Статьи 6 семестр / Работы / The uncertainties of technological innovation

What makes the technological innovation prognostication certain?

Not all the ideas of technological improvements that are good in project make the world around us better. Conversely, the most curious idea may by refining lead to serious consequences as new and useful widely-consumed product enriching its founder and making easier the everyday being. Let us consider the problem of the introduction and implementation of innovation structurally – step by step. Which way should it go from idea to successful mass production of the good?

First, of course, it is necessary to give birth to the idea. It's hard to determine that the human will need tomorrow for his difficult life. What could be quite useful, appropriate in terms of production costs, well-bought and competitiveness in the market? In addition to all the rest still an abstract «something» must carry out its own functions with a minimum of side effects. It’s a challenge for the inventor, isn’t it?

Suppose someone invented and described his idea and he has a team of reliable to develop a number of project variants to make it more evident for the potential investors and those who the creator is interested in. Put off the formalities such as patenting, searching for investors and other (because the fact of interest in idea of mentioned in real good ideas because of an objective reasons is rare; much more usual the choice of an idea to inlay money in is grounded on subjective ones such is an eloquence of representative) and forget about how to properly describe the plans, so that it was clear for others (those who will take any part in the design and development) what you want to obtain in the result of this hard work. Is it easy to realize this idea in practice? In technological aspect – it is a work for the team of experienced engineers and inventors. And not without fail that the “thing” they invented will be competitive and survive in the market.

The demand nowadays is determined by the novelty: the resources we used to have earlier or even we are using now are outspent and our life is getting faster and engrossing day by day. That is why advertising is the only way to convince the conservative us. But it is real hard to for the developers. We live in an informational society where we learned not to pay much attention to the advertising even if it worth of it.

At this stage recall that we live in a society where all processes are regulated by the authorities, precisely – by the rules of law they invent and morality. There are a lot of documented standards for technology products and we have to comply with thinking of new production. It should say that many of them are imperfect in relation to existing technology and does inapplicable to new and distinct from earlier ones.

Finally let us mention the aspect often overlooked nowadays but an obligatory one the normal functioning of society. These are humanitarian or moral issues of inventing. We cannot allow even the most useful and necessary on the face of technology encroaching on the man's identity – that the religious call «divine nature» in man. It does not matter if you believe in God. The very human psyche is not ready yet, for instance, for cloning, because the «identity» mentioned is not grown in the test-tube and even if so, whether that person can be donated to be transplantated for his «copy»? Another example is that you can not completely shift all of their daily affairs and duties onto the robot simply because of the fact that some physical activity is the required condition of human survival.

The innovation is the new technology. More over they have to be significant by the definition. So the consequences can be either fatal or amazing. Dreaming of a perfect future we need to be careful: the simplest things can hide dangers, and difficult ones may be indispensable but unattainable in implement. And still is not clear whether this is good or bad that not all will be done tomorrow that meant today.