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End of Year Survey of People’s Outlook for 2014

During September - December 2013 an annual survey of global opinions was conducted by WIN-Gallup International. National probability samples of around 1,000 people were surveyed in each of the 65 countries polled, a total of 66,806 respondents. The survey was conducted by means of face-to-face (34 countries), telephone (11 countries) or online (20 countries) interviews. As part of the poll people were asked: “Who is the greatest threat to world peace?” and “If there were no barriers to living in any country of the world, which country would you like to live in?”

As to the first question, the U.S. tops the list with an aggregate of 24 percent, the runner-up threat country, Pakistan, is way behind at eight percent. China is third at six percent, followed by North Korea, Iran and Israel at five percent each. Fifty-four percent of Russian respondents and forty-nine of Chinese consider the U.S. to be the greatest threat to peace. This view is also strongly held in some purported U.S. allies – such as NATO partners Greece and Turkey (45 percent each), and Pakistan (44 percent),

Other findings of interest are as follows. American respondents see Iran as the greatest threat to peace (20 percent), followed by Afghanistan (14 percent), North Korea (13 percent) – and the U.S. itself (13 percent). Indian respondents predictably name their Muslim neighbor as posing the greatest danger (25 percent), but for Pakistanis the U.S. easily beats India as the biggest threat (44 percent compared to 15). China is named as the greatest threat to peace by respondents in Japan (38 percent), Vietnam (54 percent) and Philippines (22 percent).

Answers to the second question reveal an interesting tendency. A majority of people (38%) are happy to live where they currently reside. This figure is the average for Western Europe too; 36% of the UK population opt to stay in the country and a substantial 66% of Australia respondents would not consider relocating. Overall, those in the MENA2 (47%) and Americas (46%) regions are most likely to stay where they currently live.

For those who would like to move, the survey highlights that the USA (9% of respondents) is the most desirable destination, with Canada and Australia jointly being second choice (7%) and Switzerland third (6%).

The findings of the survey indicate that the USA is seen as representing the greatest threat to peace today. This opinion is evidently shared by the US rivals and allies alike, though by the latter to a lesser extent. Beijing, which makes territorial claims in the East and South China Sea, does not appear to have won many friends either. A near majority of people across the globe apparently prefer to stay where they live now. Those who would like to move, paradoxically, consider the USA the most desired destination. This could show that for many of the people surveyed it appears that the notion of the ‘American Dream’ is still alive. (491)

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