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Large Scale Farming - ver 10.docx
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Valuation

Valuation summary

We assign target prices for Ukrainian farming companies using a 50/50 blend of DCF and asset-based valuation methods. We employ a mix as DCF captures company-specific cost and yields efficiencies, while the asset-based approach focuses on the target EV/ha ratio that accounts for quality of location and efficiency compared to region of operations.

Valuation summary

Company name

Target EV/ha

Implied price

Target price,

USD

Last price

USD

Upside

Target price,

listed currency

DCF

Multiple-based approach

DCF

Multiple-based approach

Asset-based approach

For asset-based valuation, we start with an assumption for Ukraine’s average value for leasing rights, USD 1,600/ha (see details for how we arrive at this figure in Appendix X). We then apply a range of premiums and discounts to account for location and efficiency compared to a company’s region of operations. For companies also engaged in non-farming activities, we add the value of their non-core businesses.

Asset-based valuation summary

Company name

Weighted regions target EV/ha, USD

Premium for company`s efficiency compared to its region

Implied target EV/ha, USD

Implied EV of farming business

EV of non-farming business

Target EV, USD mln

Net Debt, USD mln, 2011

Target price, USD

Asset-based valuation

For asset-based valuation, we:

  • start with an assumption for Ukraine’s average value for leasing rights, USD 1,600/ha (see details for how we arrive at this figure in Appendix X)

  • then we apply a range of premiums and discounts to account for location and efficiency compared to a company’s region of operations (see below for the full list)

  • For companies also engaged in non-farming activities, we add the value of their non-core businesses based on target EV/EBITDA multiple and asset value for storage facilities

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