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229 Statistical Analysis of Genome-wide Association Studies for Myopia

assuming true effect differs among studies, consider two sources of variances: within-study sampling error and between-study heterogeneity. The commonly used method to test between-study heterogeneity is called Cochran’s Q statistics, for which the large values of Cochran’s Q favor the alternative hypothesis of heterogeneity.56 For datasets i = 1, …,k, T1, …,Tk is the study-specific effect size. The Cochram’s Q statistic is computed by

k

 

k

wiT1

Q = wi (T1 T),

where T =

Σi =1

k

 

wi

i =1

 

Σi =1

and wi is the inverse of the estimated variance in dataset i. Q is distributed as a chi-square distribution with k-1 degree of freedom. An alternative form, statistic I2 (inconsistency), derived from Q, 100% × (Q-degree of freedom), is a measure of the percentage of heterogeneity vs total variation across studies. If I2 > 50%, it indicates the presence of heterogeneity. If evidence of heterogeneity is demonstrated, measure to identify its possible cause is needed before any explicit conclusion is drawn. In such a case, additional cohort for replication or fine mapping approaches might be required to further investigate on the true genetic variants of interest.

Visualization Tools

To synthesize hundreds of thousands of p-values for multiple phenotypes from a GWA study, it often relies on good graphical presentation. Manhattan plots and Quantile-Quantil (Q-Q) plots are the most frequently used figures to present p-values of high density markers across the whole genome. Manhattan plot can be easily generated from Haploview program (hapmap.org), and can provide an overall view of the association evidences in the nearby region of the highly significant variants. Here, we show an example of Manhattan plot using the GWA results for SE from right eye from the SCORM GWA studies of Chinese children (Fig. 3). This figure provides snapshots on the chromosomal regions with promising association evidence. For instance, a region in chromosome 13 revealed the best p-value.

Q-Q plots provide a visual summary of the distribution of the observed test statistics (e.g. chi-square test statistic) in the GWA study vs the expected statistic. McCarthy et al. (2008)16 provided a nice illustration of Q-Q plots with interpretation of the pattern (see Box 2 in McCarthy et al.).

230 Y.J. Li and Q. Fan

Figure 3. An overview of GWA results for the SE trait (left eye) from the SCORM and SP datasets, respectively.

For instance, when the Q-Q plot line is close to the diagonal line, it indicates that there is very little association evidence in the study. One the other hand, if the observed line is much off from the diagonal line, there may be concerns for the population stratification. If only the tail part of the Q-Q plot line is much off from the diagonal line, it indicates that there is compelling evidence of the disease association in the dataset.

Both Manhattan and Q-Q plots are tools for summarizing all p-values from GWA studies, not providing additional bioinformation related to the SNP. WGAviewer, another free program, can annotate the SNPs and their associated p-values in relationship to gene structure, SNP function, gene expression, and other GWA studies (http://www.genome.duke.edu/centers/ pg2/downloads/wgaviewer.php).57 This tool can take us beyond p-values by providing biological information for the loci of interest.

Drawing Conclusions

To date, the determination of ‘top-hit’ markers in the GWA setting is mostly p-value driven. The threshold for declaring genome wide significance is widely accepted at 5 × 10–8.1,58,59 However, sample size should be considered even though such a p-value is reached. Regardless what top p-values are observed in the GWA study, it will need to be replicated by other independent datasets. In addition, to judge the p-values from GWA studies, prior genetic research findings can also serve as good references. The genetic research of myopia has a great resource of linkage

231 Statistical Analysis of Genome-wide Association Studies for Myopia

information (e.g. MYP loci) and public expression data, such as EyeSAGE database60 from human retina and retinal pigment epithelium. This information can definitely help investigators to prioritize the GWA results.

Acknowledgments

The grant 06/1/21/19/466 from the Singapore BioMedical Research Council (BMRC) and National Institutes of Health grant 1R21-EY-019086 provided funding for the genome wide association study for SCORM.

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Section 4

Animal Models and

the Biological Basis of Myopia

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