
- •Intended Audience
- •1.1 Financing the Firm
- •1.2Public and Private Sources of Capital
- •1.3The Environment forRaising Capital in the United States
- •Investment Banks
- •1.4Raising Capital in International Markets
- •1.5MajorFinancial Markets outside the United States
- •1.6Trends in Raising Capital
- •Innovative Instruments
- •2.1Bank Loans
- •2.2Leases
- •2.3Commercial Paper
- •2.4Corporate Bonds
- •2.5More Exotic Securities
- •2.6Raising Debt Capital in the Euromarkets
- •2.7Primary and Secondary Markets forDebt
- •2.8Bond Prices, Yields to Maturity, and Bond Market Conventions
- •2.9Summary and Conclusions
- •3.1Types of Equity Securities
- •Volume of Financing with Different Equity Instruments
- •3.2Who Owns u.S. Equities?
- •3.3The Globalization of Equity Markets
- •3.4Secondary Markets forEquity
- •International Secondary Markets for Equity
- •3.5Equity Market Informational Efficiency and Capital Allocation
- •3.7The Decision to Issue Shares Publicly
- •3.8Stock Returns Associated with ipOs of Common Equity
- •Ipo Underpricing of u.S. Stocks
- •4.1Portfolio Weights
- •4.2Portfolio Returns
- •4.3Expected Portfolio Returns
- •4.4Variances and Standard Deviations
- •4.5Covariances and Correlations
- •4.6Variances of Portfolios and Covariances between Portfolios
- •Variances for Two-Stock Portfolios
- •4.7The Mean-Standard Deviation Diagram
- •4.8Interpreting the Covariance as a Marginal Variance
- •Increasing a Stock Position Financed by Reducing orSelling Short the Position in
- •Increasing a Stock Position Financed by Reducing orShorting a Position in a
- •4.9Finding the Minimum Variance Portfolio
- •Identifying the Minimum Variance Portfolio of Two Stocks
- •Identifying the Minimum Variance Portfolio of Many Stocks
- •Investment Applications of Mean-Variance Analysis and the capm
- •5.2The Essentials of Mean-Variance Analysis
- •5.3The Efficient Frontierand Two-Fund Separation
- •5.4The Tangency Portfolio and Optimal Investment
- •Identification of the Tangency Portfolio
- •5.5Finding the Efficient Frontierof Risky Assets
- •5.6How Useful Is Mean-Variance Analysis forFinding
- •5.8The Capital Asset Pricing Model
- •Implications for Optimal Investment
- •5.9Estimating Betas, Risk-Free Returns, Risk Premiums,
- •Improving the Beta Estimated from Regression
- •Identifying the Market Portfolio
- •5.10Empirical Tests of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
- •Is the Value-Weighted Market Index Mean-Variance Efficient?
- •Interpreting the capm’s Empirical Shortcomings
- •5.11 Summary and Conclusions
- •6.1The Market Model:The First FactorModel
- •6.2The Principle of Diversification
- •Insurance Analogies to Factor Risk and Firm-Specific Risk
- •6.3MultifactorModels
- •Interpreting Common Factors
- •6.5FactorBetas
- •6.6Using FactorModels to Compute Covariances and Variances
- •6.7FactorModels and Tracking Portfolios
- •6.8Pure FactorPortfolios
- •6.9Tracking and Arbitrage
- •6.10No Arbitrage and Pricing: The Arbitrage Pricing Theory
- •Verifying the Existence of Arbitrage
- •Violations of the aptEquation fora Small Set of Stocks Do Not Imply Arbitrage.
- •Violations of the aptEquation by Large Numbers of Stocks Imply Arbitrage.
- •6.11Estimating FactorRisk Premiums and FactorBetas
- •6.12Empirical Tests of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory
- •6.13 Summary and Conclusions
- •7.1Examples of Derivatives
- •7.2The Basics of Derivatives Pricing
- •7.3Binomial Pricing Models
- •7.4Multiperiod Binomial Valuation
- •7.5Valuation Techniques in the Financial Services Industry
- •7.6Market Frictions and Lessons from the Fate of Long-Term
- •7.7Summary and Conclusions
- •8.1ADescription of Options and Options Markets
- •8.2Option Expiration
- •8.3Put-Call Parity
- •Insured Portfolio
- •8.4Binomial Valuation of European Options
- •8.5Binomial Valuation of American Options
- •Valuing American Options on Dividend-Paying Stocks
- •8.6Black-Scholes Valuation
- •8.7Estimating Volatility
- •Volatility
- •8.8Black-Scholes Price Sensitivity to Stock Price, Volatility,
- •Interest Rates, and Expiration Time
- •8.9Valuing Options on More Complex Assets
- •Implied volatility
- •8.11 Summary and Conclusions
- •9.1 Cash Flows ofReal Assets
- •9.2Using Discount Rates to Obtain Present Values
- •Value Additivity and Present Values of Cash Flow Streams
- •Inflation
- •9.3Summary and Conclusions
- •10.1Cash Flows
- •10.2Net Present Value
- •Implications of Value Additivity When Evaluating Mutually Exclusive Projects.
- •10.3Economic Value Added (eva)
- •10.5Evaluating Real Investments with the Internal Rate of Return
- •Intuition for the irrMethod
- •10.7 Summary and Conclusions
- •10A.1Term Structure Varieties
- •10A.2Spot Rates, Annuity Rates, and ParRates
- •11.1Tracking Portfolios and Real Asset Valuation
- •Implementing the Tracking Portfolio Approach
- •11.2The Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate Method
- •11.3The Effect of Leverage on Comparisons
- •11.4Implementing the Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate Formula with
- •11.5Pitfalls in Using the Comparison Method
- •11.6Estimating Beta from Scenarios: The Certainty Equivalent Method
- •Identifying the Certainty Equivalent from Models of Risk and Return
- •11.7Obtaining Certainty Equivalents with Risk-Free Scenarios
- •Implementing the Risk-Free Scenario Method in a Multiperiod Setting
- •11.8Computing Certainty Equivalents from Prices in Financial Markets
- •11.9Summary and Conclusions
- •11A.1Estimation Errorand Denominator-Based Biases in Present Value
- •11A.2Geometric versus Arithmetic Means and the Compounding-Based Bias
- •12.2Valuing Strategic Options with the Real Options Methodology
- •Valuing a Mine with No Strategic Options
- •Valuing a Mine with an Abandonment Option
- •Valuing Vacant Land
- •Valuing the Option to Delay the Start of a Manufacturing Project
- •Valuing the Option to Expand Capacity
- •Valuing Flexibility in Production Technology: The Advantage of Being Different
- •12.3The Ratio Comparison Approach
- •12.4The Competitive Analysis Approach
- •12.5When to Use the Different Approaches
- •Valuing Asset Classes versus Specific Assets
- •12.6Summary and Conclusions
- •13.1Corporate Taxes and the Evaluation of Equity-Financed
- •Identifying the Unlevered Cost of Capital
- •13.2The Adjusted Present Value Method
- •Valuing a Business with the wacc Method When a Debt Tax Shield Exists
- •Investments
- •IsWrong
- •Valuing Cash Flow to Equity Holders
- •13.5Summary and Conclusions
- •14.1The Modigliani-MillerTheorem
- •IsFalse
- •14.2How an Individual InvestorCan “Undo” a Firm’s Capital
- •14.3How Risky Debt Affects the Modigliani-MillerTheorem
- •14.4How Corporate Taxes Affect the Capital Structure Choice
- •14.6Taxes and Preferred Stock
- •14.7Taxes and Municipal Bonds
- •14.8The Effect of Inflation on the Tax Gain from Leverage
- •14.10Are There Tax Advantages to Leasing?
- •14.11Summary and Conclusions
- •15.1How Much of u.S. Corporate Earnings Is Distributed to Shareholders?Aggregate Share Repurchases and Dividends
- •15.2Distribution Policy in Frictionless Markets
- •15.3The Effect of Taxes and Transaction Costs on Distribution Policy
- •15.4How Dividend Policy Affects Expected Stock Returns
- •15.5How Dividend Taxes Affect Financing and Investment Choices
- •15.6Personal Taxes, Payout Policy, and Capital Structure
- •15.7Summary and Conclusions
- •16.1Bankruptcy
- •16.3How Chapter11 Bankruptcy Mitigates Debt Holder–Equity HolderIncentive Problems
- •16.4How Can Firms Minimize Debt Holder–Equity Holder
- •Incentive Problems?
- •17.1The StakeholderTheory of Capital Structure
- •17.2The Benefits of Financial Distress with Committed Stakeholders
- •17.3Capital Structure and Competitive Strategy
- •17.4Dynamic Capital Structure Considerations
- •17.6 Summary and Conclusions
- •18.1The Separation of Ownership and Control
- •18.2Management Shareholdings and Market Value
- •18.3How Management Control Distorts Investment Decisions
- •18.4Capital Structure and Managerial Control
- •Investment Strategy?
- •18.5Executive Compensation
- •Is Executive Pay Closely Tied to Performance?
- •Is Executive Compensation Tied to Relative Performance?
- •19.1Management Incentives When Managers Have BetterInformation
- •19.2Earnings Manipulation
- •Incentives to Increase or Decrease Accounting Earnings
- •19.4The Information Content of Dividend and Share Repurchase
- •19.5The Information Content of the Debt-Equity Choice
- •19.6Empirical Evidence
- •19.7Summary and Conclusions
- •20.1AHistory of Mergers and Acquisitions
- •20.2Types of Mergers and Acquisitions
- •20.3 Recent Trends in TakeoverActivity
- •20.4Sources of TakeoverGains
- •Is an Acquisition Required to Realize Tax Gains, Operating Synergies,
- •Incentive Gains, or Diversification?
- •20.5The Disadvantages of Mergers and Acquisitions
- •20.7Empirical Evidence on the Gains from Leveraged Buyouts (lbOs)
- •20.8 Valuing Acquisitions
- •Valuing Synergies
- •20.9Financing Acquisitions
- •Information Effects from the Financing of a Merger or an Acquisition
- •20.10Bidding Strategies in Hostile Takeovers
- •20.11Management Defenses
- •20.12Summary and Conclusions
- •21.1Risk Management and the Modigliani-MillerTheorem
- •Implications of the Modigliani-Miller Theorem for Hedging
- •21.2Why Do Firms Hedge?
- •21.4How Should Companies Organize TheirHedging Activities?
- •21.8Foreign Exchange Risk Management
- •Indonesia
- •21.9Which Firms Hedge? The Empirical Evidence
- •21.10Summary and Conclusions
- •22.1Measuring Risk Exposure
- •Volatility as a Measure of Risk Exposure
- •Value at Risk as a Measure of Risk Exposure
- •22.2Hedging Short-Term Commitments with Maturity-Matched
- •Value at
- •22.3Hedging Short-Term Commitments with Maturity-Matched
- •22.4Hedging and Convenience Yields
- •22.5Hedging Long-Dated Commitments with Short-Maturing FuturesorForward Contracts
- •Intuition for Hedging with a Maturity Mismatch in the Presence of a Constant Convenience Yield
- •22.6Hedging with Swaps
- •22.7Hedging with Options
- •22.8Factor-Based Hedging
- •Instruments
- •22.10Minimum Variance Portfolios and Mean-Variance Analysis
- •22.11Summary and Conclusions
- •23Risk Management
- •23.2Duration
- •23.4Immunization
- •Immunization Using dv01
- •Immunization and Large Changes in Interest Rates
- •23.5Convexity
- •23.6Interest Rate Hedging When the Term Structure Is Not Flat
- •23.7Summary and Conclusions
- •Interest Rate
- •Interest Rate
Identification of the Tangency Portfolio
Because the tangency portfolio is generally a unique combination of individual stocks
and is the key to identifying the other portfolios on the capital market line, determin-
ing the weights of the tangency portfolio is an important and useful exercise.
The Algebraic Formula forFinding the Tangency Portfolio.For all investments—
efficient ones, such as the portfolios on the capital market line, and the dominated
investments—the following result applies.
-
Result 5.3
The ratio of the risk premium of every stock and portfolio to its covariance with the tan-gency portfolio is constant; that is, denoting the return of the tangency portfolio as ˜
R
T
rr
if
cov (˜, R˜)
r
iT
is identical for all stocks.
Result 5.3 suggests an algebraic procedure for finding the tangency portfolio which
is similar to the technique used to find the minimum variance portfolio. Recall that to
find the minimum variance portfolio, it is necessary to find the portfolio that has equal
covariances with every stock. To identify the tangency portfolio, find the portfolio that
has a covariance with each stock that is a constant proportion of the stock’s risk pre-
mium. This proportion, while unknown in advance, is the same across stocks and is
whatever proportion makes the portfolio weights sum to 1. This suggests that to derive
the portfolio weights of the tangency portfolio:
1.Find “weights” (they do not need to sum to 1) that make the covariance
between the return of each stock and the return of the portfolio constructed
from these weights equal to the stock’s risk premium.
2.Then rescale the weights to sum to 1 to obtain the tangency portfolio.
ANumerical Example Illustrating How to Apply the Algebraic Formula.Exam-
ple 5.3 illustrates how to use Result 5.3 to compute the tangency portfolio’s weights.
Example 5.3:Identifying the Tangency Portfolio
Amalgamate Bottlers, from Example 4.19, wants to find the tangency portfolio of capital
investments from franchising in three less developed countries (LDCs).Recall that covari-
ances between franchising operations in India (investment 1), Russia (investment 2), and
China (investment 3) were:
-
Grinblatt
303 Titman: FinancialII. Valuing Financial Assets
5. Mean
303 Variance Analysis© The McGraw
303 HillMarkets and Corporate
and the Capital Asset
Companies, 2002
Strategy, Second Edition
Pricing Model
142Part IIValuing Financial Assets
-
Covariance with
India
Russia
China
-
India
.002
.001
0
Russia
.001
.002
.001
China
0
.001
.002
Find the tangency portfolio for the three investments when they have expected returns of 15
percent, 17 percent, and 17 percent, respectively, and the risk-free return is 6 percent per year.
Answer:Step 1:Solve for the portfolio “weights”that make the portfolio’s covariance with
each stock equal to their risk premiums.These weights are not true weights because they do
not necessarily sum to 1.The first step is the simultaneous solution of the three equations:
x.001x0x .15 .06
.002
12 3
x.002x.001x .17 .06
.001
123
0x.001x.002x .17 .06
123
The left-hand side of the first equation is the covariance of a portfolio with weights x, x,
12
and xwith stock 1.Thus, the first equation states that this covariance must equal .09.The
3
other two equations make analogous statements about covariances with stocks 2 and 3.
Using the substitution method, the first and third equations can be rewritten to read:
x
2
x 45
12
x
2
x 55
32
Upon substitution into the second equation, they yield:
.001x .01, or x 10
22
Substituting this value for xinto the remaining two equations implies:
2
x 40 x 50
13
Step 2:Rescale the portfolio weights so that they add to 1.After rescaling, the solution
for the weights of the tangency portfolio is:
x .4 x .1 x .5
123
The Intuition forthe Algebraic Formula.Why is the ratio of the risk premium to
the covariance so relevant? Consider the case where the ratio of a stock’s risk premium
to its covariance with the candidate tangency portfolio differs from stock to stock. In
this case, it is possible to alter the weights of the portfolio slightly to increase its mean
return while lowering its variance. This can be done by slightly increasing the weight
on a stock that has a high ratio of risk premium to marginal variance, while slightly
lowering the weight on a stock with a low ratio and altering the weight on the risk-
free asset so that the weights add up to 1. This action implies that the candidate tan-
gency portfolio was not on the capital market line to begin with.
ANumerical Illustration of How to Generate a Mean-Variance Improvement.
Example 5.4 demonstrates how to achieve this mean-variance improvement by taking
a portfolio for which the ratio condition in Result 5.3 is violated and constructing a
new portfolio that is mean-variance superior to it.
Grinblatt |
II. Valuing Financial Assets |
5.
Mean |
©
The McGraw |
Markets and Corporate |
|
and the Capital Asset |
Companies, 2002 |
Strategy, Second Edition |
|
Pricing Model |
|
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Chapter 5
Mean-Variance Analysis and the Capital Asset Pricing Model
143
Example 5.4:Developing a SuperiorPortfolio When Risk Premiums Are Not
Proportional to Covariances
The return of ACME Corporation stock has a covariance with Henry’s portfolio of .001 per
year and a mean return of 20 percent per year, while ACYOU Corporation stock has a return
covariance of .002 with the same portfolio and a mean return of 40 percent per year.The
risk-free rate is 10 percent per year.Prove that Henry has not chosen the tangency portfolio.
Answer:To prove this, construct a self-financing(that is, zero-cost) investment of ACME,
ACYOU, and the risk-free asset that has a negative marginal variance and a positive marginal
mean.Adding this self-financing investment to Henry’s portfolio generates a new portfolio with
a higher expected return and lower variance.Letting the variable mrepresent a small number
per dollar invested in Henry’s portfolio, this self-financing investment is long $.99min the ACYOU
Corporation, short $1.99min the ACME corporation, and long $min the risk-free asset.When
added to Henry’s portfolio, this self-financing investment increases the expected return by
.99m(40%)1.99m(20%)m(10%) 9.8m% per year
However, if mis sufficiently small, the addition of this portfolio to the existing portfolio reduces
return variance because the covariance of the self-financing portfolio of the three assets with
Henry’s portfolio is
.99m(.002)1.99m(.001).00001m
A negative covariance means a negative marginal variance when the added portfolio is suf-
ficiently small.
The risk premium-to-covariance ratio from Result 5.3 should be the same whether
the ratio is measured for individual stocks, projects that involve investment in real
assets, or portfolios. For example, using the tangency portfolio in place of stock i,the
ratio of the tangency portfolio’s risk premium to its covariance with itself (i.e., its vari-
ance) should equal the ratio in Result 5.3, or9
-
rr
Rr
if
Tf
(5.2)
cov (˜, R˜)
var (˜)
r
R
iT
T