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Gas Market Report 2019

2. Supply

The government is also moving forward to develop prospective shale gas potential. According to the Australian Energy Resources Assessment, the potentially recoverable shale gas resources are estimated at 12 tcm out of a total of 250 tcm of prospective shale gas resources (Figure 2.15). The largest shale gas deposit is located in the Canning basin in Western Australia, along with other smaller formations in Queensland, South Australia and the Northern Territory. The Northern Territory lifted its moratorium on fracturing in April 2018, and some first drilling is currently targeted for 2019. The Government of Western Australia also lifted its moratorium on hydraulic fracturing in November 2018, but limited activity to existing petroleum titles – accounting for only 2% of Western Australia’s territory.

Figure 2.15 Natural gas produced, remaining and potentially recoverable, Australia

tcm

5

 

 

tcm

14

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

3

 

 

 

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

1

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

0

 

Conventional

CBM

Shale

Tight

 

Conventional

CBM

Shale

Tight

 

Produced

 

Remaining

 

Potentially recoverable

 

 

 

 

 

 

Note: Produced and remaining gas as of 2014.

Source: Geoscience Australia (2019), Australian Energy Resources Assessment, https://aera.ga.gov.au/.

The country has a strong remaining conventional resource base and prospective shale gas potential for a supply source in the longer term.

To further encourage the natural resource sector to adopt a longer-term policy approach, the Australian government released the National Resources Statement in February 2019 (DIIS, 2019). The statement includes a goal to develop new resources, industries and markets and remove barriers, and also to attract investment by delivering a globally attractive and competitive investment destination for resources projects.

Other emerging Asian economies

Despite the strong demand growth forecast in the other emerging Asian economies (see Chapter 1), domestic natural gas production in this region is anticipated to plateau at 310 bcm/y during the forecast period (Figure 2.16).

PAGE | 86

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Gas Market Report 2019 2. Supply

Figure 2.16 Natural gas production by country, other emerging Asian economies, 2004–24

bcm

350

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

bcm

15

 

 

 

Change over period

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

300

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

250

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

200

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

150

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

- 5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

50

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

- 10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012-18

 

2018-24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

2009

2014

2019

2024

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bangladesh

 

 

 

India

 

Indonesia

 

 

 

 

Malaysia

 

 

Pakistan

 

 

Other Asia

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IEA, 2019. All rights reserved.

Regional natural gas production slightly declines over the forecast period.

India

India recorded its first gas production increase in seven years in fiscal year 2017/18, from 31 bcm/y to 32.7 bcm/y, or an increase of about 6%. The previous decline in production was mainly related to the stalled activities in the offshore blocks of the KG-D6 field off India’s east coast, together with lack of new investment. Since the government’s initiative to develop the hydrocarbon sector, which targets the reduction of dependency on oil and gas imports by 10% by 2022, the implementation of some of its policies has already materialised.

India’s production recovery results from new investment in onshore capacity, including CBM production. Production from three of India’s seven CBM blocks has increased, in total from 0.57 bcm in fiscal year 2016/17 to 0.81 bcm in fiscal year 2017/18, or a 45% increase (Figure 2.17). Due to the slow installation of gas gathering stations, the projected production increase is limited to those three fields – Sohagpur West, Raniganj (East) and Raniganj (South).

Figure 2.17 CBM production by block, actual and government projection, India, 2016–21

bcm

3.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Raniganj (North)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jharia

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NK-CBM-2001/1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

BK-CBM-2001/1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Raniganj (South)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Raniganj (East)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sohagpur West

 

0.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015-16

2016-17

2017-18

2018-19

2019-20

2020-21

 

Notes: Production figures provided in fiscal years. Projection starts from fiscal year 2018/19.

Source: Standing Committee on Petroleum & Natural Gas (2018), “Ministry of Petroleum & Natural Gas Twenty Fifth Report”, http://164.100.47.193/lsscommittee/Petroleum%20&%20Natural%20Gas/16_Petroleum_And_Natural_Gas_25.pdf.

Domestic CBM production is projected to reach 2.7 bcm by fiscal year 2020/21.

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