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n2 = 144, Ɇȼ2 = 81,6, sȼ2 =2,7,

Ɍɨɝɞɚ

s1B 2

0,0875, s2B 2

0,0506,t

18,8

50,6,Q | 252

 

 

 

n1

n2

 

0,138

 

Ʉɚɤ ɜɢɞɢɦ, ɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɧɨɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ t ɧɚɦɧɨɝɨ ɩɪɟɜɵɲɚɟɬ ɬɪɟɛɭɟɦɨɟ ɞɥɹ 1%-ɝɨ ɭɪɨɜɧɹ (2,58), ɬ.ɟ. ɫɜɹɡɶ ɟɫɬɶ.

ɍɩɪɚɠɧɟɧɢɟ 91. ɉɨ ɩɪɢɜɟɞɟɧɧɵɦ ɜ ɩɪɢɦɟɪɟ ɞɚɧɧɵɦ ɩɪɨɜɟɪɢɬɶ ɧɚ 1%-ɧɨɦ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɢɣ ɫɪɟɞɧɟɣ ɡɚɪɩɥɚɬɵ ɧɟɜɟɫɬ ɞɥɹ ɞɜɭɯ ɝɪɭɩɩ ɠɟɧɢɯɨɜ: ɫ ɡɚɪɩɥɚɬɨɣ 50100

ɪɭɛ. ɢ 100—150 ɪɭɛ.

Ɉɬɜɟɬ: t = 12,1; v = 290, ɪɚɡɥɢɱɢɟ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨ.

7. Ɂɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɢɣ ɞɢɫɩɟɪɫɢɢ

ɂɡ ɞɜɭɯ ɛɟɫɤɨɧɟɱɧɵɯ ɧɨɪɦɚɥɶɧɨ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɧɵɯ ɝɟɧɟɪɚɥɶɧɵɯ ɫɨɜɨɤɭɩɧɨɫɬɟɣ (ɩɪɟɞɩɨɥɨɠɟɧɢɟ ɨ ɧɨɪɦɚɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɣ ɡɞɟɫɶ ɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨ, ɟɫɥɢ ɢɫɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶ ɫɨɦɧɟɜɚɟɬɫɹ ɜ ɟɝɨ ɜɟɪɧɨɫɬɢ, ɫɥɟɞɭɟɬ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɬɶ ɞɪɭɝɢɟ ɦɟɬɨɞɵ28) ɢɡɜɥɟɱɟɧɵ ɧɟɡɚɜɢɫɢɦɵɟ ɜɵɛɨɪɤɢ ɨɛɴɟɦɚ ɩ1 ɢ n2. Ɍɪɟɛɭɟɬɫɹ ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɢɬɶ, ɪɚɜɧɵ ɥɢ ɞɢɫɩɟɪɫɢɢ ɝɟɧɟɪɚɥɶɧɵɯ ɫɨɜɨɤɭɩɧɨɫɬɟɣ.

1. H0 : V1Ƚ 2 V2Ƚ 2 H1 : V1Ƚ 2 z V2Ƚ 2

[197]

2. Ɉɛɨɡɧɚɱɢɦ ɱɟɪɟɡ V1B 2 ɛɨɥɶɲɭɸ ɢɡ ɜɵɛɨɪɨɱɧɵɯ ɞɢɫɩɟɪɫɢɣ. Ⱦɥɹ ɩɪɨɜɟɪɤɢ ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɵ ɇ0 ɩɪɨɬɢɜ ɇ1 ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɵɜɚɟɬɫɹ ɨɬɧɨɲɟɧɢɟ ɜɵɛɨɪɨɱɧɵɯ ɞɢɫɩɟɪɫɢɣ ɢɥɢ ɨɰɟɧɨɤ (ɞɟɥɨ ɜ ɬɨɦ, ɱɬɨ

V1B 2

s12

 

 

 

s22 ):

V2B 2

 

 

 

s2

 

F

 

1

(V,7,1)

 

s22

 

 

 

 

Jɬɧɨɲɟɧɢɟ ɞɢɫɩɟɪɫɢɣ F ɢɦɟɟɬ ɬɚɤ ɧɚɡɵɜɚɟɦɨɟ F-ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɟ ɫ (n1 — 1) ɢ (n2 — 1) ɫɬɟɩɟɧɹɦɢ ɫɜɨɛɨɞɵ (ɟɫɥɢ ɜɟɪɧɚ ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ ɇ0).

3. Ʉɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɬɨɱɤɢ ɞɥɹ ɡɚɞɚɧɧɨɝɨ ɢɫɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɧɢɹ ɭɪɨɜɧɹ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɢ ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɸɬɫɹ ɬɚɤ: ɜɟɪɯɧɹɹ ɤɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɚɹ ɬɨɱɤɚ FB – ɩɨ ɫɩɟɰɢɚɥɶɧɵɦ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɚɦ (ɫɦ. ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɟ 3, ɬɚɛɥ. Ʌ), ɚ ɧɢɠɧɹɹ Fɇ ɢɡ ɫɨɨɬɧɨɲɟɧɢɹ:

F

1

(V,7,2)

 

FB

Ƚɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ ɩɪɢɧɢɦɚɟɬɫɹ, ɟɫɥɢ ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɚɧɧɨɟ ɩɨ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɟ (V,7,1) ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ F ɥɟɠɢɬ ɦɟɠɞɭ FH ɢ FB, ɬ.ɟ. FH < F<FB . ȿɫɥɢ ɠɟ F < FH ɢɥɢ F > FB , ɬɨ ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ ɨɬɜɟɪɝɚɟɬɫɹ ɧɚ ɡɚɞɚɧɧɨɦ ɢɫɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɟɦ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɢ.

4. Ⱦɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ ɫ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɟɦ ɧɚɣɞɟɧɧɵɯ ɜɵɲɟ ɤɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɯ ɬɨɱɟɤ ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɟɬɫɹ ɩɨ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɟ:

s12

F

V1Ƚ 2

 

s12

F

 

V2Ƚ 2

 

s22

H

 

s22

B

28 Ɂɚɤɫ Ʌ. ɋɬɚɬɢɫɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɟ ɨɰɟɧɢɜɚɧɢɟ. Ɇ., 1976, ɫ. 242, 243. Ƚɥɚɫc Ⱦɠ., ɋɬɷɧɥɢ Ⱦɠ. ɋɬɚɬɢɫɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɦɟɬɨɞɵ ɜ ɩɟɞɚɝɨɝɢɤɟ ɢ ɩɫɢɯɨɥɨɝɢɢ. Ɇ., 1976.

137

ɉɪɢɦɟɪ 81. ɉɭɫɬɶ n1 = 31, s

2 = 16, n2

= 21, s2 = 25. Ɉɬɧɨɲɟɧɢɟ ɛɨɥɶɲɟɣ ɨɰɟɧɤɢ ɤ

 

 

 

1

2

 

ɦɟɧɶɲɟɣ ɪɚɜɧɨ:

25

= 1,56. FB ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ ɩɪɢɛɥɢɡɢɬɟɥɶɧɨ ɪɚɜɧɨ 2,0; FH = 0,5. Ƚɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ ɇ0

16

 

 

V1Ƚ 2

 

 

 

ɩɪɢɧɢɦɚɟɬɫɹ.

1,56 0,5

1,56 2

,ɬ.ɟ.0,78 V1Ƚ 2 V2Ƚ 2 3,12 V1Ƚ 2 -

 

V2Ƚ 2

ɷɬɨ

 

 

 

 

 

 

ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ ɞɥɹ ɛɨɥɶɲɟɣ ɞɢɫɩɟɪɫɢɢ.

ɍɩɪɚɠɧɟɧɢɟ 92.

ɉɭɫɬɶ n1 = 60, s12 = 10, ɩ2, == 140, s22 == 5. Ɉɩɪɟɞɟɥɢɬɶ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɢɣ ɧɚ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ 5- ɢ 95% -ɢ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ ɞɥɹ ɨɬɧɨɲɟɧɢɹ ɝɟɧɟɪɚɥɶɧɵɯ ɞɢɫɩɟɪɫɢɣ. Ɉɬɜɟɬ: F = 2, FB

= 1,43, FH= 0,70, ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ (1,40; 2,86).

[198]

8. Ɂɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɨɜ ɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢ r, U, W ɢ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɨɜ, ɨɫɧɨɜɚɧɧɵɯ ɧɚ

F2

Ⱥ. Ʉɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ r

1. Ɍɪɟɛɭɟɬɫɹ ɩɪɨɜɟɪɢɬɶ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ r, ɬ.ɟ. ɦɨɠɟɬ ɥɢ ɩɪɢ ɞɚɧɧɨɦ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɢ ɜɵɛɨɪɨɱɧɨɝɨ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɚ rȼ ɛɵɬɶ ɪɚɜɧɵɦ ɧɭɥɸ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢ rȽ ɞɥɹ ɝɟɧɟɪɚɥɶɧɨɣ ɫɨɜɨɤɭɩɧɨɫɬɢ.

1.H0: rȽ=0

2.H1: rȽ z 0

2. ɋɬɚɬɢɫɬɢɤɚ t, ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɵɜɚɟɦɚɹ ɩɨ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɟ (V,8,1) ɢɦɟɟɬ t-ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɟ ɫ (ɩ—2) ɫɬɟɩɟɧɹɦɢ ɫɜɨɛɨɞɵ:

t

rB n 2

(V,8,1)

 

1 ( rB )2

3.

Ʉɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɬɨɱɤɢ29 ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɸɬɫɹ ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ ɂ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3 ɞɥɹ ɡɚɞɚɧɧɨɝɨ

ɭɪɨɜɧɹ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɢ q, ɩɪɢ t t tɤɪ ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ ɇ0 : r Ƚ = 0 ɨɬɤɥɨɧɹɟɬɫɹ ɧɚ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɢ q.

4. Ⱦɥɹ ɩɨɫɬɪɨɟɧɢɹ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɯ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥɨɜ ɜɵɛɨɪɨɱɧɨɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ rȼ ɩɨɞɜɟɪɝɚɟɬɫɹ ɬɚɤ ɧɚɡɵɜɚɟɦɨɦɭ ɩɪɟɨɛɪɚɡɨɜɚɧɢɸ Ɏɢɲɟɪɚ:

z 1 ln1 r (V8.2)

21 r

Ⱦɟɥɨ ɜ ɬɨɦ, ɱɬɨ rB ɢɦɟɟɬ ɧɨɪɦɚɥɶɧɨɟ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɟ ɥɢɲɶ ɜ ɫɥɭɱɚɟ, ɤɨɝɞɚ rȽ = 0, ɚ ɜɨɬ zȼ

ɩɪɢ ɥɸɛɵɯ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɹɯ zȽ. ɉɨɷɬɨɦɭ, ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɚɜ zȼ ɩɨ ɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɧɨɦɭ ɜ ɜɵɛɨɪɤɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɸ rB, ɫɬɪɨɢɦ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ ɞɥɹ rȽ (z ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɟɬɫɹ ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ ɧɨɪɦɚɥɶɧɨɝɨ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɹ Ⱥ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3, ɧɚɩɪɢɦɟɪ ɞɥɹ 95% ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɨɝɨ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥɚ z =1,96):

z B z

1

z Ƚ z B z

1

 

n 3

 

n 3

ɉɨɥɭɱɢɜ ɧɢɠɧɟɟ ɢ ɜɟɪɯɧɟɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɹ z, ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɵɜɚɟɦ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɹ rɧɢɠɧ ɂ rɜɟɪɯɧ ɩɨ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɟ

re2z 1

e2z 1 (V.8.3)

ɉɪɟɨɛɪɚɡɨɜɚɧɢɟ (V,8,3) ɦɨɠɧɨ ɬɚɤɠɟ ɨɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɢɬɶ ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥ. Ʉ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3.

29 Ɂɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ r ɦɨɠɧɨ ɨɰɟɧɢɬɶ ɬɚɤɠɟ ɧɟɩɨɫɪɟɞɫɬɜɟɧɧɨ ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ ȿ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3 (ɛɟɡ ɩɪɨɜɟɞɟɧɢɹ ɤɚɤɢɯ-ɥɢɛɨ ɪɚɫɱɟɬɨɜ).

138

[199]

5. Ɋɚɫɫɦɨɬɪɢɦ ɫɥɟɞɭɸɳɢɣ ɩɪɢɦɟɪ 32. ȼ ɢɫɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɧɢɢ ɢɧɠɟɧɟɪɨɜ ɥɟɧɢɧɝɪɚɞɫɤɢɯ ɩɪɨɟɤɬɧɨɤɨɧɫɬɪɭɤɬɨɪɫɤɢɯ ɨɪɝɚɧɢɡɚɰɢɣ ɛɵɥɢ ɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɵ ɞɚɧɧɵɟ, ɯɚɪɚɤɬɟɪɢɡɭɸɳɢɟ ɫɜɹɡɶ ɭɞɨɜɥɟɬɜɨɪɟɧɧɨɫɬɟɣ ɩɪɨɮɟɫɫɢɟɣ ɢ ɪɚɛɨɬɨɣ30. Ʉɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢ, ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɚɧɧɵɣ ɩɨ ɨɰɟɧɤɚɦ 89 ɪɭɤɨɜɨɞɢɬɟɥɟɣ ɝɪɭɩɩ, ɦɟɠɞɭ ɭɞɨɜɥɟɬɜɨɪɟɧɧɨɫɬɶɸ ɪɚɛɨɬɨɣ ɢ ɭɞɨɜɥɟɬɜɨɪɟɧɧɨɫɬɶɸ ɩɪɨɮɟɫɫɢɟɣ ɪɚɜɟɧ 0,23. ɉɪɨɜɟɪɢɦ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɚ ɧɚ 1%-ɧɨɦ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ ɢ ɩɨɫɬɪɨɢɦ ɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɭɸɳɢɣ (ɬ.ɟ. 99%-ɣ) ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ.

ɂɬɚɤ, ɩ = 89, rB = 0,23. ɉɨ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɟ (V,8,1) ɩɨɥɭɱɚɟɦ:

t

0,23 89 2 | 2,2

 

1 (0,23)2

ɉɨ ɬɚɛɥ. ɂ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3 ɧɚɯɨɞɢɦ, ɱɬɨ ɞɥɹ ɩ — 2 = 87 ɫɬɟɩɟɧɟɣ ɫɜɨɛɨɞɵ 1%-ɹ ɤɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɚɹ ɬɨɱɤɚ ɪɚɜɧɚ ɩɪɢɛɥɢɡɢɬɟɥɶɧɨ 2,64 (ɜ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ ɧɟ ɩɪɢɜɟɞɟɧɵ ɤɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɹ ɞɥɹ 87 ɫɬɟɩɟɧɟɣ ɫɜɨɛɨɞɵ, ɧɨ ɩɪɢɜɟɞɟɧɵ ɞɥɹ 60, ɪɚɜɧɵɟ 2,66 ɢ ɞɥɹ 120 ɫɬɟɩɟɧɟɣ ɫɜɨɛɨɞɵ — 2,62, ɬ.ɟ. ɢɫɤɨɦɨɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ ɤɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɣ ɬɨɱɤɢ ɥɟɠɢɬ ɩɪɢɛɥɢɡɢɬɟɥɶɧɨ ɩɨɫɪɟɞɢɧɟ ɦɟɠɞɭ 2,62 ɢ 2,66). Ɍɚɤɢɦ ɨɛɪɚɡɨɦ, ɯɨɬɹ ɜ ɰɢɬɢɪɨɜɚɧɧɨɣ ɤɧɢɝɟ, ɨɬɤɭɞɚ ɜɡɹɬ ɷɬɨɬ ɩɪɢɦɟɪ, ɭɤɚɡɚɧɨ, ɱɬɨ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɡɧɚɱɢɦ ɧɚ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ 1%, ɨɧ ɡɧɚɱɢɦ ɥɢɲɶ ɧɚ 5%-ɧɨɦ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ (ɤɚɤ ɜɢɞɧɨ ɢɡ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɵ, ɤɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ ɞɥɹ ɭɪɨɜɧɹ 5% tɤɪ =1,99). Ɍɚɤɨɣ ɠɟ ɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬ ɞɚɟɬ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɢɟ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɵ ȿ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3.

ɉɨɫɬɪɨɢɦ ɬɟɩɟɪɶ 99%-ɢ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ. ɉɨ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɟ (V,8,2) ɩɨɥɭɱɚɟɦ: zB 1 ln1 0,23 | 0,234

21 0,23

ɉɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ ɧɨɪɦɚɥɶɧɨɝɨ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɹ ɧɚɯɨɞɢɦ, ɱɬɨ ɞɥɹ 1%-ɝɨ ɭɪɨɜɧɹ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɢ

z=2,58. Ɍɨɝɞɚ ɧɢɠɧɹɹ ɝɪɚɧɢɰɚ ɞɥɹ zȽ ɪɚɜɧɚ 0,234 2,58

1

0,04

 

89 3

ȼɟɪɯɧɹɹ ɝɪɚɧɢɰɚ

 

 

 

 

ɪɚɜɧɚ 0,234 2,58

1

 

 

 

0,513.

 

 

 

 

89 3

 

 

 

Ɍɚɤɢɦ ɨɛɪɚɡɨɦ, —0,045 < zȽ < 0,513. ɇɨ ɷɬɨ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɟ ɝɪɚɧɢɰɵ ɞɥɹ z. Ɍɟɩɟɪɶ ɧɟɨɛɯɨɞɢɦɨ ɨɩɹɬɶ ɜɟɪɧɭɬɶɫɹ ɤ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɚɦ ɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢ. ɉɨ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɟ (V,8,3) ɩɨɥɭɱɚɟɦ ɞɥɹ

[200]

ɧɢɠɧɟɣ ɝɪɚɧɢɰɵ:

e 2 0,045 1

e 2 0,045 1

0,04

Ⱦɥɹ ɜɟɪɯɧɟɣ ɝɪɚɧɢɰɵ ɚɧɚɥɨɝɢɱɧɵɟ ɪɚɫɱɟɬɵ ɞɚɸɬ 0,47.

ȼɦɟɫɬɨ ɩɪɟɨɛɪɚɡɨɜɚɧɢɣ ɩɨ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɚɦ (V,8,2) ɢ (V,8,3) ɩɪɢɛɥɢɡɢɬɟɥɶɧɨ ɬɨɬ ɠɟ ɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬ ɦɨɠɧɨ ɩɨɥɭɱɢɬɶ ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ Ʉ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3. ɇɚɩɪɢɦɟɪ, ɞɥɹ ɩɪɟɨɛɪɚɡɨɜɚɧɢɹ 0,23 ɧɚɯɨɞɢɦ ɫɬɪɨɤɭ 0,2 ɢ ɫɬɨɥɛɟɰ 3 — ɧɚ ɢɯ ɩɟɪɟɫɟɱɟɧɢɢ ɫɬɨɢɬ z, ɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɭɸɳɢɣ r = 0,23, ɚ ɢɦɟɧɧɨ 0,2342. Ⱥ ɱɬɨɛɵ ɩɪɟɨɛɪɚɡɨɜɚɬɶ z = 0,513, ɧɚɯɨɞɢɦ ɜɧɭɬɪɢ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɵ ɧɚɢɛɨɥɟɟ ɛɥɢɡɤɨɟ ɤ ɧɟɦɭ ɱɢɫɥɨ (ɷɬɨ 0,5101). Ɉɧɨ ɫɬɨɢɬ ɜ ɫɬɪɨɤɟ 0,4 ɢ ɫɬɨɥɛɰɟ 7, ɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨ, r = 0,47. ɂɬɚɤ, 99% ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ ɪɚɜɟɧ:

— 0,04 < rȽ < 0,47,

ɉɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ ɀ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3 ɦɨɠɧɨ ɧɚɣɬɢ, ɧɟ ɩɪɨɜɨɞɹ ɪɚɫɱɟɬɨɜ, ɩɪɢɛɥɢɠɟɧɧɨ 95%-ɣ

ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ: 0,03 < rȽ < 0,42.

30 ɋɨɰɢɚɥɶɧɨ-ɩɫɢɯɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ ɩɨɪɬɪɟɬ ɢɧɠɟɧɟɪɚ. Ɇ., 1977, ɬɚɛɥ. 11 ɧɚ ɫ. 149.

139

6. ɍɩɪɚɠɧɟɧɢɟ 93. ȼ ɬɨɣ ɠɟ ɪɚɛɨɬɟ31 ɭɤɚɡɵɜɚɟɬɫɹ, ɱɬɨ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢ, ɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɧɵɣ ɞɥɹ 52 ɝɥɚɜɧɵɯ ɢɧɠɟɧɟɪɨɜ ɩɪɨɟɤɬɚ ɢ ɪɚɜɧɵɣ 0,51, ɡɧɚɱɢɦ ɧɚ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ 1%. ɉɪɨɜɟɪɢɬɶ, ɬɚɤ ɥɢ ɷɬɨ, ɢ ɩɨɫɬɪɨɢɬɶ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ. Ɉɬɜɟɬ: ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɡɧɚɱɢɦ (t = 4,19); 0,19 < rȽ < 0,73.

Ȼ. Ʉɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɪɚɧɝɨɜɨɣ ɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢ U

1.H0: UȽ=0

2.H1: UȽ z 0

2. ȿɫɥɢ ɇ0 ɜɟɪɧɚ ɢ ɩ > 10 (ɩɪɢ ɩ d10 ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ U ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɟɬɫɹ ɞɪɭɝɢɦ ɫɩɨɫɨɛɨɦ ɩɨ ɫɩɟɰɢɚɥɶɧɨɣ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ32, ɬɨ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ t, ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɚɧɧɨɟ ɩɨ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɟ (V,8,4), ɢɦɟɟɬ t — ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɟ ɋɬɶɸɞɟɧɬɚ ɫ (ɩ — 2) ɫɬɟɩɟɧɹɦɢ ɫɜɨɛɨɞɵ:

UB

 

(V,8,4)

t

 

>1 (UB )2 @

1

 

n 2

 

3. Ʉɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɬɨɱɤɢ ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɸɬɫɹ ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥ. ɂ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3. Ɂɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ U ɦɨɠɧɨ

ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɢɬɶ ɬɚɤɠɟ ɧɟɩɨɫɪɟɞɫɬ-

[201]

 

 

ɜɟɧɧɨ ɩɨ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɸ U (ɛɟɡ ɪɚɫɱɟɬɚ t) ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ ȼ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3.

4. Ⱦɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɟ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥɵ ɞɥɹ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɚ U ɧɟ ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɵɜɚɸɬɫɹ, ɬɚɤ ɤɚɤ,

ɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɟɬɫɹ, ɩɨɥɭɱɢɬɶ ɜɵɛɨɪɨɱɧɨɟ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɟ ɞɥɹ UB ɜ ɫɥɭɱɚɟ, ɤɨɝɞɚ UȽ z 0, ɨɱɟɧɶ ɫɥɨɠɧɨ33.

ɉɪɢɦɟɪ 33. ȼ ɩɪɢɦɟɪɟ 19 ɛɵɥ ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɚɧ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɫɜɹɡɢ ɦɟɠɞɭ ɩɨɥɨɠɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɦɢ ɨɬɜɟɬɚɦɢ ɧɚ ɜɨɩɪɨɫɵ «ɢɧɬɟɪɟɫɧɚɹ ɪɚɛɨɬɚ» ɢ «ɨɛɪɚɡɨɜɚɧɢɟ ɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɭɟɬ ɪɚɛɨɬɟ» ɞɥɹ 14 ɝɪɭɩɩ ɪɚɛɨɱɢɯ. Ɉɤɚɡɚɥɨɫɶ, ɱɬɨ UB=0,345. Ɉɩɪɟɞɟɥɢɦ ɧɚ 5%-ɧɨɦ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ ɷɬɨɝɨ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɚ.

 

0,345

t

| 1.27

>1 0,345 2 @ 1 12

ɉɨɫɤɨɥɶɤɭ ɷɬɨ ɦɟɧɶɲɟ ɤɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɝɨ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɹ 2,23 (ɞɥɹ 10 ɫɬɟɩɟɧɟɣ ɫɜɨɛɨɞɵ, ɬɚɤ ɤɚɤ ɜ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ ɧɟ ɩɪɢɜɟɞɟɧɵ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɹ ɞɥɹ 12), ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɧɟɡɧɚɱɢɦ, ɯɨɬɹ ɜ ɰɢɬɢɪɨɜɚɧɧɨɣ ɪɚɛɨɬɟ ɨɧ ɢɧɬɟɪɩɪɟɬɢɪɭɟɬɫɹ ɤɚɤ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɵɣ.

ɍɩɪɚɠɧɟɧɢɟ 94. Ɉɩɪɟɞɟɥɢɬɶ, ɛɭɞɟɬ ɥɢ ɡɧɚɱɢɦ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ, ɟɫɥɢ ɨɧ ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɚɧ ɞɥɹ 42 ɝɪɭɩɩ. Ɉɬɜɟɬ: Ⱦɚ (t = 2,32).

ȼ. Ʉɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɪɚɧɝɨɜɨɣ ɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢ W

ȼɨɩɪɨɫ ɨ ɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɫɬɢ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɚ ɬ ɦɵ ɪɚɫɫɦɚɬɪɢɜɚɥɢ ɪɚɧɟɟ (§ 6, ɝɥ. II), ɬɚɦ ɠɟ ɩɨɤɚɡɚɧɨ, ɤɚɤɢɦ ɨɛɪɚɡɨɦ ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɬɶ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ W ɩɪɢ ɩ d 10 (ɩɨɫɤɨɥɶɤɭ ɞɥɹ ɩɪɨɜɟɪɤɢ ɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɫɬɢ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɭɟɬɫɹ S, ɦɵ ɫɨɱɥɢ ɰɟɥɟɫɨɨɛɪɚɡɧɵɦ ɪɚɫɫɦɨɬɪɟɬɶ ɷɬɨɬ ɜɨɩɪɨɫ ɫɪɚɡɭ ɩɨɫɥɟ ɜɜɟɞɟɧɢɹ S). ɉɭɫɬɶ ɩ > 10.

1.H0: WȽ=0

2.H1: WȽ z 0

2. ȿɫɥɢ ɇ0 ɜɟɪɧɚ, ɜɟɥɢɱɢɧɚ z ɢɦɟɟɬ ɧɨɪɦɚɥɶɧɨɟ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɟ:

31ɋɨɰɢɚɥɶɧɨ-ɩɫɢɯɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ ɩɨɪɬɪɟɬ ɢɧɠɟɧɟɪɚ. Ɇ., 1977, ɫ. 149.

32Ʉɟɧɞɷɥ Ɇ. Ɋɚɧɝɨɜɵɟ ɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢ. Ɇ., 1975, ɫ. 69, 188—191.

33Ʉɟɧɞɷɥ Ɇ. Ɋɚɧɝɨɜɵɟ ɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢ. Ɇ., 1975, ɫ. 102. ɋɦ. ɬɚɤɠɟ Ʉɟɧɞɚɥɥ Ɇ. Ⱦɠ., ɋɬɶɸɚɪɬ Ⱥ. ɋɬɚɬɢɫɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɜɵɜɨɞɵ ɢ ɫɜɹɡɢ. Ɇ., 1973, ɫ. 637—644.

140

S* S 1, ɟɫɥɢ S>0

zS * , ɝɞɟ S*=0, ɟɫɥɢ S=0; (VI,8,5)

V

S* S 1, ɟɫɥɢ S<0

V1 n(n 1)(2n 5),

18

[202]

ɟɫɥɢ ɧɟɬ ɨɛɴɟɞɢɧɟɧɧɵɯ ɪɚɧɨɝɨɜ ɢ

V 2

1

«ªn n 1 2n 5 ¦tr tr 1 2tr 5 ¦us us

1 2us

5 ȼ

 

18

¬

r

s

 

¼

 

 

1

«ª¦tr (tr 1)(tr

9n(n 1)(n 2)

 

¬ r

 

 

ª

 

 

º

 

1

«¦us

(us 1)(us

2)»

 

 

2n(n 1)

¬ s

 

¼

 

º

2)»

¼

ª

 

º

ª

 

º

«¦tr

(tr

1)»

«¦us

(us

1)»

¬ r

 

¼

¬ s

 

¼

ɟɫɥɢ ɟɫɬɶ ɨɛɴɟɞɢɧɟɧɧɵɟ ɪɚɧɝɢ; V, ɪɚɡɭɦɟɟɬɫɹ, ɪɚɜɧɚ ɤɨɪɧɸ ɤɜɚɞɪɚɬɧɨɦɭ ɢɡ ɩɪɢɜɟɞɟɧɧɨɝɨ ɜɵɪɚɠɟɧɢɹ; tr ɢ ɢs — ɱɢɫɥɨ ɨɛɴɟɞɢɧɟɧɧɵɯ ɪɚɧɝɨɜ ɜ r-ɦ ɨɛɴɟɞɢɧɟɧɢɢ ɩɨ ɏ ɢ s-ɦ ɨɛɴɟɞɢɧɟɧɢɢ ɩɨ Y ɫɨɨɬɜɟɬɫɬɜɟɧɧɨ.

3.Ʉɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɬɨɱɤɢ ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɸɬɫɹ ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ ɧɨɪɦɚɥɶɧɨɝɨ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɹ, ɇ0 ɨɬɜɟɪɝɚɟɬɫɹ ɩɪɢ | z| > zɤɪ. ɉɪɢ ɨɬɫɭɬɫɬɜɢɢ ɨɛɴɟɞɢɧɟɧɧɵɯ ɪɚɧɝɨɜ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ W ɦɨɠɧɨ ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɢɬɶ ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ Ⱦ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3 (ɛɟɡ ɪɚɫɱɟɬɚ ɝ).

4.Ⱦɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɟ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥɵ ɞɥɹ W ɧɟ ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɸɬɫɹ ɢɡ ɬɟɯ ɠɟ ɫɨɨɛɪɚɠɟɧɢɣ, ɱɬɨ ɢ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɟ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥɵ ɞɥɹ U.

5.ɉɪɢɦɟɪ 34. ɉɭɫɬɶ ɩ = 20, S = 52 (W = 0,27). Ɉɩɪɟɞɟɥɢɦ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ W ɧɚ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ 5%. Ɍɚɤ ɤɚɤ S ɩɨɥɨɠɢɬɟɥɶɧɨ, S* ɪɚɜɧɨ 51.

z

51

|1,65

 

1

 

 

 

20 19 45

 

 

18

 

 

 

 

Ɍɚɤ ɤɚɤ ɞɥɹ 5%-ɧɨɝɨ ɭɪɨɜɧɹ ɤɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɨɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ ɪɚɜɧɨ 1,96 (ɬɚɛɥ Ⱥ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3), ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ ɇ0 ɩɪɢɧɢɦɚɟɬɫɹ, ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɧɟɡɧɚɱɢɦ.

ɍɩɪɚɠɧɟɧɢɟ 95. S = 33 (W = 0,36), ɩ = 14. ɇɚɣɬɢ, ɡɧɚɱɢɦ ɥɢ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɧɚ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ 5%. Ɉɬɜɟɬ: ɧɟɡɧɚɱɢɦ, z=1,75.

Ƚ. Ʉɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɵ, ɨɫɧɨɜɚɧɧɵɟ ɧɚ F2

Ʉɚɤ ɭɠɟ ɭɤɚɡɵɜɚɥɨɫɶ, ɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨɫɬɶ ɢɯ ɩɪɨɜɟɪɹɟɬɫɹ ɫ ɩɨɦɨɳɶɸ F2. ɟɫɥɢ ɡɧɚɱɢɦ F2, ɬɨ ɡɧɚɱɢɦ ɢ ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɚɧɧɵɣ ɫ ɟɝɨ ɩɨɦɨɳɶɸ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ. ɉɨɷɬɨɦɭ ɩɪɢ ɪɚɫɱɟɬɚɯ, ɤɨɬɨɪɵɟ ɞɥɹ ɬɚɛɥɢɰ k ul , ɤɚɤ ɩɪɚɜɢɥɨ, ɩɪɨɢɡɜɨɞɹɬɫɹ ɧɚ ɗȼɆ, ɠɟɥɚɬɟɥɶɧɨ ɜɵɩɟɱɚɬɵɜɚɬɶ ɧɟ ɬɨɥɶɤɨ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɚ,

[203]

ɧɨ ɢ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ F2. ȿɫɥɢ ɷɬɨ ɧɟ ɫɞɟɥɚɧɨ, ɬɨ F2 ɦɨɠɧɨ, ɪɚɡɭɦɟɟɬɫɹ, ɥɟɝɤɨ ɧɚɣɬɢ, ɩɪɟɨɛɪɚɡɨɜɚɜ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɵ ɞɥɹ ɪɚɫɱɟɬɚ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɨɜ. ɇɚɩɪɢɦɟɪ, ɩɪɟɨɛɪɚɡɨɜɚɜ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɭ ɞɥɹ ɪɚɫɱɟɬɚ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɚ ɑɭɩɪɨɜɚ Ɍ, ɩɨɥɭɱɢɦ:

F2 T 2 n( k 1)( l 1)

141

 

1. ɇɭɥɟɜɚɹ ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ ɇ0 ɫɨɫɬɨɢɬ ɜ ɬɨɦ, ɱɬɨ N ij

N( xi )N( y j

)

1

ɞɥɹ ɜɫɟɯ i ɢ j. Ƚɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ

 

N

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ɇ1

ɡɚɤɥɸɱɚɟɬɫɹ ɜ ɬɨɦ, ɱɬɨ ɧɚɣɞɟɬɫɹ ɯɨɬɹ ɛɵ ɨɞɧɚ ɩɚɪɚ i ɢ j ɬɚɤɚɹ, ɱɬɨ N ij

z N( xi )N( y j

)

1

.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

N

Ʉɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɚɹ ɬɨɱɤɚ ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɟɬɫɹ

ɞɥɹ ɡɚɞɚɧɧɨɝɨ ɢɫɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɟɦ ɭɪɨɜɧɹ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɢ q ɢ ɞɥɹ

(k—1) (l—1) ɫɬɟɩɟɧɟɣ ɫɜɨɛɨɞɵ ɩɨ

ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ Ȼ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3.

Ⱦɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɟ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥɵ

ɞɥɹ F2 ɧɟ ɜɵɱɢɫɥɹɸɬɫɹ. ɉɪɢɦɟɪ 35. Ɂɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ F2,

ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɚɧɧɨɟ ɞɥɹ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɵ 21 (ɝɥ. II, §2), ɪɚɜɧɨ 92,2. ɉɨɫɤɨɥɶɤɭ (k—1) (l—1)=10, F02 ɞɥɹ 1%- ɝɨ ɭɪɨɜɧɹ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɢ ɪɚɜɧɨ 23,21. ɋɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨ, F2 ɢ ɜɫɟ ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɚɧɧɵɟ ɧɚ ɟɝɨ ɨɫɧɨɜɟ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɵ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɵ.

ɍɩɪɚɠɧɟɧɢɟ 96. Ⱦɥɹ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɵ 5u8 ɛɵɥɨ ɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɨ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ, ɪɚɜɧɨɟ 45,4. Ɂɧɚɱɢɦɨ ɥɢ ɷɬɨ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ ɧɚ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ 5%? Ɉɬɜɟɬ: ɞɚ.

9. Ɂɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɢɣ r1 ɢ r2

ɂɡ ɞɜɭɯ ɛɟɫɤɨɧɟɱɧɵɯ ɝɟɧɟɪɚɥɶɧɵɯ ɫɨɜɨɤɭɩɧɨɫɬɟɣ ɢɡɜɥɟɱɟɧɵ ɜɵɛɨɪɤɢ ɨɛɴɟɦɚ ɩ1 ɢ ɩ2 ɢ

ɞɥɹ ɧɟɤɨɬɨɪɵɯ ɩɪɢɡɧɚɤɨɜ ɏ ɢ Y ɜ ɤɚɠɞɨɣ ɢɡ ɜɵɛɨɪɨɤ ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɚɧɵ ɜɵɛɨɪɨɱɧɵɟ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɵ ɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢ r1B ɢ r2B.

1.H 0 : r1Ƚ = r2Ƚ

2.H 1 : r1Ƚ z r2Ƚ

2.Ⱦɥɹ ɩɪɨɜɟɪɤɢ ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɵ ɇ0 ɩɪɢɦɟɧɹɟɬɫɹ z-ɩɪɟɨɛɪɚɡɨɜɚɧɢɟ Ɏɢɲɟɪɚ — ɫɦ. ɮɨɪɦɭɥɭ

(V,8,2). ȼɵɱɢɫɥɹɟɦ r:

 

z

ȼ

z

ȼ

 

 

z

1

 

 

2

 

(V,9,1)

 

 

 

 

 

1

 

 

 

 

1

 

 

n1 3

n2

3

 

 

 

 

Ɇɨɠɧɨ ɞɨɤɚɡɚɬɶ, ɱɬɨ z ɢɦɟɟɬ ɧɨɪɦɚɥɶɧɨɟ ɪɚɫɩɪɟɞɟɥɟɧɢɟ ɫ ɧɭɥɟɜɵɦ ɫɪɟɞɧɢɦ ɢ ɟɞɢɧɢɱɧɨɣ ɞɢɫɩɟɪɫɢɟɣ, ɟɫɥɢ ɜɟɪɧɚ ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ ɇ0.

[204]

3.Ʉɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɬɨɱɤɢ ɩɨ ɡɚɞɚɧɧɨɦɭ ɭɪɨɜɧɸ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɢ q ɨɩɪɟɞɟɥɹɸɬɫɹ ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ Ⱥ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3.

4.ɇɚɣɞɟɧɧɵɟ ɜ ɩ. 3 ɤɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɬɨɱɤɢ ɦɨɝɭɬ ɛɵɬɶ ɢɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɧɵ ɞɥɹ ɩɨɫɬɪɨɟɧɢɹ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɯ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥɨɜ ɫ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɨɣ ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɶɸ 1 — q:

z1B z2B z

1 1 z1Ƚ z2Ƚ z1B z2B z

1 1

 

n1 3 n2 3

n1 3 n2 3

ɉɨɫɥɟ ɬɨɝɨ, ɤɚɤ ɧɚɣɞɟɧɵ ɤɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɬɨɱɤɢ ɞɥɹ z, ɨɧɢ ɩɪɟɨɛɪɚɡɭɸɬɫɹ ɜ ɤɪɢɬɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɬɨɱɤɢ ɞɥɹ r ɩɨ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɟ (V,8,3) ɢɥɢ ɫ ɩɨɦɨɳɶɸ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɵ Ʉ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3.

5. ɉɪɢɦɟɪ 36. ȼ ɢɫɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɧɢɢ ɜɥɢɹɧɢɹ ɩɪɟɫɬɢɠɚ ɩɪɨɮɟɫɫɢɣ ɫɪɟɞɢ ɲɤɨɥɶɧɢɤɨɜ ɧɚ ɩɪɢɜɥɟɤɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɶ ɩɪɨɮɟɫɫɢɢ34 ɛɵɥɚ ɜɵɞɜɢɧɭɬɚ ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ, ɱɬɨ ɩɪɟɫɬɢɠ ɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɟɬ ɛɨɥɶɲɟɟ ɜɥɢɹɧɢɟ ɧɚ ɩɪɢɜɥɟɤɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɶ ɩɪɨɮɟɫɫɢɢ ɞɥɹ ɲɤɨɥɶɧɢɤɨɜ ɢɡ ɫɟɦɟɣ ɢɧɬɟɥɥɢɝɟɧɰɢɢ, ɱɟɦ ɞɥɹ ɲɤɨɥɶɧɢɤɨɜ ɢɡ ɫɟɦɟɣ ɪɚɛɨɱɢɯ. Ⱦɥɹ ɩɪɨɜɟɪɤɢ ɷɬɨɝɨ ɩɪɟɞɩɨɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ ɛɵɥɨ ɩɪɨɜɟɞɟɧɨ ɪɟɩɪɟɡɟɧɬɚɬɢɜɧɨɟ ɞɥɹ ɝ. Ʉɢɟɜɚ ɢɫɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɧɢɟ ɲɤɨɥɶɧɢɤɨɜ 10-ɯ ɤɥɚɫɫɨɜ, ɜ ɯɨɞɟ ɤɨɬɨɪɨɝɨ ɞɥɹ 43 ɩɪɨɮɟɫɫɢɣ ɛɵɥɢ ɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɵ ɨɰɟɧɤɢ ɩɪɟɫɬɢɠɚ ɢ ɩɪɢɜɥɟɤɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɢɯ ɞɥɹ ɲɤɨɥɶɧɢɤɨɜ. ɋɜɹɡɶ ɩɪɟɫɬɢɠɚ ɢ ɩɪɢɜɥɟɤɚɬɟɥɶɧɨɫɬɢ ɯɚɪɚɤɬɟɪɢɡɨɜɚɥɚɫɶ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɨɦ ɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢ ɷɬɢɯ

34 ɑɟɪɧɨɜɨɥɟɧɤɨ ȼ. Ɏ., Ɉɫɫɨɜɫɤɢɣ ȼ. Ʌ., ɉɚɧɢɨɬɬɨ ȼ. ɂ. ɉɪɟɫɬɢɠ ɩɪɨɮɟɫɫɢɣ ɢ ɩɪɨɛɥɟɦɵ ɫɨɰɢɚɥɶɧɨ-

ɩɪɨɮɟɫɫɢɨɧɚɥɶɧɨɣ ɨɪɢɟɧɬɚɰɢɢ ɦɨɥɨɞɟɠɢ. Ʉɢɟɜ, 1979, ɫ. 146, 147.

142

ɨɰɟɧɨɤ. Ɉɤɚɡɚɥɨɫɶ, ɱɬɨ ɷɬɨɬ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɞɥɹ ɲɤɨɥɶɧɢɤɨɜ ɢɡ ɫɟɦɟɣ ɢɧɬɟɥɥɢɝɟɧɬɨɜ ɪɚɜɟɧ 0,94, ɚ ɢɡ ɫɟɦɟɣ ɪɚɛɨɱɢɯ 0,82. Ⱦɚɸɬ ɥɢ ɷɬɢ ɞɚɧɧɵɟ ɨɫɧɨɜɚɧɢɟ ɡɚɤɥɸɱɢɬɶ, ɱɬɨ ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ ɩɨɞɬɜɟɪɞɢɥɚɫɶ? ɉɪɨɜɟɪɢɦ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɶ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɢɣ: ɩ1=n2=43, rB1 = 0,94, rB2 = 0,82. ɑɬɨɛɵ ɜɨɫɩɨɥɶɡɨɜɚɬɶɫɹ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɨɣ (V,9,1), ɩɪɨɜɨɞɢɦ ɫɧɚɱɚɥɚ z-ɩɪɟɨɛɪɚɡɨɜɚɧɢɟ Ɏɢɲɟɪɚ ɩɨ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɟ (V,8,2) ɢɥɢ ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ Ʉ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3: z1 = 1,738, z2 == 1,157. Ɍɨɝɞɚ ɩɨɥɭɱɢɦ:

z

1,738 1,157 | 2,60.

 

1

 

1

 

 

43 3

43 3

 

 

 

 

ɉɨɫɤɨɥɶɤɭ ɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɧɨɟ ɡɧɚɱɟɧɢɟ ɜɵɲɟ, ɱɟɦ 2,58, ɦɨɠɧɨ ɭɬɜɟɪɠɞɚɬɶ, ɱɬɨ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɢɹ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɵ ɧɚɭɪɨɜɧɟ 1%, ɢ ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡɚ

[205]

ɢɫɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɟɣ, ɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɬɟɥɶɧɨ, ɩɨɥɭɱɢɥɚ ɷɦɩɢɪɢɱɟɫɤɨɟ ɩɨɞɬɜɟɪɠɞɟɧɢɟ.

Ⱦɥɹ ɷɬɨɝɨ ɠɟ ɭɪɨɜɧɹ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɢ (ɬ.ɟ. ɞɥɹ 99% ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɨɣ ɜɟɪɨɹɬɧɨɫɬɢ) ɧɚɣɞɟɦ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ:

1,738 1,157 2,58

2 z

Ƚ z

Ƚ 1,738

1,157 2,58 2

 

40

1

2

40

 

 

 

 

ɢɥɢ 0,004 < z1Ƚ z2Ƚ < 1,158

ɉɟɪɟɜɨɞɹ z ɜ r ɩɨ ɮɨɪɦɭɥɟ (V,8,3) ɢɥɢ ɩɨ ɬɚɛɥɢɰɟ Ʉ ɉɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ 3, ɩɨɥɭɱɚɟɦ:

0,004< z1Ƚ z2Ƚ <0,820

6. ɍɩɪɚɠɧɟɧɢɟ 97. ȼ ɩɪɢɦɟɪɟ ɢ ɭɩɪɚɠɧɟɧɢɢ § 8 Ⱥ ɩɪɢɜɟɞɟɧɵ ɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɵ ɢɫɫɥɟɞɨɜɚɧɢɹ35, ɩɨɤɚɡɚɜɲɟɝɨ, ɱɬɨ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ ɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢ ɦɟɠɞɭ ɭɞɨɜɥɟɬɜɨɪɟɧɧɨɫɬɹɦɢ ɪɚɛɨɬɨɣ ɢ ɩɪɨɮɟɫɫɢɟɣ 89 ɪɭɤɨɜɨɞɢɬɟɥɟɣ ɝɪɭɩɩ ɪɚɜɟɧ 0,23, ɚ ɷɬɨɬ ɠɟ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬ, ɪɚɫɫɱɢɬɚɧɧɵɣ ɩɨ ɨɰɟɧɤɚɦ 52 ɝɥɚɜɧɵɯ ɢɧɠɟɧɟɪɨɜ ɩɪɨɟɤɬɚ, ɪɚɜɟɧ 0,51. Ⱦɨɫɬɚɬɨɱɧɵ ɥɢ ɷɬɢ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɢɹ, ɱɬɨɛɵ ɭɬɜɟɪɠɞɚɬɶ, ɱɬɨ ɛɨɥɟɟ ɜɵɫɨɤɨɟ ɞɨɥɠɧɨɫɬɧɨɟ ɩɨɥɨɠɟɧɢɟ ɩɨɡɜɨɥɹɟɬ ɩɨɥɧɟɟ ɪɟɚɥɢɡɨɜɚɬɶ ɩɪɨɮɟɫɫɢɨɧɚɥɶɧɵɟ ɨɠɢɞɚɧɢɹ, ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨ ɥɢ ɪɚɡɥɢɱɢɟ ɩɨɥɭɱɟɧɧɵɯ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɨɜ ɤɨɪɪɟɥɹɰɢɢ? ɉɪɨɜɟɪɢɬɶ ɧɚ 5%-ɦ ɭɪɨɜɧɟ ɡɧɚɱɢɦɨɫɬɢ ɢ ɩɨɫɬɪɨɢɬɶ ɞɥɹ ɪɚɡɧɨɫɬɢ ɤɨɷɮɮɢɰɢɟɧɬɨɜ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ.

Ɉɬɜɟɬ: ɪɚɡɥɢɱɢɟ ɧɟɡɧɚɱɢɦɨ (z = 1,83), -0,022<

r Ƚ

r Ƚ

<0,592. Ɉɬɦɟɬɢɦ ɫɜɹɡɶ ɝɢɩɨɬɟɡ

 

1

2

 

ɫ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɦɢ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥɚɦɢ: ɟɫɥɢ ɇ0 ɩɪɢɧɢɦɚɟɬɫɹ, ɬɨ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ ɫɨɞɟɪɠɢɬ 0; ɟɫɥɢ ɇ0 ɨɬɜɟɪɝɚɟɬɫɹ — ɬɨ ɧɟ ɫɨɞɟɪɠɢɬ. Ʉɚɤ ɜɢɞɢɦ, ɜ ɞɚɧɧɨɦ ɫɥɭɱɚɟ ɞɨɜɟɪɢɬɟɥɶɧɵɣ ɢɧɬɟɪɜɚɥ ɫɨɞɟɪɠɢɬ 0.

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35 ɋɨɰɢɚɥɶɧɨ-ɩɫɢɯɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɣ ɩɨɪɬɪɟɬ ɢɧɠɟɧɟɪɚ. Ɇ., 1977, ɬɚɛɥ. 11, ɫ. 149

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