Daniel_Kahneman_Thinking_Fast_and_Slow

Harvard University

health: disease threats and; well-being and; risks and; see also medicine

health survey problem health violation penalties

Hebrew University of Jerusalem “Hedgehog and the Fox, The” (Berlin) hedonimeter

Heider, Fritz helping experiment Hertwig, Ralph Hess, Eckhard

heuristic, definition of

high school curriculum team hindsight: bias in; regret and historical events

hitchhiker question Hitler, Adolf Hogarth, Robin honesty box

“How Mental Systems Believe” (Gilbert)

Howto Solve It (Pólya) Hsee, Christopher hubris hypothesis Humans and Econs Hume, David

hunger hypotheses, testing

ideomotor effect

illusions: cognitive, see cognitive illusions; Müller-Lyer; 3-D imaginability, immediate gratification

incongruity independent judgments indifference map inheritances

injection puzzle

In Search of Excellence (Peters and Waterman) inside view

insurance

intelligence; in marriage; pretentious language and intensity matching

intention

interviews; in Israeli Defense Forces

Introduction to the Principles of Morals and Legislation

(Bentham)

intuition: acquisiitiodution of; common use of word; of experts, see expert intuition; predictive, see predictions and forecasts; as recognition; Simon’s definition of

Inventor’s Assistance Program

investments: stock portfolios; sunk-cost fallacy and

Invisible Gorilla, The (Chabris and Simons) irrationality

Israel, bombings in

Israeli Defense Forces: flight instructors in; interviews in; leaderless group challenge in

Israeli Ministry of Education

“Jabberwocky” (Carroll) Jacoby, Larry

Jencks, Christopher

joint evaluations; single evaluations vs. judgment heuristics

Judgment in Managerial Decision Making (Bazerman) judgments; basic assessments in; of experts, see expert intuition; intensity matching in; mental shotgun in; predictive, see predictions and forecasts; sets and prototypes in; summary, of complex information; see also decisions, decision making “Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases” (Tversky and Kahneman)

Julie problem

jumping to conclusions; bias for belief and confirmation in; halo effect in, see halo effect; suppression of ambiguity and doubt in; WYSIATI in, see what you see is all there is

Kaye, Danny

keeping score; mental accounts and; regret and; responsibility and

KEEP-LOSE study

kidney cancer

Killing Ground, The kitchen renovations Klein, Gary Knetsch, Jack know, use of word

knowledge; reconstruction of past states of kouros

Krueger, Alan

Kunreuther, Howard

Kuran, Timur

labor negotiations Lady Macbeth effect

language, complex vs. simple Larrick, Richard

Larson, Gary

law, see legal cases law of large numbers

law of small numbers; and bias of confidence over doubt laziness of System 2

Layard, Richard leaderless group challenge

leadership and business practices; at Google LeBoeuf, Robyn

legal cases: civil, damages in; DNA evidence in; fourfold pattern and; frivolous; loss aversion in; malpractice; outcome bias in leisure time

less-is-more pattern Lewis, Michael libertarian policies Lichtenstein, Sarah

life: evaluation of; stories in; satisfaction in; thinking about Linda problem

List, John loans

logarithmic functions

loss aversion; in animals; enhanced; goals as reference points in; in legal decisions; status quo and

loss aversion ratio

losses lotteries Lovallo, Dan Love Canal luck

lying

Malkiel, Burton Malmendier, Ulrike malpractice litigation Mao Zedong

march of historyuote> Markowitz, Harry

marriage; life satisfaction and

Mathematical Psychology (Dawes, Tversky, and Coombs)

matter, relation of mind to McFarland, Cathy

media, availability heuristic and medical school admissions medical survey problem

medicine; expertise in; malpractice litigation; overconfidence in; physicians; unique cases in; unusual treatments in

Mednick, Sarnoff Meehl, Paul meetings

memory, memories; associative, see associative memory; availability heuristic and, see availability; duration neglect in; experienced utility and; illusions of; and the remembering self; of vacations

mental accounts

mental effort, see effort mental energy mental shotgun

mere exposure effect messages, persuasive metaphors Michigan/Detroit problem Michigan State University Michotte, Albert

Miller, Dale

mind, relation of matter to Mischel, Walter miswanting

MIT

money and wealth: cultural differences in attitudes toward; happiness and; income vs. leisure; mental accounts and; poverty; priming and; utility of

Moneyball (Lewis)

mood, see emotions and mood Morgenstern, Oskar Moses illusion

motivation movies

“MPG Illusion, The” (Larrick and Soll) mug experiments

Mullainathan, Sendhil Müller-Lyer illusion multiple regression Mussweiler, Thomas mutual funds

names: complicated; of famous people narrative fallacy

narrow framing; disposition effect Naturalistic Decision Making (NDM) negativity dominance

negotiations neuroeconomics

NewYork Times, The

New York University 9/11

Nisbett, Richard

Nixon, Richard Nobel Prize norms

norm theory novelty

Nudge (Thaler and Sunstein) nutrition

Oakland A’s Obama, Barack obesity Odean, Terry

Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs one-sided evidence

Oppenheimer, Danny optimal experience

optimism; in CEOs; resilience and

optimistic bias; competition neglect; in entrepreneurs; overconfidence; planning fallacy; premortem and; risk taking and

Oregon Research Institute organ donation organizations

outcome bias outside view

ou>

pain; chronic; cold-hand experiment and; colonoscopies and; duration neglect and; injection puzzle and; memory of; operation experiment and; peak-end rule and; in rats

paraplegics parole

past: and confusing experiences with memories; hindsight bias and; regret and

pastness pattern seeking Pavlov, Ivan peak-end rule

persuasive messages

physicians; malpractice litigation and piano playing and weight, measuring plane crashes

planning fallacy; mitigating plausibility

pleasure; in rats Plott, Charles

poignancy political experts political preference Pólya, George Pope, Devin Porras, Jerry I.

positive test strategy

possibility effect: gambles and; threats and post-traumatic stress

poverty

precautionary principle predictability, insensitivity to

predictions and forecasts; baseline; clinical vs. statistical; disciplining; of experts, see expert intuition; extreme, value of; formulas for, see formulas; increasing accuracy in; low-validity environments and; nonregressive; objections to moderating; optimistic bias in; outside view in; overconfidence in; planning fallacy and; short-term trends and; valid, illusion of; see also probability

preference reversals; unjust premonition, use of word premortem pretentiousness language pricing policies

priming; anchoring as

t="-5%">

Princeton University

probability; base rates in, see base rates; decision weights and, see decision weights; definitions of; and disciplining intuition; less-is-more pattern and; Linda problem and; overestimation of; plausibility and; and predicting by representativeness; prior, insensitivity to; professional stereotypes and; of rare events, see rare events; representativeness and, see representativeness; similarity and; subjective; as sum-like variable; see also predictions and forecasts

probability neglect

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences professional stereotypes

professorial candidates

prospect theory; in Albert and Ben problem; blind spots of; cumulative; decision weights and probabilities in; fourfold pattern

in; frames and; graph of losses and gains in; loss aversion in; reference points in

“Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk” (Kahneman and Tversky)

prototypes psychiatric patients

psychological immune system psychology, teaching psychopathic charm psychophysics psychotherapists

pundits; see also expert intuition punishments: altruistic; rewards and; self-administered

pupil dilation

questionnaire and gift experiments questions; substitution of, see substitution

Rabin, Matthew radiologists rafters, skilled rail projects

randomness and chance; misconceptions of Random Walk Down Wall Street, A (Malkiel)

rare events; overestimation of; regret and rational-agent model

rationality

Rationality and the Reflective Mind (Stanovich) ">rats

Reagan, Ronald reciprocal priming recognition

recognition-primed decision (RPD) model Redelmeier, Don

reference class forecasting

regression to the mean; causal interpretations and; correlation and; difficulty in grasping; two-systems view of

“Regression towards Mediocrity in Hereditary Stature” (Galton) regret

religion remembering self

Remote Association Test (RAT) reorganizations in companies repetition

representativeness; base rates and; see also base rates; in Linda problem; predicting by; professional stereotypes and; sins of; in Tom W problem

research: artifacts in; hypothesis testing in; optimism in resemblance; in predictions

resilience responsibility

retrievability of instances reversals; unjust

rewards; self-administered Rice, Condoleezza

risk assessment; aggregation and; broad framing in; decision weights in, see decision weights; denominator neglect and; by experts; and format of risk expression; fourfold pattern in; for health risks; hindsight bias and; laws and regulations governing; loss aversion in; narrow framing in; optimistic bias and; policies for; possibility effect and; precautionary principle and; probability neglect and; public policies and; small risks and; of technologies; terrorism and; see also gambles

risk aversion risk seeking

“Robust Beauty of Improper Linear Models in Decision Making, The” (Dawes)

Rosett, Richard Rosenzweig, Philip Royal Dutch Shell Royal Institution Rozin, Paul

< Philip

Rumsfeld, Donald

Russell Sage Foundation Russia

Saddam Hussein sadness

safety; health risks and; health violation penalties and; precautionary principle and

samples, sampling: accidents of; and bias of confidence over doubt; law of large numbers; law of small numbers; size of; small, exaggerated faith in

Samuelson, Paul

San Francisco Exploratorium Savage, Jimmie

Save More Tomorrow Schelling, Thomas Schkade, David school size

Schwarz, Norbert Schweitzer, Maurice

Science

Scientific American scientific controversies

scientific research: artifacts in; hypothesis testing in; optimism in Scottish Parliament

self-control self-criticism Seligman, Martin

selves; experiencing; remembering sets

Shafir, Eldar similarity judgments Simmel, Mary-Ann Simon, Herbert Simons, Daniel Simpson, O. J.

single evaluations; joint evaluations vs. ski jump event

skills; acquisition of; environment of; feedback and practice in; illusions of; in stock-picking

Slovic, Paul

Slovic, Roz slow thinking

<="0>

smiles, in face reading

smiling; availability heuristic and Smith, Vernon