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G. Corvino et al.
component and a dilated MPD and/or concerning features on EUS-FNA have a clear indication for surgery [81].
MN is the only independent predictor of IC and HGD for all types of IPMNs (except for the prediction of HGD in BD-IPMNs) with a sensitivity and a specicity of 62.2% and 75.1%, respectively. For BD-IPMN, the presence of MNs has the highest prognostic factor power for malignancy, followed by MPD dilatation and thick septum/wall. The risk of malignancy is directly proportional to the size of the mural nodule but further studies are needed to provide a dimensional cut-off [44]. If the arterial phase of MRI doesn’t clarify the presence of a MN, it is indicated to perform CH-EUS that ensures the best performance in detecting MN and possibly differentiate them from mucin clots. According to EEC guidelines, the hyperen­hancement of a mural nodule, solid mass, or septations on CE-EUS represents fea­tures at high risk for malignant transformation of the cyst, and EUS-FNA of the lesion should be considered [82, 83].
Some authors reported high rates of malignancy associated with a MPD dilation between 5 and 9mm [84, 85]. However, malignancy development was shown to be very rare in presence of MPD dilatation alone, as it was associated with a signi­cantly increased incidence of cancer only when associated with other features [86]. Therefore, a dilated MPD in the absence of other clinical and radiological predictors of malignancy may not be used as the sole reason to select patients with presumed IPMNs for surgery. Moreover, these ndings reinforce the concept that once a dilated MPD has been detected, further assessment by EUS is necessary, as MPD can appear dilated for other conditions (e.g., chronic pancreatitis) difcult to assess with cross-sectional imaging alone [46, 86, 87].
Regarding the size of the cystic lesion, the cut-offs proposed by the guidelines (cyst size 3cm for IAP and 4cm for EEC) are chosen arbitrarily as a surgical indication. Pergolini etal. showed that small BD-IPMNs (<1.5 cm) without WFs have a signicantly lower risk of malignant degeneration compared to larger cysts [88]. In clinical practice, a greater role should be assigned to the rate of growth rather than the cyst size at a single observation; a growth rate 2.5mm/year is the main predictor of malignancy development in presumed BD-IPMN without WF or HRS [89].
Serum CA19-9 is an independent predictor of malignancy in IPMNs, and a CA19-9 value higher than 37U/L is associated with an increased risk of invasive carcinoma [90, 91].
Further observational studies are needed to better clarify the natural history of PCNs. In an analysis conducted in the US, only 23% of operated IPMNs contained invasive or HGD at nal pathology [92]. Therefore, in a multicentric study [93], the role of dynamic variables associated with malignant disease was explored in esti­mating the presence of HGD and IC at the nal pathological examination. In patients with BD-IPMNs, the development of additional WFs and HRS during surveillance was independently associated with the diagnosis of HGD at the nal pathological examination but considering the different WFs, no single WF was found to be sig­nicantly associated with the presence of HGD at the nal pathological examina­tion. Among HRS, only jaundice was associated with the diagnosis of IC.
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In a recent surgical series from Heidelberg, the timeliness of resection based on nal histology was classied as too early (adenoma and LGD), timely (intermediate­grade dysplasia and in situ carcinoma), and too late (IC). According to the authors,
30.4% of the patients were operated too early and 34.5% too late. The resection was considered timely in 35.1% of cases, but radiological criteria for malignant condi­tions in this group were detected only in one-third of patients [94]. The low rate of detectable features specic for HGD and the uncertainty about IPMN’s biological behavior make it controversial to consider “too early” and “too late” the resections carried out for LGD or IC. In this regard, IPMNs have been compared to the Schrödinger’s cat paradox [95]; unless the observer (surgeon) opens the box (patient’s belly), the cat (IPMNs) is both alive (low-grade) and dead (high-grade) at the same time [96].
The specic type of surgery is based according to the cyst’s location, and major pancreatic resections with standard lymphadenectomy are the goal standard: pan­creatoduodenectomy (PD), distal pancreatectomy (DP), or total pancreatectomy (TP) should be performed, either with an open or minimally invasive approach [97]. TP is indicated in cases of diffuse MPD involvement, multifocal disease in patients with a family history positive for PDAC and persistent HGD at the resection margin. When facing a multifocal IPMN, each lesion should be evaluated for surgical resec­tion as a single entity.
It is very important to highlight the role of the frozen section to drive the extent of the resection when performing a partial pancreatectomy [80, 98, 99]; whereas in case of HGD or IC, further resection up to TP is needed, in case of LGD it should be avoided [80]. The frozen section is important also to identify the presence of a denuded epithelium, associated with a poor diagnostic value of the examination; in this case, the need for further resection should be evaluated carefully [100]. To drive the extension of the resection, the direct visualization of the ductal system with pancreatoscopy can be also considered [101, 102].
When considering surgery, it should be always taken into account that pancreatic surgery is still burdened by high rates of major morbidity (dened as Clavien-Dindo 3) and mortality [103]. DP with or without splenectomy is burdened by a major morbidity rate ranging from 14 to 38% and mortality from 0 to 2% [103105]. To personalize the possible surgical indication toward less aggressive management in the absence of features suggestive of malignancy for presumed IPMNs, the risk of major morbidity and postoperative pancreatic insufciency can be preoperatively established according to the type of surgical intervention. Among PD/TP, age and body mass index (BMI) dened three different classes for predicting postoperative major morbidity (Clavien–Dindo C3), being greater (ranging from 20 to 36%) for older and overweight patients. Two risk classes of major morbidity, with respective probabilities of 5% and 25%, were identied by the preoperative presence of diabe­tes for DP patients. In this study, long-term outcomes for PD and DP patients were analyzed; new-onset diabetes and worsening of pre-existing diabetes were experi­enced, respectively, by 25.6 and 66.7% of patients and age, CACI score, history of diabetes, and DP were associated with an increased risk [28].
264
The role of chemotherapy in IPMNs is not clear. In the postoperative setting, despite the lack of randomized controlled studies, retrospective series suggest that adjuvant chemotherapy improves survival, but only in invasive IPMNs with nodal disease or tubular differentiation [106].
Regarding MCNs, upfront surgery should be considered for lesions with MNs, enhancing walls or cyst size 50mm. In a large surgical series, HGD or IC was never found in lesions smaller than 5cm [28]. In the absence of these features, the incidence of overt malignancy is negligible and surveillance can be the rst option. Cytology might help only when malignant cells are identied. However, no deni­tive conclusions can be drawn if no malignant cells are observed directly. Radical resection of noninvasive neoplasms (limited to the ovarian stroma) ensures cure, and the recurrence is rare with 5-year disease-specic survival for MCNs around 100% and 58% for patients with noninvasive and invasive tumors, respectively [107]. The radiologic post-resection surveillance depends on nal pathology: benign MCNs, after radical resection, do not require a follow-up as the risk for recurrence is absent, while in cases of MCN associated with IC, patients should receive a fol­low- up similar to patients with PDAC [108].
G. Corvino et al.
Surveillance Options forPCNs
The ultimate goal in the surveillance of PCNs is to identify neoplasms which will eventually evolve into malignancy. The decision to initiate a surveillance protocol should consider not only the cyst’s characteristics but also the clinical history, the patient’s age and comorbidities, familiarity, and above all the patient’s will. To date, numerous studies have shown that surveillance can be safe, particularly when facing BD-IPM without WF or HRS [109111].
Guidelines
According to the IAP guidelines [80], if there are no WFs or HRS on initial observa­tion, it is advisable to re-evaluate with MRI/MRCP or possibly CT after 3–6months to rule out abrupt changes in cyst features. As mentioned earlier, a surveillance protocol can be initiated if such features are not conrmed. Thereafter, the surveil­lance protocol may be performed at longer intervals, depending on the size of the cyst. A shorter interval (3–6months) should be applied for patients with a family history of hereditary PDAC.On the other hand, the EEC guidelines [79] propose the same management of patients with sporadic IPMN.
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The AGA guidelines [81] evaluate only symptomatic PCNs. They advise that patients with pancreatic cysts <3cm without a solid component and dilated pancre­atic duct should undergo MRI for surveillance in 1year and then every 2years for a total of 5years if there is no change in size or characteristics. The same protocol is applied for patients undergoing EUS-FNA and lacking the features mentioned.
According to EEC guidelines [79], a surveillance protocol should be considered if there are no relative indications [MPD dilatation between 5 and 9.9mm, cystic growth rate >5mm/year, increased level of serum CA 19-9 (>37U/mL), symptoms, enhancing mural nodules (<5 mm), and/or a cyst diameter 40 mm) or absolute indications [jaundice, the presence of an enhancing mural nodule (5mm) or a solid component, positive cytology, or a MPD measuring 10mm] are present. A 6-month follow-up in the rst year and yearly thereafter is considered adequate when no risk factors are present. For patients with relative indications for surgery or the “elderly” affected by severe comorbidity, a 6-month follow-up is recommended.
Surveillance Discontinuation
An urgent issue for healthcare systems is the possibility of surveillance discontinu­ation in selected patients. The extensive use of MRI and CT of thousands of indi­viduals through repeated scans is becoming relevant for healthcare systems. Furthermore, the psychological burden associated with a surveillance program is of no less importance. Indeed, patients under surveillance for presumed IPMN at low risk of malignancy may present with a “sword of Damocles” effect, presenting sub­clinical symptoms of somatization, depression, anxiety, sleep disorders, and feeling less healthy than patients undergoing surgery [112].
Both IAP and EEC guidelines [79, 80] advise surveillance indenitely until the patient remains t for surgery while the AGA guidelines [81] are the only ones to propose a stop of surveillance if the characteristics of the cyst have not changed after 5years. Marchegiani etal. have identied in “trivial cysts” the potential targets for follow-up discontinuation; trivial BD-IPMNs are those without WF or HRS at baseline and not developing WF or HRS for at least 5years from baseline. After 5years of follow-up, the overall cumulative risk of developing WF/HRS and IC was
4.4% and 1.1%, respectively (similar to that of the general population older than 65years and postoperative mortality due to pancreatic surgery in high-volume cen­ters). In conclusion, a trivial BD-IPMN in patients aged >65years might not increase the risk of developing PC compared to the age-matched general population [89]. Pergolini etal., on the contrary, suggest that surveillance should not be interrupted in all BD-IPMNs, even in those under surveillance for over 5years with a stable lesion, and intensication of follow-up might be required after the rst 5years [88]. As a matter of fact, the debate is still ongoing.
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G. Corvino et al.
Follow-Up Strategy
The follow-up strategy includes dedicated pancreatic protocol CT and pancreatic MRI/MRCP.Pancreatic MRI/MRCP is more sensitive than CT for identifying com­munication between the cysts and the pancreatic duct system, and the presence of a mural nodule or internal septations [70]. The use of CT should be considered to detect calcication and to exclude malignancy or concomitant PDAC, vascular or peritoneal involvement, metastatic disease, and suspected postoperative recurrence of PDAC [79]. EUS should be reserved for patients with WF.CH-EUS is not used in all centers but is helpful to better evaluate the vascularization of a mural nodule, solid mass, or septations [47]. Fluid markers such as CEA or Ca 19.9 may help with the diagnosis of invasive cancer.
Follow-Up andOutcome ofResected IPMN
A new IPMN or a concomitant PDAC may appear even 10years after resection, therefore IAP and AGA guidelines advocate life-long surveillance protocol with different intervals depending on the nal histology. In particular, if the nal histol­ogy of an IC is found, then the follow-up does not differ from that of a PDAC.In the case of MD-IPMN or HGD, the reassessment is on a six-month basis in the rst 2years and then annually. IPMN with LGD dysplasia should be followed up in the same manner of non-resected IPMN.
An analysis of 130 patients who underwent resection of noninvasive IPMNs revealed that the 1-, 5-, and 10-year risks of developing a new IPMN are 4%, 25%, and 62%, respectively [113]. The risk of developing an invasive IPMN at 1-, 5-, and 10years is 0%, 7%, and 38%, respectively [114].
The Verona Policy
From the author’s point of view, several subsequent evaluations of the dynamic changes in time of a pancreatic cystic lesion play a more relevant role in the decision­making rather than taking a single “picture.” As a matter of fact, a growth rate 2.5 mm/year is the main predictor of malignancy development in presumed BD-IPMN without WF or HRS.This reinforces the patient-tailored approach based on radiological features, presence of symptoms, and tness for surgery in order to avoid upfront surgery in patients that potentially could never develop any HRS or WF. The authors recommend surveillance with an MRI/MRCP associating sero­logical tumor markers testing (CEA and CA 19-9) after a short interval (3–6months) in the rst year. In the absence of any suspicious characteristics, surveillance should be continued initially every 12months and thereafter up to 18months. If relevant
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modications appear, we recommend CH-EUS to advise the decision between sur­gical resection and surveillance continuation. If relative contraindications are pres­ent at the rst observation, CH-EUS with FNB or FNA is recommended as the rst step.
In case of presumed MCN, <5cm in size and without MNs, enhancing walls and Ca19-9in range, non-operative management is recommended, particularly in young patients.

Conclusions

The prevalence of cystic lesions is sharply increasing, due to the more extensive use of CT and MRI.It is essential for the clinician to differentiate between malignant lesions and the ones that may evolve into malignant forms, from those that are not. There are three different guidelines to refer to, namely IAP, AGA, and EEC, in the management of these complex pathologies. These guidelines are mainly based on surgical series and experts’ consensus but represent a great tool for the initial diag­nostic framework, indications for surgery, and surveillance protocols. A combined approach with MRI, EUS +/ FNA with possible analysis of the cystic uid and CE-EUS has allowed for improving the diagnostic accuracy even if the misdiagno­sis rate is still high. A future perspective is represented by the execution of molecu­lar analyses. As discussed above, several subsequent evaluations of the dynamic changes in time of a pancreatic cystic lesion play a more relevant role in the decision- making of the management rather than taking a single “picture.” The over­all major postoperative morbidity and mortality of patients undergoing pancreatic resection for PCNs remain relatively high, similar to that for other indications. For this reason, a tailored approach based on the patient’s will, age, frailty, and life expectancy is mandatory. Once the patient is considered unt for surgery for any reason, no further surveillance is required.

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