Barclays Oil Gas Weekly_watermark
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Barclays | Oil & Gas Weekly
Sector share price performance
BP vs. Royal Dutch Shell
110 |
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105 |
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100 |
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95 |
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90 |
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85 |
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Nov-17 Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 |
Sep-18 Nov-18 |
Royal Dutch Shell vs. Exxon Mobil
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85 |
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Nov-17 |
Jan-18 Mar-18 |
May-18 |
Jul-18 |
Sep-18 |
Nov-18 |
BP vs. Exxon Mobil |
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120 |
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115 |
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110 |
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105 |
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100 |
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95 |
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90 |
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85 |
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Nov-17 |
Jan-18 Mar-18 |
May-18 |
Jul-18 |
Sep-18 |
Nov-18 |
US Services vs. European Services |
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130 |
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120 |
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110 |
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100 |
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90 |
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80 |
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70 |
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Nov-17 |
Jan-18 Mar-18 |
May-18 |
Jul-18 |
Sep-18 |
Nov-18 |
Source: Datastream, Barclays Research
Exxon Mobil vs. Chevron
110 |
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105 |
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100 |
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95 |
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90 |
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85 |
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80 |
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75 |
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Nov-17 Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 |
Sep-18 Nov-18 |
Total vs. Royal Dutch Shell
115 |
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110 |
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105 |
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100 |
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95 |
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90 |
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85 |
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80 |
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Nov-17 Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 |
Sep-18 Nov-18 |
US Refiners vs. EU refiners
150
140
130
120
110
100
90
80
70 |
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Nov-17 Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 |
Sep-18 Nov-18 |
US Integrateds vs. European Integrateds
120 |
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110 |
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100 |
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90 |
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80 |
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70 |
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Nov-17 Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 |
Sep-18 Nov-18 |
The European Market is the Eurostoxx, the European Integrateds and the Services are the corresponding FTSE 300 indices. The US market is the S&P500 and US Integrateds, Refiners and Services are the corresponding sector indices. The Barclays European Refining Index is calculated using arithmetic averages for companies under coverage. The Barclays E&Ps Index is calculated based on an arithmetic average across our coverage. The GEM market is bespoke Global Emerging Markets index from Datastream and the GEM Integrateds index is the corresponding sector index.
27 November 2018 |
11 |
vk.com/id446425943
Barclays | Oil & Gas Weekly
Integrateds and Refiners
Valuations
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EV:EBIDA, x |
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P/E, x |
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FCF yield, % |
Dividend yield, % |
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RoACE, % |
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Barclays |
Cons |
Difference |
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Price |
Target |
Up/(Down) |
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2018 |
2018 |
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Company |
Rating |
23-Nov |
Price |
side, % |
18F |
19F |
20F |
18F |
19F |
20F |
18F |
19F |
20F |
18F |
19F |
20F |
18F |
19F |
20F |
EPS |
EPS |
% |
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BP |
OW |
513 |
705 |
38 |
5.8 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
11.1 |
8.9 |
8.6 |
6.0 |
10.5 |
11.2 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
10.0 |
12.1 |
12.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
(0.6) |
Chevron |
OW |
114 |
148 |
30 |
6.9 |
6.1 |
5.3 |
13.1 |
10.8 |
9.3 |
7.7 |
10.6 |
13.2 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
9.1 |
10.8 |
12.0 |
8.7 |
8.3 |
3.7 |
Exxon Mobil Corp |
UW |
75.5 |
87.0 |
15 |
8.8 |
7.9 |
6.8 |
15.6 |
13.6 |
10.8 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
6.9 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
nm |
nm |
nm |
4.9 |
4.8 |
1.3 |
Royal Dutch Shell A |
OW |
2,301 |
3,300 |
43 |
6.8 |
5.3 |
4.9 |
11.3 |
7.4 |
6.8 |
7.4 |
12.7 |
13.5 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
8.5 |
12.6 |
13.3 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
(3.1) |
Royal Dutch Shell B |
OW |
2,333 |
3,300 |
41 |
6.9 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
11.5 |
7.5 |
6.9 |
7.3 |
12.5 |
13.3 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
8.5 |
12.6 |
13.3 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
(2.9) |
Total |
OW |
47.6 |
66.0 |
39 |
6.0 |
5.2 |
4.8 |
9.8 |
7.3 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
11.5 |
12.5 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
11.1 |
13.6 |
14.1 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
0.8 |
Average Majors |
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34 |
6.9 |
5.8 |
5.2 |
12.1 |
9.3 |
8.2 |
6.8 |
10.6 |
11.8 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
9.4 |
12.4 |
13.0 |
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(0.1) |
Eni |
UW |
14.1 |
19.0 |
35 |
4.6 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
11.3 |
9.9 |
9.3 |
10.3 |
9.9 |
10.9 |
5.9 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
8.2 |
9.6 |
10.2 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
(0.8) |
Equinor |
OW |
194.0 |
280.0 |
44 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
10.8 |
9.7 |
9.6 |
12.7 |
13.0 |
11.1 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
13.0 |
14.0 |
14.4 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
(1.1) |
Galp Energia |
UW |
14.4 |
18.0 |
25 |
8.0 |
6.9 |
6.1 |
15.6 |
15.5 |
14.1 |
5.0 |
9.0 |
10.6 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
11.9 |
12.5 |
14.4 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
OMV |
EW |
44.2 |
62.0 |
40 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
9.2 |
7.4 |
6.7 |
16.9 |
16.1 |
18.1 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
12.8 |
14.5 |
15.4 |
4.8 |
5.0 |
(4.2) |
Repsol |
OW |
14.9 |
19.5 |
31 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
9.6 |
7.0 |
6.3 |
4.1 |
10.2 |
12.0 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
7.1 |
8.9 |
10.0 |
10.6 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
(6.2) |
Average Euros |
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35 |
5.4 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
11.3 |
9.9 |
9.2 |
9.8 |
11.7 |
12.5 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
5.3 |
11.0 |
12.1 |
13.0 |
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(2.4) |
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Neste |
OW |
67.9 |
85.0 |
25 |
10.6 |
10.7 |
10.1 |
16.2 |
15.2 |
14.8 |
6.1 |
6.0 |
6.4 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
20.6 |
17.9 |
15.3 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
Saras |
UW |
1.80 |
1.70 |
(6) |
7.1 |
5.9 |
5.4 |
18.5 |
12.7 |
11.2 |
0.9 |
3.6 |
6.4 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
10.8 |
13.2 |
14.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
(14.9) |
Average Refiners |
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10 |
8.9 |
8.3 |
7.7 |
17.4 |
14.0 |
13.0 |
3.5 |
4.8 |
6.4 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
15.7 |
15.6 |
14.6 |
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(5.9) |
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Share price performances
Local Price |
23-Nov |
-1d |
-5d |
-10d |
-30d |
MTD |
QTD |
YTD |
3Q18 |
2Q18 |
1Q18 |
4Q17 |
3Q17 |
2Q 17 |
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Indices & markets |
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FTSE All |
3,812 |
-0.6 |
-1.1 |
-4.0 |
-3.6 |
-2.1 |
-9.3 |
-14.5 |
-3.0 |
1.6 |
-4.4 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
StoxxEuro |
345 |
-0.2 |
-2.1 |
-3.2 |
-4.2 |
-2.1 |
-10.9 |
-15.4 |
-0.2 |
-4.3 |
-0.6 |
0.7 |
8.1 |
6.3 |
S&P 500 |
2,633 |
-0.7 |
-3.8 |
-5.3 |
-4.9 |
-2.9 |
-9.7 |
-1.5 |
7.2 |
2.9 |
-1.2 |
6.1 |
4.0 |
2.6 |
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BP |
513 |
-2.9 |
-2.6 |
-3.8 |
-10.6 |
-9.5 |
-14.6 |
-7.2 |
0.7 |
13.6 |
-4.9 |
10.4 |
11.3 |
0.5 |
Chevron |
114 |
-3.4 |
-4.6 |
-4.9 |
-3.5 |
1.7 |
-7.1 |
-9.3 |
-3.3 |
10.9 |
-8.9 |
6.5 |
12.6 |
-2.8 |
ExxonMobil |
75.5 |
-2.7 |
-4.4 |
-6.7 |
-7.2 |
-5.3 |
-11.2 |
-9.7 |
2.8 |
10.9 |
-10.8 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
-1.6 |
Royal Dutch Shell A |
26.0 |
-3.9 |
-4.5 |
-6.2 |
-9.5 |
-7.6 |
-14.1 |
-11.6 |
-1.2 |
9.6 |
-5.0 |
10.4 |
14.1 |
0.7 |
Royal Dutch Shell B |
2,333 |
-4.4 |
-5.2 |
-6.9 |
-9.6 |
-8.9 |
-14.8 |
-12.0 |
-2.1 |
12.2 |
-5.9 |
10.2 |
14.9 |
-1.9 |
Total |
47.6 |
-3.5 |
-5.2 |
-5.8 |
-11.8 |
-8.3 |
-16.8 |
-2.4 |
6.4 |
7.4 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
8.8 |
-2.6 |
Arithmetic Average |
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-3.5 |
-4.4 |
-5.7 |
-8.7 |
-6.3 |
-13.1 |
-8.7 |
0.5 |
10.8 |
-5.5 |
7.1 |
10.6 |
-1.3 |
Eni |
14.1 |
-2.3 |
-6.1 |
-9.1 |
-11.7 |
-10.4 |
-15.7 |
-3.7 |
1.8 |
5.7 |
6.0 |
0.1 |
10.3 |
-8.6 |
Equinor |
194 |
-4.5 |
-8.6 |
-8.7 |
-16.4 |
-13.4 |
-19.8 |
5.5 |
6.2 |
12.9 |
9.8 |
7.0 |
21.1 |
-3.3 |
Galp |
14.4 |
-2.5 |
-3.5 |
-2.6 |
-9.7 |
-6.3 |
-17.7 |
-11.2 |
4.1 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
3.8 |
17.3 |
-0.6 |
OMV |
44.2 |
-3.6 |
-5.4 |
-9.6 |
-10.4 |
-9.9 |
-10.8 |
-21.0 |
-0.9 |
-2.5 |
-8.3 |
8.9 |
12.5 |
31.4 |
Repsol |
14.9 |
-3.2 |
-5.5 |
-6.3 |
-10.7 |
-6.0 |
-15.4 |
-2.0 |
1.9 |
13.7 |
0.1 |
-1.5 |
20.6 |
1.6 |
Arithmetic Average |
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-3.2 |
-5.8 |
-7.3 |
-11.8 |
-9.2 |
-15.9 |
-6.5 |
2.6 |
6.2 |
2.0 |
3.7 |
16.3 |
4.1 |
Neste |
67.9 |
-1.7 |
-6.1 |
-4.5 |
-3.9 |
-6.6 |
-6.9 |
20.2 |
5.4 |
12.7 |
8.7 |
46.7 |
11.0 |
0.6 |
Saras |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6.7 |
8.1 |
-1.4 |
4.5 |
-4.7 |
-15.2 |
-11.7 |
10.5 |
-8.9 |
-10.3 |
15.3 |
21.3 |
Arithmetic Average |
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-0.7 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
-0.9 |
2.6 |
-3.8 |
-3.8 |
11.3 |
-4.5 |
-5.3 |
3.3 |
11.5 |
21.3 |
Note: The price targets for the European companies are based on a sum-of-the-parts DCF methodology; those for the US are based on return on market capitalization under mid-cycle assumptions. Source: Company data, Datastream, Barclays Research
27 November 2018 |
12 |
vk.com/id446425943
Barclays | Oil & Gas Weekly
Oil Services
Valuations
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EV:EBITDA, x |
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P/E, x |
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FCF yield, % |
Dividend yield, % |
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RoACE, % |
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Barclays |
Cons |
Difference |
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Price |
Target |
Up/(Down) |
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2018 |
2018 |
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Company |
Rating |
23-Nov |
Price |
side, % |
18F |
19F |
20F |
18F |
19F |
20F |
18F |
19F |
20F |
18F |
19F |
20F |
18F |
19F |
20F |
EPS |
EPS |
% |
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Aker Solutions |
UW |
43.5 |
69.0 |
59 |
8.2 |
7.3 |
6.0 |
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22.9 |
19.5 |
14.9 |
9.3 |
(1.4) |
5.8 |
- |
1.5 |
2.0 |
8.2 |
8.9 |
10.6 |
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1.9 |
2.0 |
(5.9) |
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CGG |
OW |
1.3 |
3.0 |
132 |
3.5 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
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1.6 |
nm |
6.9 |
(8) |
3 |
21 |
- |
- |
- |
5.5 |
2.4 |
6.6 |
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0.9 |
NA |
- |
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GMS |
EW |
35.8 |
59.0 |
65 |
8.9 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
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39.8 |
6.8 |
6.3 |
(12) |
23 |
23 |
- |
- |
- |
3.5 |
6.0 |
6.2 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
nm |
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Hunting |
EW |
564.5 |
1000.0 |
77 |
7.8 |
6.0 |
4.4 |
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16.2 |
14.2 |
10.4 |
3 |
7 |
10 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
6.8 |
7.9 |
10.7 |
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0.4 |
0.6 |
(25.8) |
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Maire Tecnimont |
OW |
3.2 |
5.6 |
73 |
5.6 |
5.1 |
3.6 |
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9.4 |
8.9 |
8.0 |
3 |
12 |
14 |
3.8 |
4.9 |
5.4 |
nm |
65.7 |
72.4 |
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0.3 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
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Petrofac |
OW |
4.8 |
10.0 |
107 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
3.1 |
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6.0 |
6.3 |
5.7 |
(8) |
28 |
18 |
5.9 |
6.2 |
6.8 |
15.4 |
33.7 |
46.9 |
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0.8 |
0.8 |
6.0 |
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PGS |
OW |
18.9 |
47.0 |
148 |
3.9 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
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nm |
nm |
12.1 |
6 |
20 |
27 |
- |
- |
- |
(3.8) |
2.7 |
5.9 |
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(0.4) |
(0.2) |
51.2 |
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Saipem |
OW |
3.50 |
6.6 |
89 |
4.9 |
6.0 |
5.0 |
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nm |
nm |
21.3 |
1.8 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
- |
- |
- |
2.4 |
2.9 |
5.5 |
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0.0 |
0.1 |
(54.5) |
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SBM Offshore |
EW |
13.02 |
19.20 |
47 |
7.6 |
7.4 |
6.3 |
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10.2 |
23.3 |
14.6 |
3.4 |
8.0 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
5.5 |
5.8 |
7.8 |
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1.3 |
1.0 |
22.8 |
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Subsea 7 |
OW |
86.14 |
185.00 |
115 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
3.5 |
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20.9 |
34.1 |
13.8 |
6.9 |
9.1 |
10.6 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.2 |
2.0 |
4.8 |
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0.5 |
0.5 |
(9.8) |
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TechnipFMC |
EW |
19.85 |
29.00 |
46 |
7.9 |
9.3 |
7.5 |
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18.9 |
18.7 |
13.4 |
(3.3) |
3.0 |
8.5 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
5.6 |
4.8 |
6.6 |
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1.2 |
1.2 |
(4.6) |
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Tecnicas Reunidas |
EW |
22.34 |
36.00 |
61 |
11.2 |
5.4 |
3.7 |
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26.6 |
10.5 |
8.0 |
(3.3) |
9.2 |
16.4 |
4.0 |
5.8 |
6.7 |
5.5 |
12.1 |
15.9 |
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0.8 |
0.7 |
13.8 |
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Tenaris |
OW |
11.63 |
19.00 |
63 |
9.3 |
6.9 |
5.4 |
|
17.2 |
12.5 |
9.8 |
2.2 |
8.8 |
9.1 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
6.3 |
9.1 |
11.7 |
|
0.8 |
0.7 |
8.4 |
|
|
TGS |
UW |
233.40 |
335.00 |
44 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
3.1 |
|
19.0 |
15.0 |
10.6 |
9.1 |
6.5 |
7.4 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
15.9 |
22.0 |
30.1 |
|
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
|
|
Vallourec |
UW |
1.70 |
5.80 |
241 |
25.8 |
8.2 |
5.7 |
|
nm |
nm |
8.8 |
(54.0) |
(17.2) |
4.1 |
- |
- |
3.4 |
nm |
nm |
nm |
|
(1.0) |
(0.9) |
7.3 |
|
|
Wood Group |
UW |
5.88 |
9.10 |
55 |
9.1 |
7.4 |
5.9 |
|
12.5 |
9.8 |
8.0 |
9.3 |
8.3 |
11.8 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
8.2 |
9.9 |
12.2 |
|
0.6 |
0.5 |
31.1 |
|
|
Average Europe |
|
|
|
|
89 |
7.9 |
5.9 |
4.6 |
|
17.0 |
15.0 |
10.8 |
(2.2) |
8.2 |
12.0 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
6.3 |
13.1 |
16.9 |
|
|
|
3.0 |
|
Share price performances |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
|
23-Nov |
-1d |
-5d |
-10d |
-30d |
|
MTD |
|
QTD |
YTD |
3Q18 |
|
2Q18 |
|
1Q18 |
4Q17 |
|
3Q17 |
2Q 17 |
|
||||
Indices & markets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FTSE All |
|
|
3,812 |
-0.6 |
-1.1 |
-4.0 |
-3.6 |
|
-2.1 |
|
-9.3 |
-14.5 |
-3.0 |
|
1.6 |
|
-4.4 |
5.1 |
|
4.5 |
4.2 |
|
||||
StoxxEuro |
|
|
345 |
-0.2 |
-2.1 |
-3.2 |
-4.2 |
|
-2.1 |
|
-10.9 |
-15.4 |
-0.2 |
|
-4.3 |
|
-0.6 |
0.7 |
|
8.1 |
6.3 |
|
||||
S&P 500 |
|
|
2,633 |
-0.7 |
-3.8 |
-5.3 |
-4.9 |
|
-2.9 |
|
-9.7 |
|
-1.5 |
7.2 |
|
2.9 |
|
-1.2 |
6.1 |
|
4.0 |
2.6 |
|
|||
Aker Solutions |
|
|
44 |
-4.0 |
-13.5 |
-16.8 |
-24.5 |
|
-23.4 |
|
-28.7 |
-10.3 |
1.6 |
|
32.5 |
|
-6.5 |
6.7 |
|
17.6 |
-25.3 |
|
||||
CGG |
|
|
1.3 |
-5.6 |
-10.5 |
-15.6 |
-41.9 |
|
-39.7 |
|
-47.6 |
-33.1 |
12.7 |
|
25.3 |
|
-9.7 |
-17.9 |
|
20.6 |
-34.7 |
|
||||
Gulf Marine Services |
|
|
35.8 |
2.2 |
-0.7 |
-4.9 |
-21.4 |
|
-13.1 |
|
-26.3 |
-24.7 |
13.3 |
|
11.9 |
|
-19.3 |
-5.5 |
|
-9.9 |
-18.4 |
|
||||
Hunting |
|
|
565 |
-5.8 |
-9.6 |
-13.0 |
-26.0 |
|
-16.2 |
|
-29.0 |
-11.7 |
-0.6 |
|
8.8 |
|
15.1 |
28.7 |
|
0.3 |
-10.3 |
|
||||
Maire Tecnimont |
|
|
3.23 |
-1.4 |
-0.4 |
-6.1 |
-14.8 |
|
-16.4 |
|
-18.7 |
-29.4 |
0.2 |
|
-12.6 |
|
-0.9 |
-6.3 |
|
19.3 |
23.9 |
|
||||
Petrofac |
|
|
484 |
-5.6 |
-10.4 |
-17.3 |
-23.8 |
|
-16.2 |
|
-26.7 |
-10.2 |
9.5 |
|
8.5 |
|
3.1 |
14.3 |
|
5.2 |
-50.0 |
|
||||
Petroleum Geo-Services |
|
18.9 |
-2.8 |
-11.4 |
-18.1 |
-46.2 |
|
-29.6 |
|
-50.9 |
|
8.4 |
-4.1 |
|
51.7 |
|
51.7 |
-14.0 |
|
36.7 |
-34.4 |
|
||||
Saipem |
|
|
3.5 |
-3.5 |
-16.2 |
-21.2 |
-30.9 |
|
-27.6 |
|
-35.7 |
-13.2 |
33.9 |
|
17.7 |
|
-14.4 |
6.0 |
|
16.9 |
-18.9 |
|
||||
SBM Offshore |
|
|
13.0 |
-3.0 |
-10.1 |
-11.0 |
-19.8 |
|
-14.7 |
|
-18.4 |
-16.2 |
16.4 |
|
-2.7 |
|
-9.3 |
-2.9 |
|
13.4 |
-2.7 |
|
||||
Subsea 7 |
|
|
86 |
-5.4 |
-16.4 |
-13.2 |
-27.8 |
|
-20.8 |
|
-32.2 |
-33.3 |
-7.6 |
|
25.3 |
|
-15.1 |
-8.4 |
|
22.5 |
-13.3 |
|
||||
TechnipFMC |
|
|
19.9 |
-3.3 |
-6.0 |
-11.0 |
-25.6 |
|
-15.6 |
|
-28.5 |
-27.5 |
-1.4 |
|
9.9 |
|
-6.4 |
12.1 |
|
2.2 |
-17.2 |
|
||||
Tecnicas Reunidas |
|
|
22.3 |
-0.7 |
-1.2 |
-0.7 |
-11.3 |
|
-5.8 |
|
-17.7 |
-20.2 |
-4.4 |
|
9.2 |
|
-7.1 |
0.5 |
|
-18.1 |
-2.3 |
|
||||
Tenaris |
|
|
11.6 |
-2.2 |
-6.4 |
-10.3 |
-19.0 |
|
-11.4 |
|
-21.3 |
-16.5 |
-8.7 |
|
6.9 |
|
8.6 |
11.4 |
|
-8.9 |
-9.4 |
|
||||
TGS |
|
|
233.4 |
-3.2 |
-8.9 |
-9.5 |
-25.2 |
|
-19.3 |
|
-33.3 |
14.5 |
10.7 |
|
51.0 |
|
2.7 |
-0.3 |
|
16.6 |
-3.6 |
|
||||
Vallourec |
|
|
1.7 |
0.3 |
-35.2 |
-56.2 |
-64.4 |
|
-59.4 |
|
-67.2 |
-68.1 |
-0.9 |
|
12.0 |
|
-12.4 |
1.7 |
|
-2.0 |
-8.9 |
|
||||
Wood Group |
|
|
588 |
-6.4 |
-9.8 |
-13.2 |
-22.7 |
|
-17.6 |
|
-25.2 |
-14.4 |
21.4 |
|
9.4 |
|
-13.9 |
-3.7 |
|
9.7 |
-12.5 |
|
||||
Arithmetic Average |
|
|
|
-3.2 |
-10.0 |
-14.6 |
-26.9 |
|
-21.2 |
|
-30.4 |
-17.6 |
3.8 |
|
20.9 |
|
-1.2 |
0.9 |
|
10.8 |
-15.9 |
|
Note: The price targets are based on a sum-of-the-parts DCF methodology. Source: Company data, Datastream, Barclays Research
27 November 2018 |
13 |
vk.com/id446425943
Barclays | Oil & Gas Weekly
E&Ps
Valuations
|
|
|
|
|
EV:EBITDA, x |
|
P/E, x |
|
FCF yield, % |
Dividend yield, % |
EV/DACFx |
|
Barclays |
Cons |
Difference |
|||||||
|
|
Price |
Target |
Up/(Down) |
|
|
|
2018 |
2018 |
|
||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Company |
Rating |
23-Nov |
Price |
side, % |
18F |
19F |
20F |
18F |
19F |
20F |
18F |
19F |
20F |
18F |
19F |
20F |
18F |
19F |
20F |
EPS |
EPS |
% |
Aker BP |
UW |
223.8 |
335.0 |
50 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
2.2 |
16.6 |
20.8 |
11.7 |
15.8 |
(3.0) |
4.7 |
5.1 |
6.1 |
7.2 |
3.8 |
7.2 |
5.0 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
(3.2) |
Africa Oil Corp. |
OW |
7.9 |
13.0 |
64 |
nm |
nm |
nm |
nm |
nm |
nm |
(2.1) |
(12.6) |
(33.7) |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
|
(0.1) |
(0.1) |
35.2 |
Cairn Energy |
OW |
165.5 |
300.0 |
81 |
6.9 |
4.0 |
3.1 |
20.4 |
24.7 |
15.3 |
(1.2) |
(0.4) |
4.7 |
- |
- |
- |
5.5 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
nm |
Enquest PLC |
EW |
22.5 |
45.0 |
100 |
3.2 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
nm |
2.5 |
2.2 |
(20.0) |
(2.1) |
46.2 |
- |
- |
- |
4.9 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
(0.0) |
0.1 |
nm |
Faroe Petroleum |
UW |
125.8 |
160.0 |
27 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
17.8 |
13.8 |
8.8 |
(0.0) |
(0.0) |
0.0 |
- |
- |
- |
3.6 |
3.7 |
2.7 |
7.1 |
16.0 |
(55.6) |
International Petroleu |
UW |
31.7 |
56.0 |
77 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
(4.9) |
6.6 |
30.0 |
- |
- |
- |
2.6 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
(5.8) |
Kosmos Energy Ltd. |
OW |
5.7 |
12.3 |
116 |
8.9 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
nm |
15.0 |
8.0 |
(3.5) |
2.9 |
2.9 |
- |
3.0 |
3.0 |
6.4 |
3.4 |
2.4 |
(0.7) |
(0.2) |
nm |
Lundin Petroleum |
OW |
226.7 |
350.0 |
54 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
2.8 |
21.3 |
30.6 |
11.9 |
1.9 |
5.0 |
7.0 |
5.0 |
7.0 |
7.0 |
7.0 |
7.0 |
4.5 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
(11.7) |
Premier Oil |
OW |
64.9 |
130.0 |
100 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
7.8 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
(25.9) |
0.3 |
(0.3) |
- |
- |
- |
3.8 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
(51.0) |
Savannah Petroleum |
OW |
27.5 |
43.0 |
56 |
nm |
3.5 |
2.3 |
nm |
9.5 |
6.0 |
(49.0) |
5.0 |
12.2 |
- |
3.6 |
3.6 |
|
4.8 |
4.0 |
(0.0) |
0.0 |
- |
Tullow Oil |
OW |
172.4 |
315.0 |
83 |
3.7 |
2.8 |
2.0 |
6.5 |
5.4 |
4.7 |
3.0 |
(0.1) |
17.9 |
- |
- |
- |
4.6 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
17.5 |
Average Europe |
|
|
|
74 |
4.4 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
13.4 |
12.9 |
7.4 |
(7.8) |
0.2 |
8.3 |
5.0 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
2.9 |
|
|
17.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share price performances
|
23-Nov |
-1d |
-5d |
-10d |
-30d |
MTD |
QTD |
YTD |
3Q18 |
2Q18 |
1Q18 |
4Q17 |
3Q17 |
2Q 17 |
Indices & markets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FTSE All |
3,812 |
-0.6 |
-1.1 |
-4.0 |
-3.6 |
-2.1 |
-9.3 |
-14.5 |
-3.0 |
1.6 |
-4.4 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
StoxxEuro |
345 |
-0.2 |
-2.1 |
-3.2 |
-4.2 |
-2.1 |
-10.9 |
-15.4 |
-0.2 |
-4.3 |
-0.6 |
0.7 |
8.1 |
6.3 |
S&P 500 |
2,633 |
-0.7 |
-3.8 |
-5.3 |
-4.9 |
-2.9 |
-9.7 |
-1.5 |
7.2 |
2.9 |
-1.2 |
6.1 |
4.0 |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Aker BP |
224 |
-6 |
-12 |
-12 |
-31 |
-21 |
-39 |
6 |
15 |
37 |
10 |
28 |
31 |
-8 |
Africa Oil |
8 |
-2 |
-12 |
-11 |
-14 |
-7 |
-25 |
-22 |
30 |
-3 |
-18 |
-17 |
-9 |
-11 |
Cairn Energy |
166 |
-8 |
-11 |
-16 |
-25 |
-16 |
-30 |
-27 |
-8 |
14 |
0 |
13 |
15 |
-13 |
Enquest |
22 |
-4 |
-6 |
-17 |
-31 |
-18 |
-38 |
-13 |
15 |
15 |
6 |
4 |
-10 |
-21 |
Faroe Petroleum |
126 |
-4 |
-3 |
-12 |
-19 |
-15 |
-26 |
13 |
12 |
30 |
5 |
8 |
22 |
-14 |
International Petroleum Co |
32 |
-4 |
-16 |
-21 |
-30 |
-19 |
-47 |
-20 |
-2 |
62 |
-5 |
1 |
46 |
NA |
Kosmos Energy Ltd. |
6 |
-3 |
2 |
-6 |
-31 |
-12 |
-39 |
-17 |
13 |
31 |
-8 |
-14 |
24 |
-4 |
Lundin Petroleum |
227 |
-4 |
-10 |
-14 |
-23 |
-18 |
-35 |
9 |
20 |
28 |
9 |
5 |
14 |
-1 |
Premier Oil |
65 |
-11 |
-21 |
-36 |
-49 |
-40 |
-54 |
-19 |
6 |
75 |
-6 |
15 |
38 |
-18 |
Savannah Petroleum |
28 |
-2 |
-5 |
-13 |
-21 |
-10 |
-17 |
-8 |
10 |
-3 |
4 |
-18 |
3 |
-7 |
Tullow Oil |
172 |
-7 |
-11 |
-17 |
-31 |
-23 |
-36 |
-21 |
6 |
18 |
-2 |
12 |
28 |
-21 |
Arithmetic Average |
|
-4.7 |
-8.7 |
-14.0 |
-24.8 |
-17.1 |
-30.4 |
-14.3 |
4.7 |
20.6 |
0.2 |
3.6 |
16.3 |
-11.1 |
Note: The price targets are based on a sum-of-the-parts DCF methodology.
Source: Company data, Datastream, Barclays Research
27 November 2018 |
14 |
vk.com/id446425943
Barclays | Oil & Gas Weekly
ANALYST(S) CERTIFICATION(S):
We, Lydia Rainforth, CFA, Joshua Stone, James Hosie, Mick Pickup and Paul Y. Cheng, CFA, hereby certify (1) that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our personal views about any or all of the subject securities or issuers referred to in this research report and (2) no part of our compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report.
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES CONTINUED
Barclays Research is produced by the Investment Bank of Barclays Bank PLC and its affiliates (collectively and each individually, "Barclays"). All authors contributing to this research report are Research Analysts unless otherwise indicated. The publication date at the top of the report reflects the local time where the report was produced and may differ from the release date provided in GMT.
Availability of Disclosures:
Where any companies are the subject of this research report, for current important disclosures regarding those companies please refer to https://publicresearch.barclays.com or alternatively send a written request to: Barclays Research Compliance, 745 Seventh Avenue, 13th Floor, New York, NY 10019 or call +1-212-526-1072.
The analysts responsible for preparing this research report have received compensation based upon various factors including the firm's total revenues, a portion of which is generated by investment banking activities, the profitability and revenues of the Markets business and the potential interest of the firm's investing clients in research with respect to the asset class covered by the analyst.
Research analysts employed outside the US by affiliates of Barclays Capital Inc. are not registered/qualified as research analysts with FINRA. Such non-US research analysts may not be associated persons of Barclays Capital Inc., which is a FINRA member, and therefore may not be subject to FINRA Rule 2241 restrictions on communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst’s account.
Analysts regularly conduct site visits to view the material operations of covered companies, but Barclays policy prohibits them from accepting payment or reimbursement by any covered company of their travel expenses for such visits.
Barclays Research Department produces various types of research including, but not limited to, fundamental analysis, equity-linked analysis, quantitative analysis, and trade ideas. Recommendations contained in one type of Barclays Research may differ from those contained in other types of Barclays Research, whether as a result of differing time horizons, methodologies, or otherwise.
In order to access Barclays Statement regarding Research Dissemination Policies and Procedures, please refer to https://publicresearch.barcap.com/S/RD.htm. In order to access Barclays Research Conflict Management Policy Statement, please refer to: https://publicresearch.barcap.com/S/CM.htm.
Materially Mentioned Stocks (Ticker, Date, Price)
Africa Oil Corp. (AOIC.ST, 23-Nov-2018, SEK 7.92), Overweight/Positive, J
Aker BP (AKERBP.OL, 23-Nov-2018, NOK 223.80), Underweight/Positive, A/CD/D/J/K/L/M/N
Aker Solutions (AKSOL.OL, 23-Nov-2018, NOK 43.52), Underweight/Positive, CD/D/J/K/L/M BP (BP.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBP 5.13), Overweight/Positive, CD/CE/D/E/GE/J/K/L/M/N
Other Material Conflicts: Barclays Bank PLC and/or affiliates is providing investment banking services to BHP Billiton Plc in relation to the sale of their US onshore shale oil & gas portfolio (excluding Fayetteville) to BP plc
Cairn Energy Plc. (CNE.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBp 166), Overweight/Positive, J
CGG (GEPH.PA, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 1.29), Overweight/Positive, CD/J/K/N
Chevron Corporation (CVX, 23-Nov-2018, USD 113.60), Overweight/Positive, B/CD/CE/D/J/K/L/M/N Eni (ENI.MI, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 14.06), Underweight/Positive, CD/CE/D/E/J/K/L/M/N
EnQuest Plc. (ENQ.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBp 22), Equal Weight/Positive, CD/J/K/N
Equinor (EQNR.OL, 23-Nov-2018, NOK 194.00), Overweight/Positive, CD/CE/D/E/J/K/L/M/N
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM, 23-Nov-2018, USD 75.49), Underweight/Positive, CD/CE/J/K/M/N Faroe Petroleum (FPM.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBp 126), Underweight/Positive, CD/J
Galp Energia (GALP.LS, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 14.41), Underweight/Positive, CD/D/J/K/L/M
Gulf Marine Services (GMS.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBp 36), Equal Weight/Positive, E/J/K/L/N Hunting (HTG.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBp 565), Equal Weight/Positive, D/J/K/L/M/N/Q International Petroleum Corp. (IPCOR.ST, 23-Nov-2018, SEK 31.70), Underweight/Positive, J Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS, 23-Nov-2018, USD 5.68), Overweight/Positive, CD/CE/D/J/L
Other Material Conflicts: Barclays Bank PLC and/or its affiliate is providing investment banking services to the Deep Gulf Energy Companies in relation to their sale to Kosmos Energy (NYSE:KOS).
Lundin Petroleum AB (LUPE.ST, 23-Nov-2018, SEK 226.70), Overweight/Positive, B/J Maire Tecnimont (MTCM.MI, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 3.23), Overweight/Positive, CD/J
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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES CONTINUED
Neste (NESTE.HE, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 67.90), Overweight/Positive, CD/D/J/K/L/M OMV (OMVV.VI, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 44.20), Equal Weight/Positive, CD/D/E/J/K/L/M/N
Ophir Energy Plc. (OPHR.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBp 33), Rating Suspended/Positive, D/FA/J/K/L/N
Other Material Conflicts: Barclays Bank Plc and/or an affiliate is acting as financial advisor to Ophir Energy Plc in relation to the potential acquisition of Santos Ltd's portfolio of assets in South East Asia. The ratings, price targets and estimates (as applicable) on Ophir Energy Plc as issued by the Firm’s Research Department have been temporarily suspended due to Barclays’ role in this potential transaction.
Petrofac (PFC.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBP 4.84), Overweight/Positive, D/J/K/L/N
Other Material Conflicts: Barclays Bank Plc and/or an affiliate is providing investment banking services to Petrofac Limited in relation to their potential sale 49% of of operations in Mexico(1)(2), including Santuario, Magallanes and Arenque, to Perenco (Oil & Gas) International Limited
(“Perenco").
Petroleum Geo-Services (PGS.OL, 23-Nov-2018, NOK 18.94), Overweight/Positive, CD/D/J/K/L/M Premier Oil Plc. (PMO.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBp 65), Overweight/Positive, CD/D/J/K/L/M/N
Repsol (REP.MC, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 14.86), Overweight/Positive, D/J/K/L/M/N
Royal Dutch Shell A (RDSa.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBP 23.01), Overweight/Positive, A/CE/D/E/J/K/L/M/N
Royal Dutch Shell B (RDSb.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBP 23.33), Overweight/Positive, A/CE/D/E/J/K/L/M/N Saipem (SPMI.MI, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 3.50), Overweight/Positive, D/E/J/K/L/M/N
Saras (SRS.MI, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 1.80), Underweight/Positive, CD/D/J/K/L/M/N Savannah Petroleum (SAVP.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBp 28), Overweight/Positive, A/D/J/L SBM Offshore (SBMO.AS, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 13.02), Equal Weight/Positive, J/K/M Subsea 7 SA (SUBC.OL, 23-Nov-2018, NOK 86.14), Overweight/Positive, D/J/K/L/M/N
TechnipFMC Plc (FTI.PA, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 19.85), Equal Weight/Positive, CD/CE/D/J/K/L/M/N Tecnicas Reunidas (TRE.MC, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 22.34), Equal Weight/Positive, J/K/M/N
Tenaris (TENR.MI, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 11.63), Overweight/Positive, CE/J/K/N TGS (TGS.OL, 23-Nov-2018, NOK 233.40), Underweight/Positive, J
Total (TOTF.PA, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 47.59), Overweight/Positive, A/CD/CE/D/FA/J/K/L/M/N Tullow Oil Plc. (TLW.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBp 172), Overweight/Positive, A/CD/D/J/K/L/M/Q Vallourec (VLLP.PA, 23-Nov-2018, EUR 1.70), Underweight/Positive, CD/D/J/K/L/M/N Wood (WG.L, 23-Nov-2018, GBP 5.88), Underweight/Positive, D/J/K/L/M/N
Prices are sourced from Thomson Reuters as of the last available closing price in the relevant trading market, unless another time and source is indicated.
Disclosure Legend:
A:Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate has been lead manager or co-lead manager of a publicly disclosed offer of securities of the issuer in the previous 12 months.
B:An employee or non-executive director of Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate is a director of this issuer.
CD: Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate is a market-maker in debt securities issued by this issuer.
CE: Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate is a market-maker in equity securities issued by this issuer.
D:Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate has received compensation for investment banking services from this issuer in the past 12 months.
E:Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from this issuer within the next 3 months.
FA: Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate beneficially owns 1% or more of a class of equity securities of this issuer, as calculated in accordance with US regulations.
FB: Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate beneficially owns a long position of more than 0.5% of a class of equity securities of this issuer, as calculated in accordance with EU regulations.
FC: Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate beneficially owns a short position of more than 0.5% of a class of equity securities of this issuer, as calculated in accordance with EU regulations.
GD: One of the analysts on the fundamental credit coverage team (or a member of his or her household) has a financial interest in the debt or equity securities of this issuer.
GE: One of the analysts on the fundamental equity coverage team (or a member of his or her household) has a financial interest in the debt or equity securities of this issuer.
H:This issuer beneficially owns more than 5% of any class of common equity securities of Barclays PLC.
I:Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate is party to an agreement with this issuer for the provision of financial services to Barclays Bank PLC
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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES CONTINUED and/or an affiliate.
J:Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate is a liquidity provider and/or trades regularly in the securities of this issuer and/or in any related derivatives.
K:Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate has received non-investment banking related compensation (including compensation for brokerage services, if applicable) from this issuer within the past 12 months.
L:This issuer is, or during the past 12 months has been, an investment banking client of Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate.
M:This issuer is, or during the past 12 months has been, a non-investment banking client (securities related services) of Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate.
N:This issuer is, or during the past 12 months has been, a non-investment banking client (non-securities related services) of Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate.
O:Not in use.
P:A partner, director or officer of Barclays Capital Canada Inc. has, during the preceding 12 months, provided services to the subject company for remuneration, other than normal course investment advisory or trade execution services.
Q:Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate is a Corporate Broker to this issuer.
R:Barclays Capital Canada Inc. and/or an affiliate has received compensation for investment banking services from this issuer in the past 12 months.
S:This issuer is a Corporate Broker to Barclays PLC.
T:Barclays Bank PLC and/or an affiliate is providing equity advisory services to this issuer.
U:The equity securities of this Canadian issuer include subordinate voting restricted shares.
V:The equity securities of this Canadian issuer include non-voting restricted shares.
Risk Disclosure(s)
Master limited partnerships (MLPs) are pass-through entities structured as publicly listed partnerships. For tax purposes, distributions to MLP unit holders may be treated as a return of principal. Investors should consult their own tax advisors before investing in MLP units.
Guide to the Barclays Fundamental Equity Research Rating System:
Our coverage analysts use a relative rating system in which they rate stocks as Overweight, Equal Weight or Underweight (see definitions below) relative to other companies covered by the analyst or a team of analysts that are deemed to be in the same industry (the "industry coverage universe").
In addition to the stock rating, we provide industry views which rate the outlook for the industry coverage universe as Positive, Neutral or Negative (see definitions below). A rating system using terms such as buy, hold and sell is not the equivalent of our rating system. Investors should carefully read the entire research report including the definitions of all ratings and not infer its contents from ratings alone.
Stock Rating
Overweight - The stock is expected to outperform the unweighted expected total return of the industry coverage universe over a 12-month investment horizon.
Equal Weight - The stock is expected to perform in line with the unweighted expected total return of the industry coverage universe over a 12month investment horizon.
Underweight - The stock is expected to underperform the unweighted expected total return of the industry coverage universe over a 12-month investment horizon.
Rating Suspended - The rating and target price have been suspended temporarily due to market events that made coverage impracticable or to comply with applicable regulations and/or firm policies in certain circumstances including where the Investment Bank of Barclays Bank PLC is acting in an advisory capacity in a merger or strategic transaction involving the company.
Industry View
Positive - industry coverage universe fundamentals/valuations are improving.
Neutral - industry coverage universe fundamentals/valuations are steady, neither improving nor deteriorating. Negative - industry coverage universe fundamentals/valuations are deteriorating.
Below is the list of companies that constitute the "industry coverage universe":
Americas Integrated Oil |
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Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ.TO) |
Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE.TO) |
Chevron Corporation (CVX) |
ConocoPhillips (COP) |
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) |
Hess Corp. (HES) |
Husky Energy, Inc. (HSE.TO) |
Imperial Oil Ltd. (IMO.TO) |
Murphy Oil (MUR) |
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) |
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. (PBR) |
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. (PBRA) |
Suncor Energy (SU.TO) |
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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES CONTINUED
European Integrated Oil & Refining |
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BP (BP.L) |
Eni (ENI.MI) |
Equinor (EQNR.OL) |
Galp Energia (GALP.LS) |
Neste (NESTE.HE) |
OMV (OMVV.VI) |
Repsol (REP.MC) |
Royal Dutch Shell A (RDSa.L) |
Royal Dutch Shell B (RDSb.L) |
Saras (SRS.MI) |
Total (TOTF.PA) |
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European Oil & Gas: E&P |
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Africa Oil Corp. (AOIC.ST) |
Aker BP (AKERBP.OL) |
Cairn Energy Plc. (CNE.L) |
EnQuest Plc. (ENQ.L) |
Faroe Petroleum (FPM.L) |
International Petroleum Corp. (IPCOR.ST) |
Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) |
Lundin Petroleum AB (LUPE.ST) |
Ophir Energy Plc. (OPHR.L) |
Premier Oil Plc. (PMO.L) |
Savannah Petroleum (SAVP.L) |
Tullow Oil Plc. (TLW.L) |
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European Oil Services & Drilling |
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Aker Solutions (AKSOL.OL) |
CGG (GEPH.PA) |
Gulf Marine Services (GMS.L) |
Hunting (HTG.L) |
Maire Tecnimont (MTCM.MI) |
Petrofac (PFC.L) |
Petroleum Geo-Services (PGS.OL) |
Saipem (SPMI.MI) |
SBM Offshore (SBMO.AS) |
Subsea 7 SA (SUBC.OL) |
TechnipFMC Plc (FTI.PA) |
Tecnicas Reunidas (TRE.MC) |
Tenaris (TENR.MI) |
TGS (TGS.OL) |
Vallourec (VLLP.PA) |
Wood (WG.L) |
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Distribution of Ratings:
Barclays Equity Research has 1553 companies under coverage.
45% have been assigned an Overweight rating which, for purposes of mandatory regulatory disclosures, is classified as a Buy rating; 56% of companies with this rating are investment banking clients of the Firm; 76% of the issuers with this rating have received financial services from the Firm.
38% have been assigned an Equal Weight rating which, for purposes of mandatory regulatory disclosures, is classified as a Hold rating; 47% of companies with this rating are investment banking clients of the Firm; 67% of the issuers with this rating have received financial services from the Firm.
14% have been assigned an Underweight rating which, for purposes of mandatory regulatory disclosures, is classified as a Sell rating; 35% of companies with this rating are investment banking clients of the Firm; 66% of the issuers with this rating have received financial services from the Firm.
Guide to the Barclays Research Price Target:
Each analyst has a single price target on the stocks that they cover. The price target represents that analyst's expectation of where the stock will trade in the next 12 months. Upside/downside scenarios, where provided, represent potential upside/potential downside to each analyst's price target over the same 12-month period.
Top Picks:
Barclays Equity Research's "Top Picks" represent the single best alpha-generating investment idea within each industry (as defined by the relevant "industry coverage universe"), taken from among the Overweight-rated stocks within that industry. Barclays Equity Research publishes "Top Picks" reports every quarter and analysts may also publish intra-quarter changes to their Top Picks, as necessary. While analysts may highlight other Overweight-rated stocks in their published research in addition to their Top Pick, there can only be one "Top Pick" for each industry. To view the current list of Top Picks, go to the Top Picks page on Barclays Live (https://live.barcap.com/go/keyword/TopPicks).
To see a list of companies that comprise a particular industry coverage universe, please go to https://publicresearch.barclays.com.
Types of investment recommendations produced by Barclays Equity Research:
In addition to any ratings assigned under Barclays’ formal rating systems, this publication may contain investment recommendations in the form of trade ideas, thematic screens, scorecards or portfolio recommendations that have been produced by analysts within Equity Research. Any such investment recommendations shall remain open until they are subsequently amended, rebalanced or closed in a future research report.
Disclosure of other investment recommendations produced by Barclays Equity Research:
Barclays Equity Research may have published other investment recommendations in respect of the same securities/instruments recommended in this research report during the preceding 12 months. To view all investment recommendations published by Barclays Equity Research in the preceding 12 months please refer to https://live.barcap.com/go/research/Recommendations.
Legal entities involved in producing Barclays Research:
Barclays Bank PLC (Barclays, UK) Barclays Capital Inc. (BCI, US)
Barclays Securities Japan Limited (BSJL, Japan)
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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES CONTINUED
Barclays Bank PLC, Hong Kong branch (Barclays Bank, Hong Kong) Barclays Capital Canada Inc. (BCCI, Canada)
Barclays Bank Mexico, S.A. (BBMX, Mexico)
Barclays Securities (India) Private Limited (BSIPL, India) Barclays Bank PLC, India branch (Barclays Bank, India)
Barclays Bank PLC, Singapore branch (Barclays Bank, Singapore)
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DISCLAIMER:
This publication has been produced by Barclays Research Department in the Investment Bank of Barclays Bank PLC and/or one or more of its affiliates (collectively and each individually, "Barclays"). It has been distributed by one or more Barclays affiliated legal entities listed below. It is provided to our clients for information purposes only, and Barclays makes no express or implied warranties, and expressly disclaims all warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use with respect to any data included in this publication. To the extent that this publication states on the front page that it is intended for institutional investors and is not subject to all of the independence and disclosure standards applicable to debt research reports prepared for retail investors under U.S. FINRA Rule 2242, it is an “institutional debt research report” and distribution to retail investors is strictly prohibited. Barclays also distributes such institutional debt research reports to various issuers, media, regulatory and academic organisations for their own internal informational news gathering, regulatory or academic purposes and not for the purpose of making investment decisions regarding any debt securities. Media organisations are prohibited from re-publishing any opinion or recommendation concerning a debt issuer or debt security contained in any Barclays institutional debt research report. Any such recipients that do not want to continue receiving Barclays institutional debt research reports should contact debtresearch@barclays.com. Barclays will not treat unauthorized recipients of this report as its clients and accepts no liability for use by them of the contents which may not be suitable for their personal use. Prices shown are indicative and Barclays is not offering to buy or sell or soliciting offers to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Without limiting any of the foregoing and to the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Barclays, nor any affiliate, nor any of their respective officers, directors, partners, or employees have any liability for (a) any special, punitive, indirect, or consequential damages; or (b) any lost profits, lost revenue, loss of anticipated savings or loss of opportunity or other financial loss, even if notified of the possibility of such damages, arising from any use of this publication or its contents.
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The views in this publication are solely and exclusively those of the authoring analyst(s) and are subject to change, and Barclays Research has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. Unless otherwise disclosed herein, the analysts who authored this report have not received any compensation from the subject companies in the past 12 months. If this publication contains recommendations, they are general recommendations that were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Barclays and/or its affiliates, and/or the subject companies. This publication does not contain personal investment recommendations or investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or investment objectives of the clients who receive it. The securities and other investments discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Barclays is not a fiduciary to any recipient of this publication. Investors must independently evaluate the merits and risks of the investments discussed herein, consult any independent advisors they believe necessary, and exercise independent judgment with regard to any investment decision. The value of and income from any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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