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International integration. Past and present. Учебное пособие

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However, the criticism of the FTA with ASEAN is growing in India. In particular, since the economies of Southeast Asia are more export­oriented than the Indian economy (for example, Malaysia’s ratio of the volume of exports to the total amount of GDP is about 100 %), a deficit has appeared in India’s trade with ASEAN ($6 billion in 2008) threatening to ruin the entire sectors of the Indian economy which are unable to compete with the manufacturers from Southeast Asia
21
.
Table 9
Share of ASEAN Countries in the Exports and Imports of Major Trading Partners (%)
Country
Years
Share in exports
Share in imports
1981–1983 6,0 1,4 11,8 10,6 5,8 4,5 1991–1993 5,8 1,8 6,5 12,7 10,6 5,5 2001–2003 7,1 1,6 6,0 13,3 9,7 6,1 1981–1983 3,6 1,1 10,7 16,4 7,4 5,0 1991–1993 5,9 2,0 8,1 14,1 8,2 6,7 2001–2003 10,5 2,6 11,2 15,4 10,9 6,7
China EU Hong Kong Japan
South
Korea
USA
Source: Rossijskaja akademija nauk. Institut Dal'nego Vostoka RAN. ASEAN v nachale XXI veka. Aktual'nye problemy i perspektivy. M.: ID "Forum", 2010.
On 13 December 2005, the ASEAN Framework Agreement on Comprehensive Economic Cooperation with South Korea was signed involving the creation of a FTA, which will work in full in 2020.
On 27 February 2009, at the 14
th
ASEAN summit held in Thailand, an agreement was concluded on the establishment of FTA between ASEAN – on the one hand, and Australia and New Zealand – on the other.
In 2003, the ASEAN member states leaders agreed to form the ASEAN Community by 2020 which provided the establishment of the following institutions within the framework of ASEAN:
1) Political-Security Community;
2) Economic Community;
3) Socio-Cultural Community.
Later it was decided to achieve this goal by 2015.
The 10
th
summit of the organization in Laos (29–30 November
2004) approved the Vientiane Action Program designed to promote
21
URL: www.asean.org/
101
the formation of the community through greater integration and overcoming the development gap between the ASEAN members. The Community Council consisting of the relevant ministers of the member states was set up to manage sectoral bodies.
In 2010, the total volume of the foreign direct investment (FDI) into the economy of the ASEAN nations amounted to $ 75.8 billion which meant doubling of this figure in comparison with its 2009 level ($ 37.9 billion). In the same time, the main source of FDI to ASEAN became the EU (22 %) followed by the US and Japan (16 % each)
22
.
Table 10
Distribution and Dynamics of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in ASEAN, 2002–06
Annual
Change
(%)
Countries
The inflow of FDI, year /
period, million dollars
The proportion of the total
FDI inflow (%)
Period 2004 2006 2002–06 2004 2006 2002–06 2005–06 ASEAN 2803,7 6242,1 19377,7 8,0 11,9 11,3 65,8 Australia 566,7 399,2 1444,3 1,6 0,8 0,8 103,8 China 731,5 936,1 2302,9 2,1 1,8 1,3 86,6 EU 10046,1 13361,9 44955,6 28,6 25,5 26,3 19,9 Japan 5732,1 10803,3 30813,7 16,3 20,6 18,0 49,3 South Korea
806,4 1099,1 3347,3 2,3 2,1 2,0 90,2
USA 5232,4 3864,9 13736,1 14,9 7,4 8,0 28,4 Others 9198,3 15672,1 54844,3 26,2 29,9 32,1 17,6 Total 35117,2 52379,5 170821,9 100,0 100,0 100,0 27,5
Source: Rossijskaja akademija nauk. Institut Dal'nego Vostoka RAN. ASEAN v nachale XXI veka. Aktual'nye problemy i perspektivy. M.: ID "Forum", 2010.
Nowadays, the aggregate GDP of ASEAN is $ 1,5 trillion and the volume of foreign trade – $ 1,7 trillion. However, the turnover of trade between the member countries reached only $ 458 billion in 2008 and the volume of mutual investment – $11,1 billion despite a substantial increase compared to 2007 (14 % and 18 % respectively) indicating a number of problems and disproportions
23
.
One of the problems of this kind is an evident gap in the development levels of the member nations as well as in their standards of living. For example, while the respective figures of Brunei, Malaysia, and Singapore are close to those of advanced
22
Ibid
23
Ibid
102
nations, Burma, Cambodia, Laos, the Philippines, and Vietnam are evident outsiders. To overcome this problem, a number of joint programs are being realized within ASEAN, for example, the Mekong River Basin Development Plan in the framework of which a number of infrastructure projects are being successfully implemented.
However, a serious obstacle to overcoming the development gap is the lack of sufficient funds in the member countries resulting in the ASEAN leadership resorting to assistance from developed nations and international financial institutions.
Termination of the Cold War and the disappearance of common enemy in the person of the world socialist system have contributed to strengthening territorial disputes between the ASEAN members, which is also an obstacle to successful regional integration. The other obstacles to the growth of mutual trust are the above-mentioned differences of the political systems in member states which prevents the discussion of a number of important issues, for example, human rights violations in Burma and other countries.
Decision-making by consensus leads to the situation when each ASEAN member has a right to veto any issue resulting in the fact that many serious problems are not even on the agenda, thus becoming a kind of taboo. Adherence to the principle of soft institutionalism makes the organization rather amorphous compared with the European Union and similar integration associations. Sometimes the integration processes within ASEAN come in conflict with the principles of APEC and the WTO which creates a threat of the organization being absorbed by larger associations.
Finally, the future of ASEAN as well as the prospects of regional integration in Southeast Asia as a whole will depend largely on how successfully this international organization meets those challenges.
Test Your Knowledge
1. What was the impact of the Asian financial crisis of 1997–98
on ASEAN?
2. What is the significance of the Agreement on the general
effective preferential tariff?
3. Describe the ASEAN Economic Community.
4. Give a description of the integrated investment area within
ASEAN.
5. Describe the ASEAN Forum of Capital Markets.
103
6. The total volume of FDI into the economies of the ASEAN
nations in 2010 in comparison with its 2009 volume:
A) Doubled;
B) Tripled;
C) Quadrupled.
Topic for Discussion
Establishment of FTA within ASEAN. Unit 7.5. ASEAN and Russia. The history of the official relations
between ASEAN and modern Russia dates back to July 1991, when at the invitation of the Malaysian Government the Russian delegation attended the opening ceremony of the annual meeting of the ASEAN foreign ministers in which Russia participates regularly since 1992. Since 1994, Russian Federation is the member of the ASEAN Regional Forum. In July 1996, Russia became a full ASEAN dialogue partner. In 1997, the Joint Cooperation Committee ASEAN-Russian Federation was set up which holds regular meetings in Moscow or in one of the ASEAN capitals.
On 19 June 2003, in Phnom Penh, the joint declaration was signed on the partnership in peace, security, prosperity, and development in the Asia-Pacific. Another joint declaration between ASEAN and the Russian Federation was signed on 2 July 2004, in Jakarta, concerning the ASEAN-Russia cooperation in fighting international terrorism. On 29 November 2004, Russia joined the Treaty of Amity and Cooperation in Southeast Asia signed in 1976.
Since December 2005, the regular ASEAN-Russian Federation summits are held. During the first summit of this kind the following documents were signed:
1) Intergovernmental Agreement on Cooperation between ASEAN and Russia in the field of economy and development (came in force on 11 August 2006);
2) Comprehensive Program of Action (CPA) to promote cooperation between ASEAN and Russia in 2005–15;
3) Joint Declaration of the leaders of ASEAN and Russian Federation on the development of a comprehensive partnership (13 December 2005).
These and some other agreements form the legal basis for the
ASEAN-Russian relations.
104
Table 11
Russia's Foreign Trade with the Countries of ASEAN
in January–February 2008-09, in Millions of US Dollars
January–February, 2008 January–February, 2009
Turnover Export Import Turnover Export Import Indonesia 176,2 66,8 109,4 158,8 87,8 71,0 Malaysia 432,2 174,1 258,1 175,9 10,9 165,0 Philippines 46,8 24,1 22,7 51,7 29,4 22,3 Singapore 219,0 166,9 52,0 462,9 267,6 195,3 Thailand 282,8 131,8 151,0 149,7 32,6 117,1 Vietnam 242,0 119,0 123,0 212,8 82,7 130,1 Total 1399 682,7 716,2 1211,8 511 700,8
Source: Rossijskaja akademija nauk. Institut Dal'nego Vostoka RAN. ASEAN v nachale XXI veka. Aktual'nye problemy i perspektivy. M.: ID "Forum", 2010.
The economic cooperation between ASEAN and Russian Federation is growing steadily. Thus, in 1992–97, the bilateral trade turnover amounted to $ 21 billion, while only in 2010 it exceeded $ 9 billion, and in 2011 reached almost $14 billion (an increase of more than 54 % during a single year)
24
.
Table 12
Russia's Foreign Trade Turnover with the Countries of ASEAN
in 2005–08, in Millions of US Dollars
2005 2006 2007 2008 Indonesia 496,4 545,8 916,3 1406,1 Malaysia 724,0 901,1 1917,3 2441,4 Philippines 257,0 150,3 241,4 414,3 Singapore 514,8 1053,3 1540,6 1645,1 Thailand 926,4 817,6 1336,7 2719,1 Vietnam 877,9 579,6 1092,5 1429,3 Total 3796,5 4047,7 7044,8 10055,3
Source: Rossijskaja akademija nauk. Institut Dal'nego Vostoka RAN. ASEAN v nachale XXI veka. Aktual'nye problemy i perspektivy. M.: ID "Forum", 2010.
The CPA for ASEAN and Russia for 2005–15 involved, among other things, deepening of the relations in the energy sector providing for expansion of production capacity, the development of energy infrastructure, peaceful use of nuclear energy, the exploration of coal, oil and gas, the development of alternative and renewable energy sources.
24
Ibid
105
An important segment of economic ties between Russia and ASEAN is tourism. Thus, in 2009, the ASEAN countries were visited by 518.587 Russian tourists and in 2010 there were already 867.632 tourists from Russian Federation, while in 2011 – about 1.299.000
25
.
Test Your Knowledge
Is Russian Federation a member of ASEAN?
A) Yes;
B) No.
Topic for Discussion
ASEAN-Russia Partnership.
25
Ibid
106
Chapter VIII
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)
Unit 8.1. Historical Background and Basic Features. The idea of
establishing the Pacific free trade area was first proposed by Japan in
1966. It brought about the formation of a number of NGOs united by the idea of economic integration in the Asia-Pacific:
1) Pacific Trade and Development Conference (PAFTAD, 1967);
2) Pacific Basin Economic Council (PBEC, 1968);
3) Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC, 1980).
The idea of economic integration was dictated by a rapid growth of business and trade between the countries in the region prompting the governments to create an institute providing close cooperation between the Asia-Pacific economies.
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum (APEC) was established in 1989 at the initiative of Australia and included twelve countries, which was due to the following:
1) Termination of the Cold war;
2) Need to establish a new framework for international economic
relations in the region.
Map 4. APEC Member Economies
107
At that time, Australia, Japan, and Korea sought to enhance the development of international relations in the Asia-Pacific, while the United States insisted that there should be no boundaries for economic cooperation in the region. Thus, the task of APEC was to economically tie up both sides of the Pacific.
The first meeting in Canberra (Australia, 6–7 November 1989) was attended by the representatives of Australia, Canada, Japan, New Zealand, South Korea, USA, and the countries participating in ASEAN such as Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. In 1991, APEC was joined by China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, the latter being recognized as a separate independent party, which became one of the most significant achievements in the first years of APEC’s existence leading to one of its most unusual features – it became an association of economies and not of states.
Table 13
APEC Participants
Participating Economies Date of Accession
Australia November, 1989 Brunei November, 1989 Canada November, 1989 Indonesia November, 1989 Japan November, 1989 Malaysia November, 1989 New Zealand November, 1989 Philippines November, 1989 Singapore November, 1989 South Korea November, 1989 Thailand November, 1989 USA November, 1989 China November, 1991 Hong Kong November, 1991 Taiwan November, 1991 Mexico November, 1993 Papua New Guinea November, 1993 Chile November, 1994 Peru November, 1998 Russian Federation November, 1998 Vietnam November, 1998
Source: URL: www.apec.org/
108
Nowadays, APEC includes twenty-one economies, i.e. almost all the countries on both sides of the Pacific accounting for about 40 % of world’s population, 54 % of gross world product (GWP), 45 % of global imports, and 44 % of global exports
26
.
The importance of APEC is determined by the membership of the leading economies in the region: the United States, China, Japan, Canada, Australia, and the so-called newly industrialized economies (NIEs), which comprise almost all the economic potential of the Asia­Pacific. It should be noted, however, that the main outsider in this region is Papua New Guinea.
As noted above, APEC is characterized by the extreme heterogeneity of its participants. Forum includes the largest countries in the world in terms of territory (Russia, Canada, China, USA, and Australia) and in terms of population (China, United States, Indonesia, Russia, Japan, and Mexico), on the one hand, and the microstates, such as Brunei, Hong Kong, Singapore, on the other hand.
The leading economies in the region and in the world are the US, China, and Japan whose overall economic potential is about $29 trillion (almost 70 % of the total GDP of APEC or 38 % of the GWP calculated by purchasing power parity (PPP) and estimated by the World Bank in 2010 at $76.6 trillion). However, this also includes Brunei and Papua New Guinea whose overall GDP does not exceed $ 20 billion
27
.
Singapore’s GDP amounted to $ 58.000 per capita (maximum rate among all the APEC economies) in 2010 and exceeded that of the poorest economy in the region, Papua New Guinea, twenty-three times
28
.
Russian Federation being the largest nation in the region and in the world in terms of territory (27.3 % of the APEC territory) is a home to 5.2 % of the APEC population (2.1 % of the world’s population) and produces 6,7 % of regional GDP by PPP (3.7 % of the GWP) It occupies the 4
th
position among the APEC countries in terms of
29
.
population as well as in terms of the absolute GDP value. In terms of economic development measured by GDP per capita calculated by PPP Russia is on the 11
th
position in the association, thus occupying a middle position and dividing all the APEC economies into two groups – developed and developing.
26
Ibid.
27
Ibid.
28
Ibid.
29
Ibid.
109
The sectoral structure of the developed APEC economies shows the features inherent to the post-industrial stage of development – a small share of agriculture, a decreasing share of industry in which the leading role is performed by the manufacturing sector, and growing share of services. For example, the APEC economies clearly manifest the law according to which the higher share of the agricultural sector in the economy corresponds to the lower level of economic development. Thus, the largest share of agriculture is in the least developed Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, the Philippines, and Vietnam.
In the countries like Australia, Canada, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and the US agriculture accounts for 1,2–2,6 % of GDP, while in Hong Kong and Singapore this sector is practically absent
30
. Only in New Zealand agriculture makes the most significant contribution to the total amount of goods and services produced in this country.
The share of industry in the developed APEC economies is
20–30 % of GDP
31
. The highest contribution to industrial output is
made by the manufacturing sector.
This pattern, however typical for most of the developed economies, does not apply to Australia and Canada having significant resource potential and low population and focusing on the production of natural resources and the development of extractive industries.
It is worth noting that general decline in the share of industry called de-industrialization is not due to the collapse of certain industries in the developed economies but rather to the reason of the fast growth of the tertiary sector and the prices for its products.
The other APEC economies are actively moving forward the process of industrialization, especially in the so-called “second wave of the newly industrialized countries”, such as Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, as well as in China and Mexico, where the manufacturing sector has been developed. In the sectoral structure of industry of such APEC economies as Brunei, Chile, Peru, and Russia the greatest share is that of the extractive industries. In some countries, for example in Vietnam, both sectors are equally developed.
Services or the tertiary sector dominates most of the APEC economies, but its proportion and structure vary from one economy to another. Thus, the most advanced economy in the world in terms of
30
Ibid.
31
Ibid.
110