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Fig.16 the root mean square error for the regression method with variable degrees

  1. CONCLUSIONS

In this study, two theorems for analyzing the relational equations are given. After an analysis, a new scheme is proposed. Models embedded this new scheme are implemented. And the model is called high-order. In order to find the effect of this new scheme, forecasting enrollments and forecasting population are carried out. The proposed model keeps the simplicity while improves the forecasting accuracy significantly. Due to the root mean square errors of the proposed high-order model is smaller than that of the other approaches. In this work, the efficiency, accuracy and robustness of the new scheme have been tested.

372

REFERENCES

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[10] Tsai, C. C. and Wu, S. J., A theoretic study and forecasts of fuzzy time series, Asian Fuzzy Systems Symposium, May 31-June 3(2000), Tsukuba Science City,

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[11] Tsai, C. C. and Wu, S. J., A study of high-order effect in fuzzy time series forecasting, the fourth International FLINS conference on Intelligent Techniques and Soft Computing in Nuclear Science and Engineering, August 28-30 (2000), Bruges, Belgium. Accepted No. FLINS-N16.

[12] Tsai, C. C. and Wu, S. J., The high-order model of fuzzy time series with

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[13] Tsai, C. C. and Wu, S. J., Forecasting accidents with high-order fuzzy time series,

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[14] Tsai, C. C. and WLI, S. J., Forecasting enrollments with high-order fuzzy time series, the 19th International Meeting of the North American Fuzzy Information Processing Society, July 13-15 (2000), Atlanta, Georgia. Accepted.

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approximate reasoning, the 19th International Meeting of the North American Fuzzy Information Processing Society, July 13-15 (2000), Atlanta, Georgia. Accepted.

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[19] Zimmermann, H. J., Fuzzy set theory and its applications, Kluwer Academic Publisher, 1991

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