Добавил:
Upload Опубликованный материал нарушает ваши авторские права? Сообщите нам.
Вуз: Предмет: Файл:

akgunduz

.pdf
Скачиваний:
2
Добавлен:
13.03.2016
Размер:
917.24 Кб
Скачать

Contents

xi

7 Summary and Conclusions

133

7.1Chapter Summaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133 7.1.1 Chapter 2: Child care prices and female employment . . . . 133

7.1.2 Chapter 3: Parental leave and female labor market outcomes 135

7.1.3Chapter 4: Child care quality and competition . . . . . . . . 136

7.1.4

Chapter 5: Child care quality and subsidies . . . . . . . . .

137

7.1.5

Chapter 6: Child care quality and female employment . . .

138

7.2 Policy implications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

139

7.2.1Implication I . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139

7.2.2Implication II . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139

7.2.3Implication III . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 140

7.2.4 Implication IV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141

7.3Limitations and future research . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141

References

145

Nederlandse Samenvatting

161

Curriculum Vitae

165

U.S.E. Dissertation Series

167

List of Tables

2.1

Literature Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

18

2.2

Determinants of Elasticity Sizes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

25

2.3

OLS Estimates with Robust Standard Errors . . . . . . . . . . . . .

30

3.1

Employment/Population Ratios of Women and Weighted Leave . . .

45

3.2

Working Hours of Women and Weighted Leave . . . . . . . . . . .

46

3.3

Wages and Occupations of Women and Weighted Leave . . . . . . .

47

3.4

Parental and Maternity Leave Duration/Benefits in 2008 . . . . . .

51

3.5

Parental leave and employment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

52

3.6

Parental leave and average working hours . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

53

3.7

Parental leave, wages and occupational segregation . . . . . . . . .

53

4.1Average Process Quality in Pre-Cool Daycare Centers, 2010-2011 . 64

4.2

Summary Statistics of Dutch Daycare Centers . . . . . . . . . . . .

67

4.3

Determinants of child care quality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

71

4.4

Alternative instruments for estimating the impact of competition . .

73

4.5

Determinants of child care quality-price ratio . . . . . . . . . . . .

75

4.6

Determinants of quality in playgroups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

78

4.7

First stage estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

79

4.8

Factor loadings for daycare quality measures . . . . . . . . . . . .

80

5.1

Child care market since 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

88

5.2Quality indicators of Dutch child care services before and after the

subsidy reduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

90

5.3 Effects of the 2012 subsidy reduction on average quality . . . . . .

95

5.4Synthetic control estimates of the 2012 subsidy reduction effects on

average quality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

97

5.5Effects by quality quantiles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101

5.6Child care costs of median income households with one child . . . . 104

5.7Child care costs of median income households with two children . . 104

5.8Wave 1 summary statistics of centers missing in wave 2 . . . . . . . 105

5.9 Summary statistics of center averages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106

xiii

xiv

List of Tables

5.10 Factor loadings for quality domains

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107

5.11Effects on individual quality indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107

5.12QREG, CIC and TDID estimates using center averages . . . . . . . 108

6.1 Category Definitions and Budget Constraints . . . . . . . . . . . . 112

6.2Sample Characteristics and Hourly Wages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118

6.3

Predicted Earnings of Mothers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

119

6.4

Quality and Prices in the Netherlands . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

121

6.5Determinants of child care use and employment . . . . . . . . . . . 123

6.6

Covariance matrix of the random coefficients . . . . . . . . . . . .

123

6.7

Simulated Probabilities of Employment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

124

6.8OLS estimates for female full-time and part-time wages . . . . . . . 127

6.9 OLS estimates for quality and price . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128

6.10Alternative specific conditional logit estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . 129

6.11Mixed logit estimates without siblings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130

6.12Mixed logit estimates with unbalanced sample . . . . . . . . . . . . 131

List of Figures

1.1Female Labor Force Participation 1970-2010

 

OECD Family Database . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

4

1.2

Female Employment and Motherhood 2009

 

 

OECD Family Database . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

4

1.3

Child Care Spending in the OECD

 

 

OECD Family Database . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

5

1.4Parental Leave Take-up Rates for Parents with a Child under 1

 

OECD Family Database . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

5

1.5

Child care enrollment rates 2010

 

 

OECD Family Database . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

7

2.1

Elasticity Estimates over Time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

22

3.1

Labor Market Consequences of Parental Leave . . . . . . . . . . .

34

3.2

Development of Leave in EU-15 and Norway . . . . . . . . . . . .

39

3.3

Evolution of Labor Market Outcomes in EU-15 and Norway . . . .

41

3.4

Participation and Leave . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

44

3.5

Wages, Occupations and Leave . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

48

4.1Kernel Density Figures for the Number of Schools and Centers in the

Neighborhood . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

65

4.2 Quality in daycare centers and playgroups . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

76

5.1Subsidy rates for first and second children (proportion)

 

Tax Office . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

87

5.2

Incomes of families with one child <18

 

 

Statistics Netherlands . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

87

5.3

Distribution of child care quality in daycare centers . . . . . . . . .

91

5.4

Distribution of child care quality in playgroups . . . . . . . . . . .

92

5.5

Number of class observations per municipality . . . . . . . . . . . .

92

5.6

Quantile Effects - QDID . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

100

5.7

Quantile Effects - CIC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

100

xv

xvi

List of Figures

5.8

Quantile Effects - TDID . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102

5.9# of classroom observations each month . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105

5.10Distribution of child care quality in daycare centers’ (averages) . . . 106

5.11Distribution of child care quality in playgroups’ (averages) . . . . . 106

6.1Predicted Female Income Distributions According to Employment . 118

6.2Daycare subsidies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120

6.3 Predicted Hourly Wages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127

Chapter 1

Introduction

The shift of women from the household to the labor market during the 20th century has fundamentally transformed both the labor force that they moved into and the household tasks they left behind. Basic outputs of women in households such as food, child care and clothing, became domains of the markets that employed women. Issues such as gender wage gaps and work-life balance became topics of both academic and policy discussion. Perhaps the most dramatic impact of the increase in female labor force participation is observed during early years of motherhood. Outsourcing child care to the market has become a necessity for families to maintain dual incomes rather than a luxury enjoyed by the few in pursuit of more leisure time.

Employment during motherhood is analyzed not only by economists but also by researchers in developmental psychology and sociology. If we limit ourselves purely to the economics literature, there is interest in two major outcomes: mothers’ employment and child development. Policies aimed at either outcome are usually justified by the proposed economic benefits in the face of aging populations. Child development is linked with future life outcomes in employment and education while female labor supply expands the tax base. Beyond economic benefits that are reflected in the GDP, both outcomes have non-pecuniary welfare benefits such as promoting gender equality and child welfare.

My contributions revolve around both mothers’ employment and child development. The first topic of interest is how mothers’ employment is affected by modern child care services and parental leave entitlements. There is already an extensive literature on the effects of modern social policies such as child care services and parental leave entitlements (Ruhm, 1998; Blau and Currie, 2006). A related second topic is

1

2

Chapter 1.

how child care quality is produced and influenced by policy measures. Positive findings from the UK and USA of targeted intervention programmes such as STAR, Perry Preschool and Sure Start do not prove that large scale investments can also have large effects on child development, but they do give an indication of the potential returns to child care policies focused on improving quality (Melhuish et al., 2008; Heckman et al., 2010; Chetty et al., 2011).

This thesis begins by evaluating the literature linking child care prices to labor supply and attempting to explain the differences in the findings. The previous studies focus mostly on the empirical link between prices and labor supply. The next chapter covers parental leave, where researchers tend to use micro level data of mothers to identify the effects of taking up leave on rates of return to employment and wages (Ondrich et al., 1996; Lalive and Zweimüller, 2009). I provide an aggregate level analysis in terms of employment rates, working hours, occupational segregation and wages, which extends and updates the previous studies that focus on employment and wages (Ruhm, 1998).

Child care quality has recently received increasing attention from researchers and policymakers (Bennett and Tayler, 2006). The change in terminology among policymakers and academics from child care to early childhood education and care (ECEC) seems to underline the transition from viewing child care as a service that facilitates parents employment to one that plays a role in human capital formation. Education in later years have long been studied with regard to how privatization of schools and spending in education affect educational quality (Hanushek, 1994; West and Woessmann, 2010). Since there is a general trend towards privatization of welfare state functions including child care services across OECD countries, the same questions analyzed for schooling are becoming more relevant also for the child care sector. I extend the literature on schooling quality to the early childhood years by analyzing how child care quality is affected by competition among centers and by public spending. In the final chapter, I go back to the literature on child care and labor supply and extend it by analyzing how quality influences female labor supply.

Apart from the literature review in chapter 2, the methods of analysis are empirical. Identification strategies include both structural modeling and exploiting policy changes. Chapter 3 uses aggregate level data from OECD countries in general while the remaining chapters use micro level data from the Netherlands. In the next section I discuss the state of female employment during motherhood and child care services across OECD countries and discuss how quality is being measured. The final section

1.1. Trends in Female employment and the measurement of quality

3

of the introduction provides a general overview of the chapters’ research questions and methodology.

1.1Trends in Female employment and the measurement of quality

Figure 1.1 shows the labor force participation rates of women in the EU-15, OECD and the Netherlands over the period 1970-2010. The participation rate has gone up by around 15% points among OECD countries. The rise in female labor force participation in the Netherlands is particularly large since it starts very low and increases quickly to levels exceeding OECD and EU averages. Despite high participation rates among women across OECD countries, figure 1.2 shows that employment during motherhood is unsurprisingly low in most countries. The more relevant point to highlight in figure 1.2 is that the gap between female employment and maternal employment differs across countries. This seems to suggest that country specific child care policies and institutions have a large role to play in determining women’s employment decisions and vice versa.

The generosity and provision method of child care services and parental leave entitlements vary considerably between OECD countries. Traditionally, child care has been viewed as a function of the welfare state. Nevertheless, similar to service sectors such as schooling and health care, there is a mix of provision methods among OECD countries ranging from public supply and financing to private market provision and parental fees (Kamerman, 2000). Figure 1.3 shows that child care spending varies considerably even among high income OECD countries. Parental leave policies also differ as shown by the take up rates in figure 1.4. Entitlements range from rights to year long, fully funded leave periods in Sweden to only 16 weeks of paid maternity leave and 3 months of unpaid parental leave in the Netherlands. In addition to crosscountry differences, child care and parental leave policies tend to be dynamic over time. From relatively short leave periods exclusive to women in the 1970s, many Nordic countries’ parental leave policies have evolved into long, generous leave periods with specific rights for fathers. As recent as 2009, the German parental leave system was overhauled with shorter leave periods with more generous benefits. Child care systems and financing are similarly fluid, with the Netherlands privatizing the child care system in 2005 and Germany beginning a major expansion of child care

4

Chapter 1.

Figure 1.1: Female Labor Force Participation 1970-2010

Source: OECD Family Database

Figure 1.2: Female Employment and Motherhood 2009

Source: OECD Family Database

services in 2008. Given the fluidity of child care and parental leave policies over time and across countries, policymaking requires evaluations of their effects on both mothers’ employment and children’s experiences.

The increase in female labor force participation seen in figure 1.1 has translated into large scale child care services in many OECD countries. Figure 1.5 shows that more than 60% of children under 3 in Denmark and the Netherlands are enrolled in

Соседние файлы в предмете [НЕСОРТИРОВАННОЕ]