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socializing social science Soll, Jack

somatic marker hypothesis soul

Sources of Power (Klein) Soviet Union

Spinoza, Baruch

Sports Illustrated

Stalin, Joseph

Standard & Poor’s (S&P) Stanford University Stanovich, Keith

statistics and statistical thinking; and accidents of sampling; base rates and, see base rates; Bayesian; and bias of confidence over doubt; causes and; chance in; deciding on size of sample; extreme outcomes and; faith in small samples; law of large numbers; law of small numbers; sample size decisions and; see also probability

status quo, defending Steiger, James H.

stereotypes; causal; about professions Steve the librarian

stock market stock picking stock portfolios

stock trading, insider Stone, Arthur stories, life

St. Petersburg paradox Strack, Fritz

strangers, assessment of

Strangers to Ourselves (Wilson) Streep, Meryl

strength, assessments of structured settlements

Stumbling to Happiness (Gilbert)

substitution; and mood heuristic for happiness; and 3-D heuristic success, uot

sum-like variables sunk-cost fallacy

Sunstein, Cass Super Bowl

supply and demand surgeons Surowiecki, James surprise

survey and gift experiments survival-mortality experiment symbols

System 1; characteristics of; conflict between System 2 and System 2; conflict between System 1 and; laziness of

Taleb, Nassim talent

task sets task switching Tate, Geoffrey

taxes; child exemptions and temperament

temptation Tenet, George terrorism Tetlock, Philip Thaler, Richard

theory-induced blindness therapists

thinking like a trader Thomas, Lewis

threats; possibility effect and 3-D heuristic

tickets; buying and selling of; sunk cost in time; use of

time pressure Todorov, Alex token experiment Tom W problem

“Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth” (Barber and Odean) transactions and trades

Traviata, La (Verdi) Truman, Harry

trustworthiness, assessments of

truth, illusions of Tversky, Amos

understanding, illusion of unique cases

University College London University of California at Berkeley University of Chicago

University of Michigan

University of Minnesota University of Oregon

unlikely events, see rare events unknown unknowns

utility; decision; experienced; indifference map and; injection puzzle and; meanings of

utility theory; certainty effect and; decision weights and probabilities in

vacations vaccines

validity: of clinical vs. statistical predictions; evaluating; illusion of Vallone, Robert

value; see also utility Vancouver Island Venn diagrams

venture capitalists victim compensation

vividness; of outcomes; of probabilities vocabulary: of girls vs. boys; simple vs. pretentious Vohs, Kathleen

vomit, effect of word Von Neumann, John voting

Wainer, Howard walking

wars

Washington Post, The wealth, see money and wealth weather

Weber, Ernste>

weight and piano playing, measuring Weiner, Howard

well-being; climate and; defining; disposition for; duration weighting and; see also happiness

West, Richard

what you see is all there is (WYSIATI); confidence and; curriculum team and; Julie problem and; optimistic bias and; premortem and; professorial candidate problem and; soldiers’ performance and; Tom W problem and

wheel of fortune “wicked” environments Wilson, Timothy Wimbledon tournament wine

Winter Olympics

Wisdom of Crowds, The (Surowiecki) witnesses’ evidence

Woods, Tiger

words: complex vs. simple; emotionally-loaded World Cup

World War II worry

WYSIATI, see what you see is all there is

X-rays

Xu, Jing

Yale exam problem

Yom Kippur War

Zajonc, Robert

Zamir, Eyal

Zeller, Kathryn

Zweig, Jason

Zwerling, Harris

Farrar, Straus and Giroux

18 West 18th Street, NewYork 10011

Copyright © 2011 by Daniel Kahneman

All rights reserved

Grateful acknowledgment is made for permission to reprint the following previously published material: “Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases” from Science, New Series, Vol. 185, No. 4157, copyright © 1974 by Amos Tversky and Dan"0%" te>X-rays Science. “Choices, Values, and Frames” from The American Psychologist, copyright © 1983 by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. Reprinted by permission of the American Psychological Association.

Grateful acknowledgment is made for permission to reprint the following images: Image courtesy of Paul Ekman Group, LLC. Image from “Cues of Being Watched Enhance Cooperation in a Real-World Setting” by Melissa Bateson, Daniel Nettle, and Gilbert Roberts, Biology Letters (2006); reprinted by permission of Biology Letters. Image from Mind Sights by Roger N. Shepard (New York: W.H. Freeman and Company, 1990); reprinted by permission of Henry Holt and Company. Image from “Human Amygdala Responsivity to Masked Fearful Eye Whites” by Paul J. Whalen et al., Science 306 (2004). Reprinted by permission of Science.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Kahneman, Daniel, 1934–

Thinking, fast and slow/ Daniel Kahneman.—1st ed. p. cm.

Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN: 978-0-3742-7563-1

1. Thought and thinking. 2. Decision making. 3. Intuition. 4. Reasoning. I. Title.

BF441 .K238 2011 153.4'2—dc23

2011027143

www.fsgbooks.com

*5, 47.

*Feature introduced in detail in part 4.

*Feature introduced in detail in part 4.

*Feature introduced in detail in part 4.

*Feature introduced in detail in part 4.

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