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Ординатура / Хирургия / Библиотека им академика М.И. Перельмана / Книга_3752_Библиотеки_им_академика_М_И_Перельмана

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characteristics (Fig. 20.12 Dey). Automated assessment of plaque characteristics (Autoplaq®; Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California) has been shown by Dey et al. to correlate highly with measurements by intravascular ultrasound [ 41 ]. More recently, Diaz-Zamudio, Dey and associates have shown these automated plaque measure­ments to be predictive of abnormal FFR and more predictive than stenosis grading in intermediate coronary lesions, with total, noncalcifi ed, and low-attenuation being signifi cant pre­dictors of ischemia [ 42 ]. The automated assessments have the potential of becoming practical clinical tools that could augment the assessment of coronary stenosis by CCTA.
Beyond the anatomic assessments of plaque and stenosis, CCTA acquisitions can be used to assess physiologic pro­cesses. Two major developments have been recently reported in this regard. The fi rst is the assessment of myocardial per­fusion with CT (CT perfusion or CTP). CTP has its origins
in digital subtraction angiography initially evaluated in the 1970s. With cardiac CT, it has now been applied to assess perfusion defects at rest and during vasodilator stress, pro­viding assessments of regional hypoperfusion. The approach has recently been assessed in two large multicenter trials. The CORE64 study evaluated rest/adenosine CTP using the combination of stenosis 50 % on ICA and SPECT myocar­dial perfusion defect as the comparator of hypoperfusion. A high receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve area was reported [ 43 ]. Comparable accuracy for detection of ICA stenosis was subsequently reported in the trial between ade­nosine CTP and pharmacologic SPECT assessments. In another multicenter trial, Cury et al. reported a high ROC curve area for the assessment of perfusion defect comparing regadenoson CTP to regadenoson SPECT [ 44 ]. These reports suggest that CCTA might effectively be used clinically for assessment of vasodilator stress myocardial perfusion and
Fig. 20.9 Illustration of F-18 NaF uptake superimposed on CCTA ( right ) and corresponding culprit lesions on invasive coronary angio- grams ( left ) in a patient with recent anterior ST elevation MI ( top ) and non-ST elevation MI ( bottom ). Intense uptake of F-18 NaF ( orange/ red ) is seen at the site of the culprit plaques ( red arrows ). A bystander
lesion in the left circumfl ex coronary artery that was stented but was not the culprit vessel had no increase in uptake of F-18 NaF ( white arrows , lower panel ) (Reprinted from Joshi et al. [ 35 ] with permission under a Creative Commons Attribution license)
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coronary plaque and stenosis. Potentially, this combination could allow adjudication of borderline stenoses with respect to their hemodynamic signifi cance without need for a second stress test on a separate occasion.
An exciting even more recent development has been that of estimating FFR from a resting CCTA study FFRCT. This approach uses computational fl uid dynamics, assessing the CCTA studies through the use of an off-site supercomputer. The method does not require a second acquisition with its attendant radiation and work-fl ow complexity, and has no additional contrast or radiation, since it uses the standardly acquired CCTA study (Fig. 20.13 ). Three large multicenter trials have demonstrated the high accuracy of this method in predicting FFR by ICA [ 4547 ]. In the NXT study, the accu- racy of FFRCT exceeded that of coronary stenosis measured by ICA in prediction of FFR [ 47 ] (Fig. 20.14 ; Courtesy NXT). This promising technique could be of high value to interventionalists in determining the need for revasculariza-
tion and potentially allowing them to reduce the need for FFR measurements in the catheterization laboratory as well as to reduce the proportion of times that ICA is performed and revascularization is not needed. How well the approach will perform in standard clinical practice is currently under­going evaluation.
Value-Based Imaging
All of these assessments now available due to the techno­logic assessments must now be addressed in terms of how they will fi t in with the migration to value-based imaging. In this section, we address consideration of the “value proposi­tion” in four different settings in which CAD is considered or being evaluated: prevention, detection/assessment of ACS, assessment of patients with suspected or known SIHD, and patients with heart failure related to CAD.
Fig. 20.10 CCTA (volume rendering, right; curved multiplanar recon­struction ( middle ) and ICA showing adverse plaque characteristics associated with moderate stenosis in a culprit left anterior descending coronary artery lesion in a 40-year-old male patient presenting with acute coronary syndrome. The blue arrow on ICA shows the site of
maximal luminal obstruction. On CCTA the plaque is seen to be large, with positive remodeling ( yellow arrows ; remodeling index 1.43) and to have a low attenuation component ( red arrow ), consistent with lipid in necrotic core (Reprinted from Motoyama et al. [36] with permission from Elsevier)
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Fig. 20.11 Case examples illustrating the relationship of coronary stenosis on CCTA ( top ) to ischemia on SPECT-MPI polar maps ( bottom ) in patients with high grade coronary stenosis by quantitative coronary analysis ( QCA ). The patient on the left had an 81 % stenosis, associated with a plaque without adverse features ( green arrow ) and had no evidence of ischemia. The patient on the right had a 70 % stenosis by QCA, associated with a plaque with adverse characteristics of large volume, positive remodeling ( yellow arrow ) and low attenuation plaque ( red arrow ) and demonstrated clear evidence of ischemia (Reprinted from Shmilovich et al. [
38 ] with permission
from Elsevier)
Fig. 20.12 Features which can be assessed by automated quantitative plaque characterization (AutoPlaq®; Cedars-Sinai Medical Center; Los Angeles, California). NCP non-calcifi ed plaque, CP calcifi ed plaque (Reprinted from Dey et al. [ 41 ] copyright RNSA® with permission from the Radiological Society of North America)
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Prevention
More lives could be saved by appropriate implementation of preventive therapies such as the use of statin and aspirin than through the use of revascularization. Yet the manner in which prevention strategies are chosen is imprecise. Increasingly, modern concepts are that medicine is migrat­ing toward “precision medicine,” in which the therapy for a patient is chosen based on the characteristics of that indi­vidual. The standard guidelines for implementation of aggressive prevention strategies employ the use of global risk scores, such as the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) to place patients into treatment groups. These scores are based on risk factors that are known in populations to be independently associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascu­lar disease (ASCVD) [ 48 ]. The current ACC/AHA guide- lines from 2014 essentially result in nearly 100 % of men over age 55 having a recommendation for being on statin
and aspirin therapy [ 48 , 49 ]. There are multiple limitations in the use of global risk scores in the individual patient. They do not take into account individual variations of the biologic effects of the risk factor, the chronicity of the fac­tor, and cannot account for all risk factors. On the other hand, the CT CAC score is a marker of CAD in an indi­vidual patient, representing the integrated effect of all risk factors on the individual’s coronary vasculature. It thus overcomes the imprecision of the global risk scores. Recent analysis of patients from the Multi-Ethnic Subclinical Atherosclerosis (MESA) study has shown that the new AHA-ACC-ASCVD score overestimated risk by 25–115 %, with substantial implications for individual patients and the health care system [ 50 ].
Hundreds of studies have evaluated the prognostic value of the CAC in asymptomatic subjects. They have consis­tently documented that CAC score provides incremental
Fig. 20.13 Illustration of CCTA ( left ) ICA ( middle ) and FFR CT ( right ) in: a patient with a moderate coronary stenosis ( top ) associated with a reduced FFR and FFR
CT
( top ) and a patient with a higher grade coro-
nary stenosis associated with a normal FFR and FFR
CT
( bottom ). Note
the correspondence between the FFR and the FFR
CT
measurements and the discordance with the visually appreciated degree of stenosis ( red arrows ) (Reprinted from Min et al. [ 45 ] with permission from the American Medical Association)
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information over a global risk scores, mainly the FRS. Among most important of these studies to date are the MESA study [ 51 ] and the Heinz-Nixdorf Recall study [ 52 ]. These were large, population based studies in which CAC and multiple other tests were compared to global risk scores for assessing patient prognosis. The results of the trials were very similar. They showed strong incremental value of CAC over the FRS, and a high net reclassifi cation index (NRI). Each trial has had numerous substudies reported. In a recent report from the MESA trial, the CAC score was the only assessment of many including CRP to add to the FRS in assessment of prognosis [ 53 ]. Further interesting work from the MESA trial has been to show that the CAC score could be used to more effectively target statin and aspirin therapy than the FRS. With respect to aspirin, Miedema et al. [ 54 ] demon- strated from MESA that in patients with a low FRS (<10 %), the use of aspirin would result in net patient harm, whereas the use of aspirin in patients with CAC >100 would be asso­ciated with patient benefi t. Similarly, regarding statin ther­apy, it was projected that it is both cost-saving and more effective to scan intermediate-risk patient for CAC and to treat those with CAC 1 with a statin than basing treatment on standard risk- assessment guidelines [ 55 ].
The CAC scan can affect the degree to which the patient adopts heart healthy behaviors including improvement in risk factor profi le [ 56 ], intensifi cation of Rx [ 57 ], better adherence to Rx [ 58 ], dietary modifi cations [ 58 ], and increased exercise [ 59 ]. Interesting work from MESA demonstrated that improvement in healthy lifestyle behavior including regular exercise, healthy diet, smoking avoidance,
and weight maintenance was associated with lower coronary calcium incidence, slower calcium progression, and lower all-cause mortality over 7.6 years [ 60 ].
The largest randomized trial to date assessing the value of CAC scanning is the Early Identifi cation of Subclinical Atherosclerosis by Noninvasive Imaging Research (EISNER) trial [ 56 ]. It was designed to test the primary hypothesis that performing CAC scanning would lead to a benefi cial sus­tained 4-year effect on individuals’ CAD risk factors—using the FRS as a composite of these—as a surrogate for improved outcomes. Secondarily, we assessed the impact of CAC scanning on downstream medical resource utilization and healthcare costs. The trial involved assigning 2137 volunteers to groups that did versus did not undergo CAC scanning before risk factor counseling (2:1 scan/control randomiza­tion). Compared to the no-scan group, the scan group showed a net favorable change in systolic blood pressure (p = 0.02), LDL-cholesterol (p = 0.04), waist circumference for those with increased abdominal girth (p = 0.01), and tendency to weight loss among overweight subjects (p = 0.07). While mean FRS rose in the no-scan group, it remained static in the scan group (0.7 ± 5.1 versus 0.002 ± 4.9, p = 0.003). Within the scan group, increasing baseline CAC score was associ­ated with a dose–response improvement in systolic and dia­stolic blood pressure (p <0.001), total cholesterol (p <0.001), LDL- cholesterol (p <0.001), triglycerides (p <0.001), weight (p <0.001) and FRS (p = 0.003). Downstream medical testing and costs in the scan group were comparable versus the no­scan group, balanced by lower and higher resource utiliza­tion for those with normal CAC scans and CAC scores ≥400,
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FFR
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diagnostic accuracy superior to both CT and ICA stenosis
N=484
Accuracy Sensitivity Specificity PPV NPV
Fig. 20.14 Accuracy, sensitivity, and specifi city of FFR
CT
( red ) and percent diameter stenosis [ black : CCTA; pink : ICA] in prediction of invasive FFR (Reprinted with permission from Nørgaard et al. [ 47 ] with permission from Elsevier)
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respectively. Improvement in the global risk score, associ­ated with no increase in overall costs, provided evidence that there is value in testing this population at intermediate risk. Of note, this study had several components that were acting to underestimate the potential of the CAC scan to improve outcomes. The only difference between the control and treat­ment groups was a one-time counselling session in which the patients in the scan group were shown their scans and a nurse practitioner discussed the scan implications (those that were known at that early time) along with the patients risk factor profi le with the patient, while the control group patients received the risk factor counseling alone. There were no treatments recommended by the nurse practitioner; specifi ­cally, the only treatment guidelines that were discussed were those of the NCEP III—with no specifi c recommendation for change in treatment based on scanning. Subsequently, patients were sent by mail an anonymized report of their study; however, their physicians were not sent reports.
Application in Diabetes
Assessment of the asymptomatic patient with diabetes is an important subgroup with generally a higher risk of cardiac events than patients in most other asymptomatic groups. Comparing the potential value of the various noninvasive tests in these patients casts further light on their effectiveness in the asymptomatic patient population. CAC scanning may be of value in this application.
Extensive data has shown that a CAC score of 0 is found in a high proportion of adult asymptomatic diabetics—38 % in the MESA study [ 61 ]. The possibility that this fi nding might improve patient outcomes, particularly in the psycho­logic well being of the diabetic patient, if of interest in this regard. There is a greater increase of risk of events in every category of increased CAC score when compared to the non­diabetic population. CAC scanning has the potential of defi n­ing a high risk group that might benefi t from ischemia testing.
Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) have suggested that routine SPECT-MPI in the asymptomatic diabetic patient may not be of value. In the Detection of Ischemia in Asymptomatic Diabetics (DIAD) study [ 62 ], 1143 asymp- tomatic diabetics were randomized to either a screening approach using SPECT-MPI (n = 522), or a non- imaging regimen. The patients were not selected to be high risk. Over a 4.8 year follow-up, the cardiac event rates were low and there was no outcome benefi t in the group undergoing SPECT-MPI. While the prevalence of any perfusion or LV function abnormality was 22 %, a moderate-to-large perfu­sion defect was present in ischemia only 6 %. In the small group that did have moderate-to-large perfusion defects, the event rate was elevated. The Basel Asymptomatic High-risk Diabetes Outcome (BARDOT) trial [ 63 ] studied 400 patients with type 2 diabetes who had no history or symptoms of CAD, but who were defi ned as high risk. Baseline SPECT-
MPI was abnormal in 22 %, concordant with the results of the DIAD study. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE, defi ned as cardiac death, myocardial infarction, or symptom­driven coronary revascularization) occurred in 2.9 % of patients with normal baseline SPECT- MPI compared to
9.8 % of patients with an abnormal MPI (p = 0.011). Patients with abnormal SPECT-MPI were randomized to an approach of catheterization with intended revascularization vs nonin­vasive management; there was no difference in outcomes in those randomized to medical therapy only vs combined medical therapy and revascularization. Overall, the fi ndings suggest a lack of outcome benefi t of stress testing of asymp­tomatic diabetic patients. Whether such testing might have been benefi cial if the defi nition of high-risk had been based on elevated CAC levels would be of interest.
A recent multicenter RCT has evaluated the application of CCTA in the high risk asymptomatic diabetic patient. In this regard, the FACTOR-64 trial evaluated whether routine cor­onary CTA screening of high risk asymptomatic diabetics affects changes in treatment that leads to a reduction in car­diac events [ 64 ]. Nine hundreds patients were randomized to CT screening (n = 452) with protocol specifi c recommenda­tions for management after testing or standard care (n = 448). CCTA showed no CAD in 31 %, mild plaque <50 % stenosis in 46 %, moderate stenosis in 12 %, and severe stenosis in 11 % of the patients. CCTA prompted a stress test in 14 % of the cases, and angiography in 8 %, of whom 53 % underwent subsequent PCI and 19 % underwent coronary artery bypass graft (CABG). There was a trend for a lower rate of events in the CT group: for the primary composite endpoint of death, MI, or hospitalization for unstable angina, the rate was 6.2 % in the CT arm vs. 7.6 % in the standard care group (HR 0.80, 95 % CI 0.49–1.32, p = 0.38). At the end of the trial, the CT group showed improvements in statin use and intensity, lipid fractions, and blood pressure levels. The composite primary end point was less than half of expected and there was a non­signifi cant trend toward lower composite events. While not yet proven statistically in this trial, the results suggest that a strategy based on screening high risk asymptomatic diabet­ics using CCTA might be of value.
Value of Noninvasive Imaging for Prevention
Given the plethora of CAC studies demonstrating the adverse prognosis of a high CAC score, it is questionable whether a suffi ciently powered randomized clinical trial demonstrating that CAC improves outcomes be performed. Nonetheless, a vast amount of consistent observational data suggest that CAC scanning in the appropriate asymptomatic patient at low to intermediate risk would result in improved outcomes that would outweigh any increase in costs associated with the test and downstream testing and treatments, thus providing value (Fig. 20.15 ). The possibility that coronary CTA or stress myocardial perfusion imaging might prove of value in very high risk asymptomatic patients has not been fully explored.
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Evaluation of the Symptomatic Patient
In the symptomatic patient without known CAD, the fi rst question that arises addresses what is the cause of the symptoms (i.e., establishing the diagnosis) and, after it is answered, what is the appropriate treatment, which involves assessment of short term as well as long term risk. While use of 50 % stenosis on ICA for establishing diagnosis of CAD as the cause of symptoms is questioned, it has been the usual standard for establishing the presence of “signifi ­cant” CAD—a standard that might be common to assess­ment of the patients with either acute or stable chest pain syndromes. In this regard, the sensitivity and specifi city for detection of “angiographically signifi cant” CAD has long been a standard for test assessment. Extensive evidence has shown that direct visualization of the coronary stenosis with CCTA is superior to all other forms of noninvasive testing, on a per patient, per vessel, and per segment basis [ 6568 ]. Beyond detection of stenosis, CCTA has been studied extensively in risk prediction and effect on patient outcomes.
Evaluation of Patient with Acute Chest Pain
Almost eight million individuals are evaluated each year for acute chest pain in the emergency department (ED) [ 69 ]. Despite standardized protocols and high vigilance, between 2 and 6 % of patients are erroneously discharged with missed myocardial infarction [ 70 ] with higher mortality rates than patients who are hospitalized. For patients with normal or nondiagnostic initial ECGs and troponin levels on presenta­tion to the ED, an important clinical problem is to distinguish those with acute coronary syndromes requiring hospital admission from those who may be safely discharged. It is now standard in many EDs and chest pain centers to evaluate such patients with a “rule-out myocardial infarction” strat­egy followed by stress testing and/or cardiac imaging; how­ever, it has been estimated that the diagnosis of acute ED chest pain costs $10–$12 billion annually in the United States [ 69 ].
Use of SPECT-MPI in the Evaluation of Acute Chest Pain
Noninvasive imaging has become part of the standard of care in assessing patients with low to intermediate risk of an ACS in the ED. A common approach is to use rest or rest/ stress Tc-99m sestamibi or tetrofosmin SPECT-MPI for this purpose. A 99 % negative predictive value of rest SPECT­MPI, when the radiopharmaceutical is injected during or shortly after chest pain, has been reported [ 69 ]. A prospec- tive, randomized, controlled multicenter trial examined whether incorporating acute rest SPECT-MPI into an ER evaluation strategy of patients presenting with suspected acute ischemia improved initial ER triage [ 71 ]. A signifi - cant reduction in hospitalization was noted in patients with normal SPECT-MPI studies. When the radiopharmaceutical is injected after pain has subsided and the SPECT-MPI study is normal, stress SPECT- MPI studies or stress only SPECT-MPI protocols are common and have been shown to be effective [ 72 ]. The comparative use of SPECT-MPI to CCTA is discussed below. Below, evidence that CCTA may be superior in this application will be presented; however, there are settings in which CCTA would be expected to be nondiagnostic in which SPECT-MPI might be preferred. These include patients with known dense coronary calcifi ­cation, elderly patients in whom dense coronary calcifi ca­tions are likely, patients with prior bypass surgery, possibly with prior percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), and known ischemic cardiomyopathy, and with contraindica­tions to CCTA.
Use of CCTA in the Evaluation of Acute Chest Pain
Three large randomized clinical trials have evaluated the application of CCTA to patients in with suspected ACS in the emergency department in comparison to a standard of care approach (SOC). In all of these studies, the patients evalu­ated were defi ned as being in a low to intermediate group regarding the likelihood of having an ACS at the time of their ED visit. The fi rst of these was the CT-STAT trial comparing CCTA to rest/stress SPECT-MPI [ 73 ]. In 16 centers, 699 patients were randomly assigned to CCTA (n = 361) or MPI (n = 338) as the index noninvasive test. CCTA resulted in a 54 % reduction in time to diagnosis (2.9 h vs. 6.3 h) compared with MPI (p <0.0001). Costs of care were 38 % lower (p <0.0001). The diagnostic strategies had no differ­ence in major adverse cardiac events after normal index test­ing (0.8 % in the CCTA arm vs. 0.4 % in the MPI arm, p = 0.29). The ACRIN-PA trial [ 74 ] evaluated 1392 low-to- intermediate risk patients (TIMI score 0–2) presenting to the ED to CCTA or the physician elected traditional approach to standard care in a 2:1 ratio. Patients evaluated with coronary
Fig. 20.15 Hypothesized value of using CAC scanning for prevention in patients with an intermediate risk of ASCVD
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CTA had a shorter mean hospital stay and were also dis­charged more rapidly (total length of stay 18 vs 25 h; p <0.0001) and more frequently (50 vs 23 %) than patients undergoing the standard care evaluation. Of 640 patients with a negative CCTA examination, none died or had a myo­cardial infarction within 30 days [ 74 ]. The ROMICAT II trial [ 75 ] randomly assigned patients 40–74 years of age with symptoms suggestive of acute coronary syndromes but with­out ischemic electrocardiographic changes or an initial posi­tive troponin test to early CCTA or to standard evaluation in the emergency department. The rate of acute coronary syn­dromes among 1000 patients with a mean (±SD) age of 54 ± 8 years (47 % women) was 8 %. Compared with stan­dard evaluation, in the CCTA group, the mean length of hos­pital stay was reduced by 7.6 h (p <0.001). Fifty percent of the patients in the CCTA arm were discharged by 8.6 vs
26.7 h in the standard ED evaluation arm (p <0.001). A higher proportion of patients were discharged directly from the emergency department (47 vs. 12 %, p <0.001). Sixty­two percent of patients were in the ED for 12 h or less in the CCTA arm vs 21 % in the control arm. There were no signifi ­cant differences in major adverse cardiovascular events at 28 days. The cumulative mean cost of care was similar in the CCTA group and the standard-evaluation group ($4289 and $4060, respectively; p = 0.65).
The CT-COMPARE trial [ 76 ] was a single center large randomized trial comparing CCTA to exercise ECG testing (ExECG) in 562 patients with low-intermediate risk chest pain subjects. ACS occurred in 24 (4 %) patients. Despite higher odds of downstream testing in the CCTA arm (OR
2.0), 30 day per-patient cost was signifi cantly lower in the CCTA group ($2193 vs $2704, p < 0.001). The length of stay of patients in the CCTA arm was signifi cantly shorter (p < 0.0005). No patient had post-discharge cardiovascular events at 30 days.
Value of CCTA in the Patient with Suspected ACS
How might the results of these four trials be interpreted with respect to “value”? In aggregate, the results are consistent with respect to the major fi ndings. Overall, both CCTA and standard of care approaches are successful in assuring a low risk of missed events or of early events after discharge. Regarding outcomes, while “hard outcomes” of death or myocardial infarction were not different, improved outcomes would include the patient benefi t of rapid discharge and the effect of their rapid discharge on improved care of other patients in a busy ED environment. An effect that has not yet been adequately assessed is the potential of the CCTA approach to reduce both short term and long term costs. Since extensive data has now shown that patients with com­pletely normal CCTA studies have an extremely low rate of subsequent ACS over a prolonged period of time, there may be fewer repeat visits to the ED by patients with normal stud­ies, who might be less concerned about their recurrent chest
symptoms. In this regard, the downstream long term effects of knowledge about the presence of non-obstructive CAD— if effectively explained to the patient—may have the effect of increasing preventive treatment and improving outcomes. Thus, the “value proposition” for the use of CCTA in the ED is likely to be positive for application in the correctly selected patient (Fig. 20.16 ). It is of great interest, however, that as of 2015, the largest insurance carrier in the United States— Wellpoint—has a national medical policy (with effective date 10/08/2013) that the use of CCTA “is considered inves­tigational and not medically necessary for…diagnosis of CAD, in individuals with acute or non-acute symptoms” [ 77 ] (reference “Anthem; Medical Policy #: RAD 00035 Last Review Date: 02/05/2015”).
Evaluation of the Symptomatic Patient with Suspected Stable Ischemic Heart Disease (SIHD)
Chest discomfort or other symptoms raising the possibility of angina are among the most common problems confronting primary care physicians and cardiologists. While stress testing, usually with imaging, is the most common manner in which patients with suspected SIHD are evaluated, the use of CCTA is rapidly growing in this setting. In these patients, the reason for testing is twofold: (1) establishing the diagnosis explaining the symptoms so as to institute the appropriate medical therapy and (2) assessing potential benefi t from revascularization. Despite the youth of the method—with CCTA being introduced with 64 slice scanners only in 2005—an impressive body of evidence has been accumulated documenting the effectiveness of CCTA not only for estab­lishing the diagnosis but in assessing the risk of events.
As noted above, CCTA has higher sensitivity and speci-
fi city for angiographically signifi cant disease noted above
Fig. 20.16 Hypothesized value of using CCTA in patients with acute chest pain. ED emergency department
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when compared to other forms of testing. Regarding risk of cardiac events, strong prognostic power of CCTA has been consistently demonstrated. A large number of manuscripts have been published from the CONFIRM registry, which as of 2015 was comprised of more than 32,000 patients evalu­ated in six countries, in whom comprehensive clinical, scan, and outcome data were recorded [ 78 ]. Data elements included risk factors, symptom type, CCTA results inter­preted in 16 coronary segments for plaque, plaque type, and stenosis severity (0 = normal; 1 = 1 to <50 % stenosis; 2 = 50 to <70 % stenosis, and 3 = ≥70 % stenosis). The number of vessels with 50 % stenosis, a modifi ed Duke score which added the location of the stenosis, a segment involvement score (SIS)—the number from 0 to 16 of segments with plaque, and a summed severity score (SSS), accounting for the severity of stenosis and the number of segments involved, ranging from 0 to 48. In the seminal article from CONFIRM, Min et al. reported analysis of 23,854 patients without known CAD who underwent a 2.3 year follow-up [ 78 ]. This early study demonstrated that the mortality rate in patients with entirely normal CCTA studies was extremely low, and that with every degree of increasing abnormality, mortality rate increased. Importantly, there was signifi cant increase in mor­tality in the patients with non-obstructive CAD progressively increasing according to anatomic extent and severity of non­obstructive CAD (Fig. 20.17 ). This increase was noted for the number of vessels with greater than 50 % stenosis, the modifi ed Duke score, the SIS, and the SSS. These increases in mortality with each increasing degree of anatomic abnor­mality were observed in men and women. Since this publica­tion, consistent fi ndings have been reported from CONFIRM across multiple patient subgroups, ranging from patients with no risk factors [ 79 ] to patients with abnormal left ven- tricular function [ 80 ]. In a group of 15,187 patients from CONFIRM in whom MACE events were recorded (death, myocardial infarction, and late revascularization), this graded relationship between events and observed degree of CAD by CCTA was also seen [ 81 ]. A long “warranty period” for patients with a normal has been described: the annual event rate of patients with a normal CCTA study has been reported in multiple studies to be less than 0.25 %.
Two large randomized clinical trials comparing CCTA to a SOC approach have recently been reported. The Scot-Heart Trial [ 82 ] examined 4138 patients aged 18–75 presenting to 12 rapid access chest pain centers in Scotland who were ran­domized to CCTA vs a SOC approach. The median follow up time was 1.7 years. Of note, 85 % of the patients had already had stress ECG testing at the time of randomization. The pri­mary endpoint was certainty of the diagnosis of angina sec­ondary to coronary heart disease at 6 weeks. From 2010 to 2014, the study randomized 4146 (42 %) of 9849 patients who had been referred for assessment of suspected angina due to CHD. At baseline, 47 % of participants had a clinic diagnosis of CHD and 36 % were considered to have angina
due to CHD. At 6 weeks, CTCA reclassifi ed the diagnosis of CHD in 558 (27 %) patients and the diagnosis of angina due to CHD in 481 (23 %) patients (p <0.0001). Regarding the presence of CHD, physician certainty increased (p < 0.0001) and the frequency of CHD increased (p = 0·0172). Regarding diagnosis of angina due to CHD, the certainty increased (p < 0.0001). The fi ndings changed planned investigations (in 15 vs 1 %; p <0.0001) and treatments (23 vs 5 %; p <0.0001) (Fig. 20.18 ), but did not affect 6-week symptom severity or subsequent admittances to hospital for chest pain. After
1.7 years, CTCA was associated with a 38 % reduction in fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction (26 vs 42, HR 0.62, 95 % CI 0.38–1.01; p = 0.053), close to, but missing, statisti­cal signifi cance (Fig. 20.18 ). The overall conclusion of the trial was the CCTA changed and clarifi ed diagnosis in one of four patients, altered subsequent investigations in one of six, changed treatment in one of four and showed a trend toward reduction of fatal and non-fatal MI.
The PROMISE trial [ 83 ] evaluated 10,003 symptomatic patients (60.8 ± 8.3 years, 52.7 % were women, 87.7 % symptomatic) with no prior CAD who were referred for noninvasive testing, randomizing them to CCTA (n = 4686) or functional testing (n = 4692) with stress nuclear (67.3 %), stress echo (22.5 %), or stress ECG alone (10.2 %). The composite primary end point was death, myocardial infarc­tion, hospitalization for unstable angina, or major procedural complication. Secondary end points included invasive car­diac catheterization that did not show obstructive CAD and radiation exposure. The mean pretest likelihood of obstruc­tive CAD by the Diamond-Forrester classifi cation was
53.3 ± 21.4 %. However, the observed prevalence of 50 % stenosis on CCTA in the CCTA arm was only 11.3 %. Over a median follow-up period of 25 months, a primary
Prognostic Value of CCTA CAD Extent / Severity
23,854 patients w/o known CAD (57±13 years), 2.3 year f/u
1.00
0.98
0.96
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Survival Probability
0.90
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5
Survival Time (Years)
2.0 2.5 3.0
3-Vessel/Left Main
p<0.0001
p<0.001
p<0.0001
2-Vessel
1-Vessel
CAD
CAD
Normal
Non-Obstructive
p<0.0001
Fig. 20.17 Unadjusted All-Cause Kaplan-Meier Survival by the pres­ence, extent, and severity of CAD by CCTA. Note the dose- response relationship of mortality to increasing numbers of vessels with obstruc­tive coronary artery disease ( CAD ). f/u follow-up (Reprinted from Min et al. [ 78 ] with permission from Elsevier)
20 Value Based Imaging for Coronary Artery Disease: Implications for Nuclear Cardiology and Cardiac CT
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end-point event occurred in 3.3 % of the CCTA group and
3.0 % in the functional-testing group (p = ns). No signifi cant difference was also shown in subsequent death or non-fatal MI. While invasive coronary angiography was more com­mon within 90 days after testing in the CCTA group (12.2 vs.
8.1 %), CCTA was associated with fewer catheterizations showing no obstructive CAD than was functional testing (3.4 vs. 4.3 %, P = 0.02). Although the trial was not powered for non-inferiority, this large trial suggests that a strategy of ini­tial CCTA is not inferior to the more commonly employed functional strategy with respect to short term cardiac events in a relatively low risk, symptomatic population.
The infl uence of CCTA on subsequent management is illustrated in case examples on Fig. 20.19 . When the fi ndings of CCTA are completely normal, treatment and subsequent testing is clear. The very high negative predictive value—the defi nitive ability to rule out CAD and the associated long “warranty period”—is a principal driving force in the application of CCTA. As with CAC scanning, the fi nding of non-obstructive CAD may prompt the use of aggressive preventive measures, which is likely to ultimately improve long term outcomes. When a proximal high grade stenosis is found, direct referral for invasive coronary angiography would likely follow. Stress imaging after CCTA may be useful in guiding the decisions in patients with borderline coronary stenosis (50–69 %), non-diagnostic CCTA results, and possibly patients with signifi cant but not critical stenosis to evaluate the presence and extent and severity of ischemia as a guide to potential benefi t from revascularization. As dis­cussed above, FFRCT is an alternative approach to assess­ment of lesions associated with diagnostic uncertainty. An
approach to the symptomatic patient with an intermediate pretest likelihood of CAD, based on using CCTA as the ini­tial test is shown schematically in Fig. 20.20 .
Value of CCTA and Stress Imaging in the Patient with Suspected Stable Ischemic Heart Disease
How might the results of these the current evidence be inter­preted with respect to “value” of CCTA and stress imaging in suspected SIHD? A conceptual approach to the symptomatic patient with an intermediate pretest likelihood of CAD, based on using CCTA as the initial test, is shown in Fig. 20.21 . The value will likely depend on the correct selection of patients for testing. Consistent large registry data provide evidence of excellent risk stratifi cation by CCTA. The Scot­Heart trial suggested a possible benefi t with respect to out­comes, and important changes in confi dence of diagnosis and changes in therapy. The PROMISE trial provided evi­dence that CCTA has similar outcomes compared to a func­tional approach in a patient group with a low prevalence of CAD. It is reasonable to hypothesize that in the low-interme­diate likelihood of obstructive CAD group, there may be an outcome benefi t as suggested by Scot-Heart, or outcomes might be unchanged as suggested by PROMISE. CCTA strategy will likely be less costly than a functional strategy, despite an increase in the rate of revascularization (Fig. 20.21 ). The greatest cost savings might be in patients with entirely normal studies—as the benign prognosis asso­ciated with the completely normal study, commonly seen in the patients being sent for testing, becomes more widely appreciated. In these patients, it is likely that the frequency repeat functional tests will be lower than with the functional
CTCA and Clinical Outcome
1.7 Years of Follow-up
CHD Death, Non-Fatal MI
and Non-fatal Stroke
CHD Death and Non-Fatal MI
HR 0.64 [0.41-1.01], P=0.056
HR 0.62 [0.38-1.01], P=0.053
0123
Follow up
(years)
0123
Follow up
(years)
Proportion of patients
with an event (%)
Proportion of patients
with an event (%)
CTCA
Standard Care
Standard Care 2073 1550 837 316 Standard Care 2073 1547 835 315
Standard Care
CTCA CTCA 2073 1569 851 3212073 1571 853 323
CTCA
5
4
3
2
1
0
5
4
3
2
1
0
Fig. 20.18 Results of the Scot Heart Trial. Kaplan­Meier curves for CHD death and myocardial infarction ( left ) and CHD death, myocardial infarction, and stroke ( right ) in patients assigned to CTCA ( blue ) and standard care ( red ) (Adapted with permission from the Newby et al. Lancet , 2015 under a Creative Commons Attribution license)
D.S. Berman et al.
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