- •Foreword
- •Acknowledgements
- •Table of contents
- •List of figures
- •List of boxes
- •List of tables
- •Executive summary
- •After another record year, gas demand is set to keep growing to 2024
- •Asia is the key to demand growth, driven by China’s push for gas
- •The United States leads global growth in natural gas supply and exports
- •The global gas trade’s expansion is mainly driven by LNG
- •LNG investment is increasing, but more will be needed
- •Towards a global convergence of natural gas prices?
- •1. Demand
- •Highlights
- •Global overview
- •Sectoral outlook
- •Focus on LNG as a maritime fuel
- •Assumptions
- •Regional outlook
- •Asia Pacific
- •China
- •Japan
- •Korea
- •Australia
- •Other emerging Asian economies
- •India
- •Pakistan
- •Bangladesh
- •North America
- •United States
- •Canada
- •Mexico
- •Middle East
- •Iran
- •United Arab Emirates
- •Saudi Arabia
- •Eurasia
- •Russia
- •Belarus
- •Ukraine
- •Caspian
- •Europe
- •Power generation
- •Residential and commercial
- •Industry
- •Central and South America
- •Argentina
- •Brazil
- •Africa
- •Egypt
- •Algeria
- •Other North Africa
- •Sub-Saharan Africa
- •References
- •2. Supply
- •Highlights
- •Global overview
- •Regional supply outlook
- •North America
- •United States
- •Canada
- •Mexico
- •Asia Pacific
- •China
- •Unconventional gas
- •Developing the network to reduce internal supply bottlenecks
- •Increasing UGS capacity to develop seasonal flexibility
- •Australia
- •Other emerging Asian economies
- •India
- •Indonesia
- •Middle East
- •Iran
- •Qatar
- •Saudi Arabia
- •Eurasia
- •Russia
- •Azerbaijan
- •Other Caspian
- •Europe
- •Norway
- •The Netherlands
- •Other Europe
- •Central and South America
- •Argentina
- •Brazil
- •Africa
- •Egypt
- •Algeria
- •Sub-Saharan Africa
- •References
- •3. Trade
- •Highlights
- •Global natural gas trade
- •Regional trade outlook
- •Asia Pacific
- •China
- •LNG infrastructure
- •LNG supply
- •Pipeline imports and infrastructure
- •Japan and Korea
- •Other emerging Asian economies
- •Europe
- •Recent trends
- •A widening supply–demand gap
- •Natural gas infrastructure
- •The role of LNG
- •Americas
- •North America
- •South America
- •Global LNG market
- •2018 marked a third year of strong LNG trade growth
- •LNG demand outlook
- •LNG supply outlook
- •LNG trade flows
- •Liquefaction capacity and investment
- •LNG shipping outlook
- •References
- •4. Prices and market reforms
- •Highlights
- •Market prices in 2018–19
- •Asian LNG prices – from tight to loose
- •Europe – a counter seasonal price pattern
- •North America – stability and volatility
- •Global natural gas pricing overview
- •Prospects for natural gas trading hubs in Asia
- •Pricing and market reforms in regulated environments
- •China
- •City gate prices
- •End-user prices
- •India
- •Pakistan
- •Egypt
- •Russia
- •References
- •Annexes
- •Tables
- •Glossary
- •Regional and country groupings
- •Africa
- •Asia Pacific
- •Caspian
- •Central and South America
- •Eurasia
- •Europe
- •European Union
- •Middle East
- •North Africa
- •North America
- •List of acronyms, abbreviations and units of measure
- •Acronyms and abbreviations
- •Units of measure
Gas Market Report 2019 |
2. Supply |
(USD 0.42 billion) to build a UGS at a salt mine, with a nameplate capacity of 150 million cubic metres (mcm) to be operational by 2021, reaching 850 mcm after a second phase in 2025 (Argus, 2019b).
In Sichuan natural gas accounts for over 12% of the province’s primary energy consumption, when the national average is around 7% (2017). The province has gas storage of 0.1 bcm with good conditions for UGS (the depleted Wixi Yantian Salt Cave, for example), or the possibility to turn its LNG plant tanks into LNG storage tanks. The Sichuan Development and Reform Commission issued its gas storage facility construction plan in September 2018, with a goal to triple natural gas storage capacity by 2035 from 0.8 bcm to 2.3 bcm (Table 2.3).
Table 2.3. Natural gas production, demand and storage planning, Sichuan province, 2020–35
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2020 |
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2025 |
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2030 |
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2035 |
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CNPC Southwest |
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44 |
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63 |
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27.5 |
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52.5 |
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Sinopec Southwest |
5.5 |
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12 |
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20.5 |
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20 |
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Sinopec Puguang |
9 |
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9 |
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7 |
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7 |
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Total production |
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43 |
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65 |
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80 |
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90 |
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Total demand |
26 |
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31 |
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36 |
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40 |
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Total gas storage capacity |
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0.8 |
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1.1 |
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2 |
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2.3 |
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of which gas |
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0.65 |
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0.9 |
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1.8 |
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2.1 |
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of which LNG |
0.15 |
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0.2 |
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0.2 |
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0.2 |
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Note: Values in bcm.
Source: Sichuan DRC (2018), Gas Storage Facilities Construction Plan, http://fgw.sc.gov.cn/sfgw/yqkf/201809/11/content_185194df23ce43e5b40610f39ec63cb2.shtml.
Australia
Australian natural gas production has been increasing at an annual average rate of 16% since 2012. The country’s natural gas production activity is driven by LNG project ramp-up and operations. The recent addition of large LNG export projects drove Australian natural gas production to reach 132 bcm in 2018. This forecast expects an average growth rate of 2.3% per year, to reach 152 bcm by 2024.
According to the government’s resource assessment, Australia has nearly 5 tcm of remaining recoverable conventional natural gas, and around 2 tcm of CBM) (Figure 2.15) (Geoscience Australia, 2019). In order to ensure the long-term supply of both the domestic market and LNG export contracts, government authorities at both the federal and state levels are encouraging the continuous investment and development of natural gas. The Queensland government granted a licence to infrastructure operator Jemena in February 2019 to build the Atlas Gas Pipeline Project, which will connect the Atlas production developments to the Wallumbilla gas hub. It is expected to start operations in 2019. ExxonMobil and BHP took FID in December 2018 to develop the West Barracouta offshore field in Victoria, with the first gas expected in 2021, to supply the Australian east coast domestic market. Moreover, in 2018 the Australian government awarded seven offshore exploration permits off the coasts of Western Australia and Victoria, anticipating further development in the area.
PAGE | 85
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