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Mini-course 1 Decision Analysis (Dr. Mariya Sodenkamp) / Class 2 / Paderborn_ITB_L2_ 2015_04_17 Students

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Pareto Optimality

Originally, Pareto Op-mality designates a state of alloca@on of resources in which it is impossible to to make any one individual be`er o without making at least one individual worse o .

Given an ini@al allocaion of goods among a set of individuals, a change to a di erent alloca@on that makes at least one individual be`er o without making any other individual worse o is called a Pareto Improvement. An alloca@on is „Pareto op@mal“ when no further improvements can be made.

* Example: Given consumers A and B distribute equally resource X=20:

{1;1}, {2;2}, {3;3}, {4,4}, …, {10;10} – Pareto Improvements.

Resources are exhausted

Further redistribu@ons lead to points {11;9}, {9;11}, {12;8} etc.

Source: Wikipedia

(Advanced) IT in Business | © Sodenkamp

Folie 41

Pareto Set

ØIn DA, alterna@ves belong to Pareto Set (P) if each of them exceeds any other on some criterion

Ø

Ø

All alterna@ves from

Pareto set are non-dominated (think about

Even Swaps!)

 

 

Alterna@ve A1 dominates Alterna@ve A2 if it

than A2

on some criteria and

worse than A2 on all other criteria

Y

Y1

 

 

 

Y2

 

 

 

 

x

 

 

 

 

 

 

x1

x2

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Advanced) IT in Business | © Sodenkamp

 

Folie 42

C2(ai)

a2

a1

A.

ai – alternatives (cars)

Cj - criteria

2). C1 – price, C2 – quality

C1 à min,

C2 à max

a1, a2 and a3 belong to the Pareto Set, none of them dominated by another one

(Advanced) IT in Business | © Sodenkamp

Folie 43

C2(ai)

ai – alternatives (cars) Cj - criteria

a2

a1

B.

2). C1 – price, C2 – quality

C1 à min,

C2 à max

(Advanced) IT in Business | © Sodenkamp

Folie 44

C2(ai)

ai – alternatives (cars) Cj - criteria

a1

a2

C.

2). C1 – maintinence costs, C2 – style

C1 à min,

C2 à max

(Advanced) IT in Business | © Sodenkamp

Folie 45

C2(ai)

ai – alternatives (cars) Cj - criteria

a2

a1

D.

2). C1 – fuel consumption, C2 – quality

C1 à min,

C2 à max

(Advanced) IT in Business | © Sodenkamp

Folie 46

Exercise

Look at the

comparing compe3ng producers of yoghurt

drinks. Eliminate

 

the

 

.

Iden3fy what producers

to Pareto

cases

.

Price

a3

a9

 

a7

 

a2

a2

 

 

a5

 

a1

 

a6

Brand

Quality

Image

.

(Advanced) IT in Business | © Sodenkamp

Folie 47

What to remember from this lecture?

1) 

2) 

3) 

4) 

5) 

6) 

7) 

Mo@va@ng examples for decision analysis Research areas of decision theory

Study on decision success in organiza@ons by Paul Nu` Defini@on of decision making

Challenges of real-life decision making Decision process

Pareto op@mality

Smart Grid Data Analytics | © Sodenkamp | WIAI EESYS

Folie 48

Thank you very much!

(Advanced) IT in Business | © Sodenkamp

Folie 49

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