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5 Assessment of Cardiovascular Calcium
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© Springer International Publishing 2016
M.J. Budoff, J.S. Shinbane (eds.), Cardiac CT Imaging: Diagnosis of Cardiovascular Disease,
DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-28219-0_6
Natural History and Impact
of Interventions on CAC
Paolo Raggi
Abstract
Coronary artery calcium is a marker of sub-clinical atherosclerosis and it is deposited via an
active process similar to bone formation. Sequential non-contrast CT has been proposed as
a method to accurately quantify and monitor progression of calcifi cation. While interventions have generally failed to slow progression of calcifi cation, it has become apparent that
continued progression of CAC is associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction
and cardiac death. As a consequence, researchers have implemented sequential cardiac CT
to follow the progression of coronary artery calcium in a variety of clinical settings and in
some cases have reported encouraging results.
Keywords
Coronary artery calcium • Progression • Statins • Serial CT imaging • Atherosclerosis • Allcause mortality • Epicardial adipose tissue • Chronic kidney disease • Human immunodefi ciency virus
Preface
Coronary artery calcium has long been known to be associated with atherosclerotic plaque and its development is due
to an active process resembling bone formation. Similarly,
aortic valve degeneration and calcifi cation appear to follow a
pathophysiologic process very similar to atherosclerosis.
With non-contrast CT it is possible to detect and accurately
quantify the extent of calcifi cation of vessels and cardiac
valves offering an opportunity to monitor progression of disease. While interventions have generally failed to slow progression of calcifi cation, it has become apparent that
continued progression of coronary artery calcium (CAC) is
associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction
and cardiac death, suggesting that there might be some util-
ity for sequential imaging. Therefore, researchers have
investigated the utilization of cardiac CT imaging to follow
the progression of cardiovascular calcifi cation in a variety of
clinical settings, as will be discussed in this chapter.
Natural History of Plaque Calcifi cation
In Western societies pre-atherosclerotic changes in the arterial wall begin very early in life. Necropsy data from 2876
subjects between the ages of 15 and 34 revealed intimal
lesions in the aortas of all patients and in the right coronary
artery of more than half of the youngest patients (15–19 year
old). The prevalence and extent of disease increased with
advancing age [ 1 ]. CAC has long been known to be associ-
ated with atherosclerosis and it is now clearly established
that plaque calcifi cation may be dependent upon an active
process of mineralization resembling bone formation [ 2 – 5 ].
Several enzymes necessary for the assembly of normal bone
have been found in the context of human atherosclerotic
plaques [ 2 – 4 ] and cells normally found in the vessel wall,
P. Raggi , MD
Department of Medicine , Mazankowski Alberta
Heart Institute, University of Alberta ,
4A7.050, 8440 – 112 Street , Edmonton , AB T6G 2B7 , Canada
e-mail: raggi@ualberta.ca
6
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such as smooth muscle cells [ 5 ], macrophages and pericytes
[ 6 ] can transform into osteoblast-like cells with bone gener-
ating potential. Pericytes are of particular interest given the
modern view that atherosclerosis is a process partially driven
from the outside of the arterial lumen. Pericytes are interspersed with endothelial cells in the vasa vasorum penetrating through the adventitia of vessels developing
atherosclerosis and have been shown to be able to undergo
osteoblastic differentiation [ 6 ]. As vasa vasorum proliferate
and expand in the vessel wall, bringing more pericytes in its
context, they cause a series of intramural hemorrhages [ 7 ].
The cellular membrane of erythrocytes is rich in cholesterol
and cell death in the context of the vessel wall causes accumulation of large amounts of lipids promoting infl ammation
and possibly inducing osteoblasic changes in the pericytes.
As a result of a complex cascade of events, in advanced
stages of atherosclerosis true ossifi cation can be observed in
pathological specimen. It is currently unknown if arterial
calcifi cation is part of the ongoing infl ammatory phenomena
in the plaque or an attempt at repairing the damage brought
to the vascular wall by noxious stimuli. Some investigators
have suggested that calcium deposition simply results from
recurrent hemorrhage and thrombosis with deposition of
minerals in the context of the plaque [ 8 ].
Numerous researchers have investigated what factors are
associated with CAC appearance (conversion of calcium
score from 0 to >0) and progression. In an analysis of racial
differences in disease progression, the Multi Ethnic Study of
Atherosclerosis (MESA) investigators reported that all
traditional risk factors correlated with calcium progression
in Whites, Asians, Hispanics and African Americans alike
[ 9 ]. However, Whites showed the greatest progression and
diabetes mellitus had a stronger impact on Blacks than other
races. The European Heinz Nixdorf Recall (HNR) population
study confi rmed that all traditional risk factors impact
inception and progression of CAC [ 10 ]. However, the MESA
investigators further stressed the importance of family
history of premature coronary artery disease [ 11 ], diabetes
mellitus and the metabolic syndrome [ 12 ], while the HNR
researchers highlighted the importance of smoking [ 13 ] in
promoting conversion from nil to positive calcium.
As the process of calcifi cation of a plaque appears to be
dependent upon active phenomena of mineralization, it is
plausible that the formation and degradation of calcifi cation
may be a dynamic phenomenon in the atherosclerotic plaque
similar to what happens in bone, and that these processes
may be activated or inhibited by external interventions.
Numerous studies have addressed atherosclerosis regression
in animal models. In one experiment, 59 Rhesus monkeys
were fed a high cholesterol diet for several years and then
exposed to a cholesterol restricted diet for three more years
[ 14 ]. The animals were progressively sacrifi ced along the
experimental period and histology revealed development of
typical plaques with a lipid-rich core and scattered calcifi c
granules. As plaques expanded the calcifi c deposits grew.
After exposing the animals to a diet severely restricted in
cholesterol, the plaques became more fi brotic, with a lower
cholesterol content and the calcium deposits stopped growing
[ 14 ]. In another experiment Williams et al. [ 15 ] used a
monkey model of atherosclerosis to study the effect of
medical therapy in addition to diet on atherosclerosis
progression and regression. Thirty-two adult (7–10 years of
age) male cynomolgus monkeys were fed an atherogenic diet
for 2 years (progression phase). During the subsequent
2-year a low cholesterol diet was begun (treatment phase).
Additionally, 14 monkeys received pravastatin (20 mg/kg
body weight per day), while the diet of the other 18 monkeys
was adjusted to maintain equal plasma LDL levels between
groups over time. At the end of the treatment phase the total,
low density and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels
were similar in the two animal groups. However, histological
analysis of the coronary, carotid and iliac arteries revealed
important differences between treatment groups. While the
lumen area was not different, pravastatin treated animals
showed a reduction in intimal neovascularization, plaque
macrophage infi ltration and a decrease in calcifi cation of
early as well as advanced plaques. These fi ndings suggested
that statins might benefi t the arterial wall in ways that differ
from simple lipoprotein lowering. However, Stary [ 16 ],
Daoud [ 17 ] and Clarkson [ 18 ] did not fi nd any reduction in
calcium deposition in the atherosclerotic plaque with
interventions in experiments conducted in swine and
monkeys. Hence, although attractive, the histological proof
that arterial calcifi cation may regress remains very
controversial.
Technical Considerations
The severity of calcifi cation is assessed by means of
quantitative calcium-scores. The fi rst score was developed
by Agatston et al. [ 19 ]; this score holds a good correlation
with the underlying atherosclerotic plaque burden [ 20 ] and
has been used widely in research and clinical trials. The
Agatston score is derived by multiplying the area of a
calcifi ed plaque by a density coeffi cient rated 1 through 4.
This scoring method was shown to have a limited inter-scan
reproducibility, especially when used with the older EBCT
technology, and new scoring methods were therefore
introduced for the purpose of performing reliable sequential
studies [ 21 – 23 ]. The calcium volume score (measured in
picoliters) is derived using an isotropic interpolation principle
and it represents the volume of matter denser than 130
Hounsfi eld units (i.e. calcium) contained in an atherosclerotic
plaque. The inter-scan reproducibility of this score is
signifi cantly higher than that of the Agatston method [ 21 ].
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The mass score was the third and last score to be introduced
[ 22 , 23 ]. Though reportedly more reliable and reproducible
than the other two scores, to date this measurement has not
yet been employed extensively. Another important technical
consideration is the method used to report change and the
numerous imaging platforms currently available with the
various brands and models of CT scanners present on
the market. The change in absolute score tends to minimize
while a change in percent score exaggerates the difference at
follow-up in the presence of small baseline scores (the
reverse is true for large baseline scores). A novel method was
therefore introduced by Hokanson based on the difference
between the square root of the follow-up and the square root
of the baseline calcium volume score [ 24 ]. This score is not
affected by the baseline score and an increase ≥2.5 is considered a reliable indication of true change. A fi nal word of caution should be reserved for the type of scanner and imaging
protocol utilized for sequential imaging; it is unlikely that an
Agatston score measured with an original EBCT scanner can
be compared with a follow-up scan obtained years later with
a high-resolution MDCT. If possible, a patient should be rescanned with the same equipment and with the same parameters (slice thickness, voltage, electrocardiographic gating
etc.)
Effect of Statins on Progression of CAC
Initial human studies of atherosclerosis progression and
regression were conducted by means of quantitative coronary
angiography [ 25 , 26 ]. The cardiovascular event reduction
associated with luminal stenosis improvements seen on
quantitative coronary angiography far outweighed the
magnitude of the regression recorded over long-term
follow-up periods [ 27 ]. This observation became germane to
the concept that induction of plaque regression is an
important surrogate marker worth achieving since it may
translate in substantial cardiovascular risk reduction.
Nonetheless, the invasive nature of coronary angiography
greatly limits the utility of this tool for sequential studies,
especially in asymptomatic people. More modernly atherosclerosis imaging to gauge the effect of treatment has been
assessed with sequential measurements of CAC and carotid
artery intimal medial thickness [ 28 – 32 ]. This approach pre-
sumes that limiting the progression or inducing the regression of atherosclerosis in asymptomatic individuals will
provide the same benefi t observed in symptomatic patients
who underwent sequential invasive studies. This is an obvious limitation as symptomatic patients may have a very different substrate for their on-going atherosclerotic disease
compared to asymptomatic subjects harboring sub- clinical
disease.
Callister et al. [ 28 ] published the fi rst report of sequential
EBCT scanning to measure progression of CAC in
asymptomatic patients. They conducted an observational
study on 149 patients referred by primary care physicians for
calcium screening. Treatment with HMG-CoA reductase
inhibitors (statins) was recommended for all patients, but the
initiation of such therapy was left to the discretion of the
referring physician. Baseline and follow-up EBCT scan at a
minimum of 12-month interval (range 12–15 months) and
serial LDL-cholesterol measurements were obtained in all
patients. Of the 149 patients, 105 received treatment with
statins and 44 did not. Progression of CAC was seen in all
untreated patients (mean LDL ± SD: 147 ± 22 mg/dl) and
averaged 52 ± 36 %/year (Fig. 6.1 ). In contrast, the mean
yearly calcium volume score change for all treated patients
(mean LDL: 114 ± 23 mg/dl) was 5 ± 28 % (p < 0.001 vs.
untreated patients). Budoff et al. [ 29 ] reported the results of
an observational study of 299 asymptomatic patients
followed for 1–6.5 years after an initial EBCT scan. All
patients underwent a second scan at a minimum of 12 months.
The follow-up scans showed an increase in CAC in all
untreated patients while patients treated with statins showed
signifi cant slowing of progression (15 ± 8 %/year on
treatment vs. 39 ± 12 %/year without treatment). Two more
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
Therapy No therapy
Percent calcium score change
*
P < 0.001
*
*
Fig. 6.1 Progression of calcium volume score in 105 patients treated
for a year with statins and 44 untreated patients. There was a signifi cant
difference in progression between the two groups. The box plots
indicate median (line in the middle of the box), confi dence intervals
( vertical lines ) as well as 25th and 75th percentile (lower and top border
of the box) [ 28 ]
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small studies, in 66 men treated with cerivastatin [ 30 ] and
eight patients with familial hypercholesterolemia receiving
LDL apheresis [ 31 ], contributed to the growing evidence that
statin therapy may retard the progression of CAC. Finally, in
a subanalysis of the Women’s Health Initiative Observational
Study, Hsia et al. [ 33 ] evaluated prospectively the rate of pro-
gression of CAC in healthy postmenopausal women. Of 914
postmenopausal women enrolled in the main study, 305
women with a baseline calcium score ≥10 were invited for a
repeat scan and 94 agreed to undergo a second scan. In multivariable analyses, statin use at baseline was a negative predictor (p = 0.015), whereas the baseline calcium score was a
strong positive predictor (p < 0.0001) of progression of CAC.
Despite these encouraging results, other observational
studies [ 34 – 36 ] and several randomized trials [ 37 – 39 ] failed
to confi rm an association between LDL lowering and progression of CAC. The BELLES trial (Beyond Endorsed
Lipid Lowering With EBT Scanning) was a prospective, randomized study of post-menopausal and dyslipidemic women
with a minimal calcium volume score of 30 at baseline [ 37 ].
After the initial EBCT scan, the 615 women enrolled were
randomized to treatment with atorvastatin 80 mg/day or
pravastatin 40 mg/day; a follow-up scan was performed
12 months after randomization (Fig. 6.2 ). The mean LDL
cholesterol level was signifi cantly lower with atorvastatin
(94 mg/dl) than pravastatin (129 mg/dl). Nonetheless, the
median percent change of the calcium volume score was not
different between the two treatment arms (15.1 % and 14.3 %
for atorvastatin and pravastatin respectively, P = NS). The St.
Francis Heart Study [ 38 ] was a prospective, randomized
study of 1005 healthy individuals with a CAC score above
the 80th percentile for age and sex at screening. The study
compared the effect of 20 mg/daily of atorvastatin along with
vitamin C and E versus placebo on progression of CAC. At
the end of a mean follow-up of 4.3 years the progression was
similar among treatment arms (~20 %/year). Schmermund
et al. [ 39 ] randomized 366 patients with no known cardiovas-
cular disease to 10 mg vs 80 mg of atorvastatin daily for
1 year. The mean LDL levels on treatment were 109 ± 28 and
87 ± 33 mg/dl, respectively. Again the mean calcium volume
score progression was not different at the end of 12 months
of follow-up (25 % vs 27 %). Finally, Houslay et al. [ 40 ] ran-
domized 48 patients to atorvastatin 80 mg/daily and 54
patients to placebo. After a median follow-up of 24 months
the atorvastatin group had progressed by 26 %/year from
baseline and the placebo group by 18 %/year (P = NS).
In conclusion, the results of randomized trials failed to
confi rm that lipid lowering therapy may slow progression of
CAC; indeed there was a trend for statin therapy to attain the
opposite effect.
Effect of Non-lipid Lowering Interventions
on Progression of CAC
Besides medical therapy for dyslipidemia, other treatment
modalities have been studied to slow the progression of
CAC. An example of therapy of critical importance is
represented by the effect of tight diabetic control on
atherosclerosis progression. Snell-Bergeon et al. [ 41 ]
assessed the effect of glycemic control in type 1 diabetes
patients on progression of CAC. In 109 type 1 diabetic
patients (22–50 year old), sequential EBCT scans were
performed at an interval of 2.7 years. Progression of CAC
was noted in 21 patients and it was associated with baseline
hyperglycemia (odds ratio 7.11, 95 % CI 1.38–36.6, P = 0.02),
after adjustment for baseline CAC, duration of diabetes, age
and sex. There was also a signifi cant interaction between
higher insulin dose and higher body mass index (P = 0.03),
suggesting that glycemic control and insulin resistance
affected progression of CAC. Similarly, Anand et al. followed 392 type-2 diabetic patients. Progression of CAC was
Calcium volume score Calcium volume score
Median CVS:+15 %
Median CVS:+14.3 %
Mean LDL = 94 mg/dl
Mean LDL = 129 mg/dl
Atorvastatin 80 mg
12 months follow-up
Pravastatin 40 mg
615 dyslipidemic
post menopausal
women
Fig. 6.2 Design of the BELLES trial and main study results. Aggressive lipid lowering therapy with atorvastatin did not slow progression of CAC
more than moderate treatment with pravastatin [ 37 ]
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noted in 56 % of those with CAC at baseline; the best predictors of progression were the baseline CAC score, statins use
and hemoglobin A1c >7 % during follow-up [ 42 ].
In the Women’s Health Initiative (WHI), menopausal
women between the ages of 50–59 years were randomized to
treatment with conjugated estrogens or placebo [ 43 ]. In a
sub-study of the WHI, 1064 women were submitted to CAC
screening after 8.7 years from trial initiation. Women who
had received estrogens showed a lower CAC score at followup compared to those who had received placebo (83.1 vs
123.1, P = 0.02). Similarly, in a prospective observational
study, combined hormone replacement therapy (progestin
plus estrogens) and placebo were associated with a signifi cantly greater progression of CAC (22–24 %/year) then
treatment with unopposed estrogens alone (9 %/year) [ 44 ].
Several other approaches have been attempted to slow
CAC progression. In a small, randomized study, Rath et al.
[ 45 ] assessed the progression rate of CAC in subjects treated
with a combination of vitamins, minerals and coenzymes.
Untreated patients showed an average annual score increase
of 44 % as assessed by the Agatston method. The rate of
progression was slowed to 15 % yearly when patients were
given nutritional supplements.
Budoff et al. [ 46 ] used aged garlic extract (AGE) to inhibit
CAC progression. AGE was employed because it was previously shown to reduce multiple cardiovascular risk factors,
including blood pressure, serum cholesterol levels, platelet
aggregation and adhesion, while stimulating nitric oxide generation in endothelial cells. In a placebo-controlled, doubleblind, randomized pilot study 23 patients were treated with
4 ml of oral AGE or the equivalent amount of placebo per day.
Nineteen patients completed the 1-year protocol. At the end
of follow-up the mean change in calcium volume score for
the AGE group (n = 9) was signifi cantly smaller (7.5 ± 9.4 %)
than for the placebo group (n = 10) that demonstrated an average increase of 22 ± 18.5 % (P = 0.046). Throughout the study
there were no signifi cant differences in individual cholesterol
parameters or CRP between treatment group.
For a long time microscopic organisms called nanobacteria were thought to be implicated in the process of atherosclerosis where they operated as nucleating factors for
CAC. More recently what was once believed to be an infectious agent has been described as a core of phosphate and
calcium crystals with adherent molecules of fetuin-A; these
complexes have been shown to act as nucleating factors for
fast growth of calcifi cation [ 47 ]. Nonetheless, before such
knowledge was acquired tetracyclines – as treatment for
nanobacteria – were combined with ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid disodium salt (EDTA) – as a chelating agent, as
well as vitamins and CoQ10 and administered to 77 volunteers with stable coronary artery disease [ 48 ]. EBT scans
were performed at baseline and after a short follow-up of
4 months. Of the 77 patients, 44 (57 %) showed CAC score
regression (average −14 %), while the remaining 33 showed
either no change or an increase in score. Of interest, serum
lipid levels were reduced in a large proportion of patients
despite the fact that most patients were already receiving
statins prior to enrollment. No liver, renal or hematological
side effects were recorded.
Obviously, these studies were very small and mainly
exploratory in nature and the utility of such interventions
will need to be confi rmed in larger prospective studies.
Cardiovascular Calcifi cation in End Stage
Renal Disease and the Effect of Therapies
on Its Progression
The cardiovascular disease rates of patients suffering from
end-stage chronic kidney disease receiving dialysis (CKD
stage 5D) are 30–50 fold higher than in the general population
[ 49 ]. However, the cardiovascular mortality and morbidity of
this patient group is only partially explained by traditional
risk factors [ 50 ], and disorders of mineral metabolism may
contribute substantially to the high incidence of events [ 51 –
56 ]. Hyperphosphatemia and its traditional management
with calcium-based phosphate binders has been implicated
in the development and progression of cardiovascular
calcifi cation, and the dose of oral calcium has been correlated
with the severity of calcifi cation [ 51 , 57 ]. Vascular and
valvular calcifi cations are very extensive in CKD-5D
(Fig. 6.3 ) and progress rapidly. In an attempt to curb the
rapid progression of calcifi cation, the Treat-to-Goal Study—a
randomized, multicenter clinical trial—compared the
calcium-free, non-absorbable polymer sevelamer with
traditional calcium-based phosphate binders [ 58 ]. Study
outcomes included serum levels of phosphorus, calcium,
intact parathyroid hormone (PTH), and lipids, as well as
change in calcifi cation of the coronary arteries and thoracic
aorta quantifi ed by EBCT. Two hundred adult patients who
had received hemodialysis for a median of 3 years prior to
study entry, were enrolled at 15 medical centers in Europe
and the United States. During the study period, phosphate
binders were adjusted to maintain serum phosphorus levels
between 3.0 and 5.0 mg/dL, serum calcium levels between
8.5 and 10.5 mg/dL and serum PTH levels between 150 and
300 pg/mL. EBCT was performed at the start of the study,
and after 6 and 12 months of treatment. In spite of a similar
control of serum phosphorus and calcium, coronary and
aortic calcifi cation progressed signifi cantly in the calciumtreated patients while there was no statistically signifi cant
change from baseline in the sevelamer group. At 1 year
(Fig. 6.4 ), the median percent change in coronary and aorta
scores were 25 % and 28 % and 6 % and 5 % in the calcium
and sevelamer group, respectively (p = 0.02 for all intergroup
comparisons). Of note, the mean LDL cholesterol was signifi cantly lower in the sevelamer group, than in patients
treated with calcium salts, despite the fact that the latter
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received statins more often. However, the changes in calcium
score severity seen at 52 weeks were independent of the
levels of LDL cholesterol, HDL cholesterol and C-reactive
protein. Additionally, sevelamer therapy was accompanied
by a simultaneous improvement in bone mineral density
[ 59 ]. Interestingly, an inverse relationship between CAC and
bone mineral density has also been observed in non-uremic
individuals [ 60 , 61 ] and suggests an interaction between
bone and vascular health.
A second randomized study was performed with the same
primary end-point of CAC progression in patients randomized to sevelamer or calcium-based phosphate binders within
a few weeks of beginning hemodialysis [ 62 ]. At the end of
18 months of follow-up calcium treated patients again
showed a signifi cant 11-fold greater progression of CAC
than sevelamer treated patients (p < 0.002). The secondary
end point of this study was long-term mortality; at the end of
4.5 years of follow-up the mortality of calcium treated
patients was double that of sevelamer treated subjects (hazard ratio: 3.2; p < 0.02) [ 63 ]. In contrast with these 2 studies,
the investigators of the CARE-2 study were unable to confi rm that sevelamer and calcium-acetate phosphate binders
affect CAC progression differently and showed an approximate 30 % progression at the end of 1 year for both treatment
arms [ 64 ]. In this protocol the investigators meant to ascer-
tain whether the effect of sevelamer on CAC progression is
due to its lipid lowering ability; therefore they planned to
randomize patients to sevelamer or a combination of calcium
salts and statins. However, 80 % of the sevelamer treated
patients also received statins and this may have caused CAC
progression in both arms as shown in the general population
(see above). Furthermore, the PTH level of sevelamer treated
patients was double that of prior studies [ 58 , 62 ], suggesting
a very poor control of mineral metabolism. In a more recent
trial cinacalcet and vitamin D, both used to reduce the PTH
levels in secondary hyperparathyroidism, were compared as
far as their ability to slow CAC progression [ 65 ]. At the end
of 1 year of follow-up cinacalcet showed a non-signifi cant
Fig. 6.3 Extensive
cardiovascular calcifi cation in a
patient suffering from end-stage
renal disease. The soft tissues
have been removed and only the
calcifi ed portion of the aorta and
coronary arteries are shown. AA
aortic arch, LAD left anterior
descending coronary artery, CX
circumfl ex coronary artery, RCA
right coronary artery, TA thoracic
aorta
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Coronary Aorta Coronary Aorta
6
5
28*
25*
Calcium-salts Sevelamer
Median % calcium score change
Fig. 6.4 Median percentage calcium score change for coronary arteries
and aorta in end-stage renal disease patients randomized to 1-year
treatment with sevelamer or calcium-based salts. The progression was
signifi cant for both coronary arteries and aorta only in the calcium salt
treated patients [ 58 ]
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but clear trend toward slowing of calcifi cation of the cardiac
valves, coronary arteries and aorta. Due to the numerous protocol violations committed by the participating physicians, a
subanalysis was performed to assess the effect of protocol
adherence [ 66 ]. Patients who were treated with cinacalcet in
close adherence with the protocol showed a very signifi cant
slowing of CAC and aortic valve calcifi cation compared to
controls. Although this was an unplanned sub- analysis it
highlighted the importance of protocol adherence and the
possibility that many unsuccessful randomized studies may
be marred by poor compliance with the protocol design by
the participating physicians rather than the patients.
Coronary Atherosclerosis in Human
Immunodefi ciency Virus Infected Patients
With the advent of highly effective anti-retroviral therapy
(HART), the mortality due to AIDS related diseases has
dropped dramatically. However, other diseases have surfaced
and are now affecting these patients in premature age.
Among the most prominent is atherosclerosis and coronary
artery disease [ 67 , 68 ]. Initially believed to be a consequence
of the dyslipidemia induced by several HART drugs, the
concept has now evolved to include a more complex interac-
tion of traditional risk factors and HIV-specifi c risk factors,
such as chronic infl ammation, proliferation of proinfl ammatory lymphocytes, endothelial damage and dysfunction and global activation of the immune system. HIV
infected patients have been demonstrated to have a higher
prevalence and larger than expected deposits of CAC [ 69 –
71 ] and CAC seems to progress rapidly in HIV infected
patients [ 72 , 73 ]. In addition to traditional risk factors,
immunological factors have been associated with the prevalence and progression of CAC such as nadir CD4 count [ 69 ],
HIV infection per se [ 72 ], volume of epicardial fat [ 73 ], and
circulating CD16+ monocytes [ 74 ].
Visceral Adipose Tissue and Coronary Artery
Calcium
The current epidemic of obesity, insulin resistance and diabetes mellitus in western countries, has generated a strong
interest in the potential role of visceral adipose tissue in the
development of atherosclerosis and its complications. The
intra-abdominal and epicardial adipose tissues (EAT)
(Fig. 6.5 ) are highly infl amed in obese patients, patients with
the metabolic syndrome and in those with established
coronary artery disease; large quantities of pro-infl ammatory
ab
Fig. 6.5 ( a ) Axial computed tomography image showing extensive
calcium deposits in the left anterior coronary artery and a small amount
of calcium at the origin of the right coronary artery. ( b ) Same image as
in ( a ); the epicardial adipose tissue is encased between the visceral and
parietal pericardium highlighted by the orange line
6 Natural History and Impact of Interventions on CAC
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cytokines and free fatty acids are released by these fat compartments [ 75 ]. The exact mechanisms by which EAT may
predispose to atherosclerosis development are unknown,
although several plausible mechanisms may be involved in
this process. The adventitia of the coronary arteries comes in
direct contact with EAT without the interposition of a fascia.
EAT may thus exert a paracrin effect with direct exposure of
the adventitia to humoral and cellular infl ammatory
mediators; this in turn may promote proliferation of vasa
vasorum and growth of subendothelial atherosclerotic lesions
[ 75 ]. Adipocytes are capable of secreting numerous cytokines
that affect metabolic, infl ammatory and vascular pathways;
some of them are specifi cally secreted by adipocytes (such as
adiponectin, leptin, and resistin), while others are also
produced by other tissues (plasminogen activator inhibitor
type-1 (PAI-1), tumor necrosis factor-α, interleukin 1 and 6,
monocyte chemo-attractant protein 1 (MCP-1), angiotensin
II, and cholesteryl ester transfer protein) [ 75 ]. Several studies
showed an association of EAT with CAC, while others have
shown an association of EAT with plaques showing
characteristics of vulnerability [ 75 ]. In 3 studies in the
general population [ 76 – 78 ] and one study of HIV infected
patients [ 73 ] there was a signifi cant association between
EAT and CAC progression. In the Heinz Nixdorf Recall
study [ 78 ], the association of EAT and CAC progression was
signifi cant in patients with a small burden of atherosclerosis
at baseline (defi ned as a CAC score less than 100) but not in
patients with more advanced disease. Additionally, the association was stronger in younger subjects and patients with
lower body mass index. The authors hypothesized that these
seemingly paradoxical results suggest that EAT acts as an
initial promoter of atherosclerosis but that it may not have a
prolonged long-term effect on CAC.
Clinical Implications of CAC Progression
The clinical signifi cance of progression of CAC has been
addressed in several observational studies and one randomized trial to date. Raggi et al. [ 79 ] followed 817 asymptom-
atic individuals referred by primary care physicians for
sequential EBCT imaging at an average interval of
2.2 ± 1.3 years. Telephone interviews and chart reviews were
conducted to ascertain the occurrence of myocardial infarction after the second CT scan. The mean yearly CAC volume
score change for the individuals who suffered a myocardial
infarction was 47 ± 50 % while it averaged 26 ± 32 % in those
free of events (P < 0.001). Treatment of hyperlipidemia (a
probable marker of greater baseline risk) and CAC score
change were independent predictors of myocardial
infarction.
In a second observation [ 80 ], the occurrence of myocar-
dial infarction was estimated in a cohort of 495 asymptom-
atic individuals submitted to sequential EBCT scanning
while undergoing treatment with statins. The mean followup was 3 years, men and women were enrolled in equal proportions and the mean age of the enrolled subjects was
57 ± 8 years. In spite of an identical average LDL level on
treatment (~120 mg/dl in each group), the 41 patients who
suffered a myocardial infarction showed a much greater
yearly CAC score progression than the 454 event-free survivors (42 ± 23 % vs 17 ± 25 %, P < 0.001, Fig. 6.6 ). The inves-
tigators further applied a threshold of 15 %/year increase in
CAC score to differentiate a true score change from a measurement reproducibility error [ 21 ]. Independent of the base-
line CAC score patients with an increase smaller than 15 %/
year (i.e no progression from baseline) suffered very few
events (N = 5) and the events occurred late during follow-up.
On the contrary, the majority of events (N = 36) occurred in
patients showing a CAC score progression >15 %/year and
the events occurred early during follow-up. Figure 6.7 shows
an example of rapid progression of CAC and the occurrence
of an acute coronary event in a 64 year old man. In the MESA
study [ 81 ] 5862 patients had a baseline and follow-up CAC
scan at approximately 2.5 year interval while the median
clinical follow-up time was 7.5 years. Progression of CAC
was a predictor of incident cardiovascular events both in
patients without and those with CAC at baseline. An increase
of ≥300 Agatston score units in patients with CAC at baseline was associated with a hazard ratio of 6.3 of developing
hard cardiovascular events. In an observational study of 4609
asymptomatic patients, Budoff et al. [ 82 ] performed
sequential CT scans an average of 3.5 years from baseline.
The intent was to test whether CAC progression measured by
three different methods (absolute change, increase >15 %/
year and square root) predicted mortality and which method
was the most predictive. During follow-up there were 288
all-cause deaths and CAC progression measured by any of
the three methods was predictive of an event, although the
square root method was the best model. Finally, three
P < 0.0001
Event free Myocardial infarction
LDL = 120 LDL = 118
45 %
17 %
Mean % cacium score change
Fig. 6.6 Mean CAC volume score in patients treated with statins who
suffered a myocardial infarction during follow-up and event-free subjects. Despite attaining a similar mean LDL level with treatment, the calcium score progression was signifi cantly different between groups [ 80 ]
P. Ra gg i
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independent groups of researchers made the observation that
progression of CAC is faster in patients with the metabolic
syndrome and diabetes mellitus and it is linked with increased
risk of cardiovascular events [ 12 , 83 , 84 ].
The only prospective randomized trial that tested the
hypothesis of CAC progression as a predictor of an adverse
event was the St. Francis Heart Study [ 85 ]. In the natural
history arm of the study 4903 patients (age 50–70) were
submitted to a baseline and repeat CT scan 2 years after
enrollment. After approximately 4 years of follow-up 119
incident cardiovascular events were recorded of which 49
occurred after the second CT scan; the median absolute CAC
score increase was 4 units in event-free survivors and 247
units in those who suffered events (P < 0.0001). In multiple
logistic regression analyses, age (p = 0.03), male gender
(p = 0.04), LDL cholesterol (p = 0.01), HDL cholesterol
(p = 0.04), and 2-year change in CAC score (p = 0.0001) were
signifi cantly associated with risk of events.
The studies reviewed above clearly indicate that CAC
progression poses a serious threat for the occurrence of
future events. Nonetheless, whether sequential CAC
screening should be recommended in clinical practice
remains controversial since available therapies are not
effective in slowing calcium accrual.
Conclusion
Despite a basic science construct, there has been no vali-
dation of the clinical utility of sequential CAC imaging to
monitor the effectiveness of lipid lowering therapy. On
the other hand, the benefi t of non-calcium based therapies
for phosphate-binding purposes in end-stage renal disease
has been clearly shown with this technique. A number of
small and preliminary studies have shown that CT can be
of potential use in monitoring the outcome of various
therapies. Nonetheless, there is an urgent need to stan-
dardize the scoring methods and assess the equivalence of
the existing CT equipment [ 23 , 86 ]. Additionally, the
rigid application of a density threshold of 130 HU to
defi ne the presence of tissue calcifi cation in all patients
limits our ability to identify more recent and less densely
calcifi ed plaques and may be incorrectly applied to all the
different CT brands and models available on the market.
Although there is a need for further prospective studies,
the most interesting fi nding that has emerged so far is that
progression of CAC is associated with a greater risk of
adverse events.
Future directions of research may include studying the
effect of novel therapies such as HDL raising drugs, new
LDL lowering therapies (i.e. – PCSK-9 inhibitors), new
treatments for HIV that do not affect lipid metabolism,
etc. If sequential CT imaging were confi rmed to be useful
in assessing the effectiveness of anti-atherosclerotic therapies, it would greatly facilitate the conduction of prevention trials by allowing a reduction in the number of
patients needed to treat. Furthermore, a physician’s effort
to implement preventive measures might be facilitated by
sharing information with his patients about the course of
their disease.
With continued improvements in CT technology and
further reduction in radiation exposure, it is hoped that the
role of sequential CT imaging may become better defi ned
either for follow-up of CAC or non-calcifi ed plaque
changes by CT angiography [ 87 ] .
a
b
Fig. 6.7 ( a ) This 64 year old man at intermediate risk of cardiovascular
events by Framingham categories had a baseline CAC score of 106. ( b )
After 18 months from the fi rst CT his score increased to 296. Within
3 months of the second CT scan he suffered a non-ST elevation
myocardial infarction
6 Natural History and Impact of Interventions on CAC
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