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29 Prediction and Machine Learning Models for Early Prediction of AKI 347

Conclusions

AI and ML models are increasingly becoming integrated into clinical practice, offering signicant potential for early detection of AKI alongside emerging serum and urinary biomarkers, which offer the advantage of signicantly reduced consum­able costs. Both standard supervised ML approaches and newer AI techniques like NLP and sub-phenotyping hold promise for integration into clinical workows soon. However, to expedite their application in clinical practice, we must address the substantial translational gap between published models and real-world applicability. This gap can be narrowed through improvements in the regulatory framework and the standardization of data structures in EHR systems.

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Chapter 30
Ultrasound in Acute Kidney Injury
Gregorio Romero-González, Nicholas S. M. Bianchi Bosisio, Sara Samoni, and Fiorenza Ferrari

Introduction

The optimal management of AKI in the critical care setting involves multiple aspects that may be improved by performing renal ultrasound, mainly color Doppler (RD) and multi-organ ultrasound evaluation (MOUSE model) (Fig. 30.1).
Usually, the RD has traditionally been limited to the visualization of the renal vasculature [1], and it is not specic enough to differentiate between causes of renal AKI, excluding a urinary obstruction.
Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-66541-7_30.
G. Romero-González Nephrology Department,
N. S. M. Bianchi Bosisio Department of Clinical-Surgical, Diagnostic, and Paediatric Sciences, Unit of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy
Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care, ASST Valtellina e Alto Lario, Sondrio, Italy S. Samoni
Department of Nephrology, Dialysis and Kidney Transplant, Fondazione IRRCS CaGranda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
Department of Anesthesia, Intensive Care and Emergency, Fondazione IRRCS CaGranda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
F. Ferrari ( Department of Clinical-Surgical, Diagnostic, and Paediatric Sciences, Unit of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy
Department of Anesthesia, Intensive Care and Emergency, Fondazione IRRCS CaGranda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2024 A. Cotoia et al. (eds.), Nutrition, Metabolism and Kidney Support,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-66541-7_30
✉)
University Hospital Germans Trias I Pujol, Badalona, Spain
349
350 G. Romero-González et al.
Lung Ultrasound
Pneumonia Pulmonary oedema Pleural effusion
Venous Congestion Assessment( VExUS)
Inferior Cava Vein diameter and collasability Congestive Hepathopathy Congestive Nephropathy
Focused Cardiac Ultrasound
Left/Right ventricular systolic function Diastolic disfunction Mitral/Tricuspid regurgitation Left/Right ventricular diameters Pleural effusion
Kidney insonation
Renal parénquima: Size Echogenicity Hydronephrosis Arterial Dopple: Resistive Inde x
Fig. 30.1 The MOUSE model concept: multi-organ ultrasound evaluation in patients with AKI
Kidney ultrasound is useful to assess the size of the renal parenchyma (normal: 10–12 cm), cortical thickness (normal: 0.7–1 cm), the echogenicity of the paren­chyma which in normal conditions is similar to that of the liver or spleen, increased echogenicity (e.g., glomerulosclerosis), decreased echogenicity (e.g., cortical necro­sis or pyelonephritis), and nally the presence of hydronephrosis or dilatation of the urinary tract, which may be related to acute urinary retention, stones, or extrinsic compression of the urinary tract [
1, 2].
Bedside of RD, MOUSE can contribute to the early management of AKI: it may be used as an adjunct in the optimization of hemodynamic status to detect arterial hypoperfusion and venous congestion. The latter is very important since a rise of venous pressure adversely affects kidney perfusion, as demonstrated in animal models [
3]. Futhermore, in hospitalized patients with acute congestive heart failure,
renal function deterioration has been associated with higher central venous pressure (CVP) but not with lower cardiac index or lower mean arterial pressure [4], suggesting that venous congestion may be a contributor in critically ill patients as well [5].

Doppler Assesses Vascular Congestion

The presence of an inferior vena cava (IVC) greater than 2 cm that collapses less than 50% on inspiration (in nonmechanically ventilated patients) is indicative of elevated right atrial pressure (RAP) and CVP [6]. The next step is therefore to interrogate other vascular territories using pulsed Doppler to con rm whether the elevated RAP is transmitted retrogradely to other venous vessels such as the hepatic veins (HVs),
30 Ultrasound in Acute Kidney Injury 351
portal vein (PV), and intrarenal vessels (IRV). The HVs drain into the IVC and have a pulsatility that is transmitted retrogradely.
Under normal
conditions, four types of waves can be observed on the pulsed Doppler: S wave, which occurs during right ventricular (RV) systole; V wave, which occurs at the end of RV systole; D wave, which occurs during RV diastole; and A wave, which occurs during right atrial (RA) contraction (end-diastole). Under normal conditions, the S and D waves appear below the baseline, and the S wave is deeper than the D wave (S > D)as congestion increases, the S wave becomes shallower than the D wave (S < D) until severe congestion occurs where the S wave appears above the baseline (reverse S). In contrast to the HVs, PV has no or minimal pulsatility (pulsatility index: <30%) under normal conditions. Pulsatility is observed when pressure increases in the RA and is transmitted retrogradely (PI: 30–49%), whereas higher pulsatility occurs in severe forms of the congestion (PI: >50%). On the other hand, in the Doppler of intrarenal venous ow (IRVF), the increase in RAP is transmitted retrogradely, so that a discontinuous pulse (biphasic) is observed with the increase and a monophasic ow in severe congestion [
2]. Interestingly, the
pulsatility of IRVF in patients with heart failure is associated with increased CVP and RAP, which ultimately leads to a decrease in renal perfusion pressure, with a consequent increase in ltration fraction to maintain glomerular ltration rate and, nally, increased tubular reabsorption, especially proximal, of sodium chloride and water [7]. Gerotas capsula does not allow the kidneys to distend when the hydro­static pressure of the renal interstitium increases, leading to a structural damage mediated by inammation, oxidative stress, neurohormonal factors, and increased activity of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system [8]. This process explains how congestion is associated with worsening kidney function [4] and exploits it better than even a decrease in cardiac output [9], at least in patients with acute heart failure, a situation recently described as congestive nephropathy [7]. The usefulness of IRVF in predicting the development of AKI was recently described in a meta-analysis involving more than 600 patients, in which a lower risk of AKI was observed in patients with continuous IRVF [RR: 0.46 CI95% 0.28–0.76)], but a large heteroge­neity in the included studies was also found (I2: 68.7%; p = 0.04) [23]. This model for assessing venous congestion was described as a system for evaluating the presence and severity of venous congestion using the venous excess ultrasound grading system (VeXUS score) [10].
Renal V
enou
s Stasis Index (RVSI) is an integrative Doppler measure of renal congestion that correlates with invasive hemodynamics and provides additional prognostic information to stratify patients with pulmonary hypertension for the propensity to develop right heart failure [
11].
RVSI is performed from pulsed wave Doppler samples of renal congestion patterns in the interlobar renal vessel. The upward Doppler signal usually shows the intrarenal arterial ow, which is used to measure cardiac cycle time; the down­ward Doppler signal shows the venous ow, used to measure venous ow time. Under physiological conditions, the index is zero due to the presence of a continuous venous ow, whereas it increases with rising severity of congestion [ and
the following equation illustrate the method of measurement of RVSI [
11]. Figure
30.2
11]:
352 G. Romero-González et al.
Fig. 30.2 Renal Venous Stasis Index (RVSI): method of measurement
Renal Venous Stasis Index=
Index cardiac cycle msðÞ- venous flow msðÞ
Index cardiac cycle
msðÞ

Arterial Renal Doppler Ultrasound in AKI

Arterial renal Doppler ultrasound allows the evaluation of blood ow into the renal arteries and intrarenal artery branches and, through the characterization of the parenchymal blushing and the resistive index (RI) measurement, provides indirect information on renal parenchymal blood ow.
In normal conditions, the velocity/time curve in renal arteries has a low resis­tance, a peak systolic velocity (PSV) of 100 ± 20 cm/s, and an end-diastolic velocity (EDV) of 30–40 cm/s. Intraparenchymal Renal RI (RRI) is measured in the interlobar arteries and calculated as in any distrect of the body arterial bed, according to the following formula:
PSV - EDV
RI =
in w
hich PSV and EDV are measured in the same wave. In normal conditions, RRI range from 0.58 to 0.70, according to gender and age [12] (Fig. 30.3). However, several factors can inuence RRI, such as the conditions of peripheral vessels, the systemic hemodynamics, and the administration of drugs able to modify renal blood ow [13]. All these factors should be considered, especially in critically ill patients (Table 30.1).
Renal arteries and renal artery branches are rarely affected by acute pathologic conditions leading to AKI. Acute renal infarction, due to the interruption of the blood supply to part of or to the whole kidney, is uncommon. The main causes include thromboembolism, aortic or renal artery dissection, renal trauma, and
PSV
30 Ultrasound in Acute Kidney Injury 353
Fig. 30.3 Renal Resistive Index measurement
Table 30.1 Factors modifying the Renal Resistive Index (RRI)
Extrarenal Intrarenal Mixed Vascular stiffness (e.g., age or
atherosclerosis)
Aortic insufciency Increased intracapsular pressure
Aortic stenosis Tubulointerstitial disease Left ventricular dysfunction
Heart
rate Vasodilatation: " partial arterial
artery stenosis
Renal BMI
BMI b
ody m
ass index
Renovascular disease
Atherosclerosis Thrombotic microangiopathy
Interstitial edema Urinary obstruction
Vasoconstriction
Hepatorenal syndrome Acute tubular necrosis Intravenous contrast adminis-
tration
" Partial arterial CO2 pressure
O2 pressure
Autonomic nervous system
Vasopressors and inotropes
iatrogenic maneuver, such as angiography. In this case, bedside color Doppler ultrasound documents the absence of ow in a part or in the whole kidney, depending on the artery affected. The ow may be also absent in the renal artery [14].
354 G. Romero-González et al.
Acute renal microvascular damage is more frequent in AKI, being present in primary vascular disease, such as vasculitis, as well as in several pathologic condi­tions secondarily affecting renal microvessels, such as acute tubular necrosis. More­over, RRI may increase in several other causes of AKI, including obstruction, acute transplant rejection, etc., that have been correlated with the nature of renal damage. They appear (1) unmodied in conditions primarily affecting glomeruli, such as postinfectious glomerulonephritis and rapidly progressive glomerulonephritis; (2) increased in tubule-interstitial disorders in which the inammatory inltrate squeezes the intraparenchymal vessels, as in case of renal damage secondary to toxins; and (3) even higher in vascular diseases, such as in vasculitis, hemolytic­uremic syndrome, etc. [
The assessment of renal parenchymal blood ow and the RRI measurement have been proposed for early diagnosis of AKI. Bossard G. et Coll. have found that increased RRI in the immediate postoperative period after cardi ac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass are associated with postoperative AKI [15]. The increase of RRI has also been associated with AKI development in critically ill patients with severe sepsis or polytrauma [16].
In addition, RRI measurement has also been suggested for the differential diag­nosis of persistent vs. transient AKI, thus providing information on renal recovery. In fact, in several studies investigating RRI in different critical settings, elevated RRI were associated with persistent AKI and worst renal prognosis [1518].
14].

Integration of Renal Resistive Index and Intrarenal Venous Flow

RRI is inuenced by both renal and extrarenal factors as shown in Table 30.1.In physiologic conditions, the main determinant of the RRI is the arterial pulse pres­sure, which depends on vascular compliance and cardiac function [ rises because of an inappropriate vasoconstriction of the intraparenchymal arteries in the acute tubular necrosis, the thrombotic microangiopathy, and in the acute rejec­tion of the kidney transplant. On the other hand, RRI might reect an increase in intracapsular pressure occurring from different causes: heart failure, pulmonary hypertension, abdominal hypertension, uid overload, liver failure, and positive end expiratory ventilation.
In s
ummary, a intraparenchymal pressure, due to the renal edema[7] established from different etiologies ranging between mainly renal cause and systemic diseases.
Using an eventually echocardiography, the mechanism of AKI might be investigated [2]: patients with a reduced mean systemic venous pressure without an obstruction to venous return have high IVC compliance, proven by a predominant S on the triphasic hepatic venous ow. In case of high resistance to venous return (e.g.,
bnormal IRVF pattern, RVSI, or RRI can mirror an increased
algorithm that integrates IVC, HV, and PV ultrasound, RD, and
5]. However, RRI
30 Ultrasound in Acute Kidney Injury 355
intrathoracic obstruction to venous return or intra-abdominal hypertension), hepatic venous ow is absent or monophasic. Finally, elevated RAP causes a distended IVC with a predominant D on HV ow [10].
The interpretation of an
acute increase in the RRI starts comparing it to the RI in another site (e.g., spleen, liver) and understanding the potential relationship between renal intracapsular (PIC) pressure and the RRI. In the kidneys, which are capsulated organs, interstitial edema resulting from renal insult translates into increased sub­capsular pressure that ultimately causes a decrease in renal perfusion and a decrease in renal vascular compliance while increasing RRI [19]. Additionally, kidneys are also affected by increased intrabdominal pressure that could be related to abnormal­ities in the abdomen itself or transmission of raised airway pressure in a stiffened lung through the diaphragm [20, 21]. In such situations, IRVF could be benecial to diagnose an increased pressure in a close compartment, such as Gerotas capsule [19]. Waveforms detected by ultrasound cannot only reect kidney injury but also indicate the severity of congestion [
19]. Therefore, waveforms have prognostic
signicance and might be used to monitor the efcacy of a therapy.
At this point, we can differentiate between a renal or systemic cause of AKI. As the PIC rises, diastolic velocities in the interlobar arteries decrease as the gradient with the diastolic arterial pressure is reduced. RI evidently abnormal in the kidney but not in other organs suggests a mainly renal damage (e.g., acute tubular necrosis); on the other hand, a concurrent increase in the RI in all organs (splenic artery, hepatic artery,) witness a systemic process (e.g., heart failure, septic shock) as AKI cause.
fc
The e
acy of monitoring the changes in RD and MOUSE in response to interventions to guide the optimization of renal perfusion is still largely unknown on the other hand, the waveforms have prognostic signicance and might be used to monitor the efcacy of a therapy [19]. It is plausible to think that interventions associated with reduction in RRI and an improvement of IRVF pattern and of the VeXUS are favorable, whereas an increase in RRI, associated with a worsening of IRVF, is detrimental. In an exploratory study, Deruddre et al. observed a reduction of the RRI in response to an increase of mean arterial pressure from 65 mmHg to 75 mmHg achieved by titrating norepinephrine infusion in critically ill patients [22]. Similarly, Beaubien-Souligny et al. observed a reduction of the RRI in response to the passive leg raise maneuver in uid-responsive cardiac surgery patients [23].
Conrmatory studi
es are still needed to assess the feasibility of using an inte­grated approach including RVSI, RRI, and IRVF associated with VeXUS and AKI biomarkers as new tool to predict and monitor AKI (Fig. 30.4).
356 G. Romero-González et al.
Fig. 30.4 Integrated approach to diagnose and monitor AKI
RRI
BNP/NT-
proBNP
IRVF
AKI
prediction,
Renal
Biomarkers
and Monitor
Portal vein
Doppler
diagnosis
RVSI
Hepatic
vein
Doppler

Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound for Assessing Renal Perfusion

Contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) is a relatively new and safe imaging tech­nique presenting several advantages: low cost, bedside and quickly performable, does not employ ionizing radiation, and the agent used as contrast being not nephrotoxic [24]. The contrast agents employed comprise tiny microbubbles of gas surrounded by a stabilizing blend. The microbubbles are eliminated through respiration in the lungs, while the stabilizing blend is metabolized by the body. This pharmacokinetics make CEU S a particularly attractive nontoxic imaging modality
27]
25].
.
for patients suffering from renal insufciency [
Its use in renal imaging is increasingly established and on rise. CEUS is widely employed in the diagnostic workup of renal masses. Particularly it is used for differentiation between solid and cystic lesions, differentiation between solid renal masses and pseudotumors, characterization of complex cystic renal masses, charac­terization of renal lesions (even those with equivocal appearance at computed tomography), and monitoring of tumor ablation [26]. Another important and established eld of application of the CEUS is the evaluation of kidney transplants: characterization of solid and cystic transplant renal masses, assessment for pyelone­phritis and identication of its complications, and evaluation of transplant compli­cations in immediate and delayed settings [
CEUS has
been proposed as useful tool even for assessing renal perfusion [28]. It can determine and quantify changes in renal perfusion; these changes impact on clinical outcome as illustrated by the important ndings in transplant medicine [27].