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Current world fertilizer trends and outlook

to 2011/12

Current world fertilizer trends and outlook to 2011/12

FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS

Rome, 2008

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iv

2.World and regional potential nitrogen supply and

3.World and regional potential phosphate supply and

4.World and regional potential potash supply and

List of tables

1.Regional and sub-regional fertilizer consumption

2.World fertilizer supply and demand

3.World nitrogen supply and demand balance

4.World phosphate supply and demand balance

5.World potash supply and demand balance

6.Africa fertilizer forecast

7.America fertilizer forecast

8.Asia fertilizer forecast

vi

List of figures

1.Regional and sub-regional contribution to change in

2.Regional and sub-regional contribution to change in

3.Regional and sub-regional contribution to change in

vii

Current world fertilizer trends and outlook

to 2011/12

This report presents world nitrogen, phosphate and potash fertilizer medium term supply and demand projections for the period 2007/08 to 2011/12. The FAO/Fertilizer Industry Working Group made the forecasts in October 2007. The balances in Annexes 2-4 present a medium-term indication for possible changes in fertilizer nutrient demand and supply by region and subregion. Changes in installed supply capacity, operating rates and demand vary annually. Annex 1 provides explanatory notes on supply and demand balances.

FAO, in collaboration with experts from the Fertilizer Industry Working Group dealing with fertilizer production and trade, provides five-year forecasts of world and regional fertilizer supply and demand balances.

All fertilizer references are in terms of plant nutrients: nitrogen (N), phosphate (P2O5) and potash (K2O). The fertilizer demand data refer to the calendar year. For countries that report their fertilizer statistics on a fertilizer year basis, data appear under the fertilizer year that begins in the same calendar year. The contributions made by the fertilizer industry associations and their representatives are gratefully acknowledged.