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  1. Evaluating policy effects

A policy aims to resolve a social problem that has been defined as politically relevant to the public arena. Once it has been programmed and implemented, a policy is or should be subject to systematic evaluation. During the final stage of the policy life cycle, the effects generated by the state measures should be focused on, which brings out evaluative statements on policy effects, the sixth policy products in the analysis model proposed in Public Policy Analysis.

As far as the information accessible to the author is concerned, the public administrative actors, like the Ministry of Environmental Protection and General Administration Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine of the People's Republic of China, issued their own evaluative statement, such as The General Report of China’s Environment of 2012 (solid waste part) issued by The Ministry of Environmental Protection;109 The Annual Report of Inspection and Quarantine of the Imported Solid Waste Used As Raw Materials(2009-2012) issued by AQSIQ.110 In such kinds of official evaluative statements, the contents are concentrated on the outputs instead of effects. In other words, these official evaluative statements disclosed to the public tend to be focused on the outputs, that is, the question of “doing something”. For example, it is stated in The General Report of China’s Environment of 2012 (solid waste part) that a total of 13566 licenses were authorized to 2603 enterprises using imported solid waste in 2012.

However, to fully evaluate the effects of China’s policy of importing solid waste, the disclosed official evaluative statements above mentioned are far from enough. Here the thesis will propose some dimensions of evaluating the policy of import of solid waste.

15.1. The dimensions of evaluating the policy of import of solid waste

In the evaluation of a policy, three dimensions can be employed: outputs; impacts and outcomes.

The impacts of a policy are defined as all of the desired and undesired changes in the behavior of target groups that are directly attributable to the entry into force of the PAPs, PAAs, APs and the formal implementation acts (outputs) that concretize them. Thus the impacts represent the real effects that policies trigger among the target groups.

The outcomes of a policy are all of the effects in relation to the public problem to be resolved that are attributable to the policy and triggered in turn by the implementation acts (outputs). Outcomes are observable effects among the end beneficiaries.

To evaluate China's policy of importing solid waste, the thesis here will propose various dimensions and indicators of evaluation which are shown in the figure XIII below.

15.2. Data collections

The data on the indicators of impacts can be collected from the Bureau of Statistics at national or local level. Also, the Ministry of Environmental Protection and the Customs as well also keep track of certain kinds of statistics, like reduced number of illegal shipment of solid waste.

Besides the statistics from the public administrative authorities, questionnaires and on-site survey will provide the qualitative data on outcomes, such as the degree of satisfaction and the trends of complaints.

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