(Приложение №5)

Вид модели

Характеристики модели

S²

R²

K_т

F-статистика

С’=0.871058+0,941752(W₁*+W₂)+0,9239P_t*

0.44175

99,0861%

0,000687

921.57

I’=12.369+0,6642P*_t-1- 0,2294K*_t-1

0.955885

52.1384%

0,33329

8.71

W₁’=-10.9287+0.404397X*+0.2614X_t-1-0.389446t

0.2135

98,5618%

0,009973

342.66

t

С'

I'

W1'

Xt'

Kt'

Pt'

1

23,55751

3,004234

9,895684

33,06174

70,14142

10,36606

2

22,63457

3,004234

8,576678

30,6888

70,14142

10,51212

3

25,16485

2,126911

9,389377

33,46676

70,23263

11,17739

4

25,72966

4,144517

10,11244

35,02417

74,48734

12,41174

5

27,61757

2,271046

10,80034

35,08862

76,01473

10,68827

6

30,35245

2,935835

12,79691

41,86329

80,58072

14,36638

7

30,92918

3,243851

13,64968

40,07303

82,46882

11,72335

8

33,75667

2,071275

15,12014

45,20295

85,48189

13,8828

9

35,12806

2,826849

16,6099

45,52991

88,18503

12,02001

10

36,73924

1,341577

17,31608

49,93082

91,23117

15,61474

11

36,76316

1,466378

17,29094

49,97953

91,83511

15,48859

12

37,37663

1,132087

17,2688

49,83872

92,10814

15,06992

13

38,4399

1,116203

17,83718

50,75611

93,49322

14,81893

14

39,06529

1,366672

18,21482

52,66197

95,54069

15,94714

15

39,60556

1,301911

18,38181

52,95747

96,20248

15,67566

16

40,09343

1,270165

18,39204

53,2436

97,30005

16,05156

17

40,30825

0,994928

17,96312

53,43318

98,42447

17,37006

18

41,3696

0,890095

18,182

54,93969

99,26586

18,15769

19

41,82249

1,197517

18,44392

55,70001

100,6368

18,75609

20

42,54606

1,099054

18,655

56,64512

101,4645

18,89011

21

44,14537

0,981913

19,74912

57,22729

102,426

17,07817

22

45,4334

0,735015

20,71559

59,84842

105,2024

18,53283

23

46,62214

0,507675

21,63442

62,10982

106,4947

18,67539

24

46,776

1,158629

21,98467

61,61463

107,6625

17,02995

25

45,76729

0,337757

20,72153

60,98504

108,7571

17,56351