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11
Dose Response Gradient
A fi nding in observational studies that increases our confi dence in a cause effect relationship is the demonstration of a dose response effect. For example, an increased risk of bleeding with increasing INR.
All Plausible Confounding Would Reduce the Demonstrated Effect or Increase it if No Effect Was Observed
A confounder is a factor related to both a predictor and outcome, but is not in the causal link between the predictor and outcome. If a likely confounder acts opposite to the way one would expect, then it is possible that the true effect is underesti­mated. For example if high risk patients do at least as well with a surgical procedure as do those at low risk, it more strongly suggests that there is a true effect of the surgical intervention and would increase our confi dence and thus the quality rating of the evidence.

Summary of Findings

The last column is a summary of fi ndings where the estimate of relative effect, the baseline risk of the standard therapy and the absolute effects of the intervention are reported. A measure of the absolute effect is crucial for making a recommendation since one intervention may be more effective in comparison to another, the overall effect in terms of overall numbers may be small, in our example the absolute risk of bleeding is only decreased by 1 %. Another example is if the baseline risk of pneu­monia is 1 % and with the addition of preoperative antibiotics drops down to .7 %. A change in absolute risk of .3 % is unlikely to be of clinical signifi cance despite there being a 30 % relative risk reduction, which in many cases would be considered of considerable “clinical signifi cance”.
The fi nal component of the GRADE system is to make a recommendation. In assessing the quality of the evidence necessary to make the recommendation, the ones making the recommendation should specify which of the various outcomes are crucial to making a recommendation, in our example it is reasonable to conclude that the evidence is low since that is the quality for the crucial outcome of periopera­tive mortality . It could be argued that the 5-year survival is more important in which case the quality of evidence is moderate (Tables 1.2 ).
From determining the quality of evidence , a recommendation is made. This is a separate process from determining quality of evidence. A recommendation is either strong or weak where “The strength of a recommendation is defi ned as the extent to which one can be confi dent that the desirable consequences of an intervention out­weigh its undesirable consequences” [ 1 ]. A strong recommendation is one where from the clinicians’ point of view; most patients should receive the intervention as
1 Finding and Appraising the Evidence: EBM and GRADE
12
the expected benefi ts comfortably outweigh the undesirable effects. In these situa­tion there is usually little need for extensive discussions about the merits of the intervention. Weak recommendations on the other hand, may be appropriate in some patients, but requires more thorough discussions about the benefi ts and adverse effects of the treatment (Table 1.3 ) [ 4 ].
Ultimately, decisions about the care of individual patient falls to the surgeon and the patient which takes into account not just the external evidence for a particular course of action but crucially the patients own preferences and values and the practical ability for the surgeon to deliver on this decision in their own specifi c environment.
Acknowledgment I would like to acknowledge Tania Gottschalk and Gordon Guyatt for their advice and assistance.

Other Resources

JAMA Users Guide: Guyatt and Rennie
Author Gordon Guyatt, Drummond Rennie
Series Users’ Guides to the Medical Literature
Publisher McGraw-Hill
Publication date: 2008
ISBN 978-0071590341
CEBM website: http://www.cebm.net/
GRADE website: http://www.gradeworkinggroup.org/index.htm
EPIQ: https://www.fmhs.auckland.ac.nz/en/soph/about/our-departments/epide-
miology-and-biostatistics/research/epiq.html
Table 1.3 Implications of the strength of recommendation for an intervention in the GRADE approach
Group Strong recommendation Weak recommendation Patients Most patients would want the
course of action recommended, and only a small proportion would not
The majority of patients would want the recommended course of action, but many would not
Clinicians Most patients should receive the
recommended course of action
Different choices will be appropriate for different patients based on their values and preferences. Recognizing that you must make greater effort to help each patient to arrive a management decision
Policy makers
The recommendation can be adopted as policy in most situations
Policy making will require substantial debate and involve many stakeholders
S.K. Srinathan
13

References

1. Andrews J, Guyatt G, Oxman AD, Alderson P, Dahm P, Falck-Ytter Y, et al. GRADE guide-
lines: 14. Going from evidence to recommendations: the signifi cance and presentation of rec­ommendations. J Clin Epidemiol. 2013;66(7):719–25. doi:
10.1016/j.jclinepi.2012.03.013 .
2. Atkins D, Best D, Briss PA, Eccles M, Falck-Ytter Y, Flottorp S, et al. Grading quality of evi-
dence and strength of recommendations. BMJ (Clin Res Ed). 2004;328(7454):1490. doi:
10.1136/bmj.328.7454.1490 .
3. Balshem H, Helfand M, Schünemann HJ, Oxman AD, Kunz R, Brozek J, et al. GRADE guide-
lines: 3. Rating the quality of evidence. J Clin Epidemiol. 2011;64(4):401–6. doi:
10.1016/j.
jclinepi.2010.07.015
.
4 . B r o żek JL, Akl EA, Compalati E, Kreis J, Terracciano L, Fiocchi A, et al. Grading quality of
evidence and strength of recommendations in clinical practice guidelines Part 3 of 3. The GRADE approach to developing recommendations. Allergy. 2011;66(5):588–95. doi:
10.1111/j.1398-9995.2010.02530.x .
5. Evidence-Based Medicine Working Group. Evidence-based medicine. A new approach to
teaching the practice of medicine. JAMA. 1992;268(17):2420–5. doi:
10.1001/
jama.1992.03490170092032
.
6. GATE in ACP. 2013. GATE in ACP, 1–4.
7. Grimes DA, Schulz KF. An overview of clinical research: the lay of the land. Lancet.
2002;359(9300):57–61. doi:
10.1016/S0140-6736(02)07283-5 .
8. Grimes DA, Schulz KF. Bias and causal associations in observational research. Lancet.
2002;359(9302):248–52. doi:
10.1016/S0140-6736(02)07451-2 .
9. Guyatt GH, Oxman AD, Kunz R, Vist GE, Falck-Ytter Y, Schünemann HJ, GRADE Working
Group. What is “quality of evidence” and why is it important to clinicians? BMJ (Clin Res Ed). 2008;336(7651):995–8. doi:
10.1136/bmj.39490.551019.BE .
10. Haynes RB. Optimal search strategies for retrieving scientifi cally strong studies of treatment
from Medline: analytical survey. BMJ (Clin Res Ed). 2005;330(7501):1179. doi:
10.1136/
bmj.38446.498542.8F
.
11. Karanicolas PJ, Davies E, Kunz R, Briel M, Koka HP, Payne DM, et al. The pylorus: take it or
leave it? Systematic review and meta-analysis of pylorus-preserving versus standard whipple pancreaticoduodenectomy for pancreatic or periampullary cancer. Ann Surg Oncol. 2007;14(6):1825–34. doi:
10.1245/s10434-006-9330-3 .
12. Sackett DL. Evidence-based medicine. Semin Perinatol. 1997;21(1):3–5.
13. Sackett DL, Rosenberg WMC, Gray JAM, Haynes RB, Richardson WS. Evidence based medi-
cine: what it is and what it isn’t. BMJ (Clin Res Ed). 1996;312(7023):71–2. doi:
10.1136/
bmj.312.7023.71
.
1 Finding and Appraising the Evidence: EBM and GRADE
15© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016 J.M. Millis, J.B. Matthews (eds.), Diffi cult Decisions in Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Diffi cult Decisions in Surgery: An Evidence-Based Approach, DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-27365-5_2
Chapter 2
Is Surgery Indicated for Asymptomatic Giant Hepatic Hemangioma?
John Seal
Abstract Liver hemangiomas are the most common benign neoplasms of the liver
and are often diagnosed incidentally on abdominal imaging. Most liver hemangio­mas are small (<4 cm) indolent lesions that do not require further intervention or surveillance in the absence of symptoms. The management of giant liver hemangio­mas (>4 cm), however, remains controversial. The natural progression of giant hem­angiomas is not well defi ned and the risk of life-threatening complications, namely rupture and bleeding, is not clearly established. The development of symptoms such as abdominal pain, mass effects or life-threatening events such as rupture, bleeding or consumptive coagulopathy is an indication for surgical resection or intervention. Asymptomatic giant hemangiomas present a management dilemma as the risk of life-threatening complications is unknown. Several single centers studies have dem­onstrated the safety of expectant management of even very large asymptomatic hemangiomas. There is no evidence to support using size alone as an indication for resection. Although morbidity and mortality of liver resection for hemangioma has improved, the risks of surgical intervention need to be balanced against the rare risk of adverse events during expectant observation.
Keywords Hemangioma • Liver resection • Observation • Complications • Liver • Giant hemangioma • Cavernous hemangioma • Surgery • Resection

Introduction

Liver hemangiomas are the most common benign neoplasms of the liver and are often diagnosed incidentally on abdominal imaging. Most liver hemangiomas are small (<4 cm) indolent lesions that do not require resection or routine follow-up in the absence of symptoms or complications. The management of giant liver
J. Seal (*) Multi-Organ Transplant Institute , Ochsner Medical Center , 1514 Jefferson Highway , New Orleans , LA 70121 , USA e-mail:
johnsealmd@gmail.com
16
hemangiomas (>4 cm), however, remains controversial [ 1 – 3 ]. In contrast to smaller lesions, giant hemangioma s can become quite large (>40 cm), symptomatic and even cause life-threatening complications. The most common symptoms of giant hemangiomas are abdominal pain and mass effects of the tumor such as biliary obstruction [ 4 , 5 ], Budd Chiari syndrome [ 6 ], vena cava compression [ 7 ], and gas- tric outlet obstruction [ 8 ]. Although spontaneous rupture is very rare, traumatic rup- ture or intra-tumoral bleeding often necessitates emergency resection, trans-arterial embolization or both [ 9 ]. In some cases when hepatic resection is not anatomically feasible, both deceased and living donor liver transplant ation have been reported for treatment of symptomatic giant hemangioma [ 10 – 12 ].
In the absence of signifi cant symptoms, however, the rationale for surgical resec­tion is less clear. The natural progression of hemangiomas and the risk of life­threatening complications, namely rupture and bleeding, is not well established. Several authors have advocated for preventive surgical resection or enucleation based on tumor size, rate of growth and perceived risk of rupture despite a lack of supporting evidence. Also, progress in surgical technique, anesthesia and peri­operative care has reduced the risk of death and major complications following liver resection , further lowering the risks associated with surgical intervention. An evidence- based approach to surgical management of asymptomatic giant hemangio­ma s must balance an estimate of the risk of expectant management in the absence of well-defi ned natural history of the disease with peri-operative morbidity and risks of surgical intervention.

Search Strategy

A literature search of English language publications from 1990 to 2014 was used to identity published data on management of liver hemangiomas using the PICO out­line (Table 2.1 ). PubMed database was searched using the following terms [number of results]: “liver, hemangioma, surgery , observation ” [ 36 ], “liver, giant, hemangi­oma, surgery, observation” [ 12 ], “surgical, approach, liver, hemangioima” [80], “giant, liver, hemangioma, surgery, technique” [ 17 ]. Articles that did not present new data with respect to observation versus surgical management were excluded. Retrospective studies of benign liver lesions were included if a separate analysis of hemangiomas was provided. In an effort to be more comprehensive in the analysis, studies that included smaller hemangiomas (<4 cm) were considered in the review.
Table 2.1 PICO table for management of giant liver hemangioma
P (Patients) I (Intervention)
C (Comparator group) O (Outcomes measured)
Patients with giant liver hemangioma (>4 cm) without symptoms
Surgical resection (anatomic resection, enucleation, liver transplanta tion )
Observation Post operative
complications, persistent or recurrent symptoms, life threatening adverse events
J. Seal
17
No prospective randomized studies comparing surgical resection and observation of asymptomatic giant hemangioma s were identifi ed. The PubMed search yielded six single institution and one multicenter retrospective study comparing surgical resec­tion and observation of hemangiomas and four single center retrospective reviews of benign liver lesions that included analysis of hemangiomas. An additional two retrospective single center reviews of resection for hemangioma were included to better assess the rate of complications following resection. The data were classifi ed using the GRADE system.

Results

Resection Versus Observation for Giant Hemangiomas

Evidence comparing resection versus observation of asymptomatic giant hemangio­ma s is limited to retrospective single institution studies (Table 2.2 ) [ 13 – 20 ] and sub-analyses within single center retrospective studies of benign liver tumor s (Table 2.3 ) [ 21 – 24 ]. The primary outcomes in most of these studies included peri- operative morbidity and mortality , resolution of symptoms in the treatment group or development of new symptoms and adverse events in the observation cohorts. None of the studies describe deliberate changes in treatment algorithms during the study period and no explicit comparison of practices in different eras. Thus, the interpreta­tion of the data is limited to center specifi c and often ill-defi ned practices in the management of giant hemangiomas. Nevertheless, the cumulative trends in out­comes offers insight into the risks and morbidity of resection compared with obser­vation and the natural history of giant hemangiomas.
Table 2.2 Resection versus observation for liver hemangioma
Author (year)
N (total)
Resection Observation N % Complication N Finding
Yedibela (2013) 246 103 17 % 143 56 % new symptoms, 2 deaths
from rupture
Giuliante (2010) 74 40 10 % 34 No signifi cant increase in size of
asymptomatic tumors during observation
Schnelldorfer (2010)
289 56 14 % 233 Size not associated with adverse
events
Yoon (2003) 115 52 25 % 63 36 % resected patients to exclude
presence of malignancy Terkivatan (2002) 49 11 27.3 % 38 Symptoms resolved in 12 patients Pietrabissa (1996) 78 16 NA 62 No rupture in observation group Yamagata (1991) 33 13 23 % 20 Observation group tumors <5 cm
diameter
2 Is Surgery Indicated for Asymptomatic Giant Hepatic Hemangioma?
18
The most recent report comparing resection and observation by Yedibela et al. [ 14 ] reviewed 307 hemangiomas referred for evaluation. Elective surgery was per- formed in 103 patients, 62 of which were symptomatic and 41 asymptomatic. Of the asymptomatic patients undergoing resection, 11 were for diagnostic uncertainty, 9 for tumor enlargement and 21 for patient fear of future complications. There was no mortality in the post-operative period and symptom resolution was achieved in 88 % of symptomatic patients. In contrast to other studies, they report a 9 % rate of major complications in the observation group with two fatalities from traumatic hemangioma rupture. In this study, the overall trend was toward lower rates of com­plications in the surgical treatment group.
Giuliante et al. [ 13 ] reviewed 74 consecutive referrals for hemangioma evalua- tion, with 34 undergoing observation and 40 treated surgically. As a regional hepa­tobiliary referral center, the authors discuss the bias that most giant hemangioma s were referred for symptoms, large size or diagnostic uncertainty and that the overall operative rate of 54 % is likely infl ated with underrepresentation of asymptomatic lesions. The primary indications for resection were abdominal symptoms, diagnos­tic uncertainty and tumor growth. Tumor growth has been used by some centers as an indication for resection, but the trajectory of growth over long term follow-up and its implication for risk of tumor rupture is uncertain. In this study, only 7 of 14 tumors demonstrating growth underwent resection, 5 of which had additional indi­cations for resection (abdominal pain and Kasabach-Merritt syndrome). Of the seven tumors demonstrating growth in the observation group, the tendency to enlarge decreased over time and among all tumors in the observation group, there was no signifi cant increase in mean tumor size or development of new symptoms during the follow-up period.
Another single institution review by Terkivatan et al. [ 19 ] supported the safety of expectant management of asymptomatic giant hemangioma s. During the study period, 11 patients were treated with resection , all of whom had abdominal symp­toms attributed to the hemangioma except for one asymptomatic lesion that exhibited 5 cm of growth over 36 months follow-up. Thirty-eight patients were managed with observation . Importantly, there was no signifi cant difference in the mean diameter of tumors in the resection group compared with the observation group. Twelve of the observation patients had abdominal pain on initial assessment that was not
Table 2.3 Studies of benign liver lesions: analysis of hemangiomas
Author (year)
N (total)
Resection Observation N % Complication N Finding
Mezhir (2013) 151 60 NA 91 4.4 % of observed tumors were
ultimately resected
Terkivatan (2001) 103 25 24 % 78 25 cm tumor followed without
need for resection
Charny (2001) 97 39 21 % 58 63.3 % of pre-operative biopsies
were indeterminate or incorrect
Weimann (1997) 238 103 18.8 % 135 No episodes of bleeding in
observation group
J. Seal
19
attributed to the hemangioma and, in each case, the pain resolved during follow-up. None of the asymptomatic patients developed new symptoms during a mean follow­ up period of 59 months.
Schnelldorfer et al. [ 16 ] report the only contemporary series to assess the impact of hemangioma management on quality of life . A quality of life survey was admin­istered with responses from 289 of 492 patients treated for hemangioma at their center, including patients treated with surgical resection or observation . In the observation group, 20 % of patients developed new-onset symptoms with 2 % being life-threatening. Post-operative complications occurred in 14 % of resected patients with 7 % being life threatening. Interestingly, the size of the hemangioma was not associated with adverse events in either group, lending credence to the notion that risk of rupture is not necessarily related to tumor size or rate of growth. The subjec­tive quality of life survey was similar for resected and observed patients leading the authors to conclude that observation is preferred in most patient and surgical resec­tion should be reserved for patient with symptoms or hemangioma-related complications.
The consideration of tumor size and rate of growth have both been proposed as risk factors for tumor rupture and, thus, indications for resection in asymptomatic patients. Iwatsuki et al. [ 25 ] suggested benign hepatic lesions exceeding 10 cm should be resected based increased risk for internal bleeding, further growth or rup­ture, although this was not based on conclusive prospective observational data. In the more recent literature, an absolute size threshold as an indication for resection is not favored. The indication for resection of giant hemangioma was most often the development of symptoms. The rate of growth of the tumor remains a controversial indication for resection, although such recommendations are made without a clearly defi ned relationship between rate of growth and risk of rupture. Pietrabissa et al. [ 17 ] proposed resection for “rapidly growing” asymptomatic hemangiomas defi ned as a minimum 25 % increase in largest diameter over a period of 6 months. The rationale is based on the speculation that the risk for tumor rupture or diagnostic error is higher in patients with rapid growth. Although well reasoned, no clinical support is provided to substantial the claim of increased risk of rupture or diagnostic error with rapid growth, leaving the natural disease course of giant hemangiomas unresolved.
Diagnostic uncertainty has been used as an indication for resection of vascular lesions of the liver when a defi nitive diagnosis cannot be made from radiologic studies, particularly in the setting of known extra-hepatic malignancies or risk factors for the development of liver malignancy ( cirrhosis , hepatitis, steatosis). With advances in imaging modalities and experience at high-volume centers, diagnostic uncertainty is much less common. In a subgroup analysis of a retro­spective review of benign liver lesions at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, Mezhir et al. [ 22 ] report diagnostic uncertainty as the indication for surgi- cal resection in 53.3 % of asymptomatic hemangiomas from 1992 to 2009. Importantly, though, only 12.5 % of patients resected for diagnostic uncertainty were seen in the last 10 years of the study, suggesting a signifi cant impact of advances in medical imaging.
2 Is Surgery Indicated for Asymptomatic Giant Hepatic Hemangioma?
20

Treatment of Giant Hemangiomas: Operative Approaches and Non-surgical Therapies

The morbidity and mortality of hemangioma resection is an important consider­ation when determining appropriate treatment for giant hemangioma s, particu­larly asymptomatic lesions. Complications following surgical resection range from 10 % to 27.3 % in recent studies comparing resection and observation . In a recent multi- institutional review of surgical management of hepatic hemangi­omas [ 26 ], the overall rate of Clavien grade 3 complication or higher was 5.7 % and included bile leak s and bleeding. The 30-day post-operative mortality was
0.8 % (N = 2). Although hepatic resection s for hemangioma can be performed safely, post-operative complications can be signifi cant with a nearly 1 % risk of death. The documented risks of surgery must be carefully weighted against the severity of symptoms and the very low risk of complications associated with observation.
Evolution in operative techniques and application of non-surgical therapies may lead to a less invasive and safer approach to management of hemangiomas in the future. Though technical aspects of resection may vary greatly between centers, a single center study by Lerner et al. [ 27 ] documented an intra-institutional evolution toward enucleation over resection for large hemangiomas over time with more lib­eral use of infl ow occlusion, less intra-operative blood loss and less complications. Liver transplantation [ 10 – 12 , 28 ] for life threatening symptoms attributed to giant hemangioma s has been reported, further expanding therapeutic options to include lesions anatomically unresectable by conventional approaches. Laparoscopic [ 29 – 32 ] and robotic [ 33 ] approaches have been reported by several centers, although the impact of a minimal access approach in reducing operative risk or complications is not defi ned.
The use of several non-surgical therapies for symptomatic giant hemangioma s has been reported. Transarterial embolization is widely used both in the setting of acute management of ruptured hemangiomas and as a pre-operative treatment to reduce vascular infl ow and decrease size [ 34 – 38 ]. Radiofrequency ablation has also been reported for symptomatic control of giant hemangiomas with promising results. Gao et al. [ 39 ] report a single institution initial experience with RFA treatment in giant hemangiomas. In this series, use of RFA in lesions >10 cm diameter had a 100 % complication rate including life-threatening complications of lower esophageal fi stula and acute respiratory distress syndrome. In smaller lesions (5–10 cm diameter), RFA was successful at controlling symptoms with only minor complications. Medical therapies such as the anti-angiogenic agent bevicizumab and the tyrosine kinase inhibitor sorafenib have also been reported to decrease the size of large hemangiomas, though published data is limited to case reports. Overall, even less invasive modes of treating giant hepatic heman­giomas will have some risk of complication that must be carefully considered in asymptomatic patients.
J. Seal
21

Recommendations

Surgical resection is a well established and accepted treatment of symptomatic giant hemangioma s. The relative risk of surgical intervention is balanced by a benefi t to the patient with expected improvement or resolution of symptoms. Management of asymptomatic giant hemangiomas remains controversial as the natural progression of the disease in not well described. The hypothesis that tumor size contributes to the risk of rupture is not supported in the literature and should not be used alone as an indication for surgical resection . Retrospective studies from many centers dem­onstrate that expectant management of asymptomatic giant hemangiomas is safe. Surgical resection or an alternative treatment modality should be considered if symptoms develop. Though several centers consider rapid growth of tumors during observation periods as an indication for resection, there is no evidence to suggest that growth alone presents additional risk to the patient if a defi nitive radiographic diagnosis has been made.

A Personal View of the Data

Surgical resection of giant symptomatic hemangiomas is widely accepted as the risks of surgery are balanced by a direct benefi t of symptom relief. Though resolu­tion of symptoms after resection is not universal and varies in published reports, it is reasonable to expect a high rate of symptom resolution if the initial symptoms were appropriately attributed to the hemangioma. To that end, symptomatic patients with giant hemangioma s should be carefully assessed to ensure the symptoms, in particu­lar non-specifi c abdominal pain , can be attributed to effects of the mass. The retro­spective series highlighted in this chapter support the safety and prudence of deferring surgical resection in asymptomatic patients with giant hemangiomas. Yedibela et al. reported a higher rate of adverse events in patients under observation including two deaths from rupture, compared with other contemporary series that report no adverse events. Overall, the evidence indicates observation of even very large hemangiomas is safe. There is no evidence to support size alone as an indication for surgical resec­tion in asymptomatic lesions. Impending complications such as vascular compres­sion or gastrointestinal obstruction may be appropriate. Patient anxiety has been reported as an indication for surgical resection of asymptomatic lesions in some series. While anxiety can certainly be a signifi cant symptom, it is the responsibility of the surgeon to reassure patients regarding the very low risk of adverse events associated with observation and to manage patient anxiety non-operatively. Finally, the risk of rupture related to tumor growth is unclear, but to date no series has dem­onstrated that rapid growth of hemangiomas presents an increased risk if a defi nitive radiologic diagnosis has been made. Rapid growth may prompt further investigation to confi rm the diagnosis and exclude concern for malignancy, but there is insuffi cient evidence to support surgical resection on the basis of growth alone.
2 Is Surgery Indicated for Asymptomatic Giant Hepatic Hemangioma?