- •THE BANK OF THE FUTURE
- •The ABCs of Digital Disruption in Finance
- •Contents
- •The Bank of the Future
- •A is for Artificial Intelligence and Automation
- •B Is for BigTech, Especially in Asia and Emerging Markets
- •C Is for Core Banking, Cloud, and Challengers
- •Where in the World?
- •Disruption by Product and Geography
- •Re-imaging versus Re-engineering Finance
- •Bank of the Future
- •Interview with Exponential View: Azeem Azhar
- •About Azeem Azhar
- •Evolution of AI – Why Now?
- •Industrialization of AI – Spending and Investing More
- •Banking & Securities Is the Largest Non-Tech Industry for AI
- •Interview with Citi Ventures: Ramneek Gupta
- •About Citi Ventures
- •About Ramneek Gupta
- •AI-driven Applications in Banking
- •Use Cases in Consumer Banking
- •Interview with Active.Ai: Ravi Shankar
- •About Active.AI
- •About Ravi Shankar
- •Use Cases in Commercial Banking
- •Use Cases in Capital Markets Banking
- •Interview with Behavox: Erkin Adylov
- •About Behavox
- •About Erkin Adylov
- •AI Enables FTE Reduction, Optimizes Distribution
- •Chinese BigTech and Financial Services
- •[A] Ant Financial Builds an Empire of Services
- •[B] Tencent's WeChat Is China's App for Everything
- •Interview with Kapronasia: Zennon Kapron
- •About Kapronasia
- •About Zennon Kapron
- •China and India on Different FinTech Paths
- •India on the Frontline of Digital Finance
- •India's Transformation Towards Digital
- •Google's m-wallet (Tez) Sees Early Success
- •New RBI Directive Could Threaten Digital Payments
- •About Aditya Menon
- •GAFAs at the Gate with PSD2; But Do Bank Clients Care?
- •What is PSD2?
- •The New Banking Model under PSD2
- •U.K.'s Open Banking Standard
- •Impact of PSD 2/Open Banking on Banks – Risk of Disintermediation?
- •Chapter C: Core Banking, Cloud and Challengers
- •Challenge of Legacy Core Banking Systems
- •Banks Face Multiple Pain Points
- •Do Banks Need To Update Core Systems?
- •IT Change: Incumbents, Neobanks and Vendors’ Views
- •[A] The Incumbent Banks’ View
- •[B] The Neobanks’ View
- •Case Study: Leveris Banking Core
- •Journey to the Cloud
- •Cloud Ecosystem – The Vision for Hardware, Applications and Data
- •There Are Many Different Ways to Move Applications to the Cloud…
- •Some Application Workloads Are Easier to Move to Cloud than Others
- •And Core Banking Applications Are the Hardest to Address
- •Interview with Ping An: Jonathan Larsen
- •About Jonathan Larsen
- •Chapter D: Digital Assets
- •Bitcoin, Blockchain and All Things Crypto
- •Internet vs. Blockchain Financial Value Capture
- •2017: The Year of Crypto
- •Who is Buying Bitcoins?
- •2018: The Year of Second-Layer Protocols?
- •About PwC – FinTech and RegTech Team
- •About Henri Arslanian
- •Blockchain Applications
- •A.] The Power of Smart Contracts
- •B.] KYC-Chain and Digital Identity
- •C.] Reg-Tech
- •D.] ICOs – A Risky New Paradigm?
- •Regulatory approach to ICOs differ significantly across countries
- •Regulatory Approaches to Bitcoin
- •About King & Wood Mallesons
- •About Urszula McCormack
- •What is Ripple? How is it Different?
- •Ripple XRP – The Cryptocurrency
- •Banks and the Ripple Protocol
- •How Are Central Bank Cryptocurrencies Different
- •What Are Central Bankers Saying on CBCCs?
- •Epilogue: Emerging Market BRATs beyond China and India
- •Introducing the BRATs
- •A.] Share Unique Banking Sector Characteristics
- •B.] Favorable Demographics
- •C.] Technology Enablers
- •FinTech Investments Trends
- •About Vostok Emerging Finance
- •About David Nangle
- •NOW / NEXT
- •Contents
- •Investment summary
- •Reporting schedule
- •Earnings revisions
- •Reporting trends: 2H18E vs 2H17
- •Reporting trends 2H18E vs 1H18
- •Results previews
- •Commodity price and exchange rate forecasts
- •Peer comp charts
- •African Rainbow Minerals
- •Alrosa
- •Anglo American
- •Assore
- •Exxaro
- •Glencore
- •Kumba Iron ore
- •NorNickel
- •Rio Tinto
- •Rusal
- •Vale
- •Gold Fields
- •Harmony
- •Polymetal
- •Anglo American Platinum
- •Lonmin
- •Northam
- •Royal Bafokeng Platinum
- •Acron
- •PhosAgro
- •Evraz
- •Disclosures appendix
vk.com/id446425943 |
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March 2018 |
Citi GPS: Global Perspectives & Solutions |
Chapter C: Core Banking, Cloud and Challengers
Banks invested in the first mainframe computers as far back as the 1950-60s. Over 50 years and a myriad of computing innovations later, the majority of the incumbent banks still use legacy systems that are mainframe based, often running outdated COBOL language. Admittedly, while replacing these core banking systems has proved to be a costly and time-consuming affair as can be testified by the Australian banks, which have led the way, the status quo is not an option.
We are of the opinion that core infrastructure overhauls will only gain importance over next few years as legacy bank IT systems have arguably reached the point of redundancy as complex integration of outdated systems is becoming too costly. Factors likely to drive greater IT investments include: (1) New and improved tech, such as cloud adoption, present more options to bank CEOs; (2) Greater focus on data quality, accessibility, standardization, and utilization; (3) Rising customer expectations, which could accelerate with open banking initiatives; (4) A major cyber breach; and (5) Even greater investor focus on cost savings.
IT expenses as a percentage of revenues are notably higher in the Banking industry than any other (~9%) and almost 2-3x those of other major industries. Our bottomup analysis indicates that approximately. 15-25% of banks' annual costs are allocated to IT.
Figure 55. Median IT Expense as % of Business Entity Revenue (2016) |
Figure 56. Nearly 15-25% of Banks’ Annual Budget Allocated to IT, 2016 |
8.7% |
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5.2% |
4.2% |
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3.4% |
3.4% |
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3.1% |
3.0% |
2.4% |
2.4% |
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1.7% |
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1.1% |
1.1% |
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Banking |
High Tech |
Utilities |
Insurance |
Pharma, Healthcare & Medical Devices |
Financial Services |
Food, Beverage & Leisure Automotice, Aviation & Transport |
Consumer Products, Srvs & Retail Mfg, Chemicals & Agriculture |
Metals, Mining, Building & Constr. |
Energy |
# Total IT expenditure includes operating expenditure and IT capital expenditure Source: Citi Research, CEB, CEB IT Budget Benchmark, Arlington VA, 2016, p.6
IT Operating Expenditure IT Capex IT Personnel Compensation
7%
8%
5%
2%
11%
7%
Low-End |
High-End |
*Based primarily on banks in the EU, U.S., and Australia Source: Citi Research
Australian banks are the biggest spenders on tech and communication amongst the developed market banks, with non-staff costs at c.11% of their total expenses, followed by Europe and the U.S. Interestingly, Australian banks have also increased their IT spend as a percent of total costs since 2010, as have the Americans, unlike European banks that have been on a starvation diet during a period of rolling crises and now face a period of potential catch-up spending.
© 2018 Citigroup
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