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Lecture 5 – part 1

Detection of self-similar and quasi-periodic processes in complex systems: How quantitatively to describe their behavior?

Professor Raoul R. Nigmatullin

Radio-electronics and Informative-Measurements

Technics Department, (RE&IMT department)

Kazan National-Research Technical University (KNRTU-KAI),

Karl Marx str.10, 420011, Kazan, Tatarstan, Russia

e-mail: renigmat@gmail.com

Plan of the lecture 5 (part 1 and part 2)

1. Properties of the Self-Similar (SS)- systems. How to see their SS (fractal) properties and solve inverse problem: to restore the desired scaling equation?

2. Examples: Economic data, Meteo-data

3.Perspectives of further research.

4.Properties of the QP-systems. How to see the QP properties and describe them in terms of the generalized Prony’s spectrum (GPS) ?

5.How to find the period T?

6.Examples: Acoustic data recorded from test hole (TGT)

7.Perspectives of further research.

2

How to extract the logic and compress the text material? The secrets of the ex-excellent student.

3

Mnemonic symbols that help to

order and see the logic of material. You can use it for writing any paper, lecture and etc.

4

The basic message for the audience

The Self-Similar scenario.

How to prove the presence of SS property based on a set of data points? How to restore the proper scaling equation?

Algorithm of recognition?

Comments

How to justify SS principle on real

data?

What is QP process? Periodic function x Non-Periodic envelope/component

The Quasi-Periodic scenario.

How to prove the presence of the QP? How to restore the corresponding functional equation?

Memory between measurements? The meaning of the Prony’s decomposition?

How to prove the existence of memory between measurements?

5

Introductory part

Conventional laws:

Strongly-

models and simple

correlated

systems

variables

Complex systems:

Strongly-

models are absent.

correlated

Principles?!

variables

Another space?

 

 

 

Range( )

 

 

H

, 0 H 1.

 

1

 

2

Stdv( )

 

 

 

 

Env( ) a1

a2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Here the current time [ j (j=1,2,…,N)] is associated with the length of the discrete random sequence having N discrete points.

Uncontroll- able factors are weak

Uncontroll- able factors are strong

Envelope of

the SRA

6

Introductory part

Fractal system, SS process? How to prove it?

It is necessary to find the fractal dimension (D), to determine the limits of applicability of the scaling properties and to prove the evidence/absence of log-periodic oscillations [9] that accompany any scaling process in time or space.

How to find the convincing arguments for the skeptical scholar if a scientist has only a set of numerical data characterizing the response of a complex system and nothing else?

In this presentation continuing these ideas mentioned above we want to prove that based on the justified (for many random sequences) SS principle it is possible to prove that many random data have self-similar structure and, thereby, to solve the inverse problem.

It implies to reveal the desired fitting function that enables to fit many self-similar and random functions satisfying to the SS principle.

The fitting parameters of this function can be used for comparing two or more random data series with each other. (the idea of reduction of initial set of random parameters)

7

Some important details of the problem

S(z ) 1S(z) s0

Solution of the

Scaling Equation

Here S(z) defines a physical value that depends on the argument z which can be associated with any current variable as time, frequency, coordinate and etc. In general, it can accept real or complex value. The parameters and 1 denote the scaling

factors. The constant s0 represents a possible shift.

 

 

 

ln( 1)

 

 

s0

 

 

1 cos(bnt)

 

S(z) A0 z

 

Pr(ln z),

ln

, A0

 

 

.

C(t)

 

 

, C(bt) aC(t), a ?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

n

 

 

 

 

1 1

 

n

 

 

Pr(ln

Pr(ln

K

 

 

2 k

z) A0 Ack cos

k 1

 

 

 

z ln ) Pr(ln z).

ln z As sin 2 k ln k

ln z , ln

Log-periodic function

The problem can be formulated as follows: It is necessary to justify the self-similar structure of random data characterizing the behavior of the complex system under analysis.

Then it is necessary to develop a procedure for the fitting of the data to the function S(z), to find the desired fitting parameters and to restore the functional equation for S(z).

Random sequence (RS)

S(z)

If Random Sequence

is fractal!

 

 

 

 

8

The description of the algorithm

Step 1. Reduction an interval to three incident (invariant) points. Does it prove SS – principle of the curve?

Let us choose some interval [x0, xk-1] containing a set of k data points {(x0, y0), … , (xk-1, yk-1)}.

One can reduce this information into three incident points if the first point is associated with the mean value of the amplitudes and the other two points are associated to their maximal and minimal values, correspondingly. So, this selection represents the simplest reduction of the given set of k random points to three characteristic points p1=mean{y0, … , yk-1},

p2=max{y0, … , yk-1}, p3=min{y0, … , yk-1}. We suppose that for any finite set of k data points

these three incident points exist. In general, these chosen sets can contain different number

of points.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pmn

Fig.1. Initial data that show the distribution

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

of prices of gold (for one Troy Ounce in

 

2.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

KiloUSD

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

kiloUSD). These data are taken from the site

1.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

http://www.indexmundi.com/commodities/.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ounce in

1.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Troy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

September

 

September 1982

 

 

 

 

 

2012 year

 

for

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

mean Price

0.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

 

 

 

 

1(0.9.1982) < months <360(0.9.2012)

 

 

 

9

Compression program (reduction to 3 IP)

The reduction procedure for a single Sequence having N data points

The reduction procedure for the matrix having M columns

10

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