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66 M.C.C. Lim and K.D. Frick

proportion of uncorrected refractive error; an economic rationale for governments to provide these is more likely to be justifiable.3,4

Myopia is often given minor priority in public health research, yet the societal costs of myopia can be considerable. In a broad view, costs include not only the costs of optical correction, but also morbidity resulting from eye diseases associated with myopia such as glaucoma, cataract, maculopathy and retinal detachment. As a first step, conducting a study that looks at only costs of the disease and treatment without considering alternatives is relatively simple to do. Studies that examine only costs of treating the disease can be either cost-of-illness or burden-of-disease studies. The former is concerned with costs from time of incidence, while the latter is concerned with the costs of treating prevalent cases regardless of time of incidence. These studies help to quantify the overall burden of a disease and allow comparisons with burdens of other diseases of the costs of the disease. Ultimately, economists prefer evaluations looking at both costs and benefits. With sufficient information, a full economic evaluation would look at costs and benefits of multiple alternatives.

The Economic Cost of Myopia: A Burden-of-Disease Study

At the simplest level, one could look into calculating the worldwide cost of correcting myopia, a burden-of-disease evaluation. Initially, the prevalence of myopia, or the number of myopes, must be estimated. The proportion of myopes paying for correction and unit price data are also needed to estimate the economic cost of myopia.

Annual cost of myopia = Number of paying myopes

×average amount spent per myope

=Population

×myopia prevalence

×proportion of myopes having correction

×proportion of myopes paying for correction

×average amount spent per myope.

(The reader should note that this is the “observed” burden. The “maximum” burden would include treatment of all myopes.)

67 The Economics of Myopia

Data needed include:

i.Prevalence of myopia

ii.Proportion of myopes with correction/paying for correction

iii.Amount paid for myopic correction

i.Prevalence of myopia

The data for this comes from the numerous epidemiological studies carried out around the world that have already been covered in detail in Chapter 1.1. However, data for many countries are still lacking. We will estimate the myopia prevalence in these countries based on data from neighboring countries or countries with similar socioeconomic characteristics.

China

China is country with the largest population in the world; it is important to use accurate figures for myopia prevalence. Numerous studies have been published recently. A population-based study of an urban cohort in Guangzhou, China, showed a prevalence of myopia of 32.3% in subjects aged 50 years and above.5 Urban 15-year-old school children had a myopia prevalence rate of 73%.6 Further, a study showed that 62.3% of 15-year-old Chinese school children in a rural area were myopic.7 Another study of rural school children in Southern China found that 37% of 13-year-olds were myopic, this figure rising to 54% of 17-year-olds, were myopic.8 The Beijing eye study showed that 22.9% of the population aged 40 to 90 years of age in a mixed urban and rural cohort were myopic.9 Table 1 shows an estimation of the number of myopes in China. For adults aged 44 years and above, data from the Beijing Eye Study9 was used because the mixed urban and rural cohort was more representative for the whole of the country than other purely urban or rural cohorts.

India

India is the country with the second largest population in the world. However, there are relatively few studies on myopia prevalence, which was estimated to be 7% in an urban cohort in 5- to15-year-olds10 and 4.1% of 7- to 15-year-olds in a rural cohort.11 In South India, it was 27% for those above 39-years of age.12 The estimates used are shown in Table 2.

68

 

 

M.C.C. Lim and K.D. Frick

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 1. Prevalence of Myopia in China

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Proportion

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

of Total

 

Myopia

 

 

 

 

 

Age

Population

Population

Prevalence

 

Number

 

 

segment

(%)

Number

(%)

Source

of Myopes

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0–15

20.3

267,960,000

40.0

Guangzhou6

107,184,000

 

 

15–29

22.8

300,960,000

30.0

Est.

90,288,000

 

 

30–44

26.7

352,440,000

26.0

Est.

91,634,400

 

 

45–59

18.2

240,240,000

22.9

Beijing9

55,014,960

 

60–74

9.4

124,080,000

22.9

Beijing9

28,414,320

 

75–84

2.3

30,360,000

22.9

Beijing9

6,952,440

 

85+

0.3

3,960,000

22.9

Beijing9

906,840

 

 

Total

 

1,320,000,000

 

 

380,394,960

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2. Prevalence of Myopia in India

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Proportion

Prevalence

 

No. of

 

 

Age

Population

(%)

(%)

Source

Myopes

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0–14

356,500,000

31

6

New Delhi10

21,390,000

 

15–64

736,000,000

64

27

South India12

198,720,000

 

65+

57,500,000

5

27

South India12

15,525,000

 

 

Total

1,150,000,000

 

 

 

235,635,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Europe

The estimated prevalence of myopia in subjects 40 years and above in Western Europe is estimated at 26.6%, similar to that in the USA.13 From this we can assume that the myopia prevalence in those under 40 years of age is similar to that in our calculations, and the prevalence for the whole of Europe is assumed to be similar. The figure of 27% was used in our model and this is reasonable as it is similar to the figure we computed from more data, for the United States (see later). Assumptions such as these are necessary due to lack of data.

Singapore

There are several studies detailing the prevalence of myopia in Singapore and these are shown in Table 3.

69

 

The Economics of Myopia

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 3. Prevalence of Myopia in Singapore

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Number of

Percentage of

 

Number of

 

Age

People

Myopes

Source

Myopes

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

0–4

196,500

5

5–9

240,100

29

10–14

261,500

60

15–19

249,900

74

20–24

222,400

79

25–29

257,300

70

30–34

302,700

60

35–39

308,200

60

40–44

331,900

45

45–49

319,300

45

50–54

272,200

25

55–59

219,100

25

60–64

120,900

30

65–69

111,500

30

70–74

80,600

32

75–79

57,600

32

80+

56,700

32

Total

3,608,500

 

Estimated

9825

Tan et al.14

69,629

Estimated

156,900

Quek et al.15

184,926

Wu et al.16

175,696

Estimated

180,110

Estimated

181,620

Estimated

184,920

Tanjong Pagar17

149,355

Tanjong Pagar17

143,685

Tanjong Pagar17

68,050

Tanjong Pagar17

54,775

Tanjong Pagar17

36,270

Tanjong Pagar17

33,450

Tanjong Pagar17

25,792

Tanjong Pagar17

18,432

Estimated

18,144

 

1,544,157

Southeast Asia

In a predominantly Malay cohort, school-age children in a suburban area near Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia had lower rates of myopia. In children aged 7 years, 10% had myopia, this figure rising to 34% in 15-year-olds.18 In Indonesia, it was 26.2%.19 For our analysis, Indonesia, the fourth largest country in the world, was taken to have a prevalence of myopia of 26%.

Africa

Myopia prevalence of 15-year-olds has been reported at 10%.20 In Ghanaian school children aged 6 to 22 years, it was 7%.21 For students aged 11–27 years, the prevalence of myopia was 5.6%.22 In general, myopia seems to be less prevalent among those born and raised in Africa. There is little data on myopia prevalence in adults so we use a figure of 10% for Africa.

USA

Estimates for the prevalence of myopia in the USA are shown in Table 4.