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Large Scale Farming - ver 10.docx
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Kernel Grain trader actively integrating upstream

  • Rapid growth of the landbank through acquisitions: TTT ths ha added in 2011, another 119.2 ths ha added in April 2012 to a total of 330 ths ha, the largest among listed companies

  • One of the best location of the landbank: we estimate the land delivers 50% more in gross profit per ha than Ukraine`s average

Landbank dynamics, ths ha

Crop structure, by ha, 2011

Source: Company data

Source: Company data

Production costs, USD/ha, 2011

Wheat

Production costs, USD/ha, 2011

Corn

Source: Company data

Source: Company data

Crop yields, t/ha, 2011

Source: Company data, State Statistics Committee of Ukraine

Market data

Bloomberg

AGT PW

Reuters

AGT=PW

Recommendation

SELL

Price, PLN

17.5

12M target, PLN

17.0

Upside

-3%

No of shares, mln

21.7

Market Cap, PLN mln

379.2

52-week performance

 

52-week range, PLN

 

ADT, 12M, PLN mln

 

Free float, %

0.4

Free float, PLN mln

177.2

Source: Bloomberg

Ownership structure

Andrii Verevskyy

38%

Free float

62%

Source: Company data

Share price performance

Source: Bloomberg

Company description

Ukraine`s largest diversified agricultural company with sunflower oil production and grain trading as a core activities (66% and 29% of revenues in FY 2011 respectively). Aggressively expanded in farming by adding a total 240 ths ha via acquisitions over the last 1.5 years.

Company`s landbank, ths ha

Source: Company data

MHP

Poultry producer

  • Farming segment provides feedstock for poultry farming, a key segment for the company. Extra crops are sold to third partie

  • We calculate farming accounted for 18% of revenues and 30% of EBITDA in 2011

  • The most efficient farmer able to achieve largest crop yields premiums to its benchmark region averages which more than compensate the industry highest costs applied to ha

  • One of the best land location

Landbank dynamics, ths ha

Crop structure, by ha, 2011

Source: Company data

Source: Company data

Production costs, USD/ha, 2011

Wheat

Production costs, USD/ha, 2011

Corn

Source: Company data

Source: Company data

Crop yields, t/ha, 2010

2011

Source: Company data, State Statistics Committee of Ukraine

Market data

Bloomberg

AGT PW

Reuters

AGT=PW

Recommendation

SELL

Price, PLN

17.5

12M target, PLN

17.0

Upside

-3%

No of shares, mln

21.7

Market Cap, PLN mln

379.2

52-week performance

 

52-week range, PLN

 

ADT, 12M, PLN mln

 

Free float, %

0.4

Free float, PLN mln

177.2

Source: Bloomberg

Ownership structure

Yury Kosyuk

80.7%

Free float

19.3%

Source: Company data

Share price performance

Source: Bloomberg

Company description

Largest poultry producer in Ukraine, with a market share of 50% of industrially produced chicken. Also cultivates 280 ths ha. Owns a sunflower oilseed pressing plant with a total capacity of 590 kt p.a. In 2011, produced 384 kt of poultry working at full capacity, 174 kt of sunflower oil and 1.7 mln mt of crops. Key investment project is Vinnytsia poultry facility: total target production capacity of 440 kt of chicken meat per year, first stage with 220 kt to be launched in 1Q13.

Company`s landbank, ths ha

Source: Company data

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