Talking and Writing

10. There is scepticism existing as to the validity of global warming predictions. Below is an abridged version of an article representing an opposing point of view. Read it and share with the class where you stand on the issues raised in the article. There are also places in the text marked with brackets ( ) with editorial comments where you are invited to give an opinion. (See the next page.)

Global Warming: Try It, You Might Like It

by Thomas Gale Moore

Pundits, politicians and the press have argued that global warming will bring disaster to the world, but there are good reasons to believe that, if it occurs, we (All of us?) will like it (!?). Where do retirees go when they are free to move? Certainly not to Alaska. People like warmth (?). When weather reporters on TV say, "it will be a great day," they usually mean that it will be warmer than normal.

The weather can, of course, be too warm, but that is unlikely to become a major problem if the globe warms (!?). The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has forecast that, by the end of the next century, the world's climate will be about 3.6° Fahrenheit warmer than today, that precipitation worldwide will increase by about 7 percent and most of the warming will occur at night and during the winter. In addition, temperatures are expected to increase the most towards the poles (Will it pass without consequences?). Most of the temperature increase will occur during the coldest season, making their climate more livable (Who for?).

Warmer winters will produce less ice and snow to torment drivers, facilitating commuting and making snow shoveling less of a chore. Families will have less need to invest in heavy parkas, bulky jackets, earmuffs and snow boots. Department of Energy studies have shown that a warmer climate would reduce heating bills more than it would boost outlays on air conditioning (!?).

Most economic activities would be unaffected by climate change. Manufacturing, banking, insurance, retailing, wholesaling, medicine, educational, mining, financial and most other services are unrelated to weather. Those activities can be carried out in cold climates with central heating or in hot climates with air conditioning. Transportation would benefit generally from a warmer climate since road transport would suffer less from slippery or impassable highways. Airline passengers, who often endure weather-related delays in the winter, would gain from more reliable and on-time service.

The doomsayers have predicted that a warmer world would inflict tropical diseases on Americans. They neglect to mention that those diseases, such as malaria, cholera and yellow fever, were widespread in the United States in the colder 19th century. Their absence today is attributable not to a climate unsuitable to their propagation but to modern sanitation and the lifestyle, which prevent the microbes from getting a foothold (!?). It is actually warmer along the Gulf Coast, which is free of dengue fever, than on the Caribbean islands where the disease is endemic. My own research shows that a warmer world would be a healthier (!?) one and would cut the number of deaths in the U.S. by about 40,000 per year, roughly the number killed on the highways.

According to climatologists, the villain causing a warmer world is the unprecedented amount of carbon dioxide we keep pumping into the atmosphere. As high school biology teachers emphasize, plants absorb carbon dioxide and emit oxygen. Researchers have shown, moreover, that virtually all plants (What about humans and hothouse effect?) will do better in an environment enriched with carbon dioxide than in the current atmosphere, which contains only trace amounts of their basic food. In addition, warmer winters and nights would mean longer growing seasons (Maybe at some places shorter?). Combined with higher levels of CO₂, plant life would become more vigorous (What about desertification?), thus providing more food for animals and humans. Given a rising world population, longer growing seasons, greater rainfall, and an enriched atmosphere (Really?) could be just the ticket to stave off famine and want.

A slowly rising sea level constitutes the only significant drawback to global warming. The best guess of the international scientists is that oceans will rise about 2 inches per decade. The cost to Americans of building dikes and constructing levees to mitigate the damage from rising seas would be less than $1 billion per year, an insignificant amount compared to the likely gain (What are the gains for others?) of over $100 billion for the American people as a whole. Let's not rush (!?) into costly programs to stave off something that we may like if it occurs. Warmer is better; richer (!?) is healthier (!?); acting now is foolish (!?).

11. Present your consolidated and balanced standpoint on global warming in a written argumentative essay.