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Thrombosis in Atrial Fibrillation Chapter | 23 345
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TABLE 23.2 Risk Scores for Stroke and Combined Embolic Events
Risk Scores for Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Based on
CHA
Score Stroke Risk (% per year) CVA/TIA/Embolism (%)
0 0.2 0.3
1 0.6 0.9
2 2.2 2.9
3 3.2 4.6
4 4.8 6.7
5 7.2 10
6 9.7 13.6
7 11.2 15.7
8 10.8 15.2
9 12.2% 17.4
CVA, cerebrovascular accident; TIA, transient ischemic attack.
Based on the Swedish Atrial Fibrillation Cohort Study (Ref: Friberg L, Rosenqvist M, Lip
GY. Evaluation of risk stratification schemes for ischaemic stroke and bleeding in
182,678 patients with atrial fibrillation: the Swedish atrial fibrillation cohort study. Eur
Heart J June 2012;33(12):1500e10.).
-VASc Scheme
2DS2
The CHA2DS2-VASc has overtaken the CHADS2on the criticism that CHADS2omitted important risk factors such as
intermediate age (65e75 years), vascular disease, and gender, as well as categorizing too many patients as intermediate
risk, which essentially left the choice of anticoagulation to the discretion of the physician. With that said, a comparison of
nine different schemes to predict thromboembolism found no profound difference in the accuracy of risk prediction with
regard to those at high risk for thromboembolism [62a]. The C statistic, a statistical measure of goodness of fit, ranged
between 0.56 and 0.68 among all schemes in the high-risk category. Identification of low-risk patients, those who may not
need OAC, seemed best predicted by the CHA
-VASc scheme [62a,b].
2DS2
A newer stroke risk score scheme is the ATRIA, which includes a history of cerebrovascular accident, age broken into
four segments (<65, 65e74, 74e84, >85 years), gender, diabetes, CHF, HTN, proteinuria, and glomerular filtration rate
(GFR) <45. Of note, a history of prior stroke amplifies the point score in each of the age categories. In a large retrospective
study of 60,594 patients with AF, risk of stroke in un-anticoagulated patients was assessed by ATRIA, CHADS
CHA
-VASc score [63]. The ATRIA scheme modestly improved risk discrimination over the other two schemes,
2DS2
, and
2
mainly by identifying a larger number of low-risk patients who may not require OAC. Its use, based on current guidelines,
is adjunctive to the more established CHA
-VASc scheme.
2DS2
IMAGING OF THROMBOSIS IN ATRIAL FIBRILLATION
Two-dimensional echocardiography is a common modality for assessing the cardiac structure. Because of the posterior
anatomical location of the LAA, the sensitivity and specificity of transthoracic echocardiography for detecting LA
thrombus are relatively low (39%e63%) [64,65]. The gold standard for LA thrombus detection has been TEE. Sensitivity
and specificity have been assessed by surgical visualization. In a prospective cohort study, 231 consecutive patients undergoing TEE before elective repair/replacement of the mitral valve or excision of the LA tumor were studied [66]. In this
study, 56% of the patients had a history of AF and 17% had a history of thromboembolism. TEE identified 14 LA thrombi
in 14 patients (6% of patients studied). Thrombus size ranged from 3 to 80 mm. Surgery confirmed 12 or 14 thrombi, or
86%, and no additional thrombi were identified by direct visual means. This resulted in a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI
74%e100%) and a specificity of 99% (95% CI 97%e99.9%). More importantly to decision-making in the individual
patient, the positive predictive value was 86% and negative predictive value 100%. In a second prospective trial in patients
undergoing mitral valve operations for rheumatic heart disease (n ¼ 213), TEE performed within 3 days of surgery had
similar detection characteristics. In this study the posit ive predictive value was 100% and the negative predictive value
98.9% [67].

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With AF ablation becoming more readily available, imaging modalities, used to help perform this procedure, have been
evaluated for detection of LA thrombi. These include both cardiac computed tomography and CMRI. In a meta-analysis of
cardiac computed tomography, 19 studies involving 2955 patients were reviewed [68]. Most utilized a 64-slice multidetector computed tomography with electrocardiographic gating. This was compared directly with TEE. The incidence of
thrombi detection was 8.9%. When delayed images were utilized, the sensitivity and specificity were 100% and 99%,
respectively. This correlated to a positive predictive value of 92% and negative predictive value of 100%. The authors of
this meta-analysis concluded that cardiac computed tomography using delayed imaging is a reliable alternative to TEE for
the detection of LA thrombi.
Multicomponent CMR I for assessment of LA thrombi has also been assessed [69]. Patients with AF who were
scheduled for PVI ablation were studied (n ¼ 261 with average CHADS
-VASc ¼ 2). Patients underwent multicomponent
2
CMRI for evaluation of pulmonary venous anatomy before PVI and had TEE within 7 days. LA and LAA thrombi were
evaluated by using CMRI as follows: (1) cine-CMRI, (2) contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance angiography, and (3)
equilibrium-phase DE-CMRI with a long inversion time (TI) of 600 ms (long-TI DE-CMRI). Components of the CMRI
study were evaluated for detection of LA or LAA thrombus using TEE as the reference standard. CMRI and TEE were
performed within 1.3 2.3 days. LA/LAA thrombi were discovered in nine patients (3.5%) by using TEE. Among the
CMRI techniques performed, long-TI DE-CMRI had the highest diagnostic accuracy (99.2%), sensitivity (100%), and
specificity (99.2%). The authors conclu ded that in patients referred for PVI, CMRI could be a single complete diagnostic
study for assessment of both pulmonary vein anatomy and presence of LA thrombi, thus reducing the number of
preoperative tests before PVI.
PHARMACOLOGICAL TREATMENT OF THROMBUS FORMATION IN ATRIAL
FIBRILLATION
The most imperative aspect in treating patients with AF is prevention or reduction of stroke risk. Beyond this issu e, AF is
treated in large part based on clinical symptom s and rate control. Dating back to the 1980s, there are numerous treatment
trials looking at antiplatelet therapy (APT) in nonvalvular AF. In a meta-analysis of 10 trials looking at aspirin versus
placebo, dipyridamole plus aspirin versus placebo, as well as aspirin plus low-dose warfarin versus control, the effectiveness of APT for prevention of stroke in nonvalvular AF was evaluated [70]. In these trials, APT dosage ranged between
50 and 1300 mg per day. APT overall had a 22% reduction in stroke versus control (95% CI 6%e35%). However, within
the individual APT trials, aspirin benefit varied greatly. Most importantly, it was found that compared with placebo the
relative benefit of APT for preventing stroke in patients with AF significantly decreased with age, with minimal benefits for
those greater than 75 years of age [71].
In higher risk pati ents, with CHA
-VASc score of 2 or great er (correlating to annual risk of stroke/TIA/embolism
2DS2
>2.9%), OAC has fared well in reducing stroke risk. Warfarin is a vitamin K antagonist that exert s its anticoagulant effect
by inhibiting the clotting factors II, VII, IX, and X. Warfarin’s therapeutic window is fairly small, achieving the greatest
beneficial effect with a prothrombin time and international normalized ratio (PT/INR) between 2 and 3. In fact, INRs less
than 1.7 carry a twofold risk of stroke. In a meta-analysis reviewing anticoagulation with warfarin versus control, the
combined end point of stroke, embolism, or TIA was reduced by 64% with anticoagulant use (95% CI, 49%e74%) [70].
When comparing adjusted-dose warfarin (PT/INR 2e3) versus APT, warfarin treatment had a 39% relative risk reduction.
Until recently warfarin therapy with INR between 2 and 3 has been the standard of care for nonvalvular AF in patients with
CHA
2DS2
-VASc >1.
In recent years the advent of a new pharmacological treatment has taken place with direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC)
therapies. One of the main difficulties with warfarin is maintaining proper therapeutic range. In the national assessment of
warfarin anticoagulation therapy for stroke prevention in AF, time in therapeutic range in patients on treatment for less than
6 monthswas 47.6% and only 57.5% in those who had been on therapyfor greater than 6 months [72].The distinct advantageof
DOAC therapy is that the drug effect is predictable and does not require constant adjustment and monitoring. As a class, the
potential benefits of DOACs versus warfarin are significant: DOAC onset of action is rapid versus relatively slow with vitamin
K antagonist; dosing is fixed; there are no food interactions; and half-life is relatively short. One of the major concerns with
DOACs, however, has been that there is no antidote to reverse anticoagulation. In October 2015, however, the US FDA
approved the first reversing agent for dabigatran, idarucizumab (Praxbind). Other reversing agents are sure to follow.
As of this writing there are four US FDA-approved DOACs. These include dabigatran, apixaban, rivaroxaban, and
edoxaban. Dabigatran is a direct thrombin inhibitor. Thrombin enables the conversion of fibrinogen into fibrin during the
coagulation cascade. Its inhibition prevents the development of a thrombus. Dabigatran and its active metabolites inhibit

Thrombosis in Atrial Fibrillation Chapter | 23 347
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both free and clot-bound thrombin as well as thrombin-induced platelet aggregation. In its pivotal trial, the RELY trial,
dabigatran at either 110 or 150 mg twice daily was compared with standardized warfarin (INR 2e3) [73]. Patients
(n ¼ 18,113) were randomly assigned in a blind fashion with medium follow-up of 2 years. This was a noninferiority trial.
The primary outcome was stroke or systemic embolism. The primary outcome was reached at 1.69% per year in the
warfarin group compared with 1.53% and 1.11% in the dabigatran groups taking 110 and 150 mg, respectively. The rate of
major bleeding was 3.36% per year in the warfarin group, compared with 2.71% per year in the group receiving
110 mg (P ¼ .003) and 3.11% in 150 mg group (P ¼ .31). Hemorrhagic stroke was 0.38% per year in the warfarin group
compared with 0.12% and 0.10% in the 110 and 150 mg of dabigatran groups, respectively (P < .001). At this writing,
dabigatran has the distinction of having the only US FDA-approved reversing agent. As noted, in October 2015 the US
FDA approved idarucizumab, a monoclonal antibody designed as a reversal agent of dabigatran.
Apixaban is another DOAC but works via a different mechanism compared with dabigatran. Apixaban is an oral direct
factor Xa inhibitor. Factor Xa catalyzes the conversion of prothrombin to thrombin, the final enzyme in the coagulation
cascade that is responsible for fibrin clot formation. Apixaban functions as a direct inhibitor of both free and clot-bound
Xa. In the ARISTOTLE trial (Apixaban for Reduction in Stroke and Other Thromboembolic Events in Atrial Fibrillation),
apixaban was compared with warfarin (INR 2e3) in 18,201 patients with nonvalvular AF [74]. The median follow-up was
1.8 years. The primary outcome was stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic) or systemic embolism. Once again this was a
noninferiority trial. The rate of primary outcome was 1.27% per year in the apixaban group compared with 1.60% in the
warfarin group (P < .001 for noninferiority and P ¼ .01 for superiority). The rate of major bleeding was 2.13% per year in
the apixaban group compared with 3.09% in the warfarin group (P < .001). Hemorrhagic stroke was 0.24% per year in the
apixaban group compared with 0.47% per year in the warfarin group (P < .001). The rates of death from any cause were
3.52% and 3.94% in the apixaban versus warfarin treatment groups, respectively (P ¼ .047). The conclusions by the
authors of the ARISTOTLE trial were that apixaban was superior to warfarin in preventing stroke or systemic embolism
and caused less bleeding with a lower overall mortality. One advantage of apixaban is that a significantly lower percentage
of the drug is cleared through the kidneys. Thus sensitivity to changing GFR is less compared with other DOACS.
Apixaban has no dose adjustment recommendations for patients with renal impairment alone, including those with endstage renal disease maintained on hemodialysis. As of this writing, dose reduction (2.5 mg
patients with at least two of the following: age 80 years, body weight 60 kg, and serum creatinine 1.5 mg/dL.
Rivaroxaban, another oral factor Xa inhibitor, was evaluated in 14,264 patients with nonvalvular AF [75]. Again this
was in the comparison with dose-adjusted warfarin on a noninf eriority basis. The primary end point was stroke or systemic
embolism. In the analysis, the end point was reached in 1.7% per year in the rivaroxaban group versus 2.2% in the warfarin
group (P < .001 for noninferiority, P ¼ .12 for superiority). Major and nonmajor clinically relevant bleeding occurred in
14.9% of the rivaroxaban group and 14.5% in the warfarin group (P ¼ .44). Intracranial hemorrhage was significantly
reduced in the rivaroxaban group versus warfarin group (0.5% and 0.7%, respectively, P ¼ .02). In summary, rivaroxaban
was noninferior to warfarin for prevention of stroke or systemic embolism, with no significant difference in the risk of
overall major bleeding, although intracranial and fatal bleeding occurred less in the rivaroxaban group.
The most recent DOAC is edoxaban, also an oral factor Xa inhibitor. In the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial, 21,105
patients with moderate-to-high risk of AF had a medium follow-up of 2.8 years [76]. The primary efficacy end point was
stroke or systemic embolism. Test groups included once-daily 30 and 60 mg edoxaban versus warfarin (INR 2e3) in a
noninferiority study. The principal safety end point was major bleeding. The primary end point was 1.18% with high-dose
edoxaban (P < .001 for noninferiority), 1.61% for 30-mg dosing (P ¼ .005 for noninferiority), and 1.5% for warfarin.
Annualized rate of major bleeding was 3.43% with warfarin versus 2.75% with high-dose edoxaban (P < .001) and 1.61%
with low-dose edoxaban (P < .001). Both once-daily regimens of edoxaban were noninferior to warfarin with respect to
prevention of stroke and systemic embolization, with lower rates of bleeding.
In a recent meta-analysis of all phase II and III clinical trials of DOACs versus warfarin for stroke prevention in patients
with nonvalvular AF, it was concluded that DOACs are a safe and effective alternative to warfarin in patients with at least a
CHA
overall mortality benefit (14% reduction) in favor of DOACs versus warfarin [77].
-VASc score ¼ 1. In addition, there appears to be a reduced number of hemorrhagic strokes, which leads to an
2DS2
po bid) is recommended for
MECHANICAL TREATMENTS FOR THE PREVENTION OF ATRIAL THROMBOSIS
FORMATION
Despite conclusive studies showing the benefits of OAC for prevention of stroke in the setting of AF, OAC use is estimated
to be significantly underutilized. In a systematic review of 98 studies concerning stroke prevention in AF, significant

348 Cardiovascular Thrombus
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undertreatment was found [78]. In patients who had a prior stroke treatment levels were below 60% (range 19%e81.3%).
Of patients with a CHADS
score of 2, treatment levels were below 70% (39%e92.3%). Explanations for the under-
2
utilization of OAC are vast, including bleeding risk, medical noncompliance, fall risk, and patient preference. As such,
attempts to find a nonpharmacological treatment of LA thrombosis have been significant.
Although it would be appealing to discontinue OAC after successful ablation AF, current guidelines recommend
continued use of OAC after AF ablation based on the patient’s preablation CHA
-VASc score [79]. It is hoped that
2DS2
ongoing studies looking at the benefits of AF ablation and stroke prevention will give us a more definitive answer on
continued use of OAC after successful ablation in the near future. Other mechanical options for treating LA thrombus
formation and AF have focused on the appendage.
LAA occlusion, as embolic protection treatment for patients with nonvalvular AF, is based on the high percentage of
where atrial emboli form. In a review of 23 studies involving patients with nonvalvular AF, the location of the atrial
thrombus was evaluated. Atrial thrombus location was evaluated by TEE, surgical observation, or autopsy [23]. Findings
showed 222 thrombi (17%) identified in 1288 patients. Greater than 91% of thrombi were located in the LAA (201 of 222).
This is contrasted by patients with valvular heart disease, in which only 57% of thrombi were located within the
appendage. Thus, if 90% of thrombus formation in nonvalvular AF occurs within the appendage, then occluding or
removing this structure may reduce stroke rates.
LAA removal during coronary artery bypass surgery is commonly performed but rarely as a stand-alone procedu re.
Given the significant number of patients with AF that may have contraindications to anticoagul ation long term, several
companies have developed mechanical devices for occlusion of the LAA that can be done in a percutaneous fashion. At the
time of writing there are three devices for LAA closure. Two devices occlude the appendage ori fice (WATCHMAN,
AMPLATZER Amulet). These are placed via a percutaneous and transseptal approach. The third is an extravascular snare
(Lariat) used to occlude the LAA via an external pericardial approach whereby access is gained percutaneously.
The WATCHMAN device (Boston Scientific) is a percutaneous occlusion device delivered via a transseptal approach
to the orifice of the LAA (Figs. 23.6 and 23.7). This LAA closure device is the most studied system. The WATCHMAN
device for embolic protection in patients with AF was compared with warfarin in a noninferiority study [80,81]. The
PROTECT AF trial included 707 patients with nonvalvular AF randomly assigned in a 2:1 ratio to either percutaneous
LAA occlusion with the WATCHMAN device or to warfarin therapy. The average CHADS
score was 1. Over an
2
average 3.8 years of follow-up, the LA closure device met the criteria for noninferio rity for the combined end point of
stroke, systemic embolism, and cardiovascular death. Because of early safety concerns of the trial (embolization, fracture,
and tamponade) and a high number of patients with CHADS
-VASc ¼ 1, the US FDA required a follow-up trial design to
2
look at safety issues [82]. The PREVAIL trial enrolled 407 patients randomized to LA occlusion (n ¼ 269) versus ongoing
warfarin therapy (n ¼ 138). In this study, the average CHA
-VASc score was 3.8 and 3.9 in the treatment and control
2DS2
groups, respectively. The PREVAIL study showed WATCHMAN to be noninferior to warfarin therapy in prevention of
ischemic stroke or systemic embolism >7 days postprocedure. Noninferiority to warfarin was not obtained, however, for
overall efficacy (composite of stroke, systemic embolism, and cardiovascular\unexplained death). Although noninferiority
was not achieved for overall efficacy, the author notes that event rates were low and numerically comparable in both arms.
Procedural safety also significantly improved, suggesting a learning curve to successful and safe deployment of the device.
FIGURE 23.6 Depiction of WATCHMAN (Boston Scientific,
Natick, MA. USA) closure device being delivered into the left-atrial
appendage via transseptal puncture. Reprinted with permission.

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FIGURE 23.7 Transesophageal echo image depicting Watchman
closure positioned into left atrial appendage. Reprinted with
permission.
Another endovascular device utilized for LAA closure is the AMPLATZER device (Fig. 23.8). Most data regarding this
system are based on registry data. A recently published meta-analysis was performed on 1047 patients from 22 centers
[83]. Procedur al success was labeled as 97.3% with a 4.9% periprocedural adverse event rate. Follow-up was on average
13 months. In the follow-up there were 0.9% strokes and 0.9% TIAs. This resulted in a 2.3% annual thromboembolic event
FIGURE 23.8 Depiction of AMPLATZER
Amulet (St. Jude Medical, St Paul, MN,
USA) placement into left atrial appendage
via the transseptal approach. Reprinted with
permission.

⊗
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rate. The authors concluded, based on historical controls, that this resulted in a 59% risk reduction. In addition, a similar
reduction in major bleeding was estimated (61%) . The device is receiving ongoing modification (AMPLATZER Amulet)
and further studies will be required to assess its long-term efficacy. At this writing, the most recent rendition of the Amulet
is being studied head-to-head with the WATCHMAN device, with trial results expected in the next couple of years.
Extravascular closure of the LAA using a snare is another closure approach. One such device, which uses a pericardial
approach, is the Lariat device (Figs. 23.9 and 23.10). The Lariat suture delivery device, manufactured by SentreHEART, is
a surgical tool cleared by the US FDA to deliver a pretied stitch (suture) to aid in soft tissue appendage closure. It is
introduced via the pericardial space under fluoroscopic and TEE imaging. Its placement is aided by an endocardial
magnetic tipped pericardial guide (FindrWirz) in the LAA with a second epicardial magnetic wire placed at the epicardial
surface of the distal appendage. The epicardial wire is deployed through a soft-tip epicardial sheath. The magnets are
connected, thus outlining the appendage. The lasso wire is then placed over the appendage and tightened. The largest
multicenter experience published on this approach comprised 712 patients [84]. Acute success was 95.5%. Of note, 30
procedures were aborted because of difficulty in obtaining pericardial axis or early complication. There was one death, 10
surgical repairs for cardiac perforation, and 14 effusions that required drainage. Randomized controlled trials are lacking
and further data are being developed at the time of this writing. In addition, there is significant interest in combining LAA
occlusion with pulmonary vein ablation with assessment of stroke reduction (AMAZE Trial: LAA Ligation Adjunctive to
PVI for Persistent or Longstanding Persistent Atrial Fibrillation). This study is a prospective multicenter randomized trial
that is currently enrolling.
Left atrium
EndoCATH Large
Occlusion Balloon
⊗
Left auricle
1
2
Magnetic guides
3
4
Left auricle
sutured off
Left auricle
atrophied
LARIAT
FIGURE 23.9 Lariat (SentreHEART, Redwood City, CA, USA) illustration depicting guiding catheters inside and outside the heart. The internal
catheter is delivered through the femoral vein and into the left atrium via transseptal puncture. The external guide is delivered through the pericardium.
Reprinted with permission.
Internal guide wire
External guide wire

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(A) (B)
FIGURE 23.10 (A and B) Fluorograms showing left atrial appendage snared (Lariat) proximal to the balloon. Reprinted with permission.
SUMMARY
Thrombosis formation in AF involves many complex mechanisms. Understanding the factors involved in thrombosis
formation and the clinically relevant comorbidities that affect thrombus formation is critical to developing new and more
effective treatment modalities. This will not only affect patients directly in terms of reducing morbidity and mortality, but
also help to address and mitigate the astronomical costs of treating this epidemic disease.
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