2 Шаг: Приложение 9

Вид модели

Характеристики модели

S²

R²

F-статистика

С’=0.272394+0,957265(W₁*+W₂)+0,947603P_t*

0.6643

98.929

1016.74

I’=13.7098+0.721784P*_t-1-0.253206K*_t-1

0.9466

41.979

7.6

W₁’=-13.0302+0.489721*X+0.258515*X_t-1-0.558541t

0.5258

96.225

169.94

t

C'

I'

W1'

X'

K'

P'

1

23,49505

2,78574

10,3132

32,78079

69,93651

9,667591

2

23,41718

2,78574

9,078401

31,25292

69,93651

10,57452

3

24,56217

2,510889

9,593294

33,24806

70,87262

10,75477

4

25,87945

3,81309

10,11687

34,84254

74,02833

12,22568

5

27,88044

2,305367

11,10988

35,38581

76,12648

10,67594

6

29,86501

3,134141

12,88327

41,57415

80,85784

13,99087

7

30,78905

2,945129

13,54682

39,63418

82,04829

11,38736

8

33,16977

1,947123

15,0476

44,49189

85,31723

13,24429

9

34,67066

2,4537

16,43267

44,69936

87,63651

11,36669

10

36,79832

0,923588

17,37657

49,57191

90,65106

15,19534

11

37,23042

1,427817

17,51652

50,40824

91,78619

15,69171

12

37,68022

1,413671

17,42835

50,42389

92,47878

15,49554

13

38,41806

1,350067

17,74481

50,96813

93,76598

15,12332

14

39,35345

1,45544

18,07279

53,03889

95,57028

16,4661

15

39,84664

1,649824

18,19528

53,54646

96,56579

16,45119

16

40,39979

1,647592

18,08365

53,92738

97,67067

17,04374

17

40,85151

1,456433

17,58917

54,43794

98,89992

18,74877

18

41,47101

1,584875

17,61192

55,73589

100,0563

19,52397

19

41,81401

1,674378

17,55325

56,16839

101,0872

20,11514

20

42,55397

1,563128

17,66361

57,1171

101,8784

20,35349

21

43,59914

1,498486

18,53206

57,19763

102,8839

18,26557

22

44,97527

0,872499

19,32091

59,52777

105,1047

19,60686

23

45,85024

0,714402

20,10248

61,54464

106,4942

19,64216

24

46,5858

1,259031

20,51581

61,52483

107,4498

18,40902

25

47,96352

0,812209

20,28425

63,65573

109,0419

20,67148

26

48,068685

1,8802464

20,537789

64,754503

110,61944

21,121333

27

48,927239

0,987169

20,991607

64,971947

111,13462

20,399329

28

49,817684

0,7673316

21,376568

65,889898

112,38565

20,441637

Период

Показатель P_i

P_it

P_it^

(P_it-P_it^)²

26

22,2

21,121333

1.1635

27

21,5

20,399329

1.21148

28

22,4

20,441637

3.8117