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5.14.2 Uncertainties in the Exposure Assessment

Uncertainties in the exposure assessment are introduced in estimating the concentra­tions to which receptors may be exposed to in the future and in identifying exposed popu­lations. The future land use at the facility and prediction of the future surrounding use add uncertainty to this assessment. The exposure scenarios selected are developed to model the highest reasonable potential exposures to site contaminants. These estimates are unlikely to underestimate future potential risk.

Estimates of exposure frequency and duration are also uncertain. Reasonable levels were selected that are not likely to underestimate the risk associated with site-related activities.

  • Uncertainty is present in exposure point concentration estimations.

  • All data for metals in groundwater are based on unfiltered groundwater samples.

5.15 Risk characterization

Based on intake calculations and the identification of complete exposure pathways, an overall site characterization and a risk characterization are completed. This will include the following:

  • Written justification for the assumptions used to calculate human dose or intake

  • Characterization of carcinogenic risk using EPA-established carcinogenic SFs

  • Estimation of carcinogenic risk expressed as the incremental increase in the prob­ ability of an individual developing cancer over a lifetime (incremental lifetime cancer risks [ILCRs])

  • Summation of ILCRs for individual COPCs across pathways and within receptor exposure scenarios (e.g., on-site worker exposed to groundwater)

  • Estimation of potential adverse health effects from exposure to systemic toxicants via comparing an exposure intake to a standard RfD (This ratio is the HQ.)

  • Estimation of HQs for each COPC for which toxicity values are available

  • Assumption of individual COPC HQ additivity applied to chemicals that induce the same effect on the same target organ

The summation of HQs is judged to form valid upper-bound hazard indices. These summations are considered only when chemicals within the mixture exhibit "dilution type interaction" (Science Advisory Board Review of the OSWER draft RAGS, Human Health Evaluation Manual [HHEM], EPA-SAB-EHC-93-007). These chemicals within a mixture must have interactions that are independent mechanisms; synergistic and/or antagonistic interactions invalidate the summation of HQs.

Consider indirect exposures (e.g., through the food chain) when receptors have been identified as currently present on-site or potentially identified given reuse options. Grazing scenarios are to be considered both as indirect exposures to humans and with the ecologi­cal assessment.

Consider exposure pathways related to soil contamination in terms of dermal and inhalation of fugitive dust hazards.

5.16 Headspace monitoring—volatiles

The PID is a quantitative instrument that measures the total concentration of various VOCs in the air. The PID may be used as an approach instrument to monitor for safe approach to the site's hot spots and also for headspace analysis of any samples taken.

When wells are drilled and/or soil borings are taken, the headspace in the borehole is monitored to assure safety to the drill crew. The PID measures in the parts per million range; therefore, sustained deflection of over 5 ppm for 1 min is a good indicator of volatile presence long before most volatile chemicals reach an explosive potential.

PIDs are also used for ongoing monitoring of personnel exposures. If a detection of volatiles occurs, either detector tube or solvent tube sampling may be required to identify the exact volatile chemical constituency.

5.17 O2/CGI

The O2/CGI is an air-monitoring device designed to indicate the level of oxygen pres­ent and monitor for a flammable /explosive atmosphere. The CGI registers combustible gas

or vapors in terms of their LEL, which is the lowest concentration at which a combustible gas may ignite (or explode) under normal atmospheric conditions.

These instruments are required on all sites where volatiles may be expected to reach LEL levels and for all sampling requiring confined space entry.

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