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Domestic

22

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

demand

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Domestic

18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

supply

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total oil

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

imports

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total oil

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

exports

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total oil net

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

imports

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

IEA (2019). All rights reserved.

While still a net importer, total oil net imports dropped by 78% over the last decade.

Note: Total oil includes conventional crude oil, LTO, condensates, non-conventional oils and NGLs. Source: IEA (2019b), Oil Information 2019, www.iea.org/statistics/.

Trade of crude oil

The lion’s share of total oil imports in 2018 was for crude oil, equivalent to 8.4 mb/d; the major sources of imports were Canada (44%), Saudi Arabia (10%), Mexico (8%), and Venezuela and Iraq (each 6%) (Figure 7.6). Although supply sources were diverse in terms of geographical coverage, two countries (Canada and Saudi Arabia) represented more than half of total oil imports.

Crude oil exports rose to average 2.5 mb/d in 2018, up from 1.2 mb/d in 2014, and for certain weeks in 2018 reached as high as 2.8 mb/d. While the majority of US crude oil exports were destined for Canada before 2015, their destinations have greatly diversified since then, with increasing amounts (largely from the Gulf Coast) heading as far as the People’s Republic of China (hereafter “China”) and India in 2018. Total crude oil exports in 2018 mostly headed to Canada (25%), followed by Korea (10%), China (9%), the United Kingdom (7%), the Netherlands (6%), India (5%), Japan (4%) and Colombia (3%). The Gulf Coast, as the largest refining and storage cluster in the world, was the exit point for 79% of US crude exports.

132

IEA. All rights reserved.

7. OIL

Figure 7.6 US crude oil net imports per country, 2008-18

12

mb/d

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Others

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Canada

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IMPORTS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Saudi Arabia

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Venezuela

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mexico

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Iraq

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Russian Federation

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Colombia

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

India

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Japan

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IEA Europe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EXPORTS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

- 2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

 

 

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Korea

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IEA (2019). All rights reserved.

US crude oil trade has become dynamic in terms of volume and trading partners.

Note: Crude oil includes conventional oil, LTO, condensates, NGLs and non-conventional oil. Source: IEA (2019b), Oil Information 2019, www.iea.org/statistics/.

Trade of refined oil products

With no export bans in place, the oil products trade has been more dynamic and geographically spread out compared with crude oil (Figure 7.7). Canada has been the largest source of oil product imports and accounted for 34% of the total in 2018, followed by Korea (6%), India, Russia, Venezuela and the United Kingdom (5% each). A notable change in product imports is the declining share of European countries and the emergence of new trading partners such as India.

The United States is the world’s largest exporter of refined oil products. In 2018, the United States exported 5.0 mb/d of oil products, of which 24% were delivered to Mexico, 7% to Japan, 6% each to Brazil and Canada, and 3% each to China, India and Singapore. With remarkable growth in domestic oil production, an even larger volume of oil products will be available for export in the future.

Figure 7.7 US oil products net imports per country, 2008-18

1.5

mb/d

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Others

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IMPORTS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Canada

1.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Netherlands

0.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Russian Federation

-0.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chile

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-1.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-1.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Korea

-2.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-2.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Singapore

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-3.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Japan

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EXPORTS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-3.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brazil

-4.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

2009

 

2010

2011

2012

2013

 

2014

2015

 

2016

 

2017

2018

 

 

 

Mexico

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IEA (2019). All rights reserved.

US oil product exports have not only increased in absolute volume but also diversified in terms of destinations over the last decade.

Source: IEA (2019b), Oil Information 2019, www.iea.org/statistics/.

133

ENERGY SECURITY

IEA. All rights reserved.

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