7. Future technologies and trends
As of 2005, much of the
Internet’s backbone—that is, its core infrastructure connecting
so many of the world’s PCs—had been converted to 10 Gbps
Ethernet, and researchers were working to develop even faster
technologies. Ethernet speeds tend to grow by a factor of ten every
half decade, and if this trend continues, speeds as high as 100 Gbps
can be expected by 2008. Many researchers, however, believe that 100
Gbps is a bit further off, expecting an intermediate stop at 20 or 40
Gbps.
On the wireless side,
some researchers are working on a new local area standard, known as
802.11n, which would double transmission speeds for wireless devices
to nearly 200 Mbps. Other researchers are developing a new standard
called Unlicensed Mobile Access (UMA), which would allow wireless
mobile devices to seamlessly move from local area networks to wide
area cellular networks and back again. Currently, there is no way for
personal digital assistant (PDA) handhelds and cell phones to move
automatically between a wireless LAN and a wireless WAN or vice
versa. Service is interrupted, and a manual adjustment must be made
on the device for wireless service to continue.