OutlookPub2009
.pdf
WORLD SUGAR
296 / World Sugar: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook
World Sugar
World sugarcane and sugar beet harvested areas decline in 2008/09 as cane area, mainly in India and Pakistan, falls and beet area drops in the EU, the Ukraine, and the United States. Harvested area for sugarcane increases 19.2% by 2018/19 while sugar beet harvested area increases by 0.5%, because the reductions in beet area in the EU are offset by increases in other countries such as Russia. World sugar production (in raw sugar equivalence) declines by almost 5% in 2008/09 as production falls in several countries, most noticeably in India. Sugar consumption increases 3.2% in 2008/09, resulting in a deficit in the world sugar market. Total sugar production increases 22.6% and total consumption increases 19.9% over the decade. World sugar net trade increases 38.1% by 2018/19.
Despite the production shortfall in 2008/09, the world sugar price decreases by 4.9%, as global stocks decline by 10%. By 2018/19, the sugar price increases 14.9%, reaching almost 15¢ per pound. This sustained higher world price is the result of not only higher sugar imports in countries such as the EU and India but also increased production of ethanol from sugarcane, particularly in Brazil.
The major sugar-exporting countries—Australia, Brazil, Guatemala, South Africa, and Thailand—account for about 93% of world sugar trade in 2008/09. Brazil accounts for almost 60% of world trade, and it maintains the largest share of world trade throughout the projection period. In 2006/07, with the implementation of the CMO sugar reforms, the EU switched from a net exporter to a net importer of sugar. After completion of the restructuring period of the reforms in 2009/10, the EU is expected to become a major sugar importer.
Brazil continues its record crop production in 2008/09, with sugarcane production increasing by 63.9 mmt, or 13%, as crop harvested area increases 13.8%. Since about 60% of the sugarcane produced goes to ethanol
production, sugar production increases by only 1.9%. Sugar consumption increases by 2.2% in 2008/09. Sugar production and consumption increase 40.2% and 21.1%, respectively, while net exports reach 31.1 mmt by 2018/19, an increase of 53.5%.
Despite a 2% reduction in harvested area, Thailand’s sugarcane production increases by 0.9% in 2008/09 as yields continue to increase because of favorable weather conditions. Sugar production increases by 1% in the same year while sugar consumption increases 4.5%, with higher consumption from both households and industry. Sugar production, consumption, and net exports increase 18.4%, 19.5%, and 29.4%, respectively, by 2018/19.
In 2008/09, Indian sugar production is on the downward side of the country’s persistent cyclical fluctuations in production. Sugar production decreases by 20% because farmers shift area to more profitable crops while
consumption increases by 2.0%. Consequently, India becomes a net importer in 2008/09, with net imports of 700 tmt following net exports of 4.9 mmt in 2007/08. Sugar production and consumption increase 21.5% and 27.6%, respectively, by 2018/19. Net imports decline toward the end of the projection period, settling at about 4.1 mmt.
Beet harvested area in the EU decreased 17.2% in 2006/07 with the implementation of the sugar reforms. Beet area declined another 7.2% in 2007/08, and it falls 6.4% in 2008/09. Sugar production continues to decline, decreasing by 4.7% in 2008/09, while consumption increases 5.5%. In the first year of the reforms, the EU became a net importer of sugar. Net imports total 2.3 mmt in 2008/09. Sugar production decreases 6.6%, consumption increases 1.3%, and net imports reach 4.7 mmt by 2018/19.
Russia is the largest importer of sugar, accounting for 8.5% of world net trade in 2008/09. As its sugar production expands and net imports decline over the projection period, Russia is expected to account for 5% of world net trade by 2018/19. As a region, Asia is the largest importer, with China, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, and South Korea together accounting for 19.4% of world trade by 2018/19. Sugar production decreases by 0.7% in China in 2008/09 after increasing for two consecutive years. Net imports in Japan decline 20.3% by 2018/19, as Japanese sugar consumption declines by 3% while production increases by almost 23% over the decade.
World Sugar: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 297
Sugar Trade
|
08/09 |
09/10 |
10/11 |
11/12 |
12/13 |
13/14 |
14/15 |
15/16 |
16/17 |
17/18 |
18/19 |
Net Exporters |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
Argentina |
340 |
335 |
321 |
314 |
311 |
312 |
314 |
317 |
323 |
332 |
343 |
Australia |
3,891 |
3,804 |
3,887 |
3,935 |
3,983 |
4,028 |
4,078 |
4,129 |
4,177 |
4,226 |
4,278 |
Brazil |
20,250 |
25,702 |
27,353 |
28,086 |
28,673 |
29,226 |
29,656 |
30,157 |
30,660 |
30,883 |
31,076 |
Colombia |
540 |
470 |
408 |
365 |
344 |
336 |
337 |
342 |
348 |
356 |
363 |
Cuba |
660 |
638 |
627 |
636 |
655 |
678 |
706 |
734 |
761 |
793 |
826 |
Guatemala |
1,590 |
1,633 |
1,659 |
1,698 |
1,746 |
1,800 |
1,860 |
1,922 |
1,985 |
2,052 |
2,122 |
Mexico |
425 |
354 |
336 |
350 |
376 |
404 |
430 |
444 |
454 |
468 |
485 |
Philippines |
320 |
275 |
230 |
199 |
177 |
160 |
146 |
131 |
114 |
101 |
89 |
South Africa |
800 |
696 |
661 |
659 |
665 |
674 |
676 |
672 |
668 |
667 |
664 |
Thailand |
5,100 |
5,720 |
5,994 |
6,164 |
6,258 |
6,326 |
6,378 |
6,425 |
6,476 |
6,537 |
6,601 |
Turkey |
40 |
177 |
185 |
192 |
181 |
160 |
137 |
110 |
82 |
57 |
33 |
Total Net Exports * |
33,956 |
39,803 |
41,660 |
42,599 |
43,367 |
44,104 |
44,718 |
45,382 |
46,047 |
46,472 |
46,880 |
Net Importers |
1,365 |
1,374 |
1,404 |
1,431 |
1,463 |
1,497 |
1,532 |
1,568 |
1,605 |
1,641 |
1,678 |
Algeria |
|||||||||||
Canada |
1,400 |
1,462 |
1,503 |
1,520 |
1,536 |
1,547 |
1,556 |
1,571 |
1,590 |
1,604 |
1,617 |
China |
599 |
500 |
544 |
633 |
740 |
847 |
951 |
1,068 |
1,194 |
1,318 |
1,435 |
Egypt |
1,040 |
1,105 |
1,173 |
1,214 |
1,252 |
1,289 |
1,325 |
1,364 |
1,408 |
1,451 |
1,497 |
European Union |
2,299 |
4,409 |
4,324 |
4,389 |
4,442 |
4,497 |
4,547 |
4,589 |
4,628 |
4,669 |
4,703 |
India |
700 |
2,691 |
3,530 |
3,776 |
3,919 |
4,053 |
4,127 |
4,192 |
4,238 |
4,200 |
4,131 |
Indonesia |
2,200 |
2,428 |
2,545 |
2,621 |
2,685 |
2,744 |
2,808 |
2,869 |
2,928 |
2,982 |
3,037 |
Iran |
663 |
1,133 |
1,273 |
1,351 |
1,351 |
1,373 |
1,394 |
1,415 |
1,437 |
1,457 |
1,476 |
Japan |
1,340 |
1,289 |
1,265 |
1,240 |
1,214 |
1,190 |
1,164 |
1,140 |
1,117 |
1,093 |
1,068 |
Malaysia |
1,235 |
1,340 |
1,405 |
1,453 |
1,500 |
1,545 |
1,591 |
1,639 |
1,686 |
1,731 |
1,777 |
Morocco |
612 |
638 |
676 |
705 |
735 |
766 |
798 |
832 |
867 |
901 |
937 |
Pakistan |
625 |
685 |
828 |
927 |
1,024 |
1,103 |
1,179 |
1,261 |
1,343 |
1,412 |
1,480 |
Peru |
88 |
79 |
82 |
82 |
91 |
104 |
119 |
137 |
157 |
176 |
196 |
Russia |
2,900 |
2,902 |
2,937 |
2,878 |
2,813 |
2,738 |
2,659 |
2,584 |
2,508 |
2,416 |
2,327 |
South Korea |
1,230 |
1,366 |
1,366 |
1,370 |
1,380 |
1,391 |
1,402 |
1,413 |
1,424 |
1,433 |
1,444 |
Ukraine |
300 |
852 |
743 |
698 |
684 |
683 |
682 |
682 |
681 |
676 |
670 |
United States |
2,143 |
2,034 |
1,879 |
1,896 |
1,925 |
1,955 |
1,984 |
2,000 |
2,013 |
2,029 |
2,048 |
Venezuela |
400 |
354 |
358 |
368 |
383 |
398 |
413 |
425 |
435 |
442 |
449 |
Rest of World |
12,232 |
12,576 |
13,241 |
13,461 |
13,644 |
13,800 |
13,903 |
14,049 |
14,204 |
14,255 |
14,324 |
Total Net Imports |
33,956 |
39,803 |
41,660 |
42,599 |
43,367 |
44,104 |
44,718 |
45,382 |
46,047 |
46,472 |
46,880 |
Prices |
|
|
|
|
(U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) |
|
|
|
|
||
FOB Caribbean Price |
287 |
287 |
279 |
287 |
292 |
298 |
305 |
310 |
315 |
323 |
329 |
New York Spot |
466 |
500 |
483 |
480 |
484 |
488 |
492 |
491 |
487 |
485 |
484 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note: Sugar is in raw equivalent.
* Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports.
298 / World Sugar: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook
World Sugar Supply and Utilization
|
08/09 |
09/10 |
10/11 |
11/12 |
12/13 |
13/14 |
14/15 |
15/16 |
16/17 |
17/18 |
18/19 |
Sugar Beet |
|
|
|
|
(Million Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Area Harvested |
5.12 |
5.05 |
5.05 |
5.04 |
5.04 |
5.05 |
5.07 |
5.09 |
5.11 |
5.13 |
5.15 |
Yield |
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
44.25 |
44.65 |
45.31 |
45.68 |
45.96 |
46.19 |
46.40 |
46.61 |
46.80 |
46.99 |
47.18 |
|
Production |
|
|
|
|
(Million Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
227 |
225 |
229 |
230 |
232 |
233 |
235 |
237 |
239 |
241 |
243 |
|
Sugarcane |
|
|
|
|
(Million Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Area Harvested |
22.49 |
23.16 |
23.61 |
23.92 |
24.24 |
24.59 |
24.98 |
25.39 |
25.80 |
26.27 |
26.80 |
Yield |
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
71.72 |
72.21 |
72.84 |
73.53 |
74.25 |
75.00 |
75.77 |
76.54 |
77.31 |
78.10 |
78.89 |
|
Production |
|
|
|
|
(Million Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
1,613 |
1,673 |
1,720 |
1,759 |
1,800 |
1,844 |
1,893 |
1,943 |
1,995 |
2,052 |
2,114 |
|
Sugar |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Production |
158.55 |
164.68 |
168.94 |
171.89 |
174.94 |
178.11 |
181.25 |
184.57 |
187.92 |
191.05 |
194.31 |
Beginning Stocks |
42.56 |
38.48 |
38.12 |
38.26 |
38.27 |
38.26 |
38.25 |
38.22 |
38.22 |
38.22 |
38.18 |
Domestic Supply |
201.11 |
203.16 |
207.06 |
210.15 |
213.21 |
216.37 |
219.50 |
222.80 |
226.14 |
229.27 |
232.49 |
Consumption |
162.05 |
165.04 |
168.80 |
171.87 |
174.95 |
178.12 |
181.27 |
184.58 |
187.91 |
191.09 |
194.35 |
Ending Stocks |
38.48 |
38.12 |
38.26 |
38.27 |
38.26 |
38.25 |
38.22 |
38.22 |
38.22 |
38.18 |
38.14 |
Domestic Use |
200.53 |
203.16 |
207.06 |
210.15 |
213.21 |
216.37 |
219.50 |
222.80 |
226.14 |
229.27 |
232.49 |
Net Trade |
33.96 |
39.80 |
41.66 |
42.60 |
43.37 |
44.10 |
44.72 |
45.38 |
46.05 |
46.47 |
46.88 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
World Sugar: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 299
U.S. Sugar Supply and Utilization
|
08/09 |
09/10 |
10/11 |
11/12 |
12/13 |
13/14 |
14/15 |
15/16 |
16/17 |
17/18 |
18/19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Sugar Beet |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
407 |
467 |
480 |
472 |
467 |
466 |
465 |
465 |
464 |
464 |
465 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
Yield |
59.85 |
57.88 |
58.71 |
59.44 |
60.14 |
60.86 |
61.62 |
62.39 |
63.13 |
63.87 |
64.60 |
Production |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
24,331 |
27,032 |
28,212 |
28,065 |
28,102 |
28,346 |
28,628 |
29,034 |
29,323 |
29,638 |
30,029 |
|
Sugarcane |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
333 |
332 |
345 |
344 |
339 |
337 |
335 |
335 |
334 |
332 |
331 |
Yield |
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
79.40 |
77.00 |
78.00 |
78.48 |
78.96 |
79.55 |
80.20 |
80.92 |
81.56 |
82.12 |
82.68 |
|
Production |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
26,479 |
25,590 |
26,876 |
26,980 |
26,752 |
26,794 |
26,905 |
27,072 |
27,219 |
27,297 |
27,392 |
|
Sugar |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Production |
7,076 |
7,374 |
7,752 |
7,777 |
7,790 |
7,870 |
7,965 |
8,088 |
8,190 |
8,288 |
8,402 |
Beginning Stocks |
1,502 |
1,086 |
1,035 |
1,144 |
1,179 |
1,196 |
1,213 |
1,231 |
1,260 |
1,296 |
1,323 |
Domestic Supply |
8,578 |
8,460 |
8,787 |
8,921 |
8,969 |
9,066 |
9,178 |
9,319 |
9,450 |
9,584 |
9,725 |
Consumption |
9,635 |
9,459 |
9,522 |
9,639 |
9,698 |
9,808 |
9,930 |
10,059 |
10,166 |
10,291 |
10,423 |
Ending Stocks |
1,086 |
1,035 |
1,144 |
1,179 |
1,196 |
1,213 |
1,231 |
1,260 |
1,296 |
1,323 |
1,350 |
Domestic Use |
10,721 |
10,494 |
10,666 |
10,818 |
10,893 |
11,021 |
11,161 |
11,319 |
11,462 |
11,614 |
11,773 |
Net Trade |
-2,143 |
-2,034 |
-1,879 |
-1,896 |
-1,925 |
-1,955 |
-1,984 |
-2,000 |
-2,013 |
-2,029 |
-2,048 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
300 / World Sugar: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook
Algerian Sugar Supply and Utilization
|
08/09 |
09/10 |
10/11 |
11/12 |
12/13 |
13/14 |
14/15 |
15/16 |
16/17 |
17/18 |
18/19 |
Sugar |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
Production |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Beginning Stocks |
445 |
480 |
493 |
498 |
500 |
501 |
501 |
501 |
501 |
501 |
501 |
Domestic Supply |
445 |
480 |
493 |
498 |
500 |
501 |
501 |
501 |
501 |
501 |
501 |
Consumption |
1,330 |
1,361 |
1,398 |
1,429 |
1,463 |
1,497 |
1,532 |
1,568 |
1,605 |
1,641 |
1,678 |
Ending Stocks |
480 |
493 |
498 |
500 |
501 |
501 |
501 |
501 |
501 |
501 |
501 |
Domestic Use |
1,810 |
1,854 |
1,897 |
1,930 |
1,963 |
1,998 |
2,032 |
2,069 |
2,106 |
2,142 |
2,179 |
Net Trade |
-1,365 |
-1,374 |
-1,404 |
-1,431 |
-1,463 |
-1,497 |
-1,532 |
-1,568 |
-1,605 |
-1,641 |
-1,678 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Argentine Sugar Supply and Utilization
|
08/09 |
09/10 |
10/11 |
11/12 |
12/13 |
13/14 |
14/15 |
15/16 |
16/17 |
17/18 |
18/19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Sugarcane |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
296 |
297 |
298 |
298 |
299 |
300 |
301 |
303 |
304 |
306 |
308 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
Yield |
74.32 |
74.74 |
75.36 |
76.10 |
76.92 |
77.78 |
78.66 |
79.55 |
80.46 |
81.37 |
82.29 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
Production |
22,000 |
22,182 |
22,427 |
22,669 |
22,977 |
23,323 |
23,694 |
24,083 |
24,492 |
24,923 |
25,379 |
Sugar |
2,250 |
2,273 |
2,303 |
2,332 |
2,368 |
2,409 |
2,452 |
2,497 |
2,544 |
2,594 |
2,646 |
Production |
|||||||||||
Beginning Stocks |
103 |
113 |
118 |
122 |
126 |
129 |
132 |
135 |
138 |
141 |
144 |
Domestic Supply |
2,353 |
2,386 |
2,420 |
2,454 |
2,494 |
2,537 |
2,583 |
2,632 |
2,682 |
2,735 |
2,790 |
Consumption |
1,900 |
1,933 |
1,977 |
2,015 |
2,054 |
2,094 |
2,135 |
2,177 |
2,218 |
2,259 |
2,301 |
Ending Stocks |
113 |
118 |
122 |
126 |
129 |
132 |
135 |
138 |
141 |
144 |
146 |
Domestic Use |
2,013 |
2,051 |
2,100 |
2,140 |
2,182 |
2,226 |
2,270 |
2,315 |
2,359 |
2,403 |
2,447 |
Net Trade |
340 |
335 |
321 |
314 |
311 |
312 |
314 |
317 |
323 |
332 |
343 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
World Sugar: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 301
Australian Sugar Supply and Utilization
|
08/09 |
09/10 |
10/11 |
11/12 |
12/13 |
13/14 |
14/15 |
15/16 |
16/17 |
17/18 |
18/19 |
Sugarcane |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
390 |
395 |
397 |
397 |
398 |
399 |
401 |
403 |
405 |
406 |
408 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
Yield |
87.18 |
88.86 |
90.11 |
91.11 |
91.97 |
92.76 |
93.50 |
94.22 |
94.92 |
95.62 |
96.31 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
Production |
34,000 |
35,103 |
35,767 |
36,134 |
36,568 |
37,005 |
37,459 |
37,941 |
38,405 |
38,853 |
39,337 |
Sugar |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Production |
4,900 |
5,066 |
5,169 |
5,229 |
5,299 |
5,370 |
5,444 |
5,521 |
5,596 |
5,669 |
5,748 |
Beginning Stocks |
400 |
309 |
336 |
351 |
354 |
355 |
356 |
356 |
356 |
357 |
357 |
Domestic Supply |
5,300 |
5,375 |
5,505 |
5,580 |
5,653 |
5,725 |
5,799 |
5,877 |
5,952 |
6,026 |
6,105 |
Consumption |
1,100 |
1,235 |
1,267 |
1,291 |
1,316 |
1,341 |
1,366 |
1,392 |
1,418 |
1,444 |
1,469 |
Ending Stocks |
309 |
336 |
351 |
354 |
355 |
356 |
356 |
356 |
357 |
357 |
357 |
Domestic Use |
1,409 |
1,571 |
1,618 |
1,645 |
1,671 |
1,697 |
1,722 |
1,748 |
1,775 |
1,801 |
1,827 |
Net Trade |
3,891 |
3,804 |
3,887 |
3,935 |
3,983 |
4,028 |
4,078 |
4,129 |
4,177 |
4,226 |
4,278 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Brazilian Sugar Supply and Utilization
|
08/09 |
09/10 |
10/11 |
11/12 |
12/13 |
13/14 |
14/15 |
15/16 |
16/17 |
17/18 |
18/19 |
Sugarcane |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
7,400 |
8,160 |
8,535 |
8,772 |
8,978 |
9,204 |
9,468 |
9,735 |
10,011 |
10,333 |
10,695 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
Yield |
75.00 |
75.21 |
75.79 |
76.54 |
77.37 |
78.24 |
79.13 |
80.03 |
80.93 |
81.83 |
82.74 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
Production |
555,000 |
613,688 |
646,840 |
671,346 |
694,621 |
720,118 |
749,213 |
779,066 |
810,158 |
845,608 |
884,913 |
Sugar |
32,450 |
37,906 |
39,758 |
40,726 |
41,560 |
42,362 |
43,040 |
43,799 |
44,560 |
45,036 |
45,488 |
Production |
|||||||||||
Beginning Stocks |
465 |
765 |
825 |
836 |
837 |
836 |
835 |
833 |
832 |
830 |
829 |
Domestic Supply |
32,915 |
38,671 |
40,583 |
41,562 |
42,397 |
43,198 |
43,874 |
44,632 |
45,392 |
45,866 |
46,316 |
Consumption |
11,900 |
12,144 |
12,394 |
12,639 |
12,889 |
13,137 |
13,386 |
13,643 |
13,902 |
14,154 |
14,414 |
Ending Stocks |
765 |
825 |
836 |
837 |
836 |
835 |
833 |
832 |
830 |
829 |
827 |
Domestic Use |
12,665 |
12,969 |
13,230 |
13,476 |
13,725 |
13,972 |
14,219 |
14,475 |
14,732 |
14,983 |
15,241 |
Net Trade |
20,250 |
25,702 |
27,353 |
28,086 |
28,673 |
29,226 |
29,656 |
30,157 |
30,660 |
30,883 |
31,076 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
302 / World Sugar: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook
Canadian Sugar Supply and Utilization
|
08/09 |
09/10 |
10/11 |
11/12 |
12/13 |
13/14 |
14/15 |
15/16 |
16/17 |
17/18 |
18/19 |
Sugar Beet |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
12 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
Yield |
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
57.06 |
57.51 |
57.95 |
58.39 |
58.82 |
59.25 |
59.68 |
60.11 |
60.54 |
60.97 |
61.40 |
|
Production |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
709 |
717 |
729 |
735 |
742 |
748 |
753 |
760 |
767 |
775 |
784 |
|
Sugar |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Production |
85 |
86 |
87 |
88 |
89 |
90 |
91 |
92 |
93 |
94 |
95 |
Beginning Stocks |
49 |
24 |
32 |
46 |
59 |
72 |
83 |
95 |
107 |
119 |
131 |
Domestic Supply |
134 |
110 |
119 |
135 |
149 |
162 |
174 |
186 |
199 |
213 |
226 |
Consumption |
1,510 |
1,540 |
1,576 |
1,596 |
1,613 |
1,625 |
1,636 |
1,651 |
1,670 |
1,685 |
1,700 |
Ending Stocks |
24 |
32 |
46 |
59 |
72 |
83 |
95 |
107 |
119 |
131 |
143 |
Domestic Use |
1,534 |
1,572 |
1,622 |
1,655 |
1,685 |
1,709 |
1,730 |
1,757 |
1,789 |
1,816 |
1,844 |
Net Trade |
-1,400 |
-1,462 |
-1,503 |
-1,520 |
-1,536 |
-1,547 |
-1,556 |
-1,571 |
-1,590 |
-1,604 |
-1,617 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chinese Sugar Supply and Utilization
|
08/09 |
09/10 |
10/11 |
11/12 |
12/13 |
13/14 |
14/15 |
15/16 |
16/17 |
17/18 |
18/19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Sugar Beet |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
315 |
325 |
330 |
332 |
334 |
335 |
336 |
337 |
338 |
339 |
340 |
Yield |
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
35.24 |
36.29 |
36.96 |
37.46 |
37.89 |
38.29 |
38.68 |
39.06 |
39.43 |
39.81 |
40.18 |
|
Production |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
11,100 |
11,783 |
12,196 |
12,454 |
12,655 |
12,830 |
12,996 |
13,162 |
13,328 |
13,491 |
13,660 |
|
Sugarcane |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
1,620 |
1,640 |
1,657 |
1,668 |
1,678 |
1,687 |
1,696 |
1,706 |
1,715 |
1,724 |
1,734 |
Yield |
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
71.60 |
71.88 |
72.43 |
73.11 |
73.87 |
74.67 |
75.48 |
76.30 |
77.13 |
77.96 |
78.79 |
|
Production |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
116,000 |
117,873 |
120,015 |
121,956 |
123,955 |
125,983 |
128,037 |
130,137 |
132,270 |
134,417 |
136,655 |
|
Sugar |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Production |
15,785 |
16,132 |
16,481 |
16,786 |
17,092 |
17,399 |
17,710 |
18,028 |
18,350 |
18,675 |
19,014 |
Beginning Stocks |
3,297 |
3,346 |
3,318 |
3,275 |
3,219 |
3,160 |
3,097 |
3,031 |
2,965 |
2,899 |
2,831 |
Domestic Supply |
19,082 |
19,478 |
19,799 |
20,061 |
20,311 |
20,559 |
20,807 |
21,059 |
21,316 |
21,575 |
21,844 |
Consumption |
16,335 |
16,660 |
17,067 |
17,475 |
17,891 |
18,309 |
18,727 |
19,161 |
19,610 |
20,062 |
20,519 |
Ending Stocks |
3,346 |
3,318 |
3,275 |
3,219 |
3,160 |
3,097 |
3,031 |
2,965 |
2,899 |
2,831 |
2,761 |
Domestic Use |
19,681 |
19,978 |
20,343 |
20,694 |
21,051 |
21,406 |
21,758 |
22,126 |
22,509 |
22,893 |
23,280 |
Net Trade |
-599 |
-500 |
-544 |
-633 |
-740 |
-847 |
-951 |
-1,068 |
-1,194 |
-1,318 |
-1,435 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
World Sugar: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 303
Colombian Sugar Supply and Utilization
|
08/09 |
09/10 |
10/11 |
11/12 |
12/13 |
13/14 |
14/15 |
15/16 |
16/17 |
17/18 |
18/19 |
Sugarcane |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
405 |
404 |
401 |
399 |
398 |
399 |
401 |
403 |
406 |
409 |
412 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
Yield |
76.54 |
77.49 |
78.23 |
78.87 |
79.47 |
80.05 |
80.62 |
81.19 |
81.75 |
82.32 |
82.88 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
Production |
31,000 |
31,297 |
31,408 |
31,455 |
31,626 |
31,921 |
32,307 |
32,746 |
33,202 |
33,683 |
34,187 |
Sugar |
2,050 |
2,079 |
2,096 |
2,108 |
2,129 |
2,159 |
2,195 |
2,234 |
2,275 |
2,318 |
2,363 |
Production |
|||||||||||
Beginning Stocks |
168 |
63 |
31 |
26 |
29 |
36 |
43 |
50 |
57 |
65 |
72 |
Domestic Supply |
2,218 |
2,142 |
2,127 |
2,135 |
2,159 |
2,194 |
2,237 |
2,284 |
2,333 |
2,383 |
2,436 |
Consumption |
1,615 |
1,640 |
1,694 |
1,740 |
1,779 |
1,816 |
1,850 |
1,885 |
1,920 |
1,955 |
1,993 |
Ending Stocks |
63 |
31 |
26 |
29 |
36 |
43 |
50 |
57 |
65 |
72 |
80 |
Domestic Use |
1,678 |
1,672 |
1,720 |
1,769 |
1,815 |
1,858 |
1,900 |
1,943 |
1,985 |
2,027 |
2,072 |
Net Trade |
540 |
470 |
408 |
365 |
344 |
336 |
337 |
342 |
348 |
356 |
363 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cuban Sugar Supply and Utilization
|
08/09 |
09/10 |
10/11 |
11/12 |
12/13 |
13/14 |
14/15 |
15/16 |
16/17 |
17/18 |
18/19 |
Sugarcane |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
416 |
412 |
409 |
408 |
411 |
414 |
419 |
423 |
428 |
432 |
438 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
Yield |
27.75 |
27.98 |
28.25 |
28.53 |
28.82 |
29.11 |
29.40 |
29.69 |
29.99 |
30.28 |
30.58 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
Production |
11,532 |
11,522 |
11,559 |
11,650 |
11,832 |
12,055 |
12,304 |
12,565 |
12,823 |
13,095 |
13,384 |
Sugar |
1,350 |
1,351 |
1,358 |
1,371 |
1,395 |
1,423 |
1,455 |
1,489 |
1,522 |
1,557 |
1,594 |
Production |
|||||||||||
Beginning Stocks |
285 |
265 |
261 |
263 |
264 |
266 |
267 |
268 |
270 |
272 |
273 |
Domestic Supply |
1,635 |
1,616 |
1,619 |
1,634 |
1,659 |
1,689 |
1,722 |
1,757 |
1,792 |
1,828 |
1,866 |
Consumption |
710 |
718 |
729 |
734 |
739 |
744 |
748 |
753 |
759 |
762 |
766 |
Ending Stocks |
265 |
261 |
263 |
264 |
266 |
267 |
268 |
270 |
272 |
273 |
274 |
Domestic Use |
975 |
979 |
992 |
998 |
1,004 |
1,011 |
1,016 |
1,023 |
1,030 |
1,035 |
1,040 |
Net Trade |
660 |
638 |
627 |
636 |
655 |
678 |
706 |
734 |
761 |
793 |
826 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
304 / World Sugar: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook
Egyptian Sugar Supply and Utilization
|
08/09 |
09/10 |
10/11 |
11/12 |
12/13 |
13/14 |
14/15 |
15/16 |
16/17 |
17/18 |
18/19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
Sugar Beet |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
62 |
62 |
62 |
62 |
63 |
64 |
65 |
66 |
66 |
67 |
68 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
Yield |
50.73 |
50.98 |
51.36 |
51.80 |
52.27 |
52.76 |
53.25 |
53.75 |
54.25 |
54.75 |
55.25 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
Production |
3,145 |
3,145 |
3,185 |
3,238 |
3,304 |
3,375 |
3,451 |
3,528 |
3,606 |
3,685 |
3,766 |
Sugarcane |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
141 |
141 |
140 |
140 |
141 |
141 |
141 |
142 |
142 |
143 |
143 |
|
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
Yield |
98.62 |
99.08 |
100.19 |
101.53 |
102.95 |
104.40 |
105.86 |
107.32 |
108.78 |
110.24 |
111.70 |
Production |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
13,906 |
13,961 |
14,074 |
14,243 |
14,470 |
14,714 |
14,969 |
15,228 |
15,477 |
15,724 |
15,972 |
|
Sugar |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Production |
1,575 |
1,584 |
1,603 |
1,628 |
1,660 |
1,694 |
1,729 |
1,765 |
1,801 |
1,836 |
1,873 |
Beginning Stocks |
252 |
250 |
250 |
252 |
251 |
251 |
250 |
250 |
249 |
249 |
249 |
Domestic Supply |
1,827 |
1,834 |
1,853 |
1,880 |
1,911 |
1,944 |
1,979 |
2,015 |
2,050 |
2,086 |
2,121 |
Consumption |
2,617 |
2,689 |
2,774 |
2,842 |
2,912 |
2,983 |
3,054 |
3,130 |
3,209 |
3,288 |
3,370 |
Ending Stocks |
250 |
250 |
252 |
251 |
251 |
250 |
250 |
249 |
249 |
249 |
248 |
Domestic Use |
2,867 |
2,939 |
3,026 |
3,094 |
3,162 |
3,233 |
3,304 |
3,379 |
3,458 |
3,536 |
3,619 |
Net Trade |
-1,040 |
-1,105 |
-1,173 |
-1,214 |
-1,252 |
-1,289 |
-1,325 |
-1,364 |
-1,408 |
-1,451 |
-1,497 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
European Union Sugar Supply and Utilization
|
08/09 |
09/10 |
10/11 |
11/12 |
12/13 |
13/14 |
14/15 |
15/16 |
16/17 |
17/18 |
18/19 |
Sugar Beet |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
1,570 |
1,415 |
1,398 |
1,383 |
1,373 |
1,366 |
1,360 |
1,356 |
1,352 |
1,348 |
1,345 |
Yield |
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
64.33 |
66.47 |
67.65 |
68.32 |
68.73 |
68.99 |
69.18 |
69.34 |
69.47 |
69.58 |
69.70 |
|
Production |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
101,000 |
94,031 |
94,565 |
94,462 |
94,350 |
94,218 |
94,104 |
94,016 |
93,939 |
93,830 |
93,763 |
|
Sugarcane |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Hectares) |
|
|
|
|
||
Area Harvested |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
Yield |
|
|
|
|
(Metric Tons per Hectare) |
|
|
|
|
||
62.03 |
62.86 |
63.75 |
64.66 |
65.57 |
66.48 |
67.40 |
68.31 |
69.23 |
70.14 |
71.06 |
|
Production |
|
|
|
|
(Thousand Metric Tons) |
|
|
|
|
||
69 |
69 |
70 |
70 |
71 |
72 |
74 |
75 |
76 |
78 |
79 |
|
Sugar |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Production |
16,900 |
15,744 |
15,843 |
15,835 |
15,826 |
15,814 |
15,804 |
15,799 |
15,796 |
15,787 |
15,785 |
Beginning Stocks |
4,769 |
3,668 |
3,647 |
3,578 |
3,503 |
3,424 |
3,343 |
3,262 |
3,181 |
3,100 |
3,019 |
Domestic Supply |
21,669 |
19,412 |
19,490 |
19,414 |
19,329 |
19,237 |
19,147 |
19,062 |
18,977 |
18,887 |
18,804 |
Consumption |
20,300 |
20,175 |
20,235 |
20,299 |
20,348 |
20,391 |
20,432 |
20,469 |
20,505 |
20,538 |
20,570 |
Ending Stocks |
3,668 |
3,647 |
3,578 |
3,503 |
3,424 |
3,343 |
3,262 |
3,181 |
3,100 |
3,019 |
2,937 |
Domestic Use |
23,968 |
23,822 |
23,814 |
23,803 |
23,772 |
23,734 |
23,694 |
23,651 |
23,605 |
23,557 |
23,507 |
Net Trade |
-2,299 |
-4,409 |
-4,324 |
-4,389 |
-4,442 |
-4,497 |
-4,547 |
-4,589 |
-4,628 |
-4,669 |
-4,703 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|