- •Intended Audience
- •1.1 Financing the Firm
- •1.2Public and Private Sources of Capital
- •1.3The Environment forRaising Capital in the United States
- •Investment Banks
- •1.4Raising Capital in International Markets
- •1.5MajorFinancial Markets outside the United States
- •1.6Trends in Raising Capital
- •Innovative Instruments
- •2.1Bank Loans
- •2.2Leases
- •2.3Commercial Paper
- •2.4Corporate Bonds
- •2.5More Exotic Securities
- •2.6Raising Debt Capital in the Euromarkets
- •2.7Primary and Secondary Markets forDebt
- •2.8Bond Prices, Yields to Maturity, and Bond Market Conventions
- •2.9Summary and Conclusions
- •3.1Types of Equity Securities
- •Volume of Financing with Different Equity Instruments
- •3.2Who Owns u.S. Equities?
- •3.3The Globalization of Equity Markets
- •3.4Secondary Markets forEquity
- •International Secondary Markets for Equity
- •3.5Equity Market Informational Efficiency and Capital Allocation
- •3.7The Decision to Issue Shares Publicly
- •3.8Stock Returns Associated with ipOs of Common Equity
- •Ipo Underpricing of u.S. Stocks
- •4.1Portfolio Weights
- •4.2Portfolio Returns
- •4.3Expected Portfolio Returns
- •4.4Variances and Standard Deviations
- •4.5Covariances and Correlations
- •4.6Variances of Portfolios and Covariances between Portfolios
- •Variances for Two-Stock Portfolios
- •4.7The Mean-Standard Deviation Diagram
- •4.8Interpreting the Covariance as a Marginal Variance
- •Increasing a Stock Position Financed by Reducing orSelling Short the Position in
- •Increasing a Stock Position Financed by Reducing orShorting a Position in a
- •4.9Finding the Minimum Variance Portfolio
- •Identifying the Minimum Variance Portfolio of Two Stocks
- •Identifying the Minimum Variance Portfolio of Many Stocks
- •Investment Applications of Mean-Variance Analysis and the capm
- •5.2The Essentials of Mean-Variance Analysis
- •5.3The Efficient Frontierand Two-Fund Separation
- •5.4The Tangency Portfolio and Optimal Investment
- •Identification of the Tangency Portfolio
- •5.5Finding the Efficient Frontierof Risky Assets
- •5.6How Useful Is Mean-Variance Analysis forFinding
- •5.8The Capital Asset Pricing Model
- •Implications for Optimal Investment
- •5.9Estimating Betas, Risk-Free Returns, Risk Premiums,
- •Improving the Beta Estimated from Regression
- •Identifying the Market Portfolio
- •5.10Empirical Tests of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
- •Is the Value-Weighted Market Index Mean-Variance Efficient?
- •Interpreting the capm’s Empirical Shortcomings
- •5.11 Summary and Conclusions
- •6.1The Market Model:The First FactorModel
- •6.2The Principle of Diversification
- •Insurance Analogies to Factor Risk and Firm-Specific Risk
- •6.3MultifactorModels
- •Interpreting Common Factors
- •6.5FactorBetas
- •6.6Using FactorModels to Compute Covariances and Variances
- •6.7FactorModels and Tracking Portfolios
- •6.8Pure FactorPortfolios
- •6.9Tracking and Arbitrage
- •6.10No Arbitrage and Pricing: The Arbitrage Pricing Theory
- •Verifying the Existence of Arbitrage
- •Violations of the aptEquation fora Small Set of Stocks Do Not Imply Arbitrage.
- •Violations of the aptEquation by Large Numbers of Stocks Imply Arbitrage.
- •6.11Estimating FactorRisk Premiums and FactorBetas
- •6.12Empirical Tests of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory
- •6.13 Summary and Conclusions
- •7.1Examples of Derivatives
- •7.2The Basics of Derivatives Pricing
- •7.3Binomial Pricing Models
- •7.4Multiperiod Binomial Valuation
- •7.5Valuation Techniques in the Financial Services Industry
- •7.6Market Frictions and Lessons from the Fate of Long-Term
- •7.7Summary and Conclusions
- •8.1ADescription of Options and Options Markets
- •8.2Option Expiration
- •8.3Put-Call Parity
- •Insured Portfolio
- •8.4Binomial Valuation of European Options
- •8.5Binomial Valuation of American Options
- •Valuing American Options on Dividend-Paying Stocks
- •8.6Black-Scholes Valuation
- •8.7Estimating Volatility
- •Volatility
- •8.8Black-Scholes Price Sensitivity to Stock Price, Volatility,
- •Interest Rates, and Expiration Time
- •8.9Valuing Options on More Complex Assets
- •Implied volatility
- •8.11 Summary and Conclusions
- •9.1 Cash Flows ofReal Assets
- •9.2Using Discount Rates to Obtain Present Values
- •Value Additivity and Present Values of Cash Flow Streams
- •Inflation
- •9.3Summary and Conclusions
- •10.1Cash Flows
- •10.2Net Present Value
- •Implications of Value Additivity When Evaluating Mutually Exclusive Projects.
- •10.3Economic Value Added (eva)
- •10.5Evaluating Real Investments with the Internal Rate of Return
- •Intuition for the irrMethod
- •10.7 Summary and Conclusions
- •10A.1Term Structure Varieties
- •10A.2Spot Rates, Annuity Rates, and ParRates
- •11.1Tracking Portfolios and Real Asset Valuation
- •Implementing the Tracking Portfolio Approach
- •11.2The Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate Method
- •11.3The Effect of Leverage on Comparisons
- •11.4Implementing the Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate Formula with
- •11.5Pitfalls in Using the Comparison Method
- •11.6Estimating Beta from Scenarios: The Certainty Equivalent Method
- •Identifying the Certainty Equivalent from Models of Risk and Return
- •11.7Obtaining Certainty Equivalents with Risk-Free Scenarios
- •Implementing the Risk-Free Scenario Method in a Multiperiod Setting
- •11.8Computing Certainty Equivalents from Prices in Financial Markets
- •11.9Summary and Conclusions
- •11A.1Estimation Errorand Denominator-Based Biases in Present Value
- •11A.2Geometric versus Arithmetic Means and the Compounding-Based Bias
- •12.2Valuing Strategic Options with the Real Options Methodology
- •Valuing a Mine with No Strategic Options
- •Valuing a Mine with an Abandonment Option
- •Valuing Vacant Land
- •Valuing the Option to Delay the Start of a Manufacturing Project
- •Valuing the Option to Expand Capacity
- •Valuing Flexibility in Production Technology: The Advantage of Being Different
- •12.3The Ratio Comparison Approach
- •12.4The Competitive Analysis Approach
- •12.5When to Use the Different Approaches
- •Valuing Asset Classes versus Specific Assets
- •12.6Summary and Conclusions
- •13.1Corporate Taxes and the Evaluation of Equity-Financed
- •Identifying the Unlevered Cost of Capital
- •13.2The Adjusted Present Value Method
- •Valuing a Business with the wacc Method When a Debt Tax Shield Exists
- •Investments
- •IsWrong
- •Valuing Cash Flow to Equity Holders
- •13.5Summary and Conclusions
- •14.1The Modigliani-MillerTheorem
- •IsFalse
- •14.2How an Individual InvestorCan “Undo” a Firm’s Capital
- •14.3How Risky Debt Affects the Modigliani-MillerTheorem
- •14.4How Corporate Taxes Affect the Capital Structure Choice
- •14.6Taxes and Preferred Stock
- •14.7Taxes and Municipal Bonds
- •14.8The Effect of Inflation on the Tax Gain from Leverage
- •14.10Are There Tax Advantages to Leasing?
- •14.11Summary and Conclusions
- •15.1How Much of u.S. Corporate Earnings Is Distributed to Shareholders?Aggregate Share Repurchases and Dividends
- •15.2Distribution Policy in Frictionless Markets
- •15.3The Effect of Taxes and Transaction Costs on Distribution Policy
- •15.4How Dividend Policy Affects Expected Stock Returns
- •15.5How Dividend Taxes Affect Financing and Investment Choices
- •15.6Personal Taxes, Payout Policy, and Capital Structure
- •15.7Summary and Conclusions
- •16.1Bankruptcy
- •16.3How Chapter11 Bankruptcy Mitigates Debt Holder–Equity HolderIncentive Problems
- •16.4How Can Firms Minimize Debt Holder–Equity Holder
- •Incentive Problems?
- •17.1The StakeholderTheory of Capital Structure
- •17.2The Benefits of Financial Distress with Committed Stakeholders
- •17.3Capital Structure and Competitive Strategy
- •17.4Dynamic Capital Structure Considerations
- •17.6 Summary and Conclusions
- •18.1The Separation of Ownership and Control
- •18.2Management Shareholdings and Market Value
- •18.3How Management Control Distorts Investment Decisions
- •18.4Capital Structure and Managerial Control
- •Investment Strategy?
- •18.5Executive Compensation
- •Is Executive Pay Closely Tied to Performance?
- •Is Executive Compensation Tied to Relative Performance?
- •19.1Management Incentives When Managers Have BetterInformation
- •19.2Earnings Manipulation
- •Incentives to Increase or Decrease Accounting Earnings
- •19.4The Information Content of Dividend and Share Repurchase
- •19.5The Information Content of the Debt-Equity Choice
- •19.6Empirical Evidence
- •19.7Summary and Conclusions
- •20.1AHistory of Mergers and Acquisitions
- •20.2Types of Mergers and Acquisitions
- •20.3 Recent Trends in TakeoverActivity
- •20.4Sources of TakeoverGains
- •Is an Acquisition Required to Realize Tax Gains, Operating Synergies,
- •Incentive Gains, or Diversification?
- •20.5The Disadvantages of Mergers and Acquisitions
- •20.7Empirical Evidence on the Gains from Leveraged Buyouts (lbOs)
- •20.8 Valuing Acquisitions
- •Valuing Synergies
- •20.9Financing Acquisitions
- •Information Effects from the Financing of a Merger or an Acquisition
- •20.10Bidding Strategies in Hostile Takeovers
- •20.11Management Defenses
- •20.12Summary and Conclusions
- •21.1Risk Management and the Modigliani-MillerTheorem
- •Implications of the Modigliani-Miller Theorem for Hedging
- •21.2Why Do Firms Hedge?
- •21.4How Should Companies Organize TheirHedging Activities?
- •21.8Foreign Exchange Risk Management
- •Indonesia
- •21.9Which Firms Hedge? The Empirical Evidence
- •21.10Summary and Conclusions
- •22.1Measuring Risk Exposure
- •Volatility as a Measure of Risk Exposure
- •Value at Risk as a Measure of Risk Exposure
- •22.2Hedging Short-Term Commitments with Maturity-Matched
- •Value at
- •22.3Hedging Short-Term Commitments with Maturity-Matched
- •22.4Hedging and Convenience Yields
- •22.5Hedging Long-Dated Commitments with Short-Maturing FuturesorForward Contracts
- •Intuition for Hedging with a Maturity Mismatch in the Presence of a Constant Convenience Yield
- •22.6Hedging with Swaps
- •22.7Hedging with Options
- •22.8Factor-Based Hedging
- •Instruments
- •22.10Minimum Variance Portfolios and Mean-Variance Analysis
- •22.11Summary and Conclusions
- •23Risk Management
- •23.2Duration
- •23.4Immunization
- •Immunization Using dv01
- •Immunization and Large Changes in Interest Rates
- •23.5Convexity
- •23.6Interest Rate Hedging When the Term Structure Is Not Flat
- •23.7Summary and Conclusions
- •Interest Rate
- •Interest Rate
5.3The Efficient Frontierand Two-Fund Separation
The top half of the boundary in Exhibit 5.1 is sometimes referred to as the efficient
frontier of risky stocks. The efficient frontierrepresents the means and standard devi-
ations of the mean-variance efficient portfolios. The efficient frontier is the most effi-
cient trade-off between mean and variance. By contrast, an inefficient portfolio, such
as a 100 percent investment in U.S. technology stocks, wastes risk by not maximizing
the mean return for the risk it contains. Amore efficient portfolio weighting scheme
can earn a higher mean return and have the same variance (or, alternatively, the same
mean and a lower variance).
7Options and portfolio insurance strategies are discussed in Chapter 8.
-
Grinblatt
291 Titman: FinancialII. Valuing Financial Assets
5. Mean
291 Variance Analysis© The McGraw
291 HillMarkets and Corporate
and the Capital Asset
Companies, 2002
Strategy, Second Edition
Pricing Model
136Part IIValuing Financial Assets
The Quest for the Holy Grail: Optimal Portfolios
Based on the assumptions of the last section, the efficient frontier is the “holy grail”—
that is, the efficient frontier is where an investor wants to be. Of course, the efficient
frontier contains many portfolios; which of these portfolios investors select depends on
their personal trade-off between mean and variance. For example, the leftmost point of
Exhibit 5.1’s frontier is point V,which characterizes the mean and standard deviation
of the minimum variance portfolio. This portfolio will attract only those investors who
dislike variance so much that they are willing to forgo substantial mean return to mini-
mize variance. Other investors, who are willing to experience higher variance in
exchange for higher mean returns, will select portfolios on the efficient frontier that are
above point Vin Exhibit 5.1.
Chapter 4 noted that point V,the minimum variance portfolio, is a unique portfo-
lio weighting that can be identified by solving a set of equations. In most instances,
each mean standard-deviation point on the boundary is achieved with a uniqueportfo-
lio of stocks. On the interior of the feasible set, however, many combinations of stocks
can achieve a given mean-standard deviation outcome.
Because investors who treat variance as the sole measure of risk want to select
mean-variance efficient portfolios, it is useful to learn how to construct them. The task
of identifying these special portfolios is greatly simplified by learning about an impor-
tant property known as “two-fund separation.”
Two-Fund Separation
Two-fund separationmeans that it is possible to divide the returns of all mean-
variance efficient portfolios into weighted averages of the returns of two portfolios. As
one moves along the efficient frontier, the weights may change, but the two separating
portfolios remain the same.
This insight follows from a slightly more general result:
-
Result 5.1
All portfolios on the mean-variance efficient frontier can be formed as a weighted averageof any two portfolios (or funds) on the efficient frontier.
Result 5.1 can be generalized even further. Two funds generate not only the northwest
boundary of efficient portfolios, but all of the portfolios on the boundary of the feasi-
ble set: northwest plus southwest (or lower left boundary). This implies that once any
two funds on the boundary are identified, it is possible to create allother mean-variance
efficient portfolios from these two funds!
Exhibit 5.2 highlights four boundary portfolios, denoted A, B, C, and D, and the
minimum variance portfolio, V.All of the portfolios on the western (or left-hand)
boundary of the feasible set are weighted averages of portfolios Aand B, as well as
averages of C and D, B and D, or B and V, and so on. Moreover, anyweighted aver-
age of two boundary portfolios is itself on the boundary.
Example 5.1 provides an illustration of two-fund separation.
Example 5.1:Two-Fund Separation and Portfolio Weights on the Boundary
Consider a mean-standard deviation diagram constructed from five stocks.One of its bound-
ary portfolios has the weights
x .2, x .3, x .1, x .1,andx .3
1234 5
The other portfolio has equal weights of .2 on each of the five stocks.Determine the weights
of the five stocks for all other boundary portfolios.
Grinblatt |
II. Valuing Financial Assets |
5.
Mean |
©
The McGraw |
Markets and Corporate |
|
and the Capital Asset |
Companies, 2002 |
Strategy, Second Edition |
|
Pricing Model |
|
-
Chapter 5
Mean-Variance Analysis and the Capital Asset Pricing Model
137
Answer:The remaining boundary portfolios are described by the weighted averages of
the two portfolios (or funds).Portfolio weights (.2, .3, .1, .1, .3) describe the first fund.Weights
(.2, .2, .2, .2, .2) describe the second fund.Thus, letting wdenote the weight on the first
fund, it is possible to define all boundary portfolios by portfolio weights x, x, x, x, and x
12345
that satisfy the equations
x .2w.2(1w)
1
x .3w.2(1w)
2
x .1w.2(1w)
3
x .1w.2(1w)
4
x .3w.2(1w)
5
For example, if the new boundary portfolio is equally weighted between the two funds
(w .5), its portfolio weights on stocks 1–5 are, respectively, .2, .25, .15, .15, and .25.For
w 1.5, the boundary portfolio weights on stocks 1–5 are, respectively, .2, .05, .35, .35,
and .05.
Example 5.2 finds a specific portfolio on the boundary generated in the last example.
Example 5.2:Identifying a Specific Boundary Portfolio
If the portfolio weight on stock 3 in Example 5.1 is .1, what is the portfolio weight on stocks
1, 2, 4, and 5?
Answer:Solve for the wthat makes .1w.2(1 w) .1.The answer is w 3.Sub-
stituting this value into the other four portfolio weight equations in Example 5.1 yields a
boundary portfolio with respective weights of .2, .5, .1, .1, and .5.
EXHIBIT5.2Two-Fund Separation and the Boundary of the Feasible Set
Mean
return
-
A
B
V
-
C
D
Standard
deviation
of return
-
Grinblatt
295 Titman: FinancialII. Valuing Financial Assets
5. Mean
295 Variance Analysis© The McGraw
295 HillMarkets and Corporate
and the Capital Asset
Companies, 2002
Strategy, Second Edition
Pricing Model
138Part IIValuing Financial Assets
One insight gained from Examples 5.1 and 5.2 is that, whenever a stock has the
same weight in two portfolios on the boundary, as stock 1 does in the last two exam-
ples, it must have the same weight in all portfolios on the boundary. More typically, as
with other stocks in these examples, observe that:
-
•
Some stocks have a portfolio weight that continually increases as wincreases.
•
Other stocks have a portfolio weight that continually decreases as wincreases.
Although these insights help to characterize the boundary, they do not precisely iden-
tify the portfolios on the boundary. This chapter will address this topic after describ-
ing how a risk-free asset affects the analysis.
