
рынок моды экономика
.pdf
vk.com/id446425943
APRIL 2019
Commodity
Markets
Outlook




vk.com/id446425943


vk.com/id446425943
COMMODITY MARKETS OUTLOOK | APRI L 2019 EXECUTI VE SU MMARY 3
TABLE 1 Nominal price indexes and forecast revisions
|
Price Indexes (2010=100)1 |
|
Change (%) q/q |
|
Change (%) y/y |
|
Index revision3 |
|||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019f2 |
2020f2 |
|
2018Q4 |
2019Q1 |
2019 |
2020 |
|
2019f2 |
2020f2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Energy |
55 |
68 |
87 |
82 |
81 |
-9.5 |
-8.0 |
-5.4 |
-1.4 |
-9.6 |
-4.6 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-Energy3 |
79 |
84 |
85 |
83 |
85 |
-1.5 |
0.9 |
-2.1 |
1.4 |
-2.4 |
-2.2 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agriculture |
87 |
87 |
87 |
84 |
86 |
-2.2 |
0.9 |
-2.6 |
1.7 |
-3.2 |
-3.2 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fertilizers |
78 |
74 |
82 |
86 |
88 |
6.6 |
-5.4 |
4.8 |
1.7 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Metals and minerals |
63 |
78 |
83 |
81 |
82 |
-1.0 |
1.7 |
-1.9 |
0.8 |
-1.2 |
-0.8 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Precious metals4 |
97 |
98 |
97 |
100 |
103 |
0.7 |
6.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
7.8 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Memorandum items |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Crude oil ($/bbl) |
43 |
53 |
68 |
66 |
65 |
-11.9 |
-6.0 |
-3.4 |
-1.5 |
-8.0 |
-4.0 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gold ($/toz) |
1,249 |
1,258 |
1,269 |
1,310 |
1,360 |
1.3 |
6.1 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
65.1 |
129.0 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Source: World Bank.
Notes: (1) Numbers may differ from tables A.1-4 due to rounding. (2) "f" denotes forecasts. (3) Denotes revision to the forecasts from the October 2018 report (expressed as change in index value except for $/bbl for crude oil, and $/toz for gold). (4) The non-energy price index excludes precious metals. See Appendix C for definitions of prices and indexes.
vk.com/id446425943