Gas Market Report 2019 1. Demand
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2010 |
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2010 |
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2017 |
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2017 |
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Growth 2010–17 |
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Population |
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Length |
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Population |
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Length |
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Population |
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Length |
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connected |
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of pipe |
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connected |
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of pipe |
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connected |
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of pipe |
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(million) |
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(km) |
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(million) |
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(km) |
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% |
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% |
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Jilin |
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2.9 |
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3 976 |
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7.4 |
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10 060 |
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155% |
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153% |
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Heilongjiang |
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5.7 |
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6 032 |
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8.7 |
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9 610 |
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53% |
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59% |
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Shanghai |
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10.9 |
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17 317 |
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17.2 |
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30 387 |
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57% |
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75% |
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Jiangsu |
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13.0 |
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27 641 |
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26.3 |
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71 881 |
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102% |
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160% |
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Zhejiang |
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5.5 |
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13 962 |
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14.5 |
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39 097 |
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161% |
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180% |
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Anhui |
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6.4 |
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9 802 |
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13.4 |
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23 763 |
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111% |
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142% |
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Fujian |
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2.7 |
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4 296 |
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5.7 |
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9 513 |
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107% |
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121% |
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Jiangxi |
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1.6 |
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3 220 |
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6.8 |
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12 553 |
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336% |
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290% |
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Shandong |
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14.4 |
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24 518 |
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30.2 |
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55 981 |
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109% |
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128% |
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Henan |
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8.3 |
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11 914 |
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18.7 |
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22 683 |
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124% |
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90% |
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Hubei |
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7.0 |
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11 371 |
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15.7 |
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31 819 |
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125% |
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180% |
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Hunan |
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4.2 |
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7 177 |
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10.2 |
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17 025 |
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142% |
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137% |
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Guangdong |
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9.2 |
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10 683 |
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23.0 |
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31 346 |
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150% |
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193% |
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Guangxi |
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1.1 |
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3 974 |
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4.8 |
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5 513 |
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351% |
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39% |
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Hainan |
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0.8 |
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1 366 |
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1.9 |
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3 046 |
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143% |
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123% |
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Chongqing |
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8.6 |
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8 351 |
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13.6 |
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22 320 |
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58% |
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167% |
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Sichuan |
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11.6 |
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23 889 |
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20.8 |
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49 338 |
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79% |
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107% |
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Guizhou |
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0.1 |
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195 |
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3.4 |
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6 414 |
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2 708% |
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3 189% |
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Yunnan |
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0.4 |
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337 |
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4.3 |
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5 947 |
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1 062% |
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1 665% |
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Tibet |
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0.0 |
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- |
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0.2 |
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3 450 |
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- |
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- |
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Shaanxi |
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5.5 |
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6 901 |
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9.4 |
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16 567 |
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72% |
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140% |
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Gansu |
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2.0 |
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900 |
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4.4 |
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3 140 |
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125% |
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249% |
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Qinghai |
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0.9 |
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830 |
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1.6 |
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2 244 |
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76% |
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170% |
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Ningxia |
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1.1 |
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2 424 |
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2.3 |
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6 279 |
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115% |
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159% |
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Xinjiang |
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4.5 |
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7 145 |
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6.9 |
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13 358 |
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56% |
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87% |
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Japan
Japan’s natural gas demand totalled about 128 bcm in 2018, a slight decrease on 2017, with power generation needs decreasing by almost 1% and accounting for more than two-thirds of total consumption (Figure 1.5).
PAGE | 25
IEA. All rights reserved.
Gas Market Report 2019 1. Demand
Figure 1.5. |
Natural gas demand, Japan, 2004–24 |
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bcm |
140 |
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Losses |
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120 |
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Energy industry own |
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100 |
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use |
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80 |
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Transport (including |
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pipelines) |
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60 |
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Residential and |
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commercial |
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40 |
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Industry |
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20 |
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Power generation |
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0 |
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2004 |
2006 |
2008 |
2010 |
2012 |
2014 |
2016 |
2018 |
2020 |
2022 |
2024 |
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IEA, 2019. All rights reserved.
Natural gas consumption is expected to further decline in Japan during the forecast period as more nuclear capacity is due to restart.
As other sectors are expected to grow modestly, consistent with GDP growth, or even stagnate out to 2024, future gas consumption in Japan is sensitive to the power sector, particularly the timing and quantity of nuclear power plant restarts and the growth of renewable electricity generation (Figure 1.6).
Figure 1.6. Power generation by fuel and LNG import volumes, Japan, 2009–18
TWh |
1 200 |
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120 |
bcm |
Nuclear |
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1 000 |
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100 |
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Biofuels and waste |
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800 |
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80 |
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Other renewables |
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Hydro |
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600 |
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60 |
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Oil |
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400 |
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40 |
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Coal |
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200 |
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20 |
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Gas |
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0 |
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0 |
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LNG import volumes |
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2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018* |
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(right axis) |
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IEA, 2019. All rights reserved.
* Estimated.
Sources: METI (2018), Power Generation Performance, www.meti.go.jp/english/press/2018/pdf/0716_01b.pdf; IEA (2019c), Electricity Information (database), www.iea.org/statistics/.
The share of natural gas in power generation reached its highest in 2013 in the aftermath of the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident.
The outlook for nuclear restarts remains uncertain. After decommissioning two reactors of 1.1 GW in 2018, Japan has 38 nuclear reactors and 3 units under construction, equal to around 42 GW in total. Following establishment of the newest nuclear safety measures by the NRA, one
PAGE | 26
IEA. All rights reserved.