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and no individuals with complete tetraplegia (12) will become community
ambulators 1 year after injury. In the studies mentioned earlier, community
ambulation was defined as the ability to walk more than 250 meters. Persons
withparaplegia lacksufficienthip flexionbecause reciprocal gaitpatternmust
utilize an energy-intensive swing-through, crutch-assisted method (11). This
techniquerequiresarmandshouldergirdlestrengthsufficienttolifttheweight
of the entire body and swing it forward—impractical for routine mobility
becauseof the high rate ofenergyrequired, resultinginasubstantially slower
walkingspeed(115).Thus,althoughanindividualmayutilizeaswing-through
gait pattern to negotiate architectural barriers or to walk for exercise or
psychologicalreasons, fewemploy thismannerof ambulationastheir primary
modeofmobility.
Areciprocalgaitpatterncanbeutilizedwhenthereispelviccontrolwithat
least3/5 strength inthehip flexors and inonequadriceps (116).This formof
gait allows for knee stability without the use of a knee–ankle–foot orthosis
(KAFO).Although a reciprocalgaitpattern requires less energythan a swingthroughpattern,therateofenergyexpenditureisstillhigherthanthatforablebodied subjects. Those with incomplete injury are more likely to recover
sufficient motor strength to permit reciprocal gait. Motor-complete, sensoryincompletelesionshavelesserprobabilityofrecoverythandomotor-incomplete
lesions.Findingsofseveralstudies(37,40,41,43,46,47)examiningambulationas
theprimaryoutcomemeasurearehighlightedinTable9.3.Althoughtheoverall
ratesofcommunityambulationare76%forincompleteparaplegiaand46%for
incomplete tetraplegia, results are greatly influenced by ASIA grade and the
modalityofsensorysparing.
HusseyandStaufferdeterminedthatthereisadirectrelationshipbetweenLE
strength and the ability to ambulate (116). They reported that “good pelvic
control and active hip flexors and preferably one quadriceps muscle with
functioninthefairorbetterrange”isrequiredforcommunityambulationwitha
reciprocalgait pattern.Statedsimply,bilateralhip flexorsof at leasta 3/5and
onekneeextensorofatleast3/5.Inanotherinvestigation,Crozierandcoworkers
studied individuals with Frankel C (“motor useless”) injuries (117). They
focusedontherecoveryofthequadricepsmuscleandreportedthatallpatients
who had achieved quadriceps strength of at least 3/5 at 2 months following
injuryprogressedto become functional ambulators, whereas only twoofeight
patientswhohadnotattainedatleast3/5by2monthsachievedthisstatus.Itis
believedthatstrengthgreaterthanorequalto3/5inthehipflexorsononeside

and greater than or equal to 3/5 quadriceps strength on the contralateral side
allowssuccessfulcommunityambulation.Thisdegreeoffunctionwouldpermit
useofone longlegbracewithafixedanklein dorsiflexionanda lockedknee
and one short leg brace with a similarly dorsiflexed ankle. Proprioception,
however,wouldalsoneedtobelargelyintact.
Waters and colleagues examined energy expenditure during walking with
instrumented crutches that measured axial loading. Theyfound that the motor
scoring system utilized by ASIA was a simple clinical measure that also
correlatedstronglywithwalkingability(118).IndividualswithASIALEmotor
scores(LEMS)of20orlesswereclassedaslimitedambulators.Thesepatients
had slower average velocities, higher heart rates, subsequent greater energy
expenditure, and greater axial loading exerted on assistive devices when
compared to patients with LEMS of 30 or more who attained community
ambulation status. Individuals with LEMS of 30 or more ambulated with
physiologicparametersclosetothosedemonstratedbyable-bodiedsubjects.
Apart from residual strength, a patient’s balance, proprioception, and
cognition are also important considerations in determining who will achieve
communitymobilityasopposedtosimplysupervisedhouseholdambulation.
PredictionModelsBasedonLinearRegression
A number of studies have looked at logistic regression analysis models for
predictingneurological and functional outcomes(119–125).Wilsonet al. used
both clinical and imaging data to predict functional outcome and found four
factorsthatofferedprediction(119).Amongtheseareincludedbetterfunctional
statuspredicted(1)bylesssevereinitialAISgradeanda(2)motorscoremore
than50atadmission,and predictorsofworsefunctionaloutcome predictedby
(3)olderageattimeofinjuryand(4)MRIsignalcharacteristicsconsistentwith
spinal cord edema or hemorrhage. Kaminski et al. examined many different
variables that could influence functional outcomes after traumatic SCI. The
authorsfound thattheLTscore,followed bytheAIS classificationgrade,was
the most powerful predictors. The next most influential factors included the
Injury Severity Score (an anatomical scoring system that provides an overall
score for patients with multiple injuries and hasbeen shownto correlate with
disability) and the ASIA motor score (120). van Middendorp (121) (using
clinical data) and Belliveau (122) (using clinical and demographic data)
developed a model to predict ambulation at up to 1 year post-injury. van
Middendorpreportedfivekeyprognosticvariablesforambulationthatincluded

age(cut-offat65years),motorscoresofthequadriceps(L3)andgastroc/soleus
(S1)keymotorgroups,andlighttouchsensationatL3andS1dermatomes.This
wasconfirmedbyothers(124).Inafurthervalidationofthesefactors,Hickset
al. reported that further simplification of the prediction model would include
threevariables (atadmission)including age(<65years), L3 motorscores, and
LT scores at S1 at admission (123). For further details regarding predictive
modelsofwhowillregaintheabilitytowalkafterSCI,pleaseseeChapter42.
CONCLUSION
The ability to predict outcome following spinal cord injury is extremely
importantnotonlyforpersonswhosustainatraumaticinjuryandtheirfamilies,
but also for the rehabilitation professionals charged with developing an
appropriate plan of care and the researchers investigating the role of natural
recovery in future therapeutic investigations. Factors involved in anticipating
outcome have been reviewed in this chapter.In the past decades, the need to
identify such early predictors has become increasingly critical, given the
decreased length of both hospital andrehabilitationstays and the concomitant
demandforprompt decision-making regarding discharge.Inaddition,research
interventions,nowbeinginitiatedsoonafterinjury,underscorethesignificance
of creating prediction models for the period immediately after injury. In the
future,theemerging,interdisciplinaryfieldofgenomicswillmostlikelyplaya
muchgreaterroleindeterminingprognosis.
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