- •Intended Audience
- •1.1 Financing the Firm
- •1.2Public and Private Sources of Capital
- •1.3The Environment forRaising Capital in the United States
- •Investment Banks
- •1.4Raising Capital in International Markets
- •1.5MajorFinancial Markets outside the United States
- •1.6Trends in Raising Capital
- •Innovative Instruments
- •2.1Bank Loans
- •2.2Leases
- •2.3Commercial Paper
- •2.4Corporate Bonds
- •2.5More Exotic Securities
- •2.6Raising Debt Capital in the Euromarkets
- •2.7Primary and Secondary Markets forDebt
- •2.8Bond Prices, Yields to Maturity, and Bond Market Conventions
- •2.9Summary and Conclusions
- •3.1Types of Equity Securities
- •Volume of Financing with Different Equity Instruments
- •3.2Who Owns u.S. Equities?
- •3.3The Globalization of Equity Markets
- •3.4Secondary Markets forEquity
- •International Secondary Markets for Equity
- •3.5Equity Market Informational Efficiency and Capital Allocation
- •3.7The Decision to Issue Shares Publicly
- •3.8Stock Returns Associated with ipOs of Common Equity
- •Ipo Underpricing of u.S. Stocks
- •4.1Portfolio Weights
- •4.2Portfolio Returns
- •4.3Expected Portfolio Returns
- •4.4Variances and Standard Deviations
- •4.5Covariances and Correlations
- •4.6Variances of Portfolios and Covariances between Portfolios
- •Variances for Two-Stock Portfolios
- •4.7The Mean-Standard Deviation Diagram
- •4.8Interpreting the Covariance as a Marginal Variance
- •Increasing a Stock Position Financed by Reducing orSelling Short the Position in
- •Increasing a Stock Position Financed by Reducing orShorting a Position in a
- •4.9Finding the Minimum Variance Portfolio
- •Identifying the Minimum Variance Portfolio of Two Stocks
- •Identifying the Minimum Variance Portfolio of Many Stocks
- •Investment Applications of Mean-Variance Analysis and the capm
- •5.2The Essentials of Mean-Variance Analysis
- •5.3The Efficient Frontierand Two-Fund Separation
- •5.4The Tangency Portfolio and Optimal Investment
- •Identification of the Tangency Portfolio
- •5.5Finding the Efficient Frontierof Risky Assets
- •5.6How Useful Is Mean-Variance Analysis forFinding
- •5.8The Capital Asset Pricing Model
- •Implications for Optimal Investment
- •5.9Estimating Betas, Risk-Free Returns, Risk Premiums,
- •Improving the Beta Estimated from Regression
- •Identifying the Market Portfolio
- •5.10Empirical Tests of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
- •Is the Value-Weighted Market Index Mean-Variance Efficient?
- •Interpreting the capm’s Empirical Shortcomings
- •5.11 Summary and Conclusions
- •6.1The Market Model:The First FactorModel
- •6.2The Principle of Diversification
- •Insurance Analogies to Factor Risk and Firm-Specific Risk
- •6.3MultifactorModels
- •Interpreting Common Factors
- •6.5FactorBetas
- •6.6Using FactorModels to Compute Covariances and Variances
- •6.7FactorModels and Tracking Portfolios
- •6.8Pure FactorPortfolios
- •6.9Tracking and Arbitrage
- •6.10No Arbitrage and Pricing: The Arbitrage Pricing Theory
- •Verifying the Existence of Arbitrage
- •Violations of the aptEquation fora Small Set of Stocks Do Not Imply Arbitrage.
- •Violations of the aptEquation by Large Numbers of Stocks Imply Arbitrage.
- •6.11Estimating FactorRisk Premiums and FactorBetas
- •6.12Empirical Tests of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory
- •6.13 Summary and Conclusions
- •7.1Examples of Derivatives
- •7.2The Basics of Derivatives Pricing
- •7.3Binomial Pricing Models
- •7.4Multiperiod Binomial Valuation
- •7.5Valuation Techniques in the Financial Services Industry
- •7.6Market Frictions and Lessons from the Fate of Long-Term
- •7.7Summary and Conclusions
- •8.1ADescription of Options and Options Markets
- •8.2Option Expiration
- •8.3Put-Call Parity
- •Insured Portfolio
- •8.4Binomial Valuation of European Options
- •8.5Binomial Valuation of American Options
- •Valuing American Options on Dividend-Paying Stocks
- •8.6Black-Scholes Valuation
- •8.7Estimating Volatility
- •Volatility
- •8.8Black-Scholes Price Sensitivity to Stock Price, Volatility,
- •Interest Rates, and Expiration Time
- •8.9Valuing Options on More Complex Assets
- •Implied volatility
- •8.11 Summary and Conclusions
- •9.1 Cash Flows ofReal Assets
- •9.2Using Discount Rates to Obtain Present Values
- •Value Additivity and Present Values of Cash Flow Streams
- •Inflation
- •9.3Summary and Conclusions
- •10.1Cash Flows
- •10.2Net Present Value
- •Implications of Value Additivity When Evaluating Mutually Exclusive Projects.
- •10.3Economic Value Added (eva)
- •10.5Evaluating Real Investments with the Internal Rate of Return
- •Intuition for the irrMethod
- •10.7 Summary and Conclusions
- •10A.1Term Structure Varieties
- •10A.2Spot Rates, Annuity Rates, and ParRates
- •11.1Tracking Portfolios and Real Asset Valuation
- •Implementing the Tracking Portfolio Approach
- •11.2The Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate Method
- •11.3The Effect of Leverage on Comparisons
- •11.4Implementing the Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate Formula with
- •11.5Pitfalls in Using the Comparison Method
- •11.6Estimating Beta from Scenarios: The Certainty Equivalent Method
- •Identifying the Certainty Equivalent from Models of Risk and Return
- •11.7Obtaining Certainty Equivalents with Risk-Free Scenarios
- •Implementing the Risk-Free Scenario Method in a Multiperiod Setting
- •11.8Computing Certainty Equivalents from Prices in Financial Markets
- •11.9Summary and Conclusions
- •11A.1Estimation Errorand Denominator-Based Biases in Present Value
- •11A.2Geometric versus Arithmetic Means and the Compounding-Based Bias
- •12.2Valuing Strategic Options with the Real Options Methodology
- •Valuing a Mine with No Strategic Options
- •Valuing a Mine with an Abandonment Option
- •Valuing Vacant Land
- •Valuing the Option to Delay the Start of a Manufacturing Project
- •Valuing the Option to Expand Capacity
- •Valuing Flexibility in Production Technology: The Advantage of Being Different
- •12.3The Ratio Comparison Approach
- •12.4The Competitive Analysis Approach
- •12.5When to Use the Different Approaches
- •Valuing Asset Classes versus Specific Assets
- •12.6Summary and Conclusions
- •13.1Corporate Taxes and the Evaluation of Equity-Financed
- •Identifying the Unlevered Cost of Capital
- •13.2The Adjusted Present Value Method
- •Valuing a Business with the wacc Method When a Debt Tax Shield Exists
- •Investments
- •IsWrong
- •Valuing Cash Flow to Equity Holders
- •13.5Summary and Conclusions
- •14.1The Modigliani-MillerTheorem
- •IsFalse
- •14.2How an Individual InvestorCan “Undo” a Firm’s Capital
- •14.3How Risky Debt Affects the Modigliani-MillerTheorem
- •14.4How Corporate Taxes Affect the Capital Structure Choice
- •14.6Taxes and Preferred Stock
- •14.7Taxes and Municipal Bonds
- •14.8The Effect of Inflation on the Tax Gain from Leverage
- •14.10Are There Tax Advantages to Leasing?
- •14.11Summary and Conclusions
- •15.1How Much of u.S. Corporate Earnings Is Distributed to Shareholders?Aggregate Share Repurchases and Dividends
- •15.2Distribution Policy in Frictionless Markets
- •15.3The Effect of Taxes and Transaction Costs on Distribution Policy
- •15.4How Dividend Policy Affects Expected Stock Returns
- •15.5How Dividend Taxes Affect Financing and Investment Choices
- •15.6Personal Taxes, Payout Policy, and Capital Structure
- •15.7Summary and Conclusions
- •16.1Bankruptcy
- •16.3How Chapter11 Bankruptcy Mitigates Debt Holder–Equity HolderIncentive Problems
- •16.4How Can Firms Minimize Debt Holder–Equity Holder
- •Incentive Problems?
- •17.1The StakeholderTheory of Capital Structure
- •17.2The Benefits of Financial Distress with Committed Stakeholders
- •17.3Capital Structure and Competitive Strategy
- •17.4Dynamic Capital Structure Considerations
- •17.6 Summary and Conclusions
- •18.1The Separation of Ownership and Control
- •18.2Management Shareholdings and Market Value
- •18.3How Management Control Distorts Investment Decisions
- •18.4Capital Structure and Managerial Control
- •Investment Strategy?
- •18.5Executive Compensation
- •Is Executive Pay Closely Tied to Performance?
- •Is Executive Compensation Tied to Relative Performance?
- •19.1Management Incentives When Managers Have BetterInformation
- •19.2Earnings Manipulation
- •Incentives to Increase or Decrease Accounting Earnings
- •19.4The Information Content of Dividend and Share Repurchase
- •19.5The Information Content of the Debt-Equity Choice
- •19.6Empirical Evidence
- •19.7Summary and Conclusions
- •20.1AHistory of Mergers and Acquisitions
- •20.2Types of Mergers and Acquisitions
- •20.3 Recent Trends in TakeoverActivity
- •20.4Sources of TakeoverGains
- •Is an Acquisition Required to Realize Tax Gains, Operating Synergies,
- •Incentive Gains, or Diversification?
- •20.5The Disadvantages of Mergers and Acquisitions
- •20.7Empirical Evidence on the Gains from Leveraged Buyouts (lbOs)
- •20.8 Valuing Acquisitions
- •Valuing Synergies
- •20.9Financing Acquisitions
- •Information Effects from the Financing of a Merger or an Acquisition
- •20.10Bidding Strategies in Hostile Takeovers
- •20.11Management Defenses
- •20.12Summary and Conclusions
- •21.1Risk Management and the Modigliani-MillerTheorem
- •Implications of the Modigliani-Miller Theorem for Hedging
- •21.2Why Do Firms Hedge?
- •21.4How Should Companies Organize TheirHedging Activities?
- •21.8Foreign Exchange Risk Management
- •Indonesia
- •21.9Which Firms Hedge? The Empirical Evidence
- •21.10Summary and Conclusions
- •22.1Measuring Risk Exposure
- •Volatility as a Measure of Risk Exposure
- •Value at Risk as a Measure of Risk Exposure
- •22.2Hedging Short-Term Commitments with Maturity-Matched
- •Value at
- •22.3Hedging Short-Term Commitments with Maturity-Matched
- •22.4Hedging and Convenience Yields
- •22.5Hedging Long-Dated Commitments with Short-Maturing FuturesorForward Contracts
- •Intuition for Hedging with a Maturity Mismatch in the Presence of a Constant Convenience Yield
- •22.6Hedging with Swaps
- •22.7Hedging with Options
- •22.8Factor-Based Hedging
- •Instruments
- •22.10Minimum Variance Portfolios and Mean-Variance Analysis
- •22.11Summary and Conclusions
- •23Risk Management
- •23.2Duration
- •23.4Immunization
- •Immunization Using dv01
- •Immunization and Large Changes in Interest Rates
- •23.5Convexity
- •23.6Interest Rate Hedging When the Term Structure Is Not Flat
- •23.7Summary and Conclusions
- •Interest Rate
- •Interest Rate
18.1The Separation of Ownership and Control
Most large corporations are effectively controlled by managers who hold a relatively
small amount of their firm’s shares. To borrow from the influential book by Berle and
Means (1932), there is a separation between ownership and control in large corpora-
tions. This separation causes problems because the interests of managers are not gen-
erally aligned with those of shareholders.
Whom Do Managers Represent?
Equity holders are interested in maximizing the value of their shares. Managers, how-
ever, generally see equity holders as just one of many potential constituents. Don-
aldson and Lorsch (1983) suggested that top executives see themselves as represen-
tatives of three separate constituencies, including both financial and nonfinancial
stakeholders:
1.Investors (for example, the company’s equity holders and debt holders).
2.Customers and suppliers.
3.Employees.
In making decisions, managers tend to trade off the interests of all three groups
rather than simply maximize shareholder value. Of course, when decisions do not affect
the well-being of a firm’s customers, suppliers, and employees, there is no conflict. In
reality, however, this is rarely ever the case.
The tendency of managers to consider the interests of all of the firm’s stakehold-
ers is somewhat natural given that executives spend most of their typical day dealing
with customers, suppliers, and employees, and building personal relationships with
these individuals. They spend much less time interacting with equity holders, although
the time spent with institutional shareholders is certainly increasing.
What Factors Influence Managerial Incentives?
Anumber of factors influence the extent to which managers act in the interests of
shareholders. For example, as the length of time a CEO stays on the job increases, the
loyalty to the individuals whom he or she must deal with on a day-to-day basis also
increases. This makes it more difficult for the executive to make tough decisions that
might improve the firm’s stock price at the expense of customers and employees.
Imagine, for example, the dilemma faced by an executive who has the opportunity
to substantially improve her firm’s value by restructuring the firm. Should she act in
the interests of the institutional shareholders who bought the stock last month and plan
to sell it after the restructuring is completed, or should she act in the interests of the
employees with whom she has worked for many years and who may be forced into
early retirement if the restructuring is implemented?
2Later chapters examine how incentive issues affect both merger and acquisition strategies (Chapter
20) and risk management strategies (Chapter 21).
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The proportion of the company’s stock owned by managers also determines the
extent to which management’s interests deviate from those of equity holders. Jensen
and Meckling (1976) provided an intuitive explanation of why a manager who owns
more shares will act more in the interests of equity holders. If the manager owns only
5 percent of the firm’s shares, each dollar of perquisites, or unnecessary expenditures
that benefit the manager personally, costs him or her only $0.05, with the other $0.95
borne by other shareholders. For example, a $1 million corporate jet will, in essence,
have a personal cost to the manager of only $50,000. Because of this, the manager is
likely to use corporate resources inefficiently, consuming in ways that would not occur
if the cost of the consumed resources were paid from the manager’s personal funds.
-
Result 18.1
Management interests are likely to deviate from shareholder interests in a number of ways.The extent of this deviation is likely to be related to the amount of time the managers havespent on the job and the number of shares they own.
How Management Incentive Problems Hurt Shareholder Value
The Armand Hammer and Occidental Petroleum example in the chapter’s opening
vignette provides a poignant case of how management incentive problems can affect
shareholder wealth. Although the Hammer episode is an extreme example of the extent
to which shareholder wealth can be destroyed by a self-interested manager, share prices
tend to respond favorably when entrenched executives leave their positions unexpect-
edly. Articles in Newsweekand The Wall Street Journalprovide several examples of
firms that experienced much larger price run-ups subsequent to the deaths of their
CEOs.3For similar reasons, unexpected retirements also can lead to a positive stock
price response.For example, when Fred Hartley announced on June 7, 1988, that he
was stepping down as CEO of Unocal, the company’s stock price increased 3.8 per-
cent, a one-day gain in shareholder value of about $150 million. In the subsequent year,
Unocal’s stock price nearly doubled.
One interpretation of the positive stock price reactions to CEO retirements and deaths
is that investors believe that a new CEO, with fewer ties to the firm’s other managers,
may be more willing to make the kind of tough decisions that might be required to
improve share values. In 1989, for example, the price of Campbell Soup’s stock increased
20 percent upon the death of Campbell Soup’s chairman John Dorrance, Jr. Shortly there-
after, a new and more aggressive management team restructured the firm, and, among
other things, closed down Campbell’s original soup plant in Camden, New Jersey.
Why Shareholders Cannot Control Managers
Given the large anticipated gains in share prices linked to changing the policies of man-
agers like Armand Hammer and Fred Hartley, it is surprising that stockholders were
unable to force them to act in ways that maximized the firm’s share prices or to force
them to resign earlier. In neither case did the individuals own a large amount of stock.
Armand Hammer and Fred Hartley owned less than 0.5 percent of their companies’
outstanding shares, which is typical for large U.S. corporations. Jensen and Murphy
(1990b) reported that in 1986, the median percentage of inside shareholdings for 746
3“Deathwatch Investments,” Newsweek,Apr. 24, 1989; “Death Watches Are Unseemly but Common,”
The Wall Street Journal,Aug. 6, 1996; see also an interesting study by Johnson et al. (1985),
documenting positive stock price responses to the unexpected deaths of CEOs.
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CEOs in the Forbes compensation survey was 0.25 percent, with 80 percent of this
sample holding less than 1.4 percent of the shares in their firms.
As a group, outside shareholders generally cannot force managers to maximize
share prices because their ownership is too diffuse. This creates the kind of free-rider
problem described in Chapter 16. In this case, the free-rider problemarises because it
is not in the interest of any individual shareholder to take actions that discipline a non-
value-maximizing manager, even though it is in the interests of all shareholders as a
group to have this manager removed.
Shareholders who want to challenge the policies of management must stage proxy
fights, which require organizing shareholders to oust the incumbent board of directors
by electing a new board that supports an alternative policy. Proxy fights are very
expensive and outsiders who attempt to organize outside shareholders to vote against
incumbent management usually don’t win them. Carl Icahn, for example, spent more
than $5 million on his unsuccessful proxy fight to take over Texaco. While the aggre-
gate benefits to all shareholders involved in such a proxy fight may very well exceed
their costs, the individual bearing the costs usually receives only a fraction of the
benefits. The remainder of the benefiting shareholders are thus free riders. Hence, it
isn’t surprising that proxy fights rarely occur.
WhyIs Ownership So Diffuse If It Leads to Less Efficient Management?Chapters
4 and 5 noted that investors have an incentive to hold diversified portfolios. Indeed,
the Capital Asset Pricing Model suggests that all investors hold the same market port-
folio, implying that an investor’s shareholdings in any individual firm must be
extremely small. However, the preceding discussion suggests the possibility of an inher-
ent conflict between the desire to hold diversified portfolios and the ability of share-
holders to control management.
An individual investor who wishes to obtain enough shares to control management
would generally have to hold an undiversified portfolio. Although the investor would
benefit by getting management to make value-maximizing decisions, he or she would
bear significant costs by holding an undiversified portfolio. Hence, investors face a
trade-off between diversification and control. The undiversified investor, however,
shares the benefits of control (the higher stock price) with other shareholders, but must
bear alone the cost of having an undiversified portfolio, as Example 18.1 illustrates.
Example 18.1:The Trade-Off between Diversification and Improved Monitoring
John Gallalee believes that he can take control of Axel Corporation and improve its value
by $60 million over the next five years.He can do this by investing his entire wealth of $60
million to purchase 20 percent of Axel’s outstanding shares.Axel’s stock has a standard devi-
ation of about 40 percent per year, which is about twice the standard deviation of the mar-
ket portfolio.Should John go ahead with this investment?
Answer:Axel realizes the $60 million increase in value in five years if John gains con-
trol.For a $300 million company, this is equivalent to an additional 20 percent return over
five years, which is less than 4 percent per year.It’s likely that John could realize a much
higher expected return with the same level of total risk with a leveraged position in the mar-
ket portfolio.The gains from increased monitoring that arise from holding a large stake, there-
fore, are not enough to offset the costs of having an undiversified portfolio.
-
Result 18.2
Firms with concentrated ownership are likely to be better monitoredand thus better man-aged. However, shareholders who take large equity stakes may be inadequately diversi-fied. All shareholders benefit from better management; however, the costs of having a
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less diversified portfolio are borne only by the large shareholders. Because of the costs of
bearing firm-specific risk, ownership is likely to be less concentrated than it would be if
management efficiency were the only consideration.
Can Financial Institutions Mitigate the Free-RiderProblem?The importance of
holding a diversified portfolio explains why individual investors rarely choose to take
positions that are large enough to allow them to adequately monitor and control man-
agement. However, the diversification motive does not explain why institutions do not
arise to provide such monitoring services. For example, one can imagine an economy
in which investors pool their money and buy into large, relatively diversified mutual
funds. Given their large size, these mutual funds could in theory take individual posi-
tions that are large enough to influence management, yet still remain reasonably diver-
sified. For example a $100 billion mutual fund, such as the Fidelity Magellan Fund,
might put $1 billion into each of 100 different stocks. If a number of different funds
formed portfolios in such a way and communicated with one another, as a group they
would be able to effectively monitor management.
As noted in Chapter 1, Roe (1994) argued that regulations adopted in the 1930s, such
as the now repealed Glass-Steagall Act, prevented U.S. financial institutions from play-
ing this role until just recently. This is in contrast with the situation in Germany and Japan
where banks hold significant amounts of equity and exert control over managers.
Although mutual funds and insurance companies in the United States hold significant
amounts of stock, regulations keep them from owning more than 5 percent of the stock
of any individual firm and exerting any explicit control over corporate decisions.
Pension funds, the other major institutional holders of common stock, have recently
begun to exert more influence on corporate behavior. Private pension funds, however,
are still reluctant to exert significant influence on corporate managers, which is not sur-
prising. For example, the managers of IBM would not like to see the company’s pen-
sion fund second-guessing the management of another firm. Doing so might set a prece-
dent that would give the pension funds at other corporations the idea that they should
meddle in IBM’s affairs. However, pension funds for public employees have no simi-
lar disincentive keeping them from acting as active monitors of management. Indeed,
a number of large pension funds—most notably CALPERS, the large pension fund for
California’s public employees—have recently taken on a more active role in their rela-
tionship with corporate management. As we discuss below, there has recently been
much more pressure on U.S. managers to act in the interests of their shareholders, partly
because of the growing importance of public pension funds.
Changes in Corporate Governance
Anumber of changes took place between the mid-1980s and the early 1990s that made
managers more responsive to the interests of shareholders. These include a more active
takeover market, an increased usage of executive incentive plans (e.g., stock options)
that increase the link between management compensation and corporate performance,
and more active institutional shareholders (for example, CALPERS) who have demon-
strated a growing tendency to vote against management.4
The active role of institutional investors was sparked, in part, by two Securities
and Exchange Commission rule changes in the early 1990s. The first change, which
4We discuss the use of executive stock options later in this chapter (as well as in Chapter 8) and the
takeover market in Chapter 20.
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required fuller disclosure of executive compensation packages, put managers under
greater pressure to perform up to their level of compensation. The second change made
it easier for shareholders to get information about other shareholders, which substan-
tially reduced the costs of staging a proxy fight.
For a number of reasons, we believe that corporate boards of directors are becom-
ing more effective monitors of management. First, corporate boards have been getting
smaller, and the percentage of directors who are not directly affiliated with the com-
pany has increased. In a study of corporate boards, Bacon (1989) reported that the
number of board members at large companies declined from a median of 14 in 1972
to a median of 12 in 1989, which may have had the effect of making the individual
board members take their responsibilities as monitors more seriously. Perhaps more
importantly, the percentage of manufacturing companies with a majority of outside
directorsincreased from 71 percent to 86 percent during this same time period. In addi-
tion, board members are receiving an increasingly higher percentage of their com-
pensation in the form of stock and stock options, which aligns their interests with those
of shareholders.
Arecent study by Huson, Parrino, and Starks (2001) concludes that as a result
of these changes, CEOs in more recent years are much more likely to be terminated
for poor performance. Specifically, they found that a CEO’s probability of losing his
or her job in the 1983 to 1994 period was about twice as high as the probability in
the 1971 to 1982 time period. Moreover, the CEO appointed following a termina-
tion was much more likely to be someone from outside the company in the later
time period.
In this changing environment, eight prominent CEOs lost their jobs in 1993, includ-
ing John Akers of IBM, Kay Whitmore of Eastman Kodak, John Sculley of Apple Com-
puter, Paul Lego of Westinghouse Electric, and James Robinson III of American
Express. American Express is a particularly good example of the use of clout by insti-
tutional investors.
Terminations at American Express
American Express lost about 50 percent of its value between 1989 and the end of 1992. As
a result, Harvey Golub, the chairman of American Express, replaced James Robinson, its
CEO. However, Robinson stayed on as chairman of the board and chief executive of the
Shearson Lehmann Brothers brokerage and investment banking unit of American Express.
On January 28, 1993, Golub met with about a dozen of American Express’s largest institu-
tional investors who had expressed their displeasure with Robinson’s continued role in the
company. The next day, Robinson resigned.5
Do Corporate Governance Problems Differ Across Countries?
Corporate governance problems differ across countries as well as over time. In some
countries, most notably the United States, the United Kingdom, and other former
British colonies, there is relatively strong legal protection for outside shareholders.
Other countries, however, provide much less legal protection for outside share-
holders. For example, Chapter 1 mentioned that Lukoil, a Russian oil company, had
amarket value of about five cents per barrel of proven oil reserves because of
uncertainty about shareholder rights in Russia. The concern is that the managers of
5
“Good-Bye to Berle & Means,” Forbes,Jan. 3, 1994.
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Lukoil will consume the value of the oil reserves, leaving almost nothing for the
shareholders.6
As one might expect, countries with the strongest protection for outside sharehold-
ers have the largest and the most active stock markets. Countries with weaker protection
for outside shareholders have smaller stock markets and many fewer new companies
going public. Recent evidence suggests that there are clear advantages associated with
the increased stock market activity that is associated with greater investor protection.7
Of course, changes that improve investor protection and create more active stock
markets are not necessarily easy to implement. In particular, there may be intense oppo-
sition from the politically connected families who control the large corporations in those
countries where the investor protection is the weakest. Such reforms are likely to reduce
the degree to which these families control their businesses, and the reforms are likely
to make it easier for potential competitors to raise cash and challenge their dominance.
However, the financial crisis that started in Asia in 1997 and spread to Eastern Europe
and Latin America in 1998 provided added pressure in the affected countries to reform
their financial systems in ways that would allow them to attract capital from interna-
tional sources. As a result, there has been a recent impetus for legal and financial mar-
ket reforms that promote the interests of outside shareholders.
