OutlookPub2009
.pdf
Charts and Price Projections: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 25
World Rice Stocks-to-Use Ratio Versus Price
Dollars per Metric Ton |
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Percent |
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600 |
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40 |
500 |
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35 |
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30 |
400 |
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25 |
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300 |
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20 |
200 |
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15 |
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10 |
100 |
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5 |
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0 |
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0 |
1998/99 |
2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
FOB Bangkok 100% B Grade 
Stocks-to-Use Ratio
World Rice Net Exports
Thousand Metric Tons
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000 |
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0 |
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1998/99 |
2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
India 
Pakistan 
Thailand 
U.S. 
Vietnam
26 / Charts and Price Projections: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook
World Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization
Million Metric Tons |
Million Metric Tons |
1200 |
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140 |
1000 |
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120 |
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800 |
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100 |
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80 |
600 |
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60 |
400 |
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40 |
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200 |
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20 |
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2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
Production |
Consumption |
Net Trade |
World Corn Stocks-to-Use Ratio Versus Price
Dollars per Metric Ton |
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Percent |
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250 |
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35 |
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30 |
200 |
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25 |
150 |
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20 |
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100 |
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15 |
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50 |
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5 |
0 |
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0 |
2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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U.S. FOB Gulf Price |
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Stocks-to-Use Ratio |
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Charts and Price Projections: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 27
World Corn Net Trade and U.S. Market Share
Million Metric Tons |
Percent |
100 |
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80 |
80 |
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60 |
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60 |
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40 |
40 |
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20 |
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20 |
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0 |
2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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Net Trade |
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U.S. Market Share |
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World Barley and Sorghum Net Trade and Prices
Million Metric Tons |
U.S. Dollar per Metric Ton |
30 |
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250 |
25 |
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200 |
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20 |
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150 |
15 |
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100 |
10 |
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5 |
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50 |
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0 |
2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
Barley Net Trade 
Sorghum Net Trade 
Barley Price, Canada Feed FOB 
Sorghum Price, FOB Gulf
28 / Charts and Price Projections: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook
World Soybean Area Harvested and Price
Million Hectares
120
100
80
60 
40
20 |
0 |
Dollars per Metric Ton
600
500
400
300
200
100 |
0 |
1998/99 |
2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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Argentina |
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Brazil |
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China |
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U.S. |
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Other |
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Soybean Price, Rotterdam |
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World Soybean Net Trade
Million Metric Tons
120 |
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80 |
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40 |
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0 |
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-40 |
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-80 |
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-120 |
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2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
U.S. |
Argentina |
Brazil |
Paraguay |
Other Exports |
EU |
China |
Other Imports |
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Charts and Price Projections: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 29
World Soybean Crush
Million Metric Tons
300
250
200
150
100 |
50 |
0 |
2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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Argentina |
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Brazil |
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China |
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EU |
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India |
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Japan |
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U.S. |
Other |
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World Soybean Meal Net Trade
Million Metric Tons
80 |
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60 |
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40 |
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0 |
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-20 |
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-40 |
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-60 |
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-80 |
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2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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U.S. |
Argentina |
Brazil |
Other Exports |
EU |
Japan |
Mexico |
Other Imports |
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30 / Charts and Price Projections: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook
World Soybean Oil Net Trade
Million Metric Tons
15 |
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10 |
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5 |
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0 |
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-5 |
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-10 |
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-15 |
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2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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Argentina |
Brazil |
U.S. |
Other Exports |
China |
India |
Other Imports |
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Soybean Oil Per Capita Consumption in Selected Countries
Kilograms per Person
30 |
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25 |
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20 |
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15 |
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10 |
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5 |
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0 |
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2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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China |
India |
Japan |
U.S. |
EU |
Taiwan |
Brazil |
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Charts and Price Projections: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 31
World Rapeseed Area Harvested and Price
Million Hectares |
Dollars per Metric Ton |
35 |
700 |
30 |
600 |
25 |
500 |
20 |
400 |
15 |
300 |
10 |
200 |
5 |
100 |
0 |
2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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Australia |
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Canada |
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China |
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EU |
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India |
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Other |
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Rapeseed Price, Hamburg |
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World Rapeseed Net Trade
Million Metric Tons
12 |
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8 |
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4 |
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0 |
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-4 |
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-8 |
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-12 |
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2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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Canada |
Other CIS |
Ukraine |
Other Exports |
China |
EU |
Japan |
Other Imports |
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32 / Charts and Price Projections: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook
World Rapeseed Meal Net Trade
Million Metric Tons
6 |
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4 |
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2 |
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0 |
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-2 |
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-4 |
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-6 |
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2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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Canada |
Ukraine |
India |
Other Exports |
China |
U.S. |
Other Imports |
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World Rapeseed Oil Net Trade
Million Metric Tons
3.0 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
-1.0 |
-2.0 |
-3.0 |
2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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Australia |
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Canada |
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Ukraine |
Other Exports |
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China |
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EU |
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U.S. |
Other Imports |
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Charts and Price Projections: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook / 33 |
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World Sunflower Area Harvested and Price |
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Million Hectares |
Dollars per Metric Ton |
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30 |
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800 |
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700
25
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600 |
20 |
500 |
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15 |
400 |
10 |
300 |
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200 |
5 |
100 |
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0 |
0 |
2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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Argentina |
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China |
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EU |
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Other CIS |
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Ukraine |
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Other |
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Sunflower Price, CIF Lower Rhine |
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World Sunflower Net Trade
Million Metric Tons
3 |
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2 |
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1 |
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0 |
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-1 |
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-2 |
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-3 |
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2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
Argentina 
Other CIS 
Ukraine 
Other Exports 
EU 
Other Imports
34 / Charts and Price Projections: FAPRI 2009 Agricultural Outlook
World Sunflower Meal Net Trade
Million Metric Tons
6
4
2 |
0 |
-2 |
-4
-6
2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
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2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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Argentina |
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Other CIS |
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Ukraine |
Other Exports |
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EU |
Other Imports |
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World Sunflower Oil Net Trade
Million Metric Tons
6
4
2 |
0 |
-2 |
-4
-6
2000/01 |
2002/03 |
2004/05 |
2006/07 |
2008/09 |
2010/11 |
2012/13 |
2014/15 |
2016/17 |
2018/19 |
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Argentina |
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Other CIS |
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Ukraine |
Other Exports |
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China |
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EU |
Other Imports |
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