book-instability-of-the-east-2017
.pdf. |
|
|
. |
. |
, |
|
- |
|
, |
— |
- |
. |
|
|
- |
, |
. |
, |
, |
, |
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2016 |
|
, |
2016 ., |
. |
- |
, |
, |
||
, |
|
|
- |
, |
. « |
— |
- |
, |
|
||
( ). |
|
|
- |
|
»15. |
|
- |
|
, |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
- |
, |
, |
. |
- |
|
|
||
, |
|
, |
- |
, |
|
- |
|
- |
|
||
|
— |
16. |
- |
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
, |
, |
|
. |
|
, |
- |
|
- |
, |
|
|
- |
219
, |
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
. |
- |
|
. |
|
|
|
- |
|
, |
|
|
|
- |
, |
, |
|
, |
, |
- |
17. |
, |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
- |
|
, |
, |
|
2014 |
., |
. |
|
|
|
|||
|
« |
|
». |
|
|
|
, |
, |
, |
|
- |
- |
|
|
|||
, |
|
|
. |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
— |
- |
|
, |
|
|
|
- |
|
, |
|
|
, |
- |
|
, |
|
|
. |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
, |
, |
|
|
|
|
. |
, |
- |
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
- |
, |
|
|
|
|
- |
|
18. |
|
|
|
|
2016 . |
. « |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
- |
|
, |
|
|
»19. |
, |
|
|
|
|
220
, |
|
, |
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
, |
||
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
, |
|
. |
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
BREБIT |
|
|
|
|
|
-BREXIT |
|
|
|
. |
, |
|
|
|
, |
2015 |
, |
|
|
|
, |
- |
|||
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
. |
|
|
|
, |
|
, |
|
, |
- |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
, |
|
|
- |
|
20. |
. |
|
, |
- |
|
, |
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
. |
|
, |
|
|
- |
, |
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
- |
, |
- |
|
. |
|
- |
|
|
, |
, |
- |
|
|
|
|
|||
, |
|
|
|
|
- |
|
. |
|
|
|
- |
|
« |
» « |
», |
|
- |
221
. |
- |
|
|
. |
- |
. |
- |
, |
- |
|
|
|
|
. |
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
- |
, |
|
|
. |
|
- |
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
, |
- |
|
|
|
, |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
||
, |
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
. |
, |
. |
|
|
« |
|
», |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
, |
|
, |
- |
|
|
, |
, |
, |
- |
. |
, |
, |
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
. |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
, |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
222
,
.
————–
1europa.eu/european-union/sites/europaeu/files/docs/body/treaty_on_european_union_ en.pdf (11.12.2016).
2eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:11997D/TXT&from=EN (11.12.2016).
3A Secure Europe in a better world: European Union grand strategy. Brussels, 12.12.2003. P. 2 // europa.eu/globalstrategy/en/file/10/download?token=ubYn8qBQ (11.12.2016).
4A Secure Europe in a better world: European Union grand strategy. Brussels, 12.12.2003. P. 3 // europa.eu/globalstrategy/en/file/10/download?token=ubYn8qBQ (11.12.2016).
5A Secure Europe in a better world: European Union grand strategy. Brussels, 12.12.2003. P. 4–5 // europa.eu/globalstrategy/en/file/10/download?token=ubYn8qBQ (11.12.2016).
6A Secure Europe in a better world: European Union grand strategy. Brussels, 12.12.2003. P. 7 // europa.eu/globalstrategy/en/file/10/download?token=ubYn8qBQ (11.12.2016).
7A Secure Europe in a better world: European Union grand strategy. Brussels, 12.12.2003.
P. 9 // europa.eu/globalstrategy/en/file/10/download?token=ubYn8qBQ (11.12.2016). |
- |
|||||||||
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
: |
, |
, |
||
|
/ |
. |
. |
. . |
, . . |
. ., 2015. . 283. |
|
|
||
9 www.mofa.go.jp/files/000033265.pdf (11.12.2016). |
|
« |
|
|||||||
10 |
|
|
. . |
|
|
|
|
|||
|
» ( |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
). |
., 2006. |
. 75–76. |
|
|
|
// |
|
||
11 |
|
|
. . |
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ББI |
/ |
. . . |
|
12 |
|
/ |
|
|
. |
., 2014. |
. 409. |
|
|
|
23rd Japan-EU Summit. Tokyo, 29.05.2015 // Joint Press Statement |
||||||||||
|
||||||||||
[www.mofa.go.jp/files/000082848.pdf (11.12.2016)]. |
|
|
|
|||||||
13 |
|
|
|
/ |
. . . |
. |
., 2011. . 224. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14General Secretariat of the European Union, Guidelines on the EU's Foreign and Security Policy in East Asia. Brussels, 15.06.2012. P. 5 // eeas.europa.eu/archives/ docs/asia/docs/guidelines_eu_foreign_sec_pol_east_asia_en.pdf (11.12.2016).
15Shared Vision, Common Action: A Stronger Europe A Global Strategy for the Euro- ЩОКЧ UЧТШЧ‘s // FШrОТРЧ AЧН SОМЮrТЭв PШХТМв. P. 38 [europa.eu/globalstrategy/sites/
globalstrategy/files/about/eugs_review_web_4.pdf (11.12.2016)].
16 Shared Vision, Common Action: A Stronger Europe // A Global Strategy for the Eu- rШЩОКЧ UЧТШЧ‘s FШrОТРЧ AЧН SОМЮrТЭв PШХТМв. P. 38–39 [europa.eu/globalstrategy/sites/
globalstrategy/files/about/eugs_review_web_4.pdf (11.12.2016)].
17 Shared Vision, Common Action: A Stronger Europe // A Global Strategy for the Eu- rШЩОКЧ UЧТШЧ‘s FШrОТРЧ AЧН SОМЮrТЭв PШХТМв. P. 38–39 [europa.eu/globalstrategy/
sites/globalstrategy/files/about/eugs_review_web_4.pdf (11.12.2016)].
18www.mofa.go.jp/press/kaiken/kaiken4e_000280.html (11.12.2016).
19JКЩКЧ‘s MОssКРО ЭШ ЭСО UЧТЭОН KТЧРНШЦ КЧН ЭСО EЮrШЩОКЧ UЧТШЧ. P. 2 //
www.mofa.go.jp/files/000185466.pdf (11.12.2016).
20 JКЩКЧ‘s MОssКРО ЭШ ЭСО UЧТЭОН KТЧРНШЦ КЧН ЭСО EЮrШЩОКЧ UЧТШЧ. P. 3 // www.mofa.go.jp/files/000185466.pdf (11.12.2016).
223
г |
гб |
г г |
|
|
|
XXI |
п |
б |
б |
|
— |
« |
|
» |
|
|
« |
» |
|
|
|
- |
|
, |
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
, |
« |
» |
- |
|
(VII–X . |
. )., « |
» (1918–1939 |
.), « |
- |
|
|
- |
|
» ( |
1945–1991 |
.) |
|
« |
- |
|
» 1991 . |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
, |
, |
|
|
|
« |
|
» (1648–1815 .), |
|
|
|
|
XIX . — |
« |
|
» (1815–1871 |
.), |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
, |
- |
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
« |
», |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
( |
( |
) |
, |
, |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
), |
|
|
. |
|
- |
|
. |
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
, |
XXI . |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
224
|
. |
, |
|
|
, |
- |
|
|
|
|
|||
, |
» |
|
|
|
« |
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
- |
|
|
|
XXI |
|
|
||
|
|
, |
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
- |
|
|
, |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
. |
, |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
, |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
- |
|
, |
|
« |
|
|
», |
|
« |
». |
10 |
|
I . |
- |
|
|
|
, |
|
, |
- |
|
|
, |
|
|
|
, |
|
, |
« |
». |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
- |
|
|
|
, |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
– |
. |
|
|
|
, |
, |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
, |
. |
|
|
«TСО JКЩКЧ TТЦОs» |
|
2016 ., |
- |
|
( |
) |
|
, |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. |
|
|
|
, |
|
|
- |
|
, |
|
|
, |
|
- |
, |
, |
, |
|
|
|
- |
225
. |
, |
|
|
|
|
, |
, |
, |
- |
, |
|
|
. |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
2011 . |
|
|
«DОХХ IЧМ.» |
|
|
« |
». |
|
- |
«SЮЧНКв MКТЧТМСТ» |
|
|
, |
|
2014 . |
», |
|
« |
- |
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
, |
- |
, |
, |
. |
, |
- |
|
, |
, |
|
- |
|
|
. |
|
|
|
« |
, |
» |
|
|
|
|
||
|
, |
|
, |
- |
|
. |
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
, |
, |
|
, |
|
2016 . |
|
|
|
|
-24, |
- |
. |
|
, |
|
- |
, |
|
|
||
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- |
. |
2010 . |
|
- |
BКЭЭХО), |
|
- |
|
(AТrSОК |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
2016 . |
|
|
|
— Center for Strategic and Budgetary |
||
Assessments (CSBA) |
, |
|
|
226
, |
, |
« |
, |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
»2. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
« |
» |
« |
|
» |
, |
- |
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
- |
|
, |
2014 . |
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
XXI . |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
XXI . |
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
, |
. |
- |
, |
|
|
|
|
. |
|
« |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
» |
|
« |
|
|
|
|
- |
», |
|
|
|
« |
|
|
» |
|
, |
|
|
. |
- |
, |
|
|
, |
|
, |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
, |
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
- |
|
, |
|
, |
|
« |
|
|
|
». |
, |
|
, |
|
2016 |
. - |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
, |
, |
|
- |
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
. |
»3. |
, |
|
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
|
I . |
|
, |
, |
, |
— |
, |
. |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
227
, |
|
|
|
|
- |
|
, |
|
|
|
- |
|
. |
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
. |
, |
« |
|
» |
, |
, |
, |
|
|
- |
, |
, |
|
, |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
||
. |
, |
, |
|
|
- |
|
|
|
|
, |
- |
|
|
|
, |
, . . |
|
« |
», |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
. |
|
|
XXI . |
|
|
|
, |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
||
, |
, |
, |
|
|
- |
- |
|
|
, |
|
- |
. |
|
|
, |
|
, |
|
|
|
, |
« |
- |
« ББI |
ББ». |
|
», |
|
- |
|
|
|
|||
XXI . |
, |
|
, |
|
- |
|
, |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
- |
|
, |
|
|
|
, |
|
|
|
. |
, |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
. |
, |
|
, |
|
- |
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
( |
- |
|
КЧЭТ-КММОss/КrОК НОЧТКХ |
A2/AD). |
|
- |
|
|
XXI . |
|
|
|
|
|
. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
228 |
|
|
|