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World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 235

South Korean Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization

 

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

12/13

13/14

14/15

15/16

16/17

17/18

18/19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Soybeans

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Hectares)

 

 

 

 

Area Harvested

85

77

67

65

65

66

66

66

66

66

54

 

 

 

 

 

(Metric Tons per Hectare)

 

 

 

 

Yield

1.59

1.60

1.61

1.63

1.64

1.65

1.66

1.68

1.69

1.70

1.71

 

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Metric Tons)

 

 

 

 

Production

135

123

108

106

107

108

110

111

112

112

92

Beginning Stocks

42

40

68

72

71

72

71

71

72

73

75

Domestic Supply

177

163

176

178

178

180

181

182

183

185

166

Crush

921

875

887

891

892

899

901

907

918

929

936

Food Use

425

443

447

446

446

446

446

446

447

449

450

Feed Use

51

48

44

43

43

44

44

44

44

44

39

Ending Stocks

40

68

72

71

72

71

71

72

73

75

76

Domestic Use

1,437

1,434

1,449

1,452

1,453

1,460

1,462

1,469

1,482

1,496

1,501

Net Trade

-1,260

-1,272

-1,274

-1,274

-1,275

-1,280

-1,281

-1,287

-1,299

-1,311

-1,335

Soybean Meal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

736

699

708

712

713

718

720

725

734

742

748

Beginning Stocks

180

180

278

301

309

312

312

313

315

321

326

Domestic Supply

916

879

986

1,013

1,021

1,030

1,032

1,038

1,049

1,063

1,074

Consumption

2,586

2,864

2,886

2,891

2,906

2,933

2,953

2,967

2,981

2,989

2,998

Ending Stocks

180

278

301

309

312

312

313

315

321

326

331

Domestic Use

2,766

3,141

3,187

3,199

3,217

3,246

3,266

3,282

3,302

3,315

3,329

Net Trade

-1,850

-2,262

-2,201

-2,186

-2,196

-2,215

-2,234

-2,244

-2,253

-2,253

-2,255

Soybean Oil

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

171

163

165

165

166

167

167

168

170

172

174

Beginning Stocks

30

30

32

32

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

Domestic Supply

201

193

197

198

197

198

198

199

202

204

205

Consumption

476

528

532

526

531

536

543

550

556

563

570

Ending Stocks

30

32

32

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

Domestic Use

506

561

564

558

563

567

574

581

587

594

602

Net Trade

-305

-368

-367

-360

-366

-369

-376

-381

-385

-390

-397

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

236 / World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook

Taiwanese Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization

 

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

12/13

13/14

14/15

15/16

16/17

17/18

18/19

Soybeans

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Metric Tons)

 

 

 

 

Production

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Beginning Stocks

90

100

116

123

128

131

134

137

141

144

148

Domestic Supply

90

100

116

123

128

131

134

137

141

144

148

Crush

2,075

2,079

2,097

2,113

2,134

2,157

2,179

2,200

2,222

2,244

2,266

Food Use

265

274

279

283

285

287

289

293

296

299

302

Feed Use

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Ending Stocks

100

116

123

128

131

134

137

141

144

148

151

Domestic Use

2,440

2,468

2,498

2,524

2,551

2,578

2,605

2,633

2,662

2,690

2,719

Net Trade

-2,350

-2,368

-2,383

-2,402

-2,423

-2,447

-2,471

-2,497

-2,521

-2,546

-2,571

Soybean Meal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

1,637

1,640

1,654

1,667

1,684

1,702

1,719

1,735

1,753

1,770

1,787

Beginning Stocks

20

20

25

27

29

30

31

31

32

33

34

Domestic Supply

1,657

1,660

1,679

1,695

1,713

1,732

1,750

1,767

1,785

1,803

1,821

Consumption

1,640

1,751

1,815

1,874

1,903

1,934

1,958

1,986

2,011

2,038

2,062

Ending Stocks

20

25

27

29

30

31

31

32

33

34

34

Domestic Use

1,660

1,776

1,842

1,903

1,933

1,964

1,989

2,018

2,044

2,072

2,096

Net Trade

-3

-116

-164

-209

-220

-233

-240

-251

-259

-268

-275

Soybean Oil

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

365

366

369

372

375

379

383

387

391

395

399

Beginning Stocks

16

18

19

18

17

18

19

21

22

23

24

Domestic Supply

381

384

388

389

393

398

402

408

413

418

423

Consumption

415

422

417

417

423

429

438

447

453

459

466

Ending Stocks

18

19

18

17

18

19

21

22

23

24

26

Domestic Use

433

441

435

435

441

448

458

470

476

483

491

Net Trade

-52

-58

-47

-45

-49

-51

-56

-62

-63

-65

-68

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 237

Rest-of-World Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization

 

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

12/13

13/14

14/15

15/16

16/17

17/18

18/19

Soybeans

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Hectares)

 

 

 

 

Area Harvested

4,430

4,565

4,715

4,852

4,985

5,119

5,249

5,380

5,509

5,637

5,764

 

 

 

 

 

(Metric Tons per Hectare)

 

 

 

 

Yield

1.44

1.45

1.47

1.48

1.49

1.51

1.52

1.53

1.54

1.55

1.56

 

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Metric Tons)

 

 

 

 

Production

6,385

6,641

6,922

7,186

7,446

7,708

7,968

8,230

8,492

8,754

9,015

Beginning Stocks

531

648

673

680

680

681

683

684

688

693

699

Domestic Supply

6,916

7,289

7,595

7,866

8,125

8,390

8,650

8,914

9,180

9,447

9,714

Crush

10,393

10,838

11,373

11,864

12,371

12,914

13,438

13,984

14,549

15,114

15,667

Food Use

3,546

3,631

3,665

3,679

3,699

3,718

3,737

3,762

3,792

3,822

3,851

Feed Use

2,149

2,271

2,346

2,397

2,454

2,509

2,564

2,625

2,691

2,758

2,822

Ending Stocks

648

673

680

680

681

683

684

688

693

699

704

Domestic Use

16,736

17,412

18,064

18,619

19,206

19,823

20,424

21,058

21,725

22,393

23,044

Net Trade

-9,820

-10,124

-10,469

-10,754

-11,081

-11,433

-11,773

-12,144

-12,545

-12,946

-13,330

Soybean Meal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

8,299

8,653

9,081

9,473

9,878

10,311

10,730

11,165

11,617

12,068

12,510

Beginning Stocks

426

486

645

722

763

783

794

803

820

847

873

Domestic Supply

8,725

9,139

9,726

10,195

10,641

11,094

11,524

11,968

12,436

12,915

13,383

Consumption

30,897

31,671

33,592

35,279

36,838

38,436

39,990

41,545

43,091

44,627

46,119

Ending Stocks

486

645

722

763

783

794

803

820

847

873

898

Domestic Use

31,383

32,317

34,315

36,042

37,621

39,231

40,793

42,365

43,938

45,501

47,017

Net Trade

-22,658

-23,178

-24,588

-25,847

-26,980

-28,136

-29,269

-30,396

-31,501

-32,585

-33,633

Soybean Oil

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

1,848

1,927

2,022

2,109

2,199

2,296

2,389

2,486

2,586

2,687

2,785

Beginning Stocks

521

567

569

546

523

521

520

524

528

530

534

Domestic Supply

2,369

2,494

2,591

2,655

2,722

2,817

2,909

3,010

3,114

3,217

3,319

Consumption

5,982

6,075

6,181

6,248

6,361

6,478

6,606

6,735

6,866

6,999

7,131

Ending Stocks

567

569

546

523

521

520

524

528

530

534

538

Domestic Use

6,549

6,644

6,728

6,771

6,882

6,998

7,130

7,263

7,397

7,532

7,669

Net Trade

-4,410

-4,150

-4,137

-4,116

-4,160

-4,181

-4,221

-4,253

-4,283

-4,315

-4,350

238 / World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook

World Rapeseed and Rapeseed Products

The world rapeseed price declines by 28% in 2008/09 because of large supplies and weaker demand. The price is expected to decline again by 10% next season because of stagnant consumption and large carryover. It then remains strong over the rest of the outlook period. The rapeseed meal price declines by 30% in 2008/09 and keeps declining through the middle of the projection period as supply outpaces demand. The rapeseed oil price plunges by 34% from the record high of 2007/08 but recovers throughout the outlook period, encouraged by demand for food and industrial uses. In the outer years of the projection, the rapeseed oil price stays close to that of sunflower oil.

Area expansion in Australia, Canada, the CIS, and Ukraine combined with strong yields boosted world rapeseed production by 16% in 2008/09. By 2018/19, world rapeseed production reaches 65 mmt. The largest producer, the EU, holds 36% of the market, while China possesses a 21% production share over the next decade. World consumption increases 21% by 2018/19 as biodiesel demand in the EU continues to expand. Net exports of rapeseed increase to 11.2 mmt over the baseline, with Canada positioned as the dominant net exporter. Ukraine’s market share increases, reaching 28% by 2018/19.

Canada’s rapeseed harvested area is expected to increase to 6.9 mha, pushing production to 13 mmt by 2018/19. Canada’s rapeseed and derived products are generally export oriented. By 2018/19, Canada’s rapeseed net exports increase to 6.4 mmt while its domestic crush grows by 36%. Canada remains the leading net exporter of rapeseed/canola in the world throughout the projection period, although its market share declines from 77% to 57% between 2007/08 and 2018/19. Canada is also a strong net exporter of rapeseed meal and oil. Over the next decade, Canada’s rapeseed meal net exports reach 2.8 mmt, accounting for 66% of world net exports. Rapeseed oil net exports increase 46% by 2018/19, contributing almost 85% of world net exports.

Ukraine emerges as an important net exporter of rapeseed throughout the baseline. Its production increased by 154%, to 2.8 mmt, in 2008/09 as a result of fast-expanding area (up by 56%) and bumper yields (up by 64%). Because of a lack of crushing facilities, more than 83% of the annual production enters the world market by 2018/19. Net exports more than double, to 3.2 mmt, over the next decade.

Over the outlook period, rapeseed remains the dominant oilseed crop in the EU. Harvested area expanded by 4% in 2008/09 from the large area of the previous season, driven by weaker competition from coarse grains. Total area expands to 7.3 mha by 2018/19. Yield improvements, along with area growth, drive production up to 24 mmt. Because of extensive demand for biodiesel, rapeseed crush is projected to grow on average by 2.1% annually for the remainder of the baseline. Consumption of rapeseed oil continues to grow, driven by biodiesel demand, and reaches 11 mmt by 2018/19. Despite the expansion in rapeseed production and crushing facilities, the demand for rapeseed oil outpaces the rapeseed crush volume. The EU imports increasing quantities of rapeseed oil throughout the baseline period. Net imports reach 1 mmt by 2018/19.

Chinese rapeseed net imports increase 30% in 2008/09 despite a 9% increase in production based on increased harvested area. Net imports increase by 107%, reaching 2.2 mmt, in 2018/19. Domestic crush expands at an average annual rate of 2%. Because of the growing livestock industry, rapeseed meal usage for feed increases by 22% over the outlook period, a demand satisfied mostly through domestic crushing. In contrast to the EU, China’s rapeseed oil consumption is primarily used for food. China’s net imports of rapeseed oil remain relatively low over the next decade.

World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 239

Rapeseed Trade

 

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

12/13

13/14

14/15

15/16

16/17

17/18

18/19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Exporters

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Metric Tons)

 

 

 

 

Australia

745

786

793

808

813

818

819

823

828

831

835

Canada

5,700

5,351

5,472

5,626

5,769

5,883

5,971

6,055

6,152

6,260

6,397

Other CIS

557

535

573

602

627

652

677

703

731

760

789

Ukraine

2,247

2,523

2,703

2,834

2,928

2,998

3,049

3,088

3,120

3,146

3,169

Total Net Exports *

9,249

9,195

9,541

9,869

10,136

10,350

10,517

10,670

10,831

10,996

11,190

Net Importers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China

1,049

1,021

994

1,012

1,209

1,393

1,542

1,665

1,799

1,971

2,172

European Union

1,450

1,221

1,520

1,752

1,723

1,674

1,624

1,589

1,554

1,486

1,421

India

96

96

96

96

96

96

96

96

96

96

96

Japan

2,350

2,495

2,481

2,499

2,521

2,534

2,549

2,561

2,570

2,581

2,588

United States

493

437

405

393

399

399

396

392

388

386

385

Rest of World

3,407

3,520

3,641

3,714

3,783

3,849

3,906

3,963

4,020

4,072

4,124

Residual

404

404

404

404

404

404

404

404

404

404

404

Total Net Imports

9,249

9,195

9,541

9,869

10,136

10,350

10,517

10,670

10,831

10,996

11,190

Prices

 

 

 

 

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)

 

 

 

 

Cash Vancouver

406

369

403

408

408

415

416

418

420

417

416

CIF Hamburg

463

420

460

466

466

473

475

477

479

476

475

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports.

† Countries included: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan.

Rapeseed Meal Trade

 

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

12/13

13/14

14/15

15/16

16/17

17/18

18/19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Exporters

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Metric Tons)

 

 

 

 

Canada

1,997

2,222

2,247

2,304

2,376

2,460

2,545

2,617

2,671

2,735

2,796

European Union

120

-93

-83

-8

30

58

59

63

64

37

-7

India

800

500

642

719

739

743

769

807

861

916

985

Other CIS

111

115

120

127

135

143

151

159

166

172

179

Ukraine

60

74

89

102

115

129

142

155

167

180

192

Total Net Exports *

3,092

3,196

3,248

3,294

3,435

3,569

3,703

3,842

3,980

4,099

4,211

Net Importers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China

100

-221

-102

0

36

69

91

128

167

177

173

Japan

33

-64

-48

-42

-39

-35

-37

-42

-51

-58

-60

United States

1,912

1,864

1,859

1,884

1,918

1,940

1,969

1,992

2,016

2,045

2,076

Rest of World

841

1,034

1,100

1,196

1,275

1,354

1,437

1,516

1,591

1,670

1,749

Residual

206

206

206

206

206

206

206

206

206

206

206

Total Net Imports

3,092

3,196

3,248

3,294

3,435

3,569

3,703

3,842

3,980

4,099

4,211

Price

 

 

 

 

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)

 

 

 

 

FOB Hamburg

211

199

193

187

188

191

195

197

198

198

197

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports.

† Countries included: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan.

240 / World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook

Rapeseed Oil Trade

 

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

12/13

13/14

14/15

15/16

16/17

17/18

18/19

Net Exporters

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Metric Tons)

 

 

 

 

Australia

42

45

44

44

46

47

49

51

54

56

58

Canada

1,410

1,630

1,660

1,708

1,761

1,821

1,881

1,930

1,968

2,011

2,054

Other CIS

55

87

94

102

110

117

125

131

138

145

152

Ukraine

60

69

80

90

100

110

119

129

138

147

156

Total Net Exports *

1,568

1,832

1,879

1,945

2,017

2,097

2,175

2,242

2,299

2,360

2,420

Net Importers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China

320

171

74

65

75

81

92

105

105

99

75

European Union

60

445

662

711

753

812

851

881

918

950

1,004

India

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

-1

Japan

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

38

40

United States

1,013

998

963

984

998

1,008

1,023

1,035

1,044

1,063

1,078

Rest of World

35

76

36

38

42

45

56

67

75

90

103

Residual

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

120

Total Net Imports

1,568

1,832

1,879

1,945

2,017

2,097

2,175

2,242

2,299

2,360

2,420

Price

 

 

 

 

(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton)

 

 

 

 

FOB Hamburg

927

975

1,101

1,155

1,184

1,218

1,237

1,256

1,282

1,295

1,311

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports.

† Countries included: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan.

World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 241

World Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization

 

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

12/13

13/14

14/15

15/16

16/17

17/18

18/19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Rapeseed

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Hectares)

 

 

 

 

Area Harvested

30,055

30,330

30,446

30,860

31,137

31,344

31,560

31,761

31,976

32,201

32,412

 

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Metric Tons)

 

 

 

 

Production

55,965

55,762

56,620

58,014

59,231

60,285

61,333

62,340

63,363

64,411

65,434

Beginning Stocks

3,091

5,177

5,383

5,361

5,392

5,431

5,434

5,450

5,477

5,514

5,555

Domestic Supply

59,056

60,939

62,003

63,376

64,623

65,716

66,767

67,790

68,840

69,925

70,989

Crush

50,446

51,909

53,280

54,741

55,905

56,933

57,916

58,864

59,834

60,832

61,850

Other Use

3,029

3,243

2,957

2,839

2,883

2,945

2,997

3,044

3,088

3,134

3,147

Residual

404

404

404

404

404

404

404

404

404

404

404

Ending Stocks

5,177

5,383

5,361

5,392

5,431

5,434

5,450

5,477

5,514

5,555

5,588

Domestic Use

59,056

60,939

62,003

63,376

64,623

65,716

66,767

67,790

68,840

69,925

70,989

Trade *

9,249

9,195

9,541

9,869

10,136

10,350

10,517

10,670

10,831

10,996

11,190

Rapeseed Meal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

29,964

30,851

31,660

32,524

33,211

33,817

34,398

34,958

35,531

36,122

36,727

Consumption

29,712

30,628

31,441

32,309

33,001

33,610

34,191

34,750

35,321

35,913

36,517

Ending Stocks

358

374

387

396

400

401

402

404

408

412

416

Trade *

3,092

3,196

3,248

3,294

3,435

3,569

3,703

3,842

3,980

4,099

4,211

Rapeseed Oil

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

19,790

20,345

20,889

21,466

21,929

22,339

22,729

23,105

23,490

23,883

24,283

Consumption

19,607

20,236

20,794

21,357

21,811

22,220

22,606

22,983

23,369

23,760

24,160

Ending Stocks

494

483

458

447

445

444

446

448

449

452

455

Trade *

1,568

1,832

1,879

1,945

2,017

2,097

2,175

2,242

2,299

2,360

2,420

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Kilograms)

 

 

 

 

 

Per Capita Consumption

2.89

2.95

2.99

3.04

3.07

3.09

3.11

3.13

3.15

3.17

3.19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* Excludes intraregional trade.

242 / World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook

U.S. Canola Sector Supply and Utilization

 

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

12/13

13/14

14/15

15/16

16/17

17/18

18/19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Canola

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Hectares)

 

 

 

 

Area Harvested

399

431

428

453

435

439

447

461

475

487

501

 

 

 

 

 

(Metric Tons per Hectare)

 

 

 

 

Yield

1.70

1.62

1.64

1.66

1.68

1.70

1.72

1.74

1.77

1.79

1.81

 

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Metric Tons)

 

 

 

 

Production

677

700

703

753

733

748

770

804

839

869

904

Beginning Stocks

157

166

162

160

165

166

167

167

166

165

165

Domestic Supply

834

866

866

913

899

915

937

971

1,004

1,035

1,069

Crush

1,000

1,026

1,041

1,068

1,072

1,080

1,093

1,114

1,138

1,161

1,187

Other Use

29

27

27

28

29

30

30

30

31

31

32

Ending Stocks

166

162

160

165

166

167

167

166

165

165

164

Domestic Use

1,195

1,216

1,229

1,262

1,267

1,276

1,289

1,310

1,334

1,357

1,383

Net Trade

-361

-350

-363

-349

-368

-362

-352

-339

-330

-323

-314

Canola Meal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

608

624

633

650

652

656

665

677

692

706

722

Beginning Stocks

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

Domestic Supply

614

629

639

655

657

662

670

683

697

712

727

Consumption

2,507

2,571

2,619

2,644

2,661

2,685

2,727

2,783

2,832

2,888

2,937

Ending Stocks

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

Domestic Use

2,513

2,577

2,625

2,649

2,667

2,690

2,733

2,789

2,837

2,893

2,942

Net Trade

-1,899

-1,948

-1,986

-1,994

-2,010

-2,028

-2,063

-2,106

-2,140

-2,181

-2,215

Canola Oil

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

391

401

407

417

419

422

427

435

445

454

464

Beginning Stocks

70

112

115

111

114

118

121

122

121

120

118

Domestic Supply

461

513

522

528

533

539

548

557

565

573

581

Consumption

1,359

1,316

1,307

1,373

1,398

1,421

1,435

1,452

1,469

1,486

1,500

Ending Stocks

112

115

111

114

118

121

122

121

120

118

115

Domestic Use

1,471

1,431

1,418

1,487

1,516

1,542

1,557

1,573

1,589

1,603

1,615

Net Trade

-1,010

-918

-895

-959

-983

-1,002

-1,009

-1,015

-1,023

-1,030

-1,034

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Note: Rapeseed varieties low in erucic acid and glucosinulates are produced under the name canola in Canada and the U.S. They are equivalent to 00 rapeseed varieties produced elsewhere.

World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 243

Australian Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization

 

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

12/13

13/14

14/15

15/16

16/17

17/18

18/19

Rapeseed

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Hectares)

 

 

 

 

Area Harvested

1,200

1,204

1,207

1,211

1,210

1,207

1,203

1,200

1,198

1,195

1,192

 

 

 

 

 

(Metric Tons per Hectare)

 

 

 

 

Yield

1.17

1.13

1.14

1.15

1.16

1.17

1.19

1.20

1.21

1.22

1.23

 

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Metric Tons)

 

 

 

 

Production

1,400

1,362

1,379

1,396

1,408

1,418

1,426

1,435

1,446

1,456

1,465

Beginning Stocks

239

329

328

332

335

337

338

339

341

342

345

Domestic Supply

1,639

1,691

1,707

1,729

1,743

1,755

1,764

1,775

1,787

1,798

1,809

Crush

540

551

556

561

568

574

580

585

591

597

602

Other Use

25

25

25

25

25

25

26

26

26

26

26

Ending Stocks

329

328

332

335

337

338

339

341

342

345

347

Domestic Use

894

905

914

921

930

937

945

952

959

967

975

Net Trade

745

786

793

808

813

818

819

823

828

831

835

Rapeseed Meal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

312

319

321

324

328

332

335

338

342

345

348

Beginning Stocks

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Domestic Supply

312

319

321

324

328

332

335

338

342

345

348

Consumption

308

319

321

324

328

332

335

338

342

345

348

Ending Stocks

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Domestic Use

308

319

321

324

328

332

335

338

342

345

348

Net Trade

4

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Rapeseed Oil

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

216

221

223

224

227

230

232

234

236

239

241

Beginning Stocks

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

Domestic Supply

221

226

227

229

232

234

237

239

241

244

246

Consumption

174

176

179

180

182

182

182

183

183

183

183

Ending Stocks

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

Domestic Use

179

181

183

185

186

187

187

188

188

188

188

Net Trade

42

45

44

44

46

47

49

51

54

56

58

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

244 / World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook

Canadian Canola Sector Supply and Utilization

 

08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

12/13

13/14

14/15

15/16

16/17

17/18

18/19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Canola

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Hectares)

 

 

 

 

Area Harvested

6,490

6,498

6,465

6,562

6,645

6,702

6,760

6,806

6,847

6,890

6,945

 

 

 

 

 

(Metric Tons per Hectare)

 

 

 

 

Yield

1.94

1.72

1.74

1.76

1.78

1.80

1.83

1.85

1.87

1.89

1.91

 

 

 

 

 

(Thousand Metric Tons)

 

 

 

 

Production

12,600

11,165

11,248

11,558

11,847

12,094

12,345

12,577

12,799

13,028

13,283

Beginning Stocks

1,248

2,998

3,112

3,113

3,128

3,141

3,129

3,121

3,126

3,143

3,157

Domestic Supply

13,848

14,163

14,360

14,671

14,976

15,235

15,473

15,698

15,925

16,171

16,439

Crush

4,550

5,070

5,148

5,278

5,419

5,575

5,729

5,861

5,966

6,084

6,198

Other Use

600

629

627

638

648

649

651

656

663

670

677

Ending Stocks

2,998

3,112

3,113

3,128

3,141

3,129

3,121

3,126

3,143

3,157

3,167

Domestic Use

8,148

8,812

8,888

9,044

9,207

9,352

9,502

9,643

9,772

9,911

10,042

Net Trade

5,700

5,351

5,472

5,626

5,769

5,883

5,971

6,055

6,152

6,260

6,397

Canola Meal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

2,700

3,009

3,055

3,132

3,215

3,308

3,400

3,478

3,540

3,610

3,678

Beginning Stocks

67

70

71

71

71

71

71

71

71

71

71

Domestic Supply

2,767

3,079

3,126

3,203

3,287

3,380

3,471

3,549

3,611

3,682

3,749

Consumption

700

787

808

828

839

848

855

861

869

875

881

Ending Stocks

70

71

71

71

71

71

71

71

71

71

71

Domestic Use

770

857

879

899

910

919

926

932

941

947

953

Net Trade

1,997

2,222

2,247

2,304

2,376

2,460

2,545

2,617

2,671

2,735

2,796

Canola Oil

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production

1,830

2,039

2,071

2,123

2,179

2,242

2,304

2,357

2,399

2,447

2,493

Beginning Stocks

63

73

73

73

73

73

73

72

72

73

73

Domestic Supply

1,893

2,112

2,144

2,196

2,252

2,315

2,377

2,430

2,472

2,520

2,565

Consumption

410

409

411

415

419

421

424

427

431

435

439

Ending Stocks

73

73

73

73

73

73

72

72

73

73

73

Domestic Use

483

482

484

488

492

494

496

500

504

508

512

Net Trade

1,410

1,630

1,660

1,708

1,761

1,821

1,881

1,930

1,968

2,011

2,054

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Note: Rapeseed varieties low in erucic acid and glucosinulates are produced under the name canola in Canada and the U.S. They are equivalent to 00 rapeseed varieties produced elsewhere.

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