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Fi gures of Mer i t

Figure of Merit

Definition

Measures

Proxy Parameters

 

 

 

 

Cost of operations

Average annual

Average annual costs

Annual and per-mission System mass;

 

integration and

 

level of communications and navigation

 

maintenance costs after

 

infrastructure required; number and

 

IOC (fixed and variable)

 

complexity of major architecture

 

 

 

elements/systems; level of autonomy

 

 

 

(for ground and flight operations) of

 

 

 

architecture systems; maintainability/

 

 

 

life of architecture systems; level of

 

 

 

reusability of architecture systems

Cost of mission

Average cost of failure

failure

occurring during a

 

mission, including all

 

direct and indirect

 

return-to-flight costs.

Average cost of mission failure; time to return to flight after mission failure

Number and type of alternate launch systems; level of commonality and modularity between systems; system production costs; recurring cost per flight

Factors quantitatively calculated

Factors qualitatively determined using expert elicitation

A v er sat ile concep t for a ssur ed space access

 

 

77

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Appendix B

APPENDIX B

PAYLOAD MARKET AND COMMERCIAL

VIABILITY ANALYSIS

A realistic payload demand forecast underpins the commercial viability analysis performed in this study. The market forecast was derived by projecting future launch demand forward from the last ten years of satellite launch history. Sources of data included the Union for Concerned Scientists, the NASA National Space Science Data Center (NSSDC), AMSAT, and other indepen- dently verified sources. The demand forecast was calibrated with near-term forecasts published by industry monitoring organizations such as Teal Group, Euroconsult, and the Commercial Space Transportation Advisory Committee (COMSTAC). A Gompertz curve (an S-curve function commonly used for economic applications) was employed as the forecast model. The shape of this curve was determined by solving for the inflection point and growth parameterthat best fit the historical data as well as near-term growth estimates. Market demand was projected for the period of 2010 to 2060. All historical data was normalized to low-Earth orbit equivalent delivered payload in order to represent the total demand to all orbital destinations.

In order to produce meaningful demand predictions across the broad range of vehicle payload capabilities examined, the market forecast was stratified into payload classes (by mass).

To account for the fact that the payload capability of an available launch vehicle would likely influence the design mass of real world payloads, the payload classes were binned according to a span of plus or minus 20 percent from the target payload mass. Thus, multiple forecast curves were produced representing the forecast with error bands of plus or minus 20 percent of payload masses. Competition in the marketplace would prevent a launch vehicle from capturing the entirety of the forecasted demand, so a market capture percentage is applied to the overall demand forecast.

The potential for dual manifesting was accounted for by summing the market forecast at the target payload together with half the market forecast of the payload class that is half the mass of the target payload.

Examples of the binned market demand are shown on page 79 in the growth of market demand over time. In the detailed analysis, payloads were binned at a higher fidelity.

Commercial viability was assessed forall concepts considered in the screening process, as well as for the three point designs. The commercial viability margin was defined as the difference of the breakeven price from the market price, divided by the breakeven price.

Commercial Viability Margin = (Market Price – Breakeven Price) / Breakeven Price

A positive value represented commercial viability, meaning the breakeven price is lower than the market, and the concept could generate profit. A negative value indicated that the market price was lower than the breakeven price, and the concept would not be profitable over the campaign.

78 Horizontal l aunch

Payload Market and Commercial Viabilit y Analysis

Market Demand (number of llaunches)

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5,000,

10,000,

15,000,

20,000,

25,000,

30,000,

35,000,

40,000,

LEO Equivalent Payload (lbs)

Global Market Demand for Commercial Launches

A v er sat ile concep t for a ssur ed space access

 

 

79

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

aunch l Horizontal 80

APPENDIX C

STUDY SURVEY

Concept

Government/

Performer

Last

Design

Design

Technology

System Description

Name

Agency

 

Year

Payload (lbs)

Maturity

Timeframe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-02

US/NASA

Astrox

2001

25,000 lb

1-Low

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with various low speed operating

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

system engine concepts accelerating vehicle to DMRSJ

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

takeover at M3+, followed by various methods of transitioning

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to rocket propulsion (Hunt , 2001)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-04 (LACE)

US/NASA

Langley

2001

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with various low speed operating

 

 

Research

 

 

 

 

system engine concepts accelerating vehicle to DMRSJ

 

 

Center

 

 

 

 

takeover at M3+, followed by various methods of transitioning

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to rocket propulsion (Hunt , 2001)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-04a (LOX)

US/NASA

Langley

2001

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with various low speed operating

 

 

Research

 

 

 

 

system engine concepts accelerating vehicle to DMRSJ

 

 

Center

 

 

 

 

takeover at M3+, followed by various methods of transitioning

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to rocket propulsion (Hunt , 2001)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-04b (AceTR)

US/NASA

Langley

2001

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with various low speed operating

 

 

Research

 

 

 

 

system engine concepts accelerating vehicle to DMRSJ

 

 

Center

 

 

 

 

takeover at M3+, followed by various methods of transitioning

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to rocket propulsion (Hunt , 2001)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-04c (ABTJ)

US/NASA

Langley

2001

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with various low speed operating

 

 

Research

 

 

 

 

system engine concepts accelerating vehicle to DMRSJ

 

 

Center

 

 

 

 

takeover at M3+, followed by various methods of transitioning

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to rocket propulsion (Hunt , 2001)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-04e (ABTJ)

US/NASA

Langley

2003

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with various low speed operating

 

 

Research

 

 

 

 

system engine concepts accelerating vehicle to DMRSJ

 

 

Center

 

 

 

 

takeover at M3+, followed by various methods of transitioning

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to rocket propulsion (Hunt , 2001)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-05

US/NASA

Pratt and

2001

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with various low speed operating

 

 

Whitney

 

 

 

 

system engine concepts accelerating vehicle to DMRSJ

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

takeover at M3+, followed by various methods of transitioning

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to rocket propulsion (Hunt , 2001)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-06 (RBCC

US/NASA

Boeing,

2001

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with RBCC in Air-Augmented

Rocketdyne)

 

Aerojet,

 

 

 

 

Rocket mode to DMSJ takeover at M2.5+, followed by

 

 

McKinney

 

 

 

 

transition to rocket propulsion (Moses , 1999)

 

 

Associates

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C Appendix

access space ed ssur a for t concep ile sat er v A

Concept

Government/

Performer

Last

Design

Design

Technology

System Description

Name

Agency

 

Year

Payload (lbs)

Maturity

Timeframe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-07a (RBCC

US/NASA

Boeing,

2001

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with RBCC in Air-Augmented

Aerojet)

 

Aerojet,

 

 

 

 

Rocket mode to DMSJ takeover at M2.5+, followed by

 

 

McKinney

 

 

 

 

transition to rocket propulsion (Moses , 1999)

 

 

Associates

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-07c (RBCC

US/NASA

Boeing,

2001

25,000 lb

2-Med

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with RBCC in air-augmented

Aerojet)

 

Aerojet,

 

 

 

 

rocket mode to DMSJ takeover at M2.5+, followed by transition

 

 

McKinney

 

 

 

 

to rocket propulsion (Moses , 1999)

 

 

Associates

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-07c-

US/NASA

Boeing,

2001

25,000

2-Med

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with launch assisst with RBCC

LaunchAssist (RBCC

 

Aerojet,

 

 

 

 

in Air-Augmented Rocket mode to DMSJ takeover at M2.5+,

Aerojet)

 

McKinney

 

 

 

 

followed by transition to rocket propulsion (Moses , 1999)

 

 

Associates

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-08 (PDE GE)

US/NASA

Lockheed

2001

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with PDE low speed operating

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

system DMSJ takeover at M3+, followed by transition to rocket

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

propulsion (Moses , 1999)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-09 (AceTR /

US/NASA

Boeing

2001

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with various low speed operating

ATSD)

 

Company

 

 

 

 

systems engine concepts accelerating vehicle to DMRSJ

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

takeover at M3+, followed by various methods of transitioning

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to rocket propulsion (Moses , 1999)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-10

US/NASA

Boeing

2001

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Air breathing launch vehicle with various low speed operating

 

 

Company

 

 

 

 

systems engine concepts accelerating vehicle to DMRSJ

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

takeover at M3+, followed by various methods of transitioning

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to rocket propulsion (Moses , 1999)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-GT

US/NASA

Aerojet,

2000

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

ABLV-GT accelerates with aerospike tail rocket and turboramjet

 

 

Georgia

 

 

 

 

to Mach 3. From Mach 3-18 the vehicle uses DMSJ and

 

 

Tech

 

 

 

 

aerospike rocket. From Mach 18 to orbit, thrust is provided by

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

the rocket exclusively. (Bradford, 2000)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABLV-VTHL

US/NASA

Boeing,

2000

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Same as ABLV-07c, except for VTO (configuration assumed

 

 

Aerojet,

 

 

 

 

compatible with VTO, not technically correct) - analysis done

 

 

McKinney

 

 

 

 

solely as “what if?” trade (Moses, 1999)

 

 

Associates

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Advanced Reusable

US/NASA

Langley

1999

2,000

1-Low

3-Far

Air-launched from An-225 (Moses, 1999)

Small Launch

 

Research

 

 

 

 

 

System

 

Center

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Airbourne

NA

Dassault

2008

154

1-Low

1-Near

Two stage solid/liquid upper stage air-launched from Rafale

Microlauncher“MLA”

 

 

 

 

 

 

fighter (Dassault, 2008)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

vey Sur y d Stu

81

aunch l Horizontal 82

Concept

Government/

Performer

Last

Design

Design

Technology

System Description

Name

Agency

 

Year

Payload (lbs)

Maturity

Timeframe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Air-launched SS-520

Japan

IHI

NA

37

1-Low

1-Near

SS-520 sounding rocket air-dropped from a C-130 (HLS Team,

 

 

Aerospace

 

 

 

 

2011)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ALS - Boeing

US/Air Force

Boeing

1999

7,500 lb

2-Med

1-Near

Modified Boeing 747 carrier aircraft air-launches a three-stage,

Airlaunch with 747

 

Company

 

 

 

 

winged upper stage. Upperstage is basically an Athena rocket

(Fuselage)

 

 

 

 

 

 

with wings. (Boeing, 2000)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ALS - Boeing

US/Air Force

Boeing

2000

7,500

1-Low

1-Near

Modified Boeing 747 carrier aircraft air-launches a three-stage,

AirLaunch with 747

 

Company

 

 

 

 

winged upper stage. Upper stage is basically an Athena rocket

(Underwing)

 

 

 

 

 

 

with wings. (Boeing, 2000)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ALSV - Air Launched

US/Air Force

Boeing

1981

3,000

1-Low

1-Near

Modified Boeing 747 (attachment hardware, dewar, tail rocket)

Sortie Vehicle

 

Company

 

 

 

 

carries an all-rocket orbiter and cylindrical drop tank to altitude

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

for air launch. (Day, 2010)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ALSV - Air Launched

US/Air Force

General

1981

5,000

1-Low

1-Near

Modified Boeing 747 (new H-tail, attachment hardware) carries

Sortie Vehicle

 

Dynamics

 

 

 

 

an all-rocket orbiter and V-shaped drop tank to altitude for air

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

launch. (Day, 2010)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ALSV - Air Launched

US/Air Force

Rockwell

1981

3,000

1-Low

1-Near

Modified Boeing 747 (new V-tail, attachment hardware) carries

Sortie Vehicle

 

International

 

 

 

 

an all-rocket orbiter and drop tank to altitude for air launch.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Day, 2010)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AMSC - Trans-

US/Air Force

Rockwell

1984

10,000

1-Low

2-Mid

Modified Boeing 747 air-launches reusable orbiter and drop

Atmospheric

 

 

 

 

 

 

tanks. Orbiter accelerates to orbit using rocket propulsion.

Vehicle (747-

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Sanborn, 1984)

Launched 1.5 Stage)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AMSC - Trans-

US/Air Force

Rockwell

1984

10,000

1-Low

3-Far

Ground effect machine (GEM) launch assist is used to

Atmospheric

 

 

 

 

 

 

accelerate a reusable delta-winged orbiter to takeoff velocity.

Vehicle (GEM-

 

 

 

 

 

 

Orbiter continues to accelerate using rocket thrust. (Sanborn,

Launched SSTO)

 

 

 

 

 

 

1984)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ARTS

IRAD

SpaceWorks,

2003

40,000

1-Low

3-Far

Maglev launch assist accelerates vehicle to Mach ~0.8. Dual-

 

 

Gray

 

 

 

 

fuel, all-rocket propulsion used during remained of mission.

 

 

Research

 

 

 

 

Vehicle is reusable. (Wallace, 2003)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Astroliner

IRAD

Kelly

1993

10,030

1-Low

2-Mid

Astroliner towed to altitude by 747. Used LOX/Kerosene rocket

 

 

Aerospace

 

 

 

 

engines to accelerate to Mach 6.5 staging point. Released

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

upper stage. (Sarigul-Klijn, 2001)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C Appendix

access space ed ssur a for t concep ile sat er v A

Concept

Government/

Performer

Last

Design

Design

Technology

System Description

Name

Agency

 

Year

Payload (lbs)

Maturity

Timeframe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Athena

US/NASA

University

1994

3,773

1-Low

1-Near

Three stage liquid rocket air-dropped from C-5B carrier aircraft.

 

 

of Michigan

 

 

 

 

Rocket carried in C-5B cargo bay. (Booker, 1994)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ATS Option 3 SSTO

US/NASA

Langley

1993

25,000 lb

2-Med

3-Far

Vehicle takes off under low-speed airbreathing plus rocket

(AB/R)

 

Research

 

 

 

 

mode. Transition to ramjet mode occurs at Mach 3, followed

 

 

Center

 

 

 

 

by transition to scramjet mode at Mach 6. Rocket mode

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

accelerates the vehicle from Mach 15 to orbit. (NASA, 1994)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ATS Option 3 TSTO

US/NASA

Ames

1994

25,000

2-Med

3-Far

Vehicle takes off under turbo-ramjet thrust. Staging between

(AB/R)

 

Research

 

 

 

 

the booster and orbiter occurs at Mach 5. (NASA, 1994)

 

 

Center

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AVATAR

India

DRDO

2001

2,500

1-Low

3-Far

AVATAR takes off horizontally using turbo-ramjet engines.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Scramjet mode is then used from Mach 4 to 8. During this

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

phase, air is collected and liquid oxygen is stored. A rocket

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

mode is then used to complete the ascent to orbit. (HLS Team,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

B-52H Responsive

US/DARPA

Orbital

2004

500

2-Med

1-Near

Three-stage rocket air-launched from B-52. (Frick, 2004)

Air Launch

 

Sciences,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Schafer

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bantam-X Argus

US/NASA

Georgia

1999

300

1-Low

3-Far

Ground launch assist system provides 800 ft/s initial velocity.

 

 

Tech

 

 

 

 

Vehicle accelerates with supersonic ejector ramjet (SERJ) in

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ejector mode, transitions to ramjet mode at Mach 3, transition

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

from ramjet to rocket primary at Mach 6 and continues to orbit.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(St. Germain, 1999)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bantam-X KLIN

US/NASA

Georgia

1999

20,000

1-Low

3-Far

Ground launch assist system provides 800 ft/s initial velocity.

Argus

 

Tech

 

 

 

 

Deeply cooled turbojet operate together up to Mach 1.5, DCTJ

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

alone provides thrust to Mach 4, rockets throttled back up

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

between Mach 4 and 6, final transition to rocket mode at Mach

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6 and above (St. Germain, 1999)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bantam-X PDRE

US/NASA

Georgia

1999

20,000

1-Low

3-Far

Ground launch assist system provides 800 ft/s initial velocity.

Argus

 

Tech

 

 

 

 

PDRE provides all thrust until Mach 2, ramjets used from Mach

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2 to 6, and then PDREs propel vehicle to orbit (St. Germain,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1999)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bantam-X Stargazer

US/NASA

Georgia

1999

300

1-Low

3-Far

Vehicle accelerates in ejector mode from liftoff to Mach 3, dual-

 

 

Tech

 

 

 

 

mode ramjet/scramjets accelerate to Mach 10, transition to

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

rocket mode from Mach 10 to Mach 14 staging point. Rocket

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

upper stage continues to orbit. (Olds, 1999b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

vey Sur y d Stu

83

aunch l Horizontal 84

Concept

Government/

Performer

Last

Design

Design

Technology

System Description

Name

Agency

 

Year

Payload (lbs)

Maturity

Timeframe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bantam-X Starsaber

US/NASA

Georgia

2001

300

1-Low

2-Mid

Vehicle accelerates in ejector mode until Mach 3.5, utilizes

 

 

Tech

 

 

 

 

ramjet mode from Mach 3.5 to 5.5, and then rocket mode from

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mach 5.5 to staging at Mach 10. Rocket upper stage continues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

to orbit (St. Germain, 2001)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Beta

US/NASA

Boeing

1991

50,000

1-Low

3-Far

Fully reusable system with combined air-breathing and rocket

 

 

Company

 

 

 

 

propulsion on the booster, and rocket propulsion on the

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

orbiter. Staging at Mach 8. (Nadell, 1992)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Beta II

US/NASA

LaRC,

1992

17,500 lb

1-Low

3-Far

Fully reusable system with air-breathing booster and rocket

 

 

Boeing

 

 

 

 

orbiter. Mach 6.5 staging point. (Nadell, 1992)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Black Colt

US/Air Force

Martin

1994

1,000

2-Med

2-Mid

Black Colt takes off under turbojet power, climbs, and

 

 

Marietta

 

 

 

 

rendezvous with tanker. Tanker transfers liquid oxygen

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

enabling Black Colt to accelerate to a Mach 12 staging

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

condition. From there, Star-48 motor accelerates payload to

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

orbit. (Zubrin, 1995)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Black Horse

IRAD

Pioneer

2000

1,000

1-Low

2-Mid

Black Horse takes off under turbojet power, climbs to altitude,

 

 

Astronautics

 

 

 

 

and rendezvous with tanker. Tanker transfers liquid oxygen

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

enabling Black Horse to accelerate to orbit using a tail-

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

mounted rocket. (Zubrin, 1995)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

BladeRunner

US/Air Force

SMC

2004

2,000

1-Low

2-Mid

Bladerunner can be air-dropped from a C-17A at Mach 0.8, 40

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

kft. System accelerates to Mach 11 under rocket power. Staging

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

occurs and upper stage proceeds to orbit. Booster is re-used.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Hampsten, 2004)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Boeing F-15 Global

IRAD

Boeing

2006

600

2-Med

1-Near

Modified F-15 aircraft carries two-stage rocket upper stage on

Strike Eagle (F-15

 

Company

 

 

 

 

top of fuselage. Staging is supersonic. (Chen , 2006)

GSE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crossbow

IRAD

Teledyne

2010

NA

1-Low

2-Mid

Specialized, all-new carrier aircraft is used to deploy a two-

 

 

Brown

 

 

 

 

stage liquid rocket at high gamma. (Sorensen, 2004)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dedalus Air Launch

France

CNES,

NA

330

1-Low

1-Near

Air-launch from new carrier aircraft at Mach 0.7. A three-stage

Concept

 

ONERA

 

 

 

 

solid upper stage carries the payload to orbit. (Talbot, 2008)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DF-09 RBCC

US/Air Force

Boeing

1998

5,000

1-Low

3-Far

Vehicle uses RBCC propulsion. Staging point is Mach 10.

 

 

Company

 

 

 

 

(Scuderi, 1998)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DF-09 TBCC

US/Air Force

Boeing

1998

5,000

1-Low

3-Far

TBCC DF-9 takes off under turbo-ramjet thrust and transitions

 

 

Company

 

 

 

 

to ramjet-scramjet operation starting at Mach 4. The vehicle

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

uses a linear rocket system to provide thrust during a pop-up

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

maneuver. (Scuderi, 1998)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C Appendix

access space ed ssur a for t concep ile sat er v A

Concept

Government/

Performer

Last

Design

Design

Technology

System Description

Name

Agency

 

Year

Payload (lbs)

Maturity

Timeframe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DF-10 TBCC

US/Air Force

Boeing

1996

10,000

2-Med

2-Mid

Study produced a quick-reaction, global reach ISR Mach 10

 

 

Company

 

 

 

 

aircraft capable of delivering a 10 klb payload globally and

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

returning to CONUS (Scuderi, 1998)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DRLV

Israel

Israel Inst.

2008

165

1-Low

1-Near

F-15I carrier aircraft deploys 2-stage solid rocket. (HLS Team,

 

 

Tech.

 

 

 

 

2011)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

F-15 Microsatellite

US/Air Force

Boeing

2003

440

2-Med

1-Near

Solid rocket upper stage carried on centerline beneath F-15

Launch Vehicle

 

Company

 

 

 

 

fighter. (HLS Team, 2011)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FALCON Quick

US/DARPA

AirLaunch

2004

1,000 lb

2-Med

1-Near

Quick Reach is air-dropped from a C-17 and uses 2 liquid stages

Reach

 

LLC

 

 

 

 

to put its payload in LEO. (AirLaunch, 2007)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Frequent Flyer (Dan

IRAD

Teledyne

NA

1,000

1-Low

2-Mid

Frequent Flyer is boosted by an expendable rocket first

DeLong)

 

Brown

 

 

 

 

stage. After first stage burnout, a winged-body second stage

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

proceeds to a second staging point. A rocket upper stage

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

accelerates the payload to orbit under rocket thrust. (XCOR,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Global Range TAV

IRAD

ANSER,

2009

20,000

3-High

1-Near

All-rocket vehicle derived from RASV database, with detailed

 

 

McKinney

 

 

 

 

scaling algorithms. (HLS Team, 2011)

 

 

Associates

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HOTOL

UK

British

1982

17,600

1-Low

2-Mid

HOTOL takes off using a rocket-propelled sled. The vehicle

 

 

Aerospace

 

 

 

 

then uses a novel RB545 air/LH2/LOX rocket engine to

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

accelerate to Mach 5. From Mach 5 to orbit the vehicle uses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

pure rocket propulsion. (Sarigul-Klijn, 2001)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HOTOL - Interim

UK

British

1991

NA

1-Low

3-Far

Air-launched from a Ukrainian An-225 Mriya aircraft. Interim

with An-225

 

Aerospace

 

 

 

 

HOTOL would separate from the carrier aircraft at subsonic

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

speeds, and would then pull up for the ascent to orbit. It

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

would return via a gliding re-entry and landing on gear on a

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

conventional runway. (Neiland, 1991)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HRST Argus

US/NASA

Georgia

1998

20,000

1-Low

3-Far

Argus utilizes Maglifter launch assist to reach 800 ft/s at launch.

 

 

Tech

 

 

 

 

Main engines are initially in supercharged ejector mode and

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

transitions to fan-ramjet mode between Mach 2 and 3. Argus

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

flies in fan-ramjet/ramjet mode until Mach 6, at which point it

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

transitions to rocket mode for the final leg to orbit. (Olds, 1998)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HRST ATS with MHD

US/NASA

Lockheed,

1998

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Lockheed HRST concept used the NASA ATS configuration with

 

 

Aerojet,

 

 

 

 

a MHD Energy By-Pass engine system to “shift” the Aerojet

 

 

ANSER,

 

 

 

 

StrutJet engine performance back up along the Mach axis.

 

 

McKinney

 

 

 

 

(HLS Team, 2011)

 

 

Associates

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HRST ERJ / LACE

US/NASA

Langley

1998

52,800

1-Low

3-Far

Vehicle uses LACE Ejector Ramjet (ERJ) RBCC propulsion. (HLS

SSTO

 

Research

 

 

 

 

Team, 2011)

 

 

Center

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

vey Sur y d Stu

85

aunch l Horizontal 86

Concept

Government/

Performer

Last

Design

Design

Technology

System Description

Name

Agency

 

Year

Payload (lbs)

Maturity

Timeframe

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HRST Hyperion

US/NASA

Georgia

1998

20,000

1-Low

3-Far

Hyperion uses its RBCC engines in ejector mode during

 

 

Tech

 

 

 

 

take-off and up to Mach 3. Between Mach 3 and Mach 5.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

the vehicle uses ramjet mode, and from Mach 5.5 to Mach 10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

scramjet mode is used. Mach 10 to orbit is accomplished using

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

rocket thrust. (Olds,1999a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HRST Space

US/NASA

Space

1998

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

SSTO all-rocket vehicle with launch assist. Limited definition

America Concept

 

America

 

 

 

 

available. (NASA, 1998)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HRST SSTO

US/NASA

Rockwell

1998

20,000 lb

1-Low

3-Far

Waverider configuration (length/diameter=5). Uses maglev

Waverider

 

 

 

 

 

 

launch assist for take-off and 8 turbojets for low-speed

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

propulsion. High speed propulsion is RBCC. (NASA, 1998)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HSDTV

India

DRDO

2007

NA

1-Low

3-Far

Vehicle uses scramjet and rocket propulsion modes. Staging

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

point is at Mach 6.5. (HLS Team, 2011)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HTS-1 Turbines (+

US/NASA

Boeing

2000

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Vehicle uses turbines plus tail rockets on the booster, and

Tail Rocket) / Rocket

 

Company

 

 

 

 

rocket propulsion on the upper stage. (HLS Team, 2011)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HTS-2 RBCC / Rocket

US/NASA

Boeing

2000

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Vehicle uses RBCC propulsion on the booster and rockets on

 

 

Company

 

 

 

 

the upper stage. (HLS Team, 2011)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HTS-3 TBCC:

US/NASA

Boeing

2000

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Vehicle uses TBCC and tail rockets on the booster and rockets

Turbines/RJ/SJ (+

 

Company

 

 

 

 

on the upper stage. (HLS Team, 2011)

Tail Rocket) / Rocket

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HTS-4 ACES/RBCC /

US/NASA

Boeing

2000

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Vehicles uses RBCC propulsion with ACES on the booster and

Rocket

 

Company

 

 

 

 

rockets on the upper stage. (HLS Team, 2011)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HTS-5 Turbines (+

US/NASA

Boeing

2000

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Vehicle uses turbines and tail rockets on the booster and RBCC

Tail Rocket) / RBCC

 

Company

 

 

 

 

on the upper stage. (HLS Team, 2011)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HTS-6 TBCC:

US/NASA

Boeing

2000

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Vehicle uses TBCC propulsion on the booster and RBCC on the

Turbines/RJ/SJ (+

 

Company

 

 

 

 

upper stage. (HLS Team, 2011)

Tail Rocket) / RBCC

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HTS-7 Turbines (+

US/NASA

Boeing

2000

25,000

1-Low

3-Far

Vehicle uses turbines and tail rockets on the booster and

Tail Rocket) w/ 2nd

 

Company

 

 

 

 

rockets alone on the upper stage. (HLS Team, 2011)

stage Rocket

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

JSS - RALV-B

US/NASA

Langley

2010

20,000

2-Med

3-Far

TBCC booster stage. (NASA, 2010)

 

 

Research

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Center

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LauncherOne

IRAD

Scaled

2010

440

2-Med

1-Near

White Knight 2 carries three-stage upper stage. (Amos, 2009)

(WK2 + upper stage)

 

Composites

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

C Appendix

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