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PETER

HOWELLS

Fifth Edition

FINANCIAL MARKETS AND INSTITUTIONS

KEITH BAIN

FINANCIAL

MARKETSAND

INSTITUTIONS

With its clear and accessible style, Financial Markets and Institutions will help students make sense of the nancial

activity that is so widely and prominently reported in the media. Looking at the subject from the economists perspective,

the book takes a practical, applied approach and theory is covered only where absolutely necessary in order to help

PETER HOWELLS

students understand events as they happen in the real world.

This fth edition has been thoroughly updated to re ect the changes that have occurred in the nancial system in recent

KEITH BAIN

years.

Fifth Edition

Financial Markets and Institutions will be

Key

Features

appropriate for a wide range of courses in

FINANCIAL

money, banking and nance.

New! Chapter 12 Financial Market Failure and Financial

Crises puts forward arguments concerning for example,

Students taking nancial markets and

MARKETS AND

the ability of small rms to borrow, the problems of

institutions courses as part of accounting,

nancial exclusion and inadequate long-term saving and

nance, economics and business studies

the tendency in nancial markets to bubbles and crashes.

degrees will nd this book ideally suited to

New! Thoroughly updated to include new gures and

their needs.

recent legislative and regulatory changes.

INSTITUTIONS

Provides a comprehensive coverage of the workings of

The book will also be suitable for professional

nancial markets.

courses in business, banking and nance.

Contains suf cient theory to enable students to make

Peter Howells is Professor of Monetary

sense of current events.

Economics at the University of the West of

Up-to-date coverage of the role of central banks and the

England.

regulation of nancial systems.

Fifth

Keith Bain is formerly of the University of

Focuses on UK and European nancial activity, context

East London where he specialised in monetary Edition

and constraints.

economics and macroeconomic policy.

Offers a wealth of statistical information to illustrate and

BAINHOWELLS

support the text.

Visit www.pearsoned.co.uk/howells to nd

Extensive pedagogy includes revised boxes, illustrations,

online learning support.

keywords/concepts, discussion questions, chapter

openers, chapter summaries and numerous worked

examples.

Frequent use of material from the Financial Times.

Regularly maintained and updated Companion Website

containing valuable teaching and learning material.

www.pearson-books.com

an imprint of

9780273709190_COVER.indd

1

13/2/07 09:22:38

FINM_A01.qxd 1/18/07 11:02 AM Page i

Financial Markets and Institutions

Visit the Financial Markets and Institutions, fth edition

Companion Website at www.pearsoned.co.uk/howellsto nd

valuable studentlearning material including:

l

Multiple choice questions to test your learning

l

Written answer questions providing the opportunity to answerlonger questions

l

Annotated links to valuable sites of interest on the web

..

FINM_A01.qxd 1/18/07 11:02 AM Page ii

We work with leading authors to develop the strongest

educational materials in business and nance, bringing

cutting-edge thinking and best learning practice to a

global market.

Under a range of well-known imprints, including

Financial Times Prentice Hall, we craft high quality print and

electronic publications which help readers to understand

and apply their content, whether studying or at work.

To nd out more about the complete range of our

publishing, please visit us on the World Wide Web at:

www.pearsoned.co.uk

..

FINM_A01.qxd 1/18/07 11:02 AM Page iii

FINANCIAL MARKETS

AND INSTITUTIONS

Fifth Edition

Peter Howells and Keith Bain

..

FINM_A01.qxd 1/18/07 11:02 AM Page iv

Pearson Education Limited

Edinburgh Gate

Harlow

Essex CM20 2JE

England

and Associated Companies throughout the world

Visit us on the World Wide Web at:

www.pearsoned.co.uk

First published under the Longman imprint 1990

Fifth edition published 2007

© Pearson Education Limited 2007

The rights of Peter Howells and Keith Bain to be identied as authors of this work

have been asserted by them in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and

Patents Act 1988.

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a

retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic,

mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without either the prior written

permission of the publishers or a licence permitting restricted copying in the United

Kingdom issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency Ltd, Saffron House, 6–10 Kirby

Street, London EC1N 8TS.

All trademarks used herein are the property of their respective owners. The use of

any trademark in this text does not vest in the author or publisher any trademark

ownership rights in such trademarks, nor does the use of such trademarks imply

any afliation with or endorsement of this book by such owners.

ISBN-13: 978-0-273-70919-0

British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data

A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Howells, P.G.A., 1947–

Financial markets and institutions / Peter Howells and Keith Bain. — 5th ed.

p. cm.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

ISBN-13: 978-0-273-70919-0

ISBN-10: 0-273-70919-4

1.Financial institutions—Great Britain.2.Finance—Great Britain.

I.Bain, K., 1942–II.Title.

HG186.G7H68 2007

332.10941—dc22

2006051240

10987654321

1110090807

Typeset in 9.5/13pt Stone Serif by 35

Printed by bound by Ashford Colour Press, Gosport

The publisher’s policy is to use paper manufactured from sustainable forests.

..

FINM_A01.qxd 1/31/07 3:22 PM Page v

Contents

Preface to the fth edition

xi

Guided tour

xii

Acknowledgements

xiv

Terms used in equations

xv

1

Introduction: the nancial system

1

1.1

Financial institutions

4

1.1.1Financial institutions as rms

4

1.1.2Financial institutions as ‘intermediaries’

6

1.1.3The creation of assets and liabilities

7

1.1.4Portfolio equilibrium

15

1.2

Financial markets

17

1.2.1Types of product

17

1.2.2The supply of nancial instruments

20

1.2.3The demand for nancial instruments

20

1.2.4Stocks and ows in nancial markets

21

1.3

Lenders and borrowers

23

1.3.1Saving and lending

23

1.3.2Borrowing

25

1.3.3Lending, borrowing and wealth

26

1.4Summary

27

Questions for discussion

28

Further reading

28

2

The nancial system and the real economy

29

2.1

Lending, borrowing and national income

30

2.2

Financial activity and the level of aggregate demand

37

2.2.1Money and spending

37

2.2.2Liquid assets and spending

39

2.2.3Financial wealth and spending

40

2.3The composition of aggregate demand

41

2.4The nancial system and resource allocation

43

2.5Summary

47

Questions for discussion

48

Further reading

48

v

..

FINM_A01.qxd 1/18/07 11:02 AM Page vi

Contents

3

Deposit-taking institutions

49

3.1

The Bank of England

52

3.1.1The conduct of monetary policy

53

3.1.2Banker to the commercial banking system

55

3.1.3Banker to the government

57

3.1.4Supervisor of the banking system

57

3.1.5Management of the national debt

59

3.1.6Manager of the foreign exchange reserves

60

3.1.7Currency issue

60

3.2

Banks

61

3.3

Banks and the creation of money

66

3.3.1Why banks create money

67

3.3.2How banks create money

69

3.4

Constraints on bank lending

73

3.4.1The demand for bank lending

73

3.4.2The demand for money

74

3.4.3The monetary base

75

3.5Building societies

82

3.6Liability management

85

Questions for discussion

88

Further reading

88

Answers to exercises

89

Appendix to Chapter 3: A history of UK monetary aggregates

90

4

Non-deposit-taking institutions

92

4.1Insurance companies

93

4.2Pension funds

100

4.3Unit trusts

106

4.4Investment trusts

111

4.5NDTIs and the ow of funds

114

4.6Summary

115

Questions for discussion

115

Further reading

116

5

The money markets

117

5.1

The discount market

120

5.2

The ‘parallel’ markets

129

5.2.1The interbank market

129

5.2.2The market for certicates of deposit

130

vi

....

FINM_A01.qxd 1/18/07 11:02 AM Page vii

Contents

5.2.3

The commercial paper market

132

5.2.4

The local authority market

133

5.2.5

Repurchase agreements

133

5.2.6

The euromarkets

134

5.2.7

The signicance of the parallel markets

136

5.3Monetary policy and the money markets

138

5.4Summary

146

Questions for discussion

147

Further reading

147

Answers to exercises

148

6

The capital markets

149

6.1

The importance of capital markets

150

6.2

Characteristics of bonds and equities

151

6.2.1Bonds

151

6.2.2Equities

155

6.2.3The trading of bonds and equities

157

6.3Bonds: supply, demand and price

164

6.4Equities: supply, demand and price

176

6.5The behaviour of security prices

184

6.6Reading the nancial press

193

6.7Summary

198

Questions for discussion

199

Further reading

199

Answers to exercises

200

7

Interest rates

201

7.1

The rate of interest

202

7.2

The loanable funds theory of real interest rates

204

7.2.1Loanable funds and nominal interest rates

207

7.2.2Problems with the loanable funds theory

209

7.3

Loanable funds in an uncertain economy

211

7.4

The liquidity preference theory of interest rates

213

7.5

Loanable funds and liquidity preference

215

7.6

The monetary authorities and the rate of interest

215

7.7

The structure of interest rates

220

7.7.1The term structure of interest rates

221

7.7.2The pure expectations theory of interest rate structure

222

7.7.3Term premiums

224

vii

....

FINM_A01.qxd 1/18/07 11:02 AM Page viii

Contents

7.7.4

Market segmentation

228

7.7.5

Preferred habitat

229

7.7.6

A summary of views on maturity substitutability

229

7.8The signicance of term structure theories

229

7.9Summary

232

Questions for discussion

233

Further reading

233

Answer to exercise

233

8

Foreign exchange markets

234

8.1

The nature of forex markets

235

8.2

Interest rate parity

241

8.3

Other foreign exchange market rules245

8.3.1Differences in interest rates among countries – the Fisher effect245

8.3.2The determinants of spot exchange rates – purchasing

power parity246

8.3.3Equilibrium in the forex markets247

8.4

Alternative views of forex markets

248

8.5

Fixed exchange rate systems

251

8.6

Monetary union in Europe

252

8.6.1The single currency in practice 1999–2006

256

8.6.2The UK and the euro

257

8.7Summary

258

Questions for discussion

259

Further reading

260

Answers to exercises

260

9

Exchange rate risk, derivatives markets

and speculation

261

9.1

Forms of exposure to exchange rate risk

262

9.2

Exchange rate risk management techniques

264

9.3

Derivatives markets

265

9.3.1Financial futures

266

9.3.2Options

273

9.3.3Exotic options

278

9.3.4Other related products

278

9.4

Comparing different types of derivatives

279

9.4.1Exchange-traded versus OTC products

279

9.4.2Forward versus futures contracts

279

9.4.3Forward and futures contracts versus options

280

viii

....

FINM_A01.qxd 1/18/07 11:02 AM Page ix

Contents

9.5The use and abuse of derivatives

281

9.6Summary

285

Questions for discussion

286

Further reading

287

Answers to exercises

287

10

International capital markets

288

10.1

The world capital market

289

10.2

Eurocurrencies

290

10.2.1The growth of the eurocurrency markets

292

10.2.2The nature of the market

294

10.2.3Issues relating to eurocurrency markets

296

10.3Techniques and instruments in the eurobond and euronote markets

299

10.4Summary

305

Questions for discussion

306

Further reading

307

Answers to exercises

307

11

Government borrowing and nancial markets

308

11.1

The measurement of public decits and debt

309

11.2

Financing the PSNCR31711.2.1The PSNCR and interest rates31811.2.2The sale of bonds to banks32311.2.3The sale of bonds overseas32411.2.4PSNCR, interest rates and the money supply – a conclusion324

11.3Attitudes to public debt in the European Union

326

11.4The public debt and open market operations

328

11.5Debt management and interest rate structure

329

11.6Summary

329

Questions for discussion

330

Further reading

331

Answers to exercise

331

12

Financial market failure and nancial crises

332

12.1

Borrowing and lending problems in nancial intermediation

333

12.1.1The nancing needs of rms and attempted remedies

333

12.1.2Financial market exclusion

338

12.1.3The nancial system and long-term saving

339

12.1.4The nancial system and household indebtedness

345

12.2

Financial instability: bubbles and crises

347

ix

....

FINM_A01.qxd 1/18/07 11:02 AM Page x

Contents

12.3Fraudulent behaviour and scandals in nancial markets

351

12.4The damaging effects of international markets?

356

12.5Summary

358

Questions for discussion

359

Further reading

359

13

The regulation of nancial markets

361

13.1

The theory of regulation

365

13.2

Financial regulation in the UK

367

13.2.1Regulatory changes in the 1980s

369

13.2.2Supervision of the banking system

372

13.2.3The 1998 reforms

376

13.2.4The Financial Services Authority (FSA)

377

13.3

The European Union and nancial regulation

381

13.3.1Regulation of the banking industry in the EU

384

13.3.2Regulation of the securities markets in the EU

385

13.3.3Regulation of insurance services in the EU

388

13.4

The problems of globalisation and the growing complexity of

derivatives markets

389

13.5Summary

398

Questions for discussion

399

Further reading

399

Appendix I: Portfolio theory

401

Appendix II: Present and future value tables

419

Index

425

x

..

FINM_A01.qxd 1/18/07 11:02 AM Page xi

Preface to the fth edition

The principal objective of this book is to help students make sense of the nancial

activity which these days is so prominently reported in the media. Making sense of

anything requires some grasp of theory and principles. We have done what we can

to minimise the use of theory, but because we want the book to be particularly use-

ful to students on A-level and rst degree courses, we have felt it necessary to explain

some basic ideas in nance and economics. Much of this is in Appendix 1: Portfolio

theory.

We try to ‘make sense of’ nancial activity from the economist’s perspective.

Thus, we go to some lengths to show how nancial activity has its origins in the real

economy and in the need to lend and to borrow to enable real investment to take

place. Similarly, when we talk about the shortcomings of nancial markets and insti-

tutions, we are concerned with the effects that these shortcomings have on the func-

tioning of the real economy. We have not produced a consumers’ guide to nancial

products and services. Financial advisers, both actual and potential, should nd

much of interest here, but it is not a guide to nancial products and services.

Because we want students to understand the events which they will come across,

we have made frequent use of material from the Financial Timesand from readily

available statistical sources. We have gone to some pains to explain how to interpret

the data from such sources. We hope this will encourage some students to update

the evidence we have provided.

In preparing this latest edition, we have taken the opportunity to update gures and

tables and to replace older with more recent illustrations. In response to readers’

comments we have also added a new chapter on the malfunctioning of the nancial

system (Chapter 12) and we have restructured Chapter 6 in order to treat the pricing

of bonds and equities separately.

PGAH

KB

xi

..

FINM_A01.qxd 1/31/07 3:22 PM Page xii

Guided tour

5.2 The ‘parallel’ markets

CHAPTER5

Box 5.4

London money market rates

UK INTEREST RATES

The money markets

May 31Over-7 daysOneThreeSixOne

nightnoticemonthmonthsmonthsyear

11921921923525111527

Interbank Sterling4–4–4–4–4–4–4–4–4–4–4–4–

16163216321632832161632

212121232515

BBA Sterling4–4–4–4–4–4–

323232323216

51911213231529

Sterling CDs4–4–4–4–4–4–4–4–

83216324321632

5191121

Treasury Bills4–4–4–4–

8321632

5191121

Bank Bills4–4–4–4–

8321632

5159115311157

†Local authority deps.4–4–4–4–4–4–4–4–4–4–

82816168416168

Objectives

21959

Discount Market deps.4–4–4–4–

3216816

Av. tndr rate of discount May 26, 4.5129pc. ECGD xed rate Stlg. Export Finance. make up day Apr 29, 2006. Reference rate for

What you will learn in this chapter:

period Apr 29, 2006 to May 31, 2005, Scheme V 4.701%. Finance House Base Rate 5pc for Apr 2006

1

lWho uses the money markets and for what purpose

UK clearing bank base lending rate 4–per cent from Aug 4, 2005

2

lWhat the various money markets are

Up to 11–33–66–99–12

monthmonthsmonthsmonthsmonths

lHow different money market instruments are priced

11

Certs of Tax dep. (£100,000)13–3–33

lWhy ‘money market operations’ are important to central banks

24

1

lHow to read, interpret and analyse data relating to the money market

Certs of Tax dep. under £100,000 is1pc. Deposits withdrawn for cash –pc.

2

FT

Source: Reuters, RBS, †Tradition (UK) Ltd.

In Chapters 3 and 4 we have been looking at the major groups of institutions that

participate in the nancial system. In this chapter, and in Chapters 6, 8 and 9, we

shall look at the markets in which these institutions operate. Financial institutions

are not the only participants, of course. All nancial markets (not just the money

5.2The ‘parallel’ markets

markets) involve brokers, market-makers, speculators, as well as the ultimate borrowers

and lenders – rms, governments and occasionally households. Box 5.1 provides a

The parallel markets are also markets for short-term money. They therefore share

list of the major market participants and their functions. The box makes it clear why

many of the characteristics of the traditional, discount, market. Deals are done for

nancial markets tend to be dominated by institutions (DTIs and NDTIs) rather than

very large sums at very small rates of prot. Most of the participants, banks and

individuals.

discount houses, are common to both the traditional and parallel markets. In this

It is common to talk of two groups of domestic nancial markets: the money

section we shall provide a brief description of each of the markets and follow that

markets and the capital markets. In one sense this is misleading. In both markets

with a discussion of the signicance of the parallel markets as a group.

what is offered for sale is debts or claims, in exchange for money. In both markets

it is money that is being borrowed. The difference which justies the labels is the

5.2.1The interbank market

period to maturity of the debts or, more simply, the length of time for which the

funds are borrowed. In the money markets, funds are borrowed for a short period,

As its name suggests, the interbank market is a market through which banks lend to

i.e. less than one year; in the capital markets, funds are borrowed for long-term use,

each other. Like the discount market this provides individual banks with an outlet

in some cases indeed with no promise of ever being repaid. Although the distinction

for surplus funds and a source of borrowing when their reserves are low. It is a

is useful and well recognised, it does not of course constrain people’s behaviour. Some

wholesale market. Deals are usually measured in £ms. The market developed in the

institutions – banks and building societies, for example – are accustomed to working

1960s, involving rstly overseas banks, and later merchant banks and discount houses.

in money markets, while others, like pension funds, are accustomed to capital markets,

Now it is used by all types of banks and it is not uncommon for NDTIs as well to

but these boundaries are occasionally crossed when commercial circumstances require.

lend surplus funds through this market.

Certainly, ultimate borrowers and lenders are free to switch as the advantage of doing

The loans are normally for very short periods, from overnight to fourteen days,

so presents itself. Firms may, as a rule, prefer to raise capital by issuing long-term bonds,

though some lending for three, six months and one year occurs. Naturally, given

117

129

..

Chapter Objectives– bullet points at the start of each

Boxes – provide different ways of illustrating and

chapter show what you can expect to learn from that

consolidating key points in the chapter. For example,

chapter, and highlight the core coverage.

Box 5.4 above provides information from the FT about

selected instruments in the London money markets.

Chapter 5 • The money markets

6.3 Bonds: supply, demand and price

security and a secondary market, as though they were somehow different in location,design and rules.

Thus it follows that the value of the whole stream of payments is the sum of this

progression. If P is the present value or price of the bond, then

n

1

P∑C(6.3)

Primary market:A market for newlyissuedsecurities.

t

(1 i)

t1

Secondary market:The market for existingsecurities.

In the case of an irredeemable bond, the payments go on for ever and t tends to

innity. This means that the series

While the way in which a market fulls its primary

ant to borrowers, every market is dominated by secondary

1

C(6.4)

In section 5.1 we shall look at the characteristics

i)t

(1

at this in some detail for two reasons. Firstly, until very

is converging on zero and the present value Pof the sum of the series can be more

was the money market in which the Bank of England

conveniently written as

activities, and it remains important from that point

we learn about the discount market can be carried

PC/i(6.5)

our discussion of the parallel money markets in section

This can be conrmed by taking the coupon of any undated government bond

at the way in which central banks, and the Bank of England

from the Financial Timesand dividing it by the current long-term rate of interest.

their power in the money markets to set short-term

5.1

The discount market

Exercise 6.1(a)On 6 May 2006, long-term interest rates were about 4.6 per cent. Calculate a price

1

for the undated bonds ‘Treasury 2/2%’ on that day.

In the discount market funds are raised by issuing bills, ‘at a discount’ to their eventual

(b)What would the price have been if long-term interest rates had been 1.6 per cent?

redemption or maturity value. We shall look at the characteristics of bills more carefully

in a moment. Transactions in the discount market are normally very large, enabling

Answers at end of chapter

prots to be made from deals involving differentials in discount rates of small fractions

of 1 per cent. The market has no physical location, relying almost exclusively on

However, most bonds in fact mature and so our formula has to include a valu-

telephone contact between operators and, therefore, on verbal contracts.

ation of the payment received on maturity. In this case Pis found as follows:

As with any market, we can think in terms of a source of supply and a source of

demand. In theory, bills can be issued by anyone, but in practice they are issued

n

1G1J

P∑CM(6.6)



mainly by large corporations (commercial bills) and by the government (treasury bills).

tIi)nL

(1 i)(1 

t1

The main buyers and holders of bills used to be a highly specialised group of banks

known as discount houses. Their central role came about because traditionally the

where Mis the maturity value of the bond.

Bank of England dealt only with the discount houses (rather than with the banks

Or, more compactly,

or nancial institutions as a whole). In 1997, when the Bank began dealing directly

CM

with a wide range of banks, retail and wholesale, the discount houses lost their

P(6.7)

tn

(1 i)(1 i)

special position and were generally absorbed into the banks that we described in

Chapter 3 as investment banks. This means that treasury and other eligible bills are

Remember that in calculating Pwe have assumed that the next coupon payment

now widely held throughout the banking system. As we said in section 3.3, this is

is one year away. This is a way of saying that the last coupon payment has just been

one of the reasons why banks can manage with such a low ratio of primary reserves.

made. In practice, however, we shall often want to price bonds at dates which lie

The existence of an active discount market, together with the distinctive characteristics

between two coupon payments. We might want to price a bond, for example, where

of bills (we look at these in a moment), means that these assets are highly liquid. In

three months have elapsed since the last coupon payment (and there are three months

the event of a shortage of primary reserves (cash and deposits with the central bank)

to run to the next half-coupon payment, or nine months to the next full payment).

banks can sell bills very quickly and for a price which is virtually certain.

If we continue with our assumption of single, annual coupon payments, it is clear that

Bills are certicates containing a promise to pay a specied sum of money to the

if we buy a bond three months after its last coupon payment, we have to wait only

holder at a specied time in the future. After issue they can be traded (they are thus

nine months to get the next coupon, and waiting nine months for a given payment

120

169

..

....

Key terms– provide clear definitions of key concepts in

Exercises– boxed in colour and interspersed throughout

each chapter, highlighted in colour where first introduced.

every chapter, providing an opportunity to practise the

new calculations you will learn in each chapter. Answers

to the exercises are provided at the end of each chapter.

..

FINM_A01.qxd 1/18/07 11:02 AM Page xiii

Guided Tour

Chapter 4 • Non-deposit-taking institutions

5.3 Monetary policy and the money markets

were persuaded to switch to private provision. It was always unlikely that personal

pension products could provide larger benets than occupational schemes, since

an employee in an occupational scheme beneted from the fact that the employer

also contributed. Furthermore, using the terms that we have explained above, these

private pensions were all funded schemes based on dened contributions. Inevitably,

therefore, some of those who switched to a private pension scheme gave up not only

their employer’s contribution to their retirement income but also his willingness

to bear the risk that the fund might not be large enough to pay the target income.

Fortunately, it is possible to establish retrospectively those cases where personal pen-

sions were ‘missold’. In 1995, the Personal Investment Authority (see Chapter 13)

insisted that pension funds should do precisely that and it estimated that there were

more than 300,000 ‘priority’ cases where compensation was urgently required.

As with other intermediaries, the nature of pension fund liabilities inuences the

composition of the asset portfolio. If the purpose of the fund is to collect ‘lifetime’

contributions in order to pay a pension that is related to nal salary or earnings, it

is obviously a fundamental requirement that an employee’s contributions be invested

in a manner which keeps their value at least in line with rising real earnings. As

we saw with long-term insurance funds, this inevitably means an emphasis uponFigures– offer graphicalcompany securities.

Figure 4.2 shows the composition of pension funds’ portfolios in 2004. Notice

rstly that at £761bn the market value of pension fund assets at the end of 2004 wasrepresentation of, forsecond only to that of long-term insurance funds. Of this total, UK company secur-

ities accounted for over 29 per cent, and overseas securities, by far the greater partexample, data andof which are also company shares, accounted for nearly 23 per cent. UK government

instruments discussed in

each chapter.

Figure 4.2Pension fund asset holdings at end 2004 (£bn)

Source: Adapted from ONS, Financial Statistics, April 2006. Table 5.1B

Figure 5.2

To understand the difference involved in choosing between these instruments,

consider Figure 5.2. At one end of the spectrum, the central bank can set the quantity

of reserves and refuse to adjust it in response to any changes in demand. In this case,

the supply of reserves is shown by the vertical supply curve Sin the diagram and

1

the quantity of reserves is R*. Banks’ demand for these reserves is shown by the

demand curve, D. Notice that the demand curve is drawn steeply. Provided that

1

banks offer free convertibility between deposits and notes and coin (and we saw in

Chapter 3 that their ability to do this is crucial to condence in the system), their

demand for reserves is very inelastic. To begin with, we have an equilibrium position

at a (short-term nominal) rate of interest at i*. Suppose now that banks demand more

reserves. Remember: this could be because their clients are making net payments to

government or it could simply be that they have increased their lending (for com-

mercial reasons) and now need additional reserves to hold against the extra deposits.

The demand curve shifts outwards to D. Given the inelasticity of demand, interest

2

rates could rise very quickly indeed and to very high levels. i′is the example in the

diagram. Demand is inelastic because banks must be able to ensure convertibility.

And since their liquidity position is calculated when interbank settlements take

place at the end of each day, they need the reserves instantly. Faced with a shortage

of reserves, banks will bid aggressively for short-term funds. For every £1 gained

in customer deposits, there is an equal gain in deposits at the central bank. This one-

for-one gain raises the D/Dratio. But in a situation where reserves are in generally

bp

short supply, bidding for deposits will not solve the problem. What one bank gains,

another bank loses. But while attempts by individual banks to gain reserves will be

self-defeating, they will push up short-term rates sharply.

At the other end of the spectrum, the central bank may respond to the increase in

demand by providing additional reserves which completely accommodate the demand.

This it mustdo if it wishes the rate of interest, i*, to continue. Such a situation is

shown in the diagram by the supply curve S, drawn horizontally at the going rate

2

of interest.

104

141

..

....

Chapter 2 • The nancial system and the real economy

Questions for discussion

1Distinguish between ‘saving’, ‘lending’ and a ‘nancial surplus’.

2A nancial surplus mustresult in the net acquisition of nancial assets. Assume that

you are in normal employment and that you regularly run a nancial surplus. Assume

further that you make no conscious decision to buy nancial assets. What nancial

assets will you inevitably acquire?

3If your income and capital account showed that you had made a ‘negative net

acquisition of nancial assets’, what would this mean in practice?

4Using the latest available gures, nd the value of households’ net acquisition of UK

ordinary company shares. How does this acquisition gure compare with the stock of

ordinary company shares already held? What were the most popular assets acquired

by households?

5Outline three ways in which the behaviour of the nancial system could affect the level

of aggregate demand in the economy.

6Suppose that prices in the US stock market suffer a major collapse. What effect would

you expect this to have upon the rest of the US economy and the economies of other

developed countries?

7Why does a company’s share price matter in a takeover battle? If you were the nancial

director of a predator rm, what would you want to happen to your rm’s share price?

Might you be able to inuence it in any way?

8Why might nancial systems fail to allocate resources to their most desirable use?

Further reading

AD Bain, The Financial System(Oxford: Blackwell, 2e, 1992) ch. 2

M Buckle and J Thompson, The UK Financial System(Manchester: Manchester UP, 4e, 2004)

chs. 1 and 16

PGA Howells and K Bain, The Economics of Money, Banking and Finance(Harlow: Financial

Times Prentice Hall, 3e, 2005) ch. 1

PJ Montiel, Macroeconomics in Emerging Markets(Cambridge: CUP, 2003) ch. 12

AM Santomero and DF Babbell, Financial Markets, Instruments and Institutions(McGraw-

Hill, 2e, 2001) chs. 1 and 2

Answers to exercises

2.1(a) £83.8 million (or 16.8%); (b) £7m; (c) £76.8 million.

2.2(a) Initial velocity was 0.888; (b) it was expected to fall to about 0.870 (i.e. by about 2 per cent).

2.3Initial average holdings of money are £2,000 and velocity is 1.0. After the change, money holdings

are £1,100 and velocity is 1.82. The loan will nance £1,636 of spending.

48

..

Questions for discussion– at the end of each

chapter are longer questions to ponder over and

discuss amongst your peers in class. Answers

for these can be found on the companion

website.

Further reading– provides full details of

sources to refer to for further information on the

topics covered in the chapter.

Answers to exercises– provide answers to the

boxed exercise in the chapter.

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Acknowledgements

The publishers are grateful to the Financial Times Limited for permission to reprint the

followingmaterial:

Box 4.3 Unit trust prices and yields, © Financial Times, 10/11 May 2003; Box 5.4 London

money market rates, © Financial Times, 7 May 2003; Box 6.8 Fed’s comments result

in a tumble, © Financial Times, 10/11 May 2003; Box 6.9 Rally sends FTSE past...,

© Financial Times, 7 May 2003; Box 6.10 UK Gilts – cash market, © Financial Times,

10/11 May 2003; Box 6.11 Food and drug retailers, © Financial Times, 7 May 2003;

Box 7.6 UK interest rate cut surprises gilt traders, from FT.com, © Financial Times,

6 February 2003; Box 8.2 The market interpretation of news, © Financial Times,

7 February 2003; Box 9.2 Interest rate futures, © Financial Times, 19 March 2003.

We are grateful to the following for permission to reproduce copyright material:

Tables 2.1, 2.2 and 2.3 adapted from Annual Accounts, 2002 (Ofce of National Statistics

2002) Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller

of HMSO and the Queen’s Printer for Scotland; Tables 3.2, 3.3 and 3.5 adapted from

Monetary and Financial Statistics, January 2003(Bank of England 2003) (all percentages

are calculated by Pearson Education and not the Bank of England); Table 3.4 adapted

from Financial Statistics, December 2002(Ofce of National Statistics 2002) Crown

copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO and

the Queen’s Printer for Scotland; Figures 4.1, 4.2, 4.3 and 4.4 adapted from Financial

Statistics, February 2003(Ofce of National Statistics 2003) Crown copyright material

is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of HMSO and the Queen’s Printer

for Scotland; Tables 4.1, 6.1 and 6.2 adapted from Financial Statistics, April 2003

(Ofce of National Statistics 2003) Crown copyright material is reproduced with the

permission of the Controller of HMSO and the Queen’s Printer for Scotland; Table 11.2

adapted from UK Budget Report 2003(HM Treasury at www.hm-treasury.gov.uk 2003)

Crown copyright material is reproduced with the permission of the Controller of

HMSO and the Queen’s Printer for Scotland; Table 11.3 adapted from Quarterly Bulletin

(Bank of England Winter 2001).

In some instances we have been unable to trace the owners of copyright material,

and we would appreciate any information that would enable us to do so.

The authors would like to thank colleagues and students at the Universities of East

London and the West of England who made numerous suggestions, spotted errors,

criticised and encouraged. Our thanks go especially to Murray Glickman, Iris Biefang-

FrisanchoMariscal and Derick Boyd.

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Terms used in equations

B

monetary base

c

coupon rate

C

coupon payment

d

rate of discount

g

growth rate of earnings

i

nominal rate of interest

K

the actual return on an asset

C

the expected return on an asset

A

the required return on an asset

Kthe rate of return on the ‘whole market’ portfolio or a whole market index fund

m

K

the risk-free rate of return, usually equivalent to iand, in practice, normally

rf

the rate of interest on treasury bills or government bonds

M

the maturity value (of a bond or bill)

M

money stock

s

nperiod to maturity

Pthe purchase or market price (the price level, in the aggregate)

Gthe rate of ination

Gethe expected rate of ination

rthe real rate of interest

Rredemption value

the standard deviation (of an asset’s return)

2

the variance (of an asset’s return)

yyield

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Supporting resources

Visit www.pearsoned.co.uk/howellsto find valuable online resources

Companion Website for students

lMultiple choice questions to test your learning

lWritten answer questions providing the opportunity to answer longer

questions

lAnnotated links to valuable sites of interest on the web

For instructors

lInstructor’s Manual consisting of detailed outlines of each chapter’s

objectives, answers to the questions for discussion at the end of each

chapter, notes on how to use weblinks and other resources

lTaking it further supplement containing notes and extra questions for each

chapter, stretching the subject further and providing more advanced material

Also:The Companion Website provides the following features:

l

Search tool to help locate specific items of content

l

E-mail results and profile tools to send results of quizzes to instructors

l

Online help and support to assist with website usage and troubleshooting

For more information please contact your local Pearson Education sales

representative or visit www.pearsoned.co.uk/howells

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CHAPTER1

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