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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Dr. Hans Zeisel from McCann-Erickson supervised the pro­duction of the charts. He was ably assisted by Ann Hurdman.

Practically every staff member of Columbia University's Of­fice of Radio Research, which is now a Division of its Bureau of Applied Social Research, has at one time or another worked on this study, especially Miss Wyant and Messrs. Farber, Fos-berg and Hennig. At several points we had the cooperation of Professor Douglas Waples, Mr. Jesse McKnight, Mr. Alfred Jones, Mr. Fritz Schreir, and Professors Michael Erdelyi, Robert Merton and Goodwin Watson.

The senior author is especially indebted to his colleagues in the Department of Sociology, Columbia University.

paul lazarsfeld bernard berelson hazel gaudet

Bureau of Applied Social Research Columbia University Summer, 1944

Contents

I. Introduction i

A New Research Method, H. A Guide for the Reader, 8

II. Erie County, Ohio, 1940 10

The Economy of the County, 12; The County and Politics, 13; The Setting of the Study, 13

III. Social Differences between Republicans and

Democrats 16

The Role of Socio-Economic Status, 17; Religious Affilia­tion and Age, 21; An Index of Political Predisposition, 25

IV. Ideological Differences between Republicans and

Democrats 28

Economic and Social Attitudes, 28; Political "Extroversion," 32; The War in Europe, 35; Partisanship and Party Argu­mentation, 37

V. Participation in the Election 40

Who Are the Interested People?, 42; Least Participation in the Campaign—the Non-Voter, 45; Most Participation in the Campaign—the Opinion Leaders, 49

VI. Time of Final Decision 52

Interest and Time of Decision, 53; Cross-Pressures and Time of Decision, 56; The Effect of Cross-Pressures, 60; Interest and Cross-Pressures, 61

VII. The Types of Changes 65

Time of Final Decision and the Changers, 66; Interest, Cross-Pressures, and the Changers, 67; The Personality Traits of the Changers, 69; The Mutability of the Changers, 70; The Story of the Changers, 71

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