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A.Friedman

ICEF-2012

The set of all points efficient in consumption is given by the locus of tangency of agents’ indifference curves and is called contract curve in consumption.

Y A

X B OB

Contract curve

Y

O A X A

X Y B

Efficiency in production

An allocation of inputs is efficient in production if given the total amount of each input available for production, the only way to increase the output of one commodity is to decrease the output of another commodity.

Note that this condition is necessary for Pareto efficiency. Indeed if condition is violated, then by reallocating inputs we can produce more of one good under the same quantity of the other. Let us distribute this additional quantity produced equally between all consumers and each one would be better off, which means that initial allocation was not Pareto efficient.

Let us denote the fixed supply of capital and labour by K and L . Then all feasible allocations could be represented by production Edgeworth box.

 

 

K X

q X

q X

q X

q X ,

qY

qY

qY

qY

 

 

0

1

2

3

0

1

2

3

LY

qY

 

 

 

 

 

OY

 

 

 

 

qY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

qY

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

 

 

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

contract curve

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

K

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

q X

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

q X

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

q X

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

qY

 

q X

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

0

 

 

 

 

O X

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LX

L K Y

101

A.Friedman

ICEF-2012

Following the same logic as in the analysis of efficiency in consumption we can show that efficiency in production takes place if the two isoquants are tangent, i.e. MRTSLKX MRTSLKY . The locus of all points that are efficient in production is called production contract curve.

Efficiency in production and PPC

Once the economy produces efficiently the only way to produce more of X is to give up some Y. Thus we can represent efficient production in terms of produced outputs. Production possibilities curve (PPC) is derived from the production contract curve. Any point on PPC shows the maximum amount of one good attainable under any given output of the other good for given technologies and factors availability.

q

Y

Production

 

possibilities

 

 

 

 

frontier

q0Y

q1Y q2Y q3Y

0 q0X q1X q2X q3X q X

PPC is also called transformation curve. The absolute value of its slope is called marginal rate

of transformation (MRT): MRT

 

 

dqY

. MRT

 

shows the rate at which the economy

XY

dq X

XY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PPC

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

can transform one output into another by shifting its resources, i.e. the opportunity cost of additional unit of X in terms of forgone Y.

Note MRTXY

can

be calculated as a

ratio of

marginal

products

of the same factor in

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MP y

 

 

 

MP y

 

production of

different outputs: MRT

 

L

or MRT

 

K

. Due to efficiency in

xy

MP x

xy

MP x

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

L

 

 

 

K

 

 

MP y

 

MP y

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

production

 

K

L

.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MP x

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MP x

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

K

 

L

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

This result is obtained immediately for one factor economy. Suppose production requires only

 

X QX LX

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MPLY dLY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

dY

 

 

 

 

 

one input - labour, then

Y Q L

 

and MRT

XY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Y

Y

 

 

 

dX

 

 

 

MPLX dLX

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PPC

 

 

PPC

 

LY

L

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LX

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Alternatively MRTXY could be calculated as a ratio of marginal costs: MRTXY

 

MPY

L .

MPLX

MC X .

MCY

102

A.Friedman ICEF-2012

Efficiency in output mix (allocation efficiency)

For allocation efficiency the rate at which producers can convert Y into X has top be equal to the rate at which consumers are willing to sacrifices Y for X: MRTxy MRS xy . Suppose this

is not the case and MRS xy MRTxy , then we should reallocate resources in favor of

good X production as consumers value additional unit of good X more than it costs. Indeed if we produce additional unit of X, the we have to reduce production of good Y by . Let us change the bindle of consumer A leaving bundle of agent B unchanged. Then A will increase his consumption of X by one unit and reduce consumption of Y by but he was willing to

sacrifice up to units of good Y for additional unit of X but actual reduction in consumption of Y was less, which means that he is better off, while welfare of B is unaffected. Thus initial allocation was not PO.

q

Y

Production

 

possibilities

 

 

 

 

frontier

 

 

Pareto efficient

Y

 

allocation

 

 

0

Y

q X

8.2 Equilibrium and efficiency

General equilibrium

A set of prices constitutes general equilibrium if

(1)every firm maximizes profits given its technology,

(2)every consumer maximizes utility subject to his/her budget constraint,

(3)demand equals supply for each commodity.

The First Fundamental Theorem of Welfare Economics

If there is a market for every commodity, optimizing behaviour of consumers and firms under perfect competition leads to a Pareto optimal allocation of resources.

Let us prove that general competitive equilibrium is efficient in consumption, production and output mix.

Equilibrium allocation is feasible as demand for each commodity equals supply.

In equilibrium MRS between the two equals the price ratio. As both consumers face the same prices we get equality of MRS in equilibrium. As each consumer maximizes his utility subject

103

A.Friedman

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ICEF-2012

to his

budget constraint, then MRS A

p

X

/ p

and MRS B

p

X

/ p , which implies

 

 

XY

 

Y

XY

 

Y

MRS A

MRS B

. It means that equilibrium allocation is efficient in consumption.

XY

XY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Y A

 

X B

OB

 

 

endowment

Budget set B

 

 

 

 

 

 

equilibrium

 

 

 

 

Y

 

 

 

Budget set A

pX / pY

O A X A

X

Y B

As there is no production, this is the only efficiency condition in the economy.

Each firm maximizes profit taking prices as given. Cost minimization is a necessary condition of profit maximization. Cost minimization implies that MRTS between capital and labour in

production

of each good equals the

ratio

of factors’

prices:

MRTS X

w / r

and

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LK

 

 

 

 

 

MRTS Y w / r , which

implies

MRTS X

MRTS Y , i.e. efficiency

in

production

takes

 

LK

 

 

LK

LK

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

place.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Then

from

consumer’s

utility

maximization

problem

MRS XY

pX / pY .

The

profit

maximizing by firm X implies

pX MCX and profit maximizing by

 

firm

Y implies

p MC . As a result efficiency in product mix takes place

MRT

 

 

MCX

 

 

 

pX

 

MRS

 

XY

 

 

 

 

 

XY

Y

Y

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MCY

 

 

 

pY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

.

Thus price system allows Pareto efficiency to be achieved in a decentralized setting. No one direct agents to choose particular combinations of inputs or consumption goods. Efficiency arises automatically as the outcome of a process in which each consumer and each producer observes prices and privately makes the decisions that maximize his or her well-being. This is the outcome of

The Second Fundamental Theorem of Welfare Economics

Usually in the economy we have many different PO allocations. Can any arbitrary PO allocation be attained by some set of competitive prices, assuming there is a suitable assignment of initial endowments? The answer to this question is provided by the second welfare theorem.

104

A.Friedman

ICEF-2012

Provided that all indifference curves and isoquants are convex to the origin, for each Pareto efficient allocation of resources there is a set of prices that can attain that allocation as a general competitive equilibrium.

~ ~ ~ ~

is Pareto efficient allocation, then it can be achieved as Walrasian equilibrium

If ( x , y ,K ,L )

with consumption goods prices

~

~

and input price

~

~

 

 

px

, py

w and

r .

 

 

 

 

~

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

p

MRS xyA

MRS xyB . Then the FOC for UMP of each consumer is satisfied.

1)

Choose

 

x

 

~

 

 

 

py

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Required incomes: I

A

 

~ ~ A

 

~ ~ A

and I

B

~ ~ B

 

~ ~ B

.

 

 

px x

py y

 

px x

 

py y

2)

 

~

~

y

 

 

~

~

y

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Choose w py MPL

and r

py MPK . Then FOC for firm Y are satisfied.

 

~

3) Efficiency in output mix implies MRS xyA MRTxy

p

~x

 

py

~

x

 

~

y

 

~

and

due

to efficiency

px MPL

py MPL

w

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MP y

 

MP y

 

MRTS x

 

MRTS y

or

L

 

 

K

. It means that

 

 

 

 

 

LK

 

 

LK

 

MP x

 

MP x

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

L

 

K

 

get FOC for profit maximization by firm B as well.

 

 

 

 

 

y

 

~

 

or MRT

 

 

MPL

 

 

px

. Thus

xy

x

~

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MPL

 

 

py

 

 

in

production

 

we

have

~

x

 

~

 

y

 

~

 

px MPK

py MPK

r

Thus we

The theory of second best

If equilibrium allocation is inefficient and the source of inefficiency (monopoly power or some taxes/subsidies) can not be eliminated then a second-best allocation may involve introduction of additional distortion that might balance the first one.

Consider an economy, where good Y is produced by competitive firm while X is produced by

monopoly. Consumers are price takers, so utility maximization implies

px

MRS k for each

 

 

 

 

py

xy

 

 

 

 

consumer. Profit maximization by firm Y gives py

MCy

and profit maximization by firm X

implies px MRx MCx . Finally efficiency

in

product mix

is violated as

MRTxy MCx / MCy MRx / py px / py MRS xyk .

It means that consumers value additional unit of good X more than it costs to produce. Thus there is misallocation of recourses: too few resources are allocated to production of X.

The problem can be solved by introducing another distortion that will balance the existing one either by impose tax on production of good Y or by subsidizing the production of X.

With

 

per unit

tax

on good

Y profit maximization requires py t MCy . Thus

MRT

 

 

MCx

 

MRx

 

MRS k

, if tax rate is chosen properly.

xy

 

 

 

 

 

MCy

 

py t

xy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

105

A.Friedman

ICEF-2012

9. ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION

Asymmetric information

Hidden characteristics

One side knows some characteristics of itself that the other does not

Adverse selection problem

(uninformed side of a deal gets exactly the wrong people trading with)

Hidden action

One side of a transaction can take an action that affects the other side but is not observable

Moral hazard problem

(a party to a contract engages in postcontractual opportunistic behaviour, i.e. take the wrong action)

9.1 Hidden characteristics in insurance market

Assumptions:

price taking,

two groups of customers: high-risk with probability of loss pH and low-risk with

probability of loss pL pH , the share of high risk 0 H 1,

customers have the same initial wealth w and have the same potential loss L ,

customers are risk averse, preferences are represented by EUFs with the same elementary utility functions but different probabilities of loss

insurance companies are risk-neutral,

there are no operation costs.

Equilibrium under symmetric information

As there are two different types of risk, identified by each agent, the there would be two different insurance markets: market for high risk insurance and market for low risk one.

Consider insurance market of type t H ,L .

Demand side analysis.

If insurance is fair ( pt ), then each agent wants to purchase full insurance as agents are risk averse.

If insurance is favourable ( pt ), then agents want to over-insure (if it is possible) or purchase full insurance (if overinsurance is not allowed).

Finally, if insurance is unfavourable ( pt ), the less that full insurance would be demanded. Supply side analysis.

As insurance companies are risk neutral, then each company would maximize expected profit.

106

A.Friedman

ICEF-2012

If insurance is fair ( t pt ), then insurance company gets zero profit per dollar of insurance sold and is willing to sell any quantity.

If insurance is favourable ( t pt ), then insurance company gets negative expected profit and is not willing to supply insurance at all.

Finally, if insurance is unfavourable ( t pt ), then each unit of insurance sold brings

positive profit and the solution of profit maximization problem does not exist (supply is unlimited).

Thus the case of unfavourable insurance can never be observed in equilibrium.

Favourable price does not equilibrate market as well since supply is zero, while demand is positive.

It means that equilibrium price has to be fair, i.e. each agent would be insured completely but pieces are different.

 

 

pL

 

 

cNL

1 p L

cL

cNL

w

 

 

 

 

 

 

w pL L

 

 

 

U L

 

 

 

p H

w pH L

 

 

 

pH

 

 

 

1

 

 

 

 

U H

cL

w L

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equilibrium under asymmetric information

Suppose that each customer knows his probability of loss, but insurance companies do not know.

As insurance companies are not allowed to differentiate between the two types of customers, there would be one market with uniform price.

Note, that price, equal to average probability of loss, will never equilibrate the market.

Indeed,

suppose pav

L

p

L

1

H

p

H

. This price is

in between

p

L

and

p

H

. As

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

pH ,

then insurance is favourable

for

high-risk agents

and they will

purchase

full

insurance (assuming that overinsurance is not allowed), i.e. zH L . Low-risk agents find this price two high and will purchase less than full insurance, i.e. zL L . As the quantity

demanded by good customers (low risk) is less that quantity demanded by high-risk, the resulting expected profit would be negative:

E

L

pav

p

L

z

L

1

L

pav p

H

L

L

pav p

L

L 1

L

pav p

H

L

 

L

pav p

L

1

L

pav p

H

L pav

L

p

L

1

L

p

H

L 0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Thus insurance company will never sell insurance under this price. As a result price of insurance goes up and two types of equilibrium may take place.

107

A.Friedman ICEF-2012

Note that, in general, equilibrium price should bring zero expected profit. As negative expected profit results in zero supply, while positive expected profit leads to unlimited supply.

Equilibrium of type 1 corresponds to pH . If low risk agents find this price two high and

prefer to stay at initial endowment, then only high risk stay at the market and purchase full insurance at fair price.

Thus only high risk agents may stay at the market, i.e. we deal with adverse selection problem.

Equilibrium of type 2 corresponds to pav pH . At this price high risk agents purchase

full insurance (as price is favourable) while low risk find the price unfavourable and purchase only partial insurance. Moreover losses of insurance company from high-risk agents are compensated by profit from low-risk so that total expected profit is zero.

Low risk

 

 

 

 

cNL

 

 

 

cNL

cL

cNL

 

 

cL cNL

w

w

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1

 

High risk

 

 

 

 

Low risk

 

 

 

 

p H

 

 

 

High risk

 

 

 

1 pH

 

 

 

 

 

 

w L

 

 

cL

 

w L

 

 

cL

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Type 1 equilibrium: p

H

 

Type 2 equilibrium: p av

p

H

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Whatever is the equilibrium, risk is allocated inefficiently.

As firms are risk neutral while agents are risk averse at efficient allocation insurance companies should bear all the risk, while agents have to be insured completely. But in equilibrium only high-risk agents are insured completely, while low risk take at least part of the risk.

Responses to adverse selection problem

Private response

group insurance plans (employers offer health insurance as part of benefits. Insurance company deals with group of people and so it faces average risk since agents can’t refuse from purchasing insurance)

targeted insurance rates (insurance premium is based on observable characteristic that is correlated with unobservable one)

signalling (response of informed side)

screening (response of uninformed side)

Government response:

108

A.Friedman

ICEF-2012

compulsory health insurance, compulsory public pension programs, OSAGO (as program is compulsory, insurance company deals with average risk)

information policies:

o prohibiting false advertising, o setting quality standards,

omandatory disclosure of certain facts (used car dealers are supposed to disclose known defects)

9.2Job market signalling (Spence model)

Assumptions:

two groups of workers: high-productive (productivity 400) and low-productive (productivity 200), groups of equal size,

partial employment is not allowed,

price of final product is normalized to 1,

utility is increasing in aggregate commodity ( y ) and decreasing in education ( e ),

the cost of acquiring additional unit of education for low-productive are higher than for high-productive (as a result indifference curves of low-productive workers are steeper)

AOG, y

yL

yHe

e

reservation utility is 0,

output is produced by labour only,

firms treat education as a signal of productivity,

workers choose education first, education is observed by firms

Suppose that firms treat any person with at least bachelor’s degree ( e 4 ) as a high productive one. As a result compensation is 200 if e e and 400 if e e . If under this compensation scheme high-productive maximises utility at e , while low-productive choose different point, then signalling is successful.

109

A.Friedman

ICEF-2012

AOG, y

uL

uH

400

 

 

 

Budget constraint

200

 

 

 

e

e

Conditions of successful signalling:

workers must be able to take some action observable to employers,

cost of such action must be lower for high-productive workers,

cost of action are less than benefit for able workers (he takes the action) but not for unable workers.

Screening

Screening deals with uninformed party’s attempt to sort the informed parties by offering special pricing schemes.

Screening requires some self-selection deviceuninformed party is offered a set of options, and the choice made by the informed party reveals his/her hidden characteristic.

Example. Low insurance premium in case of deductibles and high insurance rates for full insurance (Deductibles: if damage is below certain limit, than agent pays for the bill himself, if damage is above certain limit, then only damage in excess of this limit is compensated).

Low risk agents prefer insurance with deductibles with low insurance premium, while highrisk purchase expensive full insurance.

9.3 Asymmetric information: hidden actions

In situations of hidden action one side of a transaction can take an action that affects the other side but is not observable

Hidden actions may lead to moral hazard problem.

Moral hazard problem - a party to a contract engages in post-contractual opportunistic behaviour, i.e. take the wrong action.

Examples: worker may choose to shirk on a job; an insurance policyholder may fail to take enough care to prevent an accident

Moral hazard in insurance markets

In case of fire insurance an uninsured person can take some actions that reduce the probability of fire (i.e. by properly storing flammables, inspecting gas lines and so on). We will call these activities by word “care”. In the absence of insurance a person will choose the level of care by equating MB of care with MC.

110