
- •Intended Audience
- •1.1 Financing the Firm
- •1.2Public and Private Sources of Capital
- •1.3The Environment forRaising Capital in the United States
- •Investment Banks
- •1.4Raising Capital in International Markets
- •1.5MajorFinancial Markets outside the United States
- •1.6Trends in Raising Capital
- •Innovative Instruments
- •2.1Bank Loans
- •2.2Leases
- •2.3Commercial Paper
- •2.4Corporate Bonds
- •2.5More Exotic Securities
- •2.6Raising Debt Capital in the Euromarkets
- •2.7Primary and Secondary Markets forDebt
- •2.8Bond Prices, Yields to Maturity, and Bond Market Conventions
- •2.9Summary and Conclusions
- •3.1Types of Equity Securities
- •Volume of Financing with Different Equity Instruments
- •3.2Who Owns u.S. Equities?
- •3.3The Globalization of Equity Markets
- •3.4Secondary Markets forEquity
- •International Secondary Markets for Equity
- •3.5Equity Market Informational Efficiency and Capital Allocation
- •3.7The Decision to Issue Shares Publicly
- •3.8Stock Returns Associated with ipOs of Common Equity
- •Ipo Underpricing of u.S. Stocks
- •4.1Portfolio Weights
- •4.2Portfolio Returns
- •4.3Expected Portfolio Returns
- •4.4Variances and Standard Deviations
- •4.5Covariances and Correlations
- •4.6Variances of Portfolios and Covariances between Portfolios
- •Variances for Two-Stock Portfolios
- •4.7The Mean-Standard Deviation Diagram
- •4.8Interpreting the Covariance as a Marginal Variance
- •Increasing a Stock Position Financed by Reducing orSelling Short the Position in
- •Increasing a Stock Position Financed by Reducing orShorting a Position in a
- •4.9Finding the Minimum Variance Portfolio
- •Identifying the Minimum Variance Portfolio of Two Stocks
- •Identifying the Minimum Variance Portfolio of Many Stocks
- •Investment Applications of Mean-Variance Analysis and the capm
- •5.2The Essentials of Mean-Variance Analysis
- •5.3The Efficient Frontierand Two-Fund Separation
- •5.4The Tangency Portfolio and Optimal Investment
- •Identification of the Tangency Portfolio
- •5.5Finding the Efficient Frontierof Risky Assets
- •5.6How Useful Is Mean-Variance Analysis forFinding
- •5.8The Capital Asset Pricing Model
- •Implications for Optimal Investment
- •5.9Estimating Betas, Risk-Free Returns, Risk Premiums,
- •Improving the Beta Estimated from Regression
- •Identifying the Market Portfolio
- •5.10Empirical Tests of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
- •Is the Value-Weighted Market Index Mean-Variance Efficient?
- •Interpreting the capm’s Empirical Shortcomings
- •5.11 Summary and Conclusions
- •6.1The Market Model:The First FactorModel
- •6.2The Principle of Diversification
- •Insurance Analogies to Factor Risk and Firm-Specific Risk
- •6.3MultifactorModels
- •Interpreting Common Factors
- •6.5FactorBetas
- •6.6Using FactorModels to Compute Covariances and Variances
- •6.7FactorModels and Tracking Portfolios
- •6.8Pure FactorPortfolios
- •6.9Tracking and Arbitrage
- •6.10No Arbitrage and Pricing: The Arbitrage Pricing Theory
- •Verifying the Existence of Arbitrage
- •Violations of the aptEquation fora Small Set of Stocks Do Not Imply Arbitrage.
- •Violations of the aptEquation by Large Numbers of Stocks Imply Arbitrage.
- •6.11Estimating FactorRisk Premiums and FactorBetas
- •6.12Empirical Tests of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory
- •6.13 Summary and Conclusions
- •7.1Examples of Derivatives
- •7.2The Basics of Derivatives Pricing
- •7.3Binomial Pricing Models
- •7.4Multiperiod Binomial Valuation
- •7.5Valuation Techniques in the Financial Services Industry
- •7.6Market Frictions and Lessons from the Fate of Long-Term
- •7.7Summary and Conclusions
- •8.1ADescription of Options and Options Markets
- •8.2Option Expiration
- •8.3Put-Call Parity
- •Insured Portfolio
- •8.4Binomial Valuation of European Options
- •8.5Binomial Valuation of American Options
- •Valuing American Options on Dividend-Paying Stocks
- •8.6Black-Scholes Valuation
- •8.7Estimating Volatility
- •Volatility
- •8.8Black-Scholes Price Sensitivity to Stock Price, Volatility,
- •Interest Rates, and Expiration Time
- •8.9Valuing Options on More Complex Assets
- •Implied volatility
- •8.11 Summary and Conclusions
- •9.1 Cash Flows ofReal Assets
- •9.2Using Discount Rates to Obtain Present Values
- •Value Additivity and Present Values of Cash Flow Streams
- •Inflation
- •9.3Summary and Conclusions
- •10.1Cash Flows
- •10.2Net Present Value
- •Implications of Value Additivity When Evaluating Mutually Exclusive Projects.
- •10.3Economic Value Added (eva)
- •10.5Evaluating Real Investments with the Internal Rate of Return
- •Intuition for the irrMethod
- •10.7 Summary and Conclusions
- •10A.1Term Structure Varieties
- •10A.2Spot Rates, Annuity Rates, and ParRates
- •11.1Tracking Portfolios and Real Asset Valuation
- •Implementing the Tracking Portfolio Approach
- •11.2The Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate Method
- •11.3The Effect of Leverage on Comparisons
- •11.4Implementing the Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate Formula with
- •11.5Pitfalls in Using the Comparison Method
- •11.6Estimating Beta from Scenarios: The Certainty Equivalent Method
- •Identifying the Certainty Equivalent from Models of Risk and Return
- •11.7Obtaining Certainty Equivalents with Risk-Free Scenarios
- •Implementing the Risk-Free Scenario Method in a Multiperiod Setting
- •11.8Computing Certainty Equivalents from Prices in Financial Markets
- •11.9Summary and Conclusions
- •11A.1Estimation Errorand Denominator-Based Biases in Present Value
- •11A.2Geometric versus Arithmetic Means and the Compounding-Based Bias
- •12.2Valuing Strategic Options with the Real Options Methodology
- •Valuing a Mine with No Strategic Options
- •Valuing a Mine with an Abandonment Option
- •Valuing Vacant Land
- •Valuing the Option to Delay the Start of a Manufacturing Project
- •Valuing the Option to Expand Capacity
- •Valuing Flexibility in Production Technology: The Advantage of Being Different
- •12.3The Ratio Comparison Approach
- •12.4The Competitive Analysis Approach
- •12.5When to Use the Different Approaches
- •Valuing Asset Classes versus Specific Assets
- •12.6Summary and Conclusions
- •13.1Corporate Taxes and the Evaluation of Equity-Financed
- •Identifying the Unlevered Cost of Capital
- •13.2The Adjusted Present Value Method
- •Valuing a Business with the wacc Method When a Debt Tax Shield Exists
- •Investments
- •IsWrong
- •Valuing Cash Flow to Equity Holders
- •13.5Summary and Conclusions
- •14.1The Modigliani-MillerTheorem
- •IsFalse
- •14.2How an Individual InvestorCan “Undo” a Firm’s Capital
- •14.3How Risky Debt Affects the Modigliani-MillerTheorem
- •14.4How Corporate Taxes Affect the Capital Structure Choice
- •14.6Taxes and Preferred Stock
- •14.7Taxes and Municipal Bonds
- •14.8The Effect of Inflation on the Tax Gain from Leverage
- •14.10Are There Tax Advantages to Leasing?
- •14.11Summary and Conclusions
- •15.1How Much of u.S. Corporate Earnings Is Distributed to Shareholders?Aggregate Share Repurchases and Dividends
- •15.2Distribution Policy in Frictionless Markets
- •15.3The Effect of Taxes and Transaction Costs on Distribution Policy
- •15.4How Dividend Policy Affects Expected Stock Returns
- •15.5How Dividend Taxes Affect Financing and Investment Choices
- •15.6Personal Taxes, Payout Policy, and Capital Structure
- •15.7Summary and Conclusions
- •16.1Bankruptcy
- •16.3How Chapter11 Bankruptcy Mitigates Debt Holder–Equity HolderIncentive Problems
- •16.4How Can Firms Minimize Debt Holder–Equity Holder
- •Incentive Problems?
- •17.1The StakeholderTheory of Capital Structure
- •17.2The Benefits of Financial Distress with Committed Stakeholders
- •17.3Capital Structure and Competitive Strategy
- •17.4Dynamic Capital Structure Considerations
- •17.6 Summary and Conclusions
- •18.1The Separation of Ownership and Control
- •18.2Management Shareholdings and Market Value
- •18.3How Management Control Distorts Investment Decisions
- •18.4Capital Structure and Managerial Control
- •Investment Strategy?
- •18.5Executive Compensation
- •Is Executive Pay Closely Tied to Performance?
- •Is Executive Compensation Tied to Relative Performance?
- •19.1Management Incentives When Managers Have BetterInformation
- •19.2Earnings Manipulation
- •Incentives to Increase or Decrease Accounting Earnings
- •19.4The Information Content of Dividend and Share Repurchase
- •19.5The Information Content of the Debt-Equity Choice
- •19.6Empirical Evidence
- •19.7Summary and Conclusions
- •20.1AHistory of Mergers and Acquisitions
- •20.2Types of Mergers and Acquisitions
- •20.3 Recent Trends in TakeoverActivity
- •20.4Sources of TakeoverGains
- •Is an Acquisition Required to Realize Tax Gains, Operating Synergies,
- •Incentive Gains, or Diversification?
- •20.5The Disadvantages of Mergers and Acquisitions
- •20.7Empirical Evidence on the Gains from Leveraged Buyouts (lbOs)
- •20.8 Valuing Acquisitions
- •Valuing Synergies
- •20.9Financing Acquisitions
- •Information Effects from the Financing of a Merger or an Acquisition
- •20.10Bidding Strategies in Hostile Takeovers
- •20.11Management Defenses
- •20.12Summary and Conclusions
- •21.1Risk Management and the Modigliani-MillerTheorem
- •Implications of the Modigliani-Miller Theorem for Hedging
- •21.2Why Do Firms Hedge?
- •21.4How Should Companies Organize TheirHedging Activities?
- •21.8Foreign Exchange Risk Management
- •Indonesia
- •21.9Which Firms Hedge? The Empirical Evidence
- •21.10Summary and Conclusions
- •22.1Measuring Risk Exposure
- •Volatility as a Measure of Risk Exposure
- •Value at Risk as a Measure of Risk Exposure
- •22.2Hedging Short-Term Commitments with Maturity-Matched
- •Value at
- •22.3Hedging Short-Term Commitments with Maturity-Matched
- •22.4Hedging and Convenience Yields
- •22.5Hedging Long-Dated Commitments with Short-Maturing FuturesorForward Contracts
- •Intuition for Hedging with a Maturity Mismatch in the Presence of a Constant Convenience Yield
- •22.6Hedging with Swaps
- •22.7Hedging with Options
- •22.8Factor-Based Hedging
- •Instruments
- •22.10Minimum Variance Portfolios and Mean-Variance Analysis
- •22.11Summary and Conclusions
- •23Risk Management
- •23.2Duration
- •23.4Immunization
- •Immunization Using dv01
- •Immunization and Large Changes in Interest Rates
- •23.5Convexity
- •23.6Interest Rate Hedging When the Term Structure Is Not Flat
- •23.7Summary and Conclusions
- •Interest Rate
- •Interest Rate
12.6Summary and Conclusions
Agood portion of this chapter focused on using the real op- |
Among the intuitive lessons to remember are |
tions approach to value projects with strategic options. |
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•Strategic options exist whenever management has |
This approach requires making a number of simplifying |
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any flexibility regarding the implementation of a |
assumptions that may not be particularly realistic (for ex- |
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project. |
ample, the assumption that cash flows evolve along a bino- |
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|
•Options to change the scale of a project, abandon |
mial tree). As a result, one should consider the calculated |
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it, or drastically change its implementation in the |
values as rough estimates rather than as exact quantities. |
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|
future need to be considered. The more different a |
Nevertheless, though the pricing of strategic options is still |
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|
firm is from its competitors, the more valuable the |
an inexact science, the methods described in this chapter |
|
|
options (for example, the option to expand). |
provide useful intuition about the kinds of projects that are |
|
likely to be more valuable or to have large components of |
•The existence of these options improves the value |
value missed by the discounted cash flow method. |
of an investment project. If management ignores |
15For
example, the purchaser of the comparison office building across the street might have paid too
much for the property.
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454Part IIIValuing Real Assets
such options, the project will be undervalued.
Hence, a manager who computes a zero or slightly
negative NPVfor a project with the standard
discounted cash flow method can feel confident
about adopting the project. The cash flows arising
from strategic options that were missed due to
their indirect nature will push the NPVof the
project well into the positive range.
•The values of most options increase with the
maturity of the option. This suggests that strategic
options are generally more valuable for longer-
term projects. Standard discounted cash flow
methods, which tend to ignore such options, may
underestimate the value of long-term projects more
than they underestimate the value of short-term
projects. If decision makers ignore such options in
their valuation analysis, long-term projects will be
undervalued more than short-term projects.
•The greater the uncertainty about the future value
of the underlying investment, the greater the
option’s value. This suggests that strategic options
are more valuable the higher the risk of the project,
indicating that it is probably beneficial to build
more flexibility into projects with more uncertain
future cash flows. Traditional discounted cash flow
methods that ignore strategic options are likely to
undervalue high-risk projects more than low-risk
projects, so it is important for decision makers to
be careful before rejecting high-risk projects.In addition to the real options approach, this chapter stud-ied two other methods for analyzing capital allocation: theratio comparison approach and the competitive analysisapproach.
All three valuation methods, like nearly every valuationmethod for valuing financial assets or real assets studied inthis text, are based on comparisons between assets. Each
asset is tracked, sometimes approximately, by a portfolioof other assets. Financial valuation is simply a way of con-necting the value of an asset that has a known price to theasset being valued.
What if the manager believes that the market is incor-rect? For example, if managers think that the comparableoffice building is undervalued or the underlying copperprice is too low, should they use their superior informationand accept investment projects that the market incorrectlyundervalues but which are overvalued relative to theirtracking portfolios? Generally, the answer to this questionis no. If the cost of a prospective investment exceeds thecost of its tracking portfolio, it is clearly better to buy thetracking portfolio rather than take the investment. Thisistrue regardless of the market’s assessment—correct orincorrect—of the value of the tracking portfolio.
In sum, the advantages of this chapter’s valuation meth-ods over the standard discounted cash flow method largelyhave to do with deficiencies in the way the standard dis-counted cash flow method is implemented. Two generalrules often ignored by practitioners who use the standarddiscounted cash flow method should be emphasized.
•Because decision makers are ultimately trying to
evaluate the market value of a project, financial
managers should use observable market prices as
much as possible. Don’t rely on estimated market
values when actual market prices can be observed.
•Managers should think in terms of investment
strategies instead of isolated individual investment
projects. Most projects are flexible in their
implementation and often provide the firm with
additional profitable investment opportunities in
the future. Consider these options, which add value
to an investment strategy, when evaluating
investment projects.
Key Concepts
Result 12.1:New opportunities for a firm often arise asboth the volatility of the mineral price and
a result of information and relationshipsthe volatility of the extraction cost.
developed in its past investment projects.Result 12.3:Vacant land can be viewed as an option to
Therefore, firms should evaluatepurchase developed land where the
investment projects on the basis of theirexercise price is the cost of developing a
potential to generate valuable informationbuilding on the land. Like stock options,
and to develop important relationships asthis more complicated type of option has a
well as on the basis of the direct cashvalue that is increasing in the degree of
flows they generate.uncertainty about the value (and type) ofResult 12.2:Amine can be viewed as an option todevelopment.
extract (or purchase) minerals at a strikeResult 12.4:Most projects can be viewed as a set of
price equal to the cost of extraction. Likemutually exclusive projects. For example,
a stock option, the option to extract thetaking the project today is one project,
minerals has a value that increases withwaiting to take the project next year is
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another project, and waiting three years is |
where |
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yet another project. Firms may pass up thefirst project, that is, forego the capital investment immediately, even if doing sohas a positive net present value. They willdo so if the mutually exclusive alternative,waiting to invest, has a higher NPV. |
P price/earnings ratio of the NI portfolio P i price/earnings ratio of NI istocki(i 1 or 2) |
Result 12.5:Result 12.6: |
(The Price/Earnings Ratio Method.)The present value of the future cash flows of aproject can be found by (1) obtaining theappropriate price/earnings ratio for the project from a comparison investmentforwhich this ratio is known and (2)multiplying the price/earnings ratio from the comparison investment by thefirst year’s net income of the project. In asimilar vein, a company should adopt a project when the ratio of its initial cost toearnings is lower than the price to earnings ratio of the comparison investment. (Alternative ratio comparisonmethods simply substitute a different economic variable for earnings.) The price/earnings ratio of a portfolio of stocks 1 and 2 is a weighted average ofthe price/earnings ratios of stocks 1 and 2,where the weights are the fraction of earnings generated, respectively, by stocks1 and 2. Algebraically |
w fraction of portfolio i earningsfrom stock i Result 12.7:Assume the market value of the firm’s assets is unaffected by its leverage ratio. Also assume that all debt is risk free. Then, if the ratio of price to earnings of an all-equity firm is larger than 1/r D, where ris the interest rate on the firm’s D (assumed) risk-free perpetual debt, then an increase in leverage increases the price/earnings ratio. If the price/earnings ratio of an all-equity firm is less than 1/r,then the increase in leverage lowers D the price/earnings ratio of the firm. Result 12.8:(The Competitive Analysis Approach.) Firms in a competitive market should realize that they can only realize a positive NPVfrom a project if they have some advantage over their competitors. When other firms have a competitive advantage the project has a negative NPV. |
PPP
12
w w
NI1NI2NI
12
Key Terms
barriers to entry424 |
ratio comparison approach423 |
competitive analysis approach423 |
real options approach423 |
economies of scale424 |
real estate investment trusts (REITs)444 |
economies of scope425 |
strategic options423 |
exchange option431 |
unleveraged price/earnings ratio450 |
price/earnings ratio method444 |
unlevered earnings449 |
Exercises
12.1.Maytag merges with Whirlpool. Assume that12.2.The XYZ firm can invest in a new DRAM chip
Maytag’s price/earnings ratio is 20 andfactory for $425 million. The factory, which must
Whirlpool’s is 15. If Maytag accounts for 60be invested in today, has cash flows two years
percent of the earnings of the merged firm, and iffrom now that depend on the state of the economy.
there are no synergies between the two mergedThe cash flows when the factory is running at full
firms, what is the price/earnings ratio of thecapacity are described by the following tree
merged firm?diagram:
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Corporate Strategy
Companies, 2002
Strategy, Second Edition
456Part IIIValuing Real Assets
The cost of constructing the single-family homes
is $100 per square foot and the cost of
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 constructing the condominium is $120 per square
foot. If the real estate market does well next year,
Very good
the homes can be sold for $300 per square foot
$1 billion
and the condominiums for $230 per square foot. If
Good
the market performs poorly, the homes can be sold
Medium
for $200 per square foot and the condos for $140
$200 million
per square foot. Today, comparable homes could
Bad
Very badbe sold for $225 per square foot and comparable
–$500 millioncondos for $180 per square foot. First-year rental
rates (paid at the end of the year) on the
comparable condos and homes are 20 percent and
10 percent, respectively, of today’s sales prices.
a.What is the implied risk-free rate, assuming
that short selling is allowed?
b.What is the value of the vacant land, assuming
In year 1, the firm has the option of running thethat building construction will take place
plant at less than full capacity. In this case,immediately or one year from now? What is the
workers are laid off, production of memory chipsbest building alternative?
is scaled down, and the subsequent cash flows are12.4.Asilver mine has reserves of 25,000 troy ounces
half of what they would be when the plant isof silver. For simplicity, assume the following
running at full capacity.schedule for extraction, ore purification, and sale
An alternative use for the firm’s funds isof thesilverore:
investment in the market portfolio. In the states that
correspond to the branches of the tree above, $1
invested in the market portfolio grows as follows:Extraction and Troy
Sale Date Ounces
-
Today
10,000
|
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 |
One year from now10,000 |
|
Very good $1.20 $1.10 $1.00Medium $1.05 $.95 Very bad $.90 |
Two years from now5,000 Also assume the following: •The mine, which will exhaust its supply of silver ore in two years, is assumed to have no salvage value. •There is no option to shut down the mine prematurely. |
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•The current price of silver is $4 per troy ounce. |
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•Today’s forward price for silver settled one year from now is $4.20 per troy ounce. |
12.3. |
Assume that the risk-free rate is 5 percent peryear, compounded annually. Compute the project’spresent value (a) with the option to scale downand (b) without the option to scale down. Computethe difference between these two values, which isthe value of the option. Vacant land has been zoned for either one 10,000-square-foot five-unit condominium or two single-family homes, each with 3,000 square feet. |
•Today’s forward price for silver settled two years from now is $4.50 per troy ounce. •The cost of extraction, ore purification, and selling is $2 per troy ounce now and at any point over the next two years. •The risk-free return is 5 percent per year. What is the value of the silver mine? 12.5.Widget production and sales take place over a one- year cycle. For simplicity, assume that all costs |
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Chapter 12
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(revenues) are paid (received) at the end of the12.7.Compute the risk-neutral probabilities attached to
one-year cycle.the two states—high demand and low demand—in
Afactory with a life of three years (from today)Example 12.2. Show that applying these probabilities
has a capacity to produce 1 million widgets eachto value the mine provides the same answer for
year (which are to be sold at the end of each yearvaluing the outcomes in scenarios 1 and 2 as given
of production). Widgets produced within the lastin Example 12.2.
year have just been sold.12.8.Although there is no empirical evidence to strongly
Each year, production costs can either rise orsupport this hypothesis, some financial journalists
decline by 50 percent from the previous year’shave claimed that American managers are
cost. Over the coming year, widgets will beshortsighted and overly risk averse, preferring to
produced at a cost of $2 per widget. Unliketake on relatively safe projects that pay off quickly
production costs, which vary from year to year, theinstead of taking on longer-term projects with less
revenue from selling widgets is stable. Assumecertain payoffs. Assume the journalists are correct.
that in the coming year and in all future years thea.Explain why managers who use a single discount
widget selling price is $4 per widget.rate for valuing projects are likely to have a
The performance of a portfolio of stocks in thesystematic bias against longer-term projects if the
widget industry depends entirely on expectedsystematic risk of the cash flows of many long-
future production costs. When widget productionterm investment projects declines over time.
costs increase by 50 percent from date tto dateb.Discuss how the presence of strategic
t1, the return on the industry portfolio over theinvestment options affects the decisions to
same interval of time is assumed to be 30adopt long-term over short-term investments.
percent. If the production costs decline by 50
12.9.Example 12.9 illustrates how an increase in
percent, the industry portfolio return is assumed to
leverage can affect Micro Technologies’
be 40 percent over that time period.
price/earnings ratio. If the interest rate on the new
Assume that the factory producing the widgets
debt was 2 percent rather than 6 percent, would
is to be closed down and sold for its salvage value
the firm’s price/earnings ratio increase or
whenever the cost of extraction per widget
decrease?
exceeds the selling price of a widget. This closure
12.10.Porter and Spence (1982) pointed out that firms
occurs at the beginning of the production year.
may want to overinvest in production capacity to
Value the factory, assuming that its salvage
show a commitment to maintain their market share
value is zero and that the risk-free return is 12
to competitors. In their model, excess plant
percent per year.
capacity would not be a positive net present value12.6.Assume that the futures closing prices on the New
project if the cash flow calculations take the
York Mercantile Exchange at the end of August
competitors’actions as given. However, since
2002 specify that futures prices per barrel for light
competitors are less likely to enter a market when
sweet crude oil delivered monthly from mid-
the incumbent firm has excess capacity, the added
October 2002 through mid-December 2004 are,
capacity may be worthwhile even if it is never
respectively, $21.56, $21.08, $20.63, $20.23,
used. Comment on whether this strategic
$19.88, $19.55, $19.26, $19.00, $18.76, $18.58,
consideration should be taken into account when
$18.41, $18.25, $18.09, $17.93, $17.83, $17.77,
analyzing an investment project.
$17.71, $17.66, $17.61, $17.56, $17.52, $17.48,
12.11.Solve the unlevered price/earnings ratio, A/X,by
$17.46, $17.46, $17.46, $17.47, and $17.48.
rearranging equation (12.1).
Compute the August 27, 2002, value of an oil well
12.12.In Example 12.11, assuming that the stock per
that produces 1000 barrels of light sweet crude oil
share and the firm’s operations do not change as a
per month for the months October 2002 through
consequence of the leveraged recapitalization
December 2004, after which the well will be dry.
a.Identify the dividend yield both before and
Assume that there are no options to increase or
after the leveraged recapitalization.
decrease production and that the cost of producing
b.Identify rafter the leveraged recapitalization.
each barrel of oil and shipping it to market isE
c.Identify gafter the leveraged recapitalization.
$2.00 per barrel. Also assume that the risk-free
return is 5 percent per year, compounded annually.
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12. Allocating Capital and
© The McGraw
930 HillMarkets and Corporate
Corporate Strategy
Companies, 2002
Strategy, Second Edition
458Part IIIValuing Real Assets
References and Additional Readings
Aguilar, Francis, and Dong-Seong Cho. “Gold Star Co.
Ltd.” Case 9-385-264. Harvard Business School, 1985.Amram, Martha, and Nalin Kulatilaka. Real Options:
Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World.
Cambridge: Harvard Business School Press, 1998.
Brennan, Michael, and Eduardo Schwartz. “Evaluating
Natural Resource Investments.” Journal of Business
58 (April 1985), pp. 135–57.
———. “ANew Approach to Evaluating Natural
Resource Investments.” Midland Corporate Finance
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Learning Objectives
After reading this chapter, you should be able to:
1.Understand the effect of leverage on the cost of equity and the beta of the firm
when there is a corporate tax deduction for interest payments.
2.Apply the adjusted present value method (APV) to value real assets.
3.Understand the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and the effect of leverage
on the WACC when there is a corporate tax deduction for interest payments.
4.Understand how debt affects the payoffs of projects to equity holders.
In 1995, Los Angeles, the second largest metropolitan area in the United States and
a major world media market, found itself without a professional football team. The
Raiders of the American Football Conference and the Rams of the National Football
Conference departed after the 1994 season for the seemingly less attractive markets
of Oakland and St. Louis, respectively. Not only were the markets and media
exposure in these cities inferior to those of Los Angeles, but there was the
complication for the Raiders of competing against the successful and popular San
Francisco 49ers, the dominant football franchise since the mid-1980s. Since pure
economics, based on market size and media exposure, makes these decisions
seemingly irrational, some other inducements were responsible for these moves.
Up to this point in the text, we have assumed that firms can create value only on
the asset (left-hand) side of their balance sheets. In reality, however, firms also cre-
ate value on the liability (right-hand) side because the design of the financing of invest-
ment projects can create value for the firm. The best example of this is that debt inter-
est payments are tax deductible, implying that debt financing is somewhat cheaper than
equity financing if additional debt does not add substantial financial distress costs.
Another example would be subsidized loans, such as those received by the Raiders and
Rams to entice them to move. This chapter takes as given the mix of debt and equity
financing for a project and asks how to value investments, taking into account the way
in which they are financed.1
1Part IVaddresses the implications of this observation on the optimal financial structure of a firm.460
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Two valuation methods, both extensions of the methods discussed in Chapter 11,
can be used to account for the additional cash flows that arise from the project’s debt
financing. The first method, the adjusted present value (APV) method, introduced in
Myers (1974), calculates present values that account for the debt interest tax shield and
other loan subsidies by:
1.Forecasting a project’s unlevered cash flows.
2.Valuing the cash flows in step 1, assuming that the project is financed entirely
with equity. Any method of computing present values (PVs) discussed in the
last three chapters can be used for this step.
3.Adding to the value obtained in step 2 the value generated as a result of the
tax shield and other subsidies from the project’s debt financing.
The second method, known as the weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
method, is an adaptation of the risk-adjusted discount rate method, designed to account
for the cost of debt and equity financing from the firm’s perspective. It generates pres-
ent values by:
1.Estimating a project’s expected unlevered cash flows.
2.Valuing the expected cash flows in step 1 by discounting them at a single
risk-adjusted discount rate that varies with the degree of debt financing that
can be attributed to the project.
The WACC approach thus combines steps 2 and 3 of the APVmethod into one step
by adjusting the discount rate.
The result below summarizes these points formally.
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Result
13.1
Analysts use two popular methods to evaluate capital investment projects: the APVmethod
and the WACC method. Both methods use as their starting points the unlevered cash flows
generated by the project, assuming that the project is financed entirely by equity. The APV
method calculates the net present value (NPV) of the all-equity-financed project and adds
the value of the tax (and any other) benefits of debt. The WACC method accounts for any
benefits of debt by adjusting the discount rate.
Although corporations use the WACC method more than the APVmethod, most
academics believe the APVmethod is the better approach for evaluating most capital
investments and that the APVapproach will grow in popularity over time. The advan-
tage of the APVmethod is that it calculates separately the value created by the proj-
ect and the value created by the financing. For this reason, it is often referred to as val-
uation by components. It also fits in nicely with the alternative approaches discussed
in Chapter 12, such as the real options approach and the ratio comparison approach.
Moreover, the APVmethod is much easier to use when debt levels or tax rates change
over time.
The WACC method may be conceptually easier to understand because it discounts
only one set of cash flows, while the APVmethod discounts separately the cash flows
of the project and the cash flows of the tax savings or other debt subsidies. In addi-
tion, the WACC method is used more widely, so that analysts presenting a WACC-
based valuation will be able to communicate their analysis to others more easily. It is
important to understand both approaches—the APVmethod because it is a superior,
more flexible approach, and the WACC method because it is more widely used and
understood.
The location decisions of the Raiders and Rams, discussed in the chapter’s open-
ing vignette, were driven by huge enticements, including packages of subsidized loans,
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462Part IIIValuing Real Assets
rents, and free stadium renovations offered by Oakland and St. Louis. The renovations
included expensive corporate skyboxes, from which 100 percent of the revenue would
go to the team. In the case of the Raiders, $85 million in improvements were targeted
for the Oakland Coliseum, which was to add 175 luxury suites and locker rooms.2In
deciding to relocate, the owners of these teams must have weighed these additional
transfers of wealth against the traditional considerations of population size and media
coverage, which favored the Los Angeles location.
Afinancial analyst needs to value the subsidies offered by St. Louis and Oakland
and determine whether the present value of the subsidies exceeds the net additional value
of a Los Angeles location in the absence of these subsidies. While we are unfamiliar
with the methods used by the owners of the Rams and Raiders to weigh these factors,
the APVmethod provides the best way to account for these subsidies. The APVmethod
accounts for all subsidies by discounting their cash flows at the discount rate that is
appropriate for the risk of the cash flows, irrespective of where they come from.For
example, the APVmethod would treat the cash flows from the subsidized rents in a sim-
ilar manner to the incremental cash flows that are generated by subsidized loans. By
contrast, the WACC method draws a distinction between subsidies that are related to the
project’s financing and those that are not related to financing. Thus, with the WACC
method, the loan subsidies offered to the football teams would affect the discount rate
applied to the remaining cash flows, but would not affect the size of what is discounted.
To simplify the analysis, this chapter ignores personal taxes.3It is also important
to emphasize that this chapter considers as given the amount of new debt financing the
firm will add when taking the project, which we call the project’s debt capacity.4