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39

Annex 4

World and regional potential potash supply and demand balances (thousand tonnes)

WORLD

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

Potash Capacity

41 220

41 435

42 965

44 285

46 055

Potash

 

 

 

 

 

Supply

38 325

37 512

39 526

41 474

43 213

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

28 353

29 254

30 090

31 026

31 943

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

4 218

4 265

4 342

4 478

4 510

Surplus (-Deficit)

5 754

3 993

5 094

5 970

6 760

AFRICA

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

Potash Capacity

0

0

0

0

0

Potash

 

 

 

 

 

Supply

0

0

0

0

0

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

468

485

497

509

516

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

0

0

0

0

0

Surplus (-Deficit)

-468

-485

-497

-509

-516

AMERICA

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

Potash Capacity

17 145

17 055

17 175

17 745

19 415

Potash

 

 

 

 

 

Supply

17 145

17 055

17 175

17 745

19 415

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

16 242

15 161

16 269

16 811

18 470

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

9 987

10 223

10 385

10 648

10 913

Surplus (-Deficit)

1 566

1 568

1 572

1 636

1 640

40

Current world fertilizer trends and outlook to 2011/12

 

 

 

 

 

 

North America

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

Potash Capacity

16 070

15 980

16 100

16 670

16 880

Potash

 

 

 

 

 

Supply

15 190

14 109

15 217

15 759

15 958

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

5 058

5 105

5 156

5 192

5 229

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

1 371

1 373

1 377

1 381

1 385

Surplus (-Deficit)

8 761

7 631

8 684

9 186

9 344

Latin America

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

Potash Capacity

1 075

1 075

1 075

1 075

2 535

Potash

 

 

 

 

 

Supply

1 052

1 052

1 052

1 052

2 512

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

4 929

5 118

5 229

5 456

5 684

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

195

195

195

255

255

Surplus (-Deficit)

-4 072

-4 261

-4 372

-4 659

-3 427

ASIA

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

Potash Capacity

5 930

6 050

6 860

7 140

7 240

Potash

 

 

 

 

 

Supply

5 428

5 524

6 226

6 450

6 530

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

13 092

13 703

14 320

14 944

15 553

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

1 393

1 435

1 474

1 520

1 520

Surplus (-Deficit)

-9 057

-9 614

-9 568

-10 014

-10 543

West Asia

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

Potash Capacity

3 420

3 420

3 690

3 690

3 690

Potash

 

 

 

 

 

Supply

3 420

3 420

3 690

3 690

3 690

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

399

411

425

437

450

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

185

200

200

200

200

Surplus (-Deficit)

2 836

2 809

3 065

3 053

3 040

South Asia

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

Potash Capacity

0

0

0

0

0

Potash

 

 

 

 

 

Supply

0

0

0

0

0

Annex 4 – World and regional potential potash supply and demand balances

41

 

 

 

 

 

 

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

2 961

3 116

3 287

3 463

3 644

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

100

100

100

100

100

Surplus (-Deficit)

-3 061

-3 216

-3 387

-3 563

-3 744

East Asia

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

Potash Capacity

2 510

2 630

3 170

3 450

3 550

Potash

 

 

 

 

 

Supply

2 008

2 104

2 536

2 760

2 840

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

9 732

10 176

10 608

11 044

11 459

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

1 108

1 135

1 174

1 220

1 220

Surplus (-Deficit)

-8 832

-9 207

-9 246

-9 504

-9 839

EUROPE

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

Potash Capacity

18 145

18 330

18 930

19 400

19 400

Potash

 

 

 

 

 

Supply

16 655

16 827

17 031

18 213

18 213

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

4 433

4 459

4 494

4 521

4 546

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

1 259

1 262

1 296

1 322

1 350

Surplus (-Deficit)

10 963

11 106

11 241

12 370

12 317

Central Europe

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

Potash Capacity

0

0

0

0

0

Potash

0

0

0

0

0

Supply

 

 

 

 

 

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

699

707

719

728

736

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

200

200

200

200

200

Surplus (-Deficit)

-899

-907

-919

-928

-936

West Europe

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

 

 

 

 

 

Potash Capacity

5 590

5 590

5 590

5 590

5 590

Potash

 

 

 

 

 

Supply

5 391

5 391

5 391

5 391

5 391

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

2 848

2 849

2 850

2 851

2 852

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

500

500

500

500

500

Surplus (-Deficit)

2 043

2 042

2 041

2 040

2 039

42

Current world fertilizer trends and outlook to 2011/12

 

 

 

 

 

 

East Europe and Central Asia

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

Potash Capacity

12 555

12 740

13 340

13 810

13 810

Potash

 

 

 

 

 

Supply

11 264

11 436

11 640

12 822

12 822

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

886

903

925

942

958

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

559

562

596

622

650

Surplus (-Deficit)

9 819

9 971

10 119

11 258

11 214

OCEANIA

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

Potash Capacity

0

0

0

0

0

Potash

 

 

 

 

 

Supply

0

0

0

0

0

Potash Fertilizer Consumption

373

384

394

404

415

Non Fertilizer Demand & other

0

0

0

0

0

Surplus (-Deficit)

-373

-384

-394

-404

-415

43

Annex 5

Regional country classification1

AFRICA

Liberia

AFRICA

Portugal

(developing

Libya

(developed

Spain

countries)

countries)

 

 

Algeria

Madagascar

South Africa

Sweden

Angola

Malawi

 

Switzerland

Benin

Mali

EUROPE

United Kingdom

Botswana

Mauritania

Central Europe

 

Burkina Faso

Mauritius

Albania

AMERICA

Burundi

Morocco

Bulgaria

 

Cameroon

Mozambique

Czech Republic

Canada

Cape Verde

Namibia

Former Yugoslavia2

United States

Central African Rep.

Niger

Hungary

 

Chad

Nigeria

Poland

Latin America

Comoros

Reunion

Romania

Argentina

Congo, Dem. R

Rwanda

Slovak Republic

Bahamas

Congo Rep

St Helena

 

Barbados

Côte d’Ivoire

Sao Tome & Principe

Western Europe

Belize

Djibouti

Senegal

Austria

Bermuda

Egypt

Seychelles

Belgium-Luxembourg

Bolivia

Eq. Guinea

Sierra Leone

Denmark

Brazil

Eritrea

Somalia

Finland

Chile

Ethiopia

Sudan

France

Colombia

Ethiopia PDR

Swaziland

Germany

Costa Rica

Gabon

Tanzania

Greece

Cuba

Gambia

Togo

Iceland

Dominica

Ghana

Tunisia

Ireland

Dominican Rep.

Guinea

Uganda

Italy

Ecuador

Guinea-Bissau

Western Sahara

Malta

El Salvador

Kenya

Zambia

Netherlands

French Guyana

Lesotho

Zimbabwe

Norway

 

1The classification attempts a purely geographical approach to facilitate easier comparison of historical data.

2Bosnia-Herzegovina, Croatia, Macedonia, Slovenia, Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro).

44

Current world fertilizer trends and outlook to 2011-12

Greenland

ASIA

East Asia

Estonia

Grenada

West Asia

Brunei

Georgia

Guadeloupe

Afghanistan

Cambodia

Kazakhstan

Guatemala

Bahrain

China

Kyrgyzstan

Guyana

Cyprus

Indonesia

Latvia

Haiti

Iran

Japan

Lithuania

Honduras

Iraq

Korea DPR

Moldavia

Jamaica

Israel

Korea Rep.

Russian Federation

Martinique

Jordan

Lao PDR

Tajikistan

Mexico

Kuwait

Malaysia

Turkmenistan

Nicaragua

Lebanon

Mongolia

Ukraine

Panama

Oman

Myanmar

Uzbekistan

Paraguay

Qatar

Philippines

 

Peru

Saudi Arabia

Singapore

OCEANIA

Suriname

Syria

Taiwan

Australia

St. Kitts & Nevis

Turkey

Thailand

Caledonia

Saint Lucia

U. A. Emirates

Viet Nam

Fiji

Saint Vincent

Yemen

 

French Polynesia

Trinidad & Tobago

 

Eastern Europe and

New Zealand

 

 

Central Asia

 

 

 

Uruguay

South Asia

Armenia

Papua New Guinea

Venezuela

Bangladesh

Azerbaijan

 

Virgin Islands

Bhutan

Belarus

 

 

India

 

 

 

Nepal

 

 

 

Pakistan

 

 

 

Sri Lanka

 

 

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